Forecast record · what we said, and what happened
Our forecasts for Josh Allen
17 published forecasts, newest first — the latest 8 shown, the rest below. Each was frozen before the game and checked against the official result.
| Game | Forecast | We said | What happened |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Rushing yards | 31.4 (range 6.3–75.1) | Actual 1 · missed by 30.4 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Passing yards | 237.1 (range 127.0–398.0) | Actual 255 · missed by 17.9 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Anytime touchdown | 65.7% chance | Did not happen |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Rushing yards | 22.5 (range 3.8–56.0) | Actual 121 · missed by 98.5 |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Anytime touchdown | 63.3% chance | Happened |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Passing yards | 237.0 (range 129.1–393.1) | Actual 210 · missed by 27.0 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Passing yards | 237.0 (range 128.4–394.7) | Actual 253 · missed by 16.0 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Anytime touchdown | 62.4% chance | Happened |
Show 9 older forecasts
| Game | Forecast | We said | What happened |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Rushing yards | 25.1 (range 4.0–81.6) | Actual 4 · missed by 21.1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Passing yards | 240.9 (range 131.6–398.9) | Actual 204 · missed by 36.9 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Rushing yards | 28.2 (range 4.7–89.3) | Actual 22 · missed by 6.2 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Passing yards | 239 (range 131–396) | Actual 248 · missed by 9 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Anytime touchdown | 41.2% chance | Happened |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Rushing yards | 22 (range 3–76) | Actual 69 · missed by 47 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Passing yards | 191 (range 68–317) | Actual 334 · missed by 143 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Rushing yards | 20 (range 2–55) | Actual 23 · missed by 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Anytime touchdown | 37.5% chance | Happened |
How each forecast type has done overall: Rushing yards · Passing yards · Anytime touchdown
2026 recorded snapshot
Totals over the games GameTime recorded that season, not a complete season line.
Recorded games
6
Completions
114
over 6 recorded games
Pass attempts
171
over 6 recorded games
Passing yards
1504
over 6 recorded games
Recent form and game log
Factual lines only, newest first. Team and opponent are the ones for that game.
Last 3 / 5 / 10 recorded games
| Stat | Last 3 · avg (n) | Last 5 · avg (n) | Last 10 · avg (n) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Completions | 19.3 (n=3) | 18.8 (n=5) | 19 (n=10) |
| Pass attempts | 28.3 (n=3) | 28.4 (n=5) | 28 (n=10) |
| Passing yards | 239.3 (n=3) | 234 (n=5) | 232.2 (n=10) |
| Passing TDs | 1.3 (n=3) | 1.4 (n=5) | 1.3 (n=10) |
| Interceptions thrown | 0.7 (n=3) | 0.8 (n=5) | 0.6 (n=10) |
Recorded 255, 210, 253 passing yards in the last 3 available games.
Averages use only games where the stat was recorded; n is that number of games. A window with fewer games than its size says so.
Passing yards, game by game
Game log
6 recorded games · 114 completions · 171 pass attempts · 1504 passing yards| Date | Team | Opponent | Team result | CMP | ATT | YDS | TD | INT | Game page |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | BUF | @ LV | W 33–30 | 23 | 33 | 255 | 2 | 0 | Game → |
| Oct 12, 2026 | BUF | @ LAR | W 37–34 | 12 | 19 | 210 | 1 | 1 | Game → |
| Oct 4, 2026 | BUF | vs NE | L 26–29 | 23 | 33 | 253 | 1 | 1 | Game → |
| Sep 27, 2026 | BUF | vs LAC | W 24–16 | 16 | 26 | 204 | 0 | 2 | Game → |
| Sep 17, 2026 | BUF | vs DET | W 41–31 | 20 | 31 | 248 | 3 | 0 | Game → |
| Sep 13, 2026 | BUF | @ HOU | W 36–31 | 20 | 29 | 334 | 2 | 0 | Game → |
