17 MLB games · 457 model-vs-market reads
Projections for pitcher strikeouts and batter markets only. Home runs live on Homer Nukes because the variance profile is different.
Market context, not picks. Calibration notice (audit 2026-07-21): across 18,659 settled leans, none of these markets' model probabilities out-predict the market on Brier or log loss — the model is overconfident (its high-confidence reads under-perform). Treat the model number as a market-anchored research signal, not a proven advantage; the market price is the better probability. Paper / review / educational only — never a bet. Total bases is disabled for prediction and is not listed here; its settled history stays on Results.
Fenway Park37 leansFinal · graded
CHC@BOS

Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox
first pitch1:05 PM ET
CHC@BOS
Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.4 K across 17 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.81 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.51 across 159 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.31 across 141 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.13 across 135 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.14 across 135 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.82 across 152 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.62 across 52 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 157 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 52 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 122 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.71 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 141 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 97 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 152 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 159 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 149 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.96 across 154 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 157 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 149 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 148 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 115 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 122 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 156 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.47 across 85 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 97 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.51 across 65 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 154 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 148 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 85 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 156 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 115 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 65 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Fenway Park0 leans
CHC@BOS

Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox
first pitch6:05 PM ET
CHC@BOS
Chicago Cubs at Boston Red Sox
Game details · probable pitchers
Yankee Stadium38 leansFinal · graded
BAL@NYY

Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees
first pitch4:05 PM ET
BAL@NYY
Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.3 K across 29 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.3 K across 29 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 41 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 120 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.55 across 131 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.04 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.57 across 131 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 125 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.18 across 131 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.33 across 85 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.70 across 110 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.11 across 131 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 152 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.83 across 156 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 125 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 131 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 159 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.52 across 120 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 156 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.46 across 90 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 110 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.51 across 67 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 85 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 131 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.49 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 67 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.98 across 41 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.28 across 159 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.30 across 152 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 103 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 103 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.66 across 90 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Yankee Stadium0 leans
BAL@NYY

Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees
first pitch4:10 PM ET
BAL@NYY
Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees
Game details · probable pitchers
Comerica Park38 leansFinal · graded
PIT@DET

Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers
first pitch6:40 PM ET
PIT@DET
Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.6 K across 30 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 8.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.4 K across 8 starts
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 48 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.67 across 111 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.16 across 153 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.47 across 94 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.15 across 137 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 153 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 148 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 94 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.60 across 106 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 156 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 111 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.05 across 38 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 48 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 38 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 137 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 106 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 156 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.20 across 107 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.03 across 76 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 76 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.48 across 29 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.96 across 96 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 107 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.29 across 148 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 96 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.67 across 123 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 159 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 29 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 18 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.04 across 159 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.56 across 18 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 123 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.13 across 145 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.03 across 145 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Citizens Bank Park38 leansFinal · graded
TB@PHI

Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies
first pitch6:40 PM ET
TB@PHI
Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.9 K across 31 starts
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.50 across 117 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.12 across 152 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.19 across 147 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.40 across 141 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 150 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.75 across 152 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.09 across 158 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.01 across 154 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.28 across 159 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 116 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 152 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 150 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 152 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.78 across 150 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 90 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 117 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 158 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.10 across 153 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 141 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.43 across 99 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.55 across 119 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 154 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 147 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.55 across 116 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.41 across 90 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 119 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 99 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 150 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 159 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 153 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 81 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Nationals Park37 leansFinal · graded
NYM@WSH

New York Mets at Washington Nationals
first pitch6:45 PM ET
NYM@WSH
New York Mets at Washington Nationals
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.5 K across 24 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.62 across 129 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.51 across 109 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 149 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 99 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 109 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.01 across 152 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.18 across 116 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 129 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.79 across 91 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 99 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.01 across 157 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 117 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.18 across 108 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 117 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 152 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.75 across 104 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 91 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.37 across 132 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 116 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 108 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.53 across 137 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.31 across 149 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.46 across 85 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 137 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 132 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.99 across 157 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 157 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 157 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 85 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 101 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 15 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 101 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.26 across 42 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.53 across 15 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 104 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.57 across 42 games
Rogers Centre37 leansFinal · graded
CIN@TOR

Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays
first pitch7:07 PM ET
CIN@TOR
Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.0 K across 20 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 13 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.38 across 13 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.36 across 140 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.40 across 128 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 77 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 122 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.25 across 159 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 77 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 140 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 152 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.63 across 128 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 122 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.55 across 126 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 75 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 127 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 159 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 126 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 32 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.52 across 127 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 155 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.38 across 32 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 142 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.43 across 75 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.65 across 130 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 142 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.31 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 152 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 155 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 130 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
loanDepot park37 leansFinal · graded
ATL@MIA

Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins
first pitch7:10 PM ET
ATL@MIA
Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins
Game details · probable pitchers
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.60 across 150 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.18 across 159 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.58 across 101 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 159 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 136 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.54 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.87 across 133 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.31 across 136 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 150 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.27 across 135 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.27 across 155 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.17 across 153 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.67 across 156 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 153 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.70 across 90 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 159 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 121 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 101 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 133 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 140 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 140 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.21 across 155 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.55 across 31 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 121 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 159 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 156 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.23 across 31 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 90 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 135 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Kauffman Stadium38 leansFinal · graded
CLE@KC

Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals
first pitch7:40 PM ET
CLE@KC
Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.2 K across 30 starts
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 9.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 7.9 K across 31 starts
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 146 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.74 across 151 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 146 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.95 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 111 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.67 across 126 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.38 across 72 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.79 across 121 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 140 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 87 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.13 across 140 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.01 across 140 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 126 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 151 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.92 across 156 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.74 across 148 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.39 across 87 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.92 across 111 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 121 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.28 across 141 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 149 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.66 across 141 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.02 across 131 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 156 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 148 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 140 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 94 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 72 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 131 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.24 across 94 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.70 across 149 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Rate Field39 leansFinal · graded
COL@CWS

Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox
first pitch7:40 PM ET
COL@CWS
Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.7 K across 31 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.7 K across 31 starts
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.2 K across 28 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.01 across 153 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 87 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.27 across 140 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.45 across 102 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.94 across 153 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 139 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 102 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 153 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.13 across 140 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.15 across 135 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 153 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.72 across 125 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.50 across 32 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.18 across 157 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 125 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.96 across 124 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.59 across 37 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 135 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 136 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.71 across 89 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 146 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 89 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 150 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.78 across 37 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.15 across 87 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.22 across 32 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.40 across 139 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.59 across 146 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 157 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 150 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.67 across 139 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 124 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 139 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 136 games
American Family Field39 leansFinal · graded
STL@MIL

St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers
first pitch7:40 PM ET
STL@MIL
St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.7 K across 20 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.7 K across 20 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.8 K across 30 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.25 across 145 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 118 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.34 across 147 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.32 across 158 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.13 across 141 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.67 across 131 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.87 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 118 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 147 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 129 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.63 across 129 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 155 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 141 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.99 across 136 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 136 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.18 across 124 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.44 across 107 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 107 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 131 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 158 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.30 across 155 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 141 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 145 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 48 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.49 across 124 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.81 across 141 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.50 across 48 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Target Field39 leansFinal · graded
TEX@MIN

Texas Rangers at Minnesota Twins
first pitch8:10 PM ET
TEX@MIN
Texas Rangers at Minnesota Twins
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.8 K across 26 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.8 K across 26 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 6.5 K across 30 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.76 across 21 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.08 across 103 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.11
- SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 9 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.81 across 149 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.99 across 151 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.06 across 151 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.33 across 12 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 151 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 21 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 149 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 151 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.87 across 152 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.24 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.16 across 103 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 107 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.81 across 152 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 148 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.92 across 98 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.58 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.21 across 136 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 152 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.44
- SeasonSeason average 0.44 across 9 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 98 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.01 across 90 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 107 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 122 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.20 across 92 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 90 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 152 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 92 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 122 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 148 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.94 across 140 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 140 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 12 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.54 across 136 games
Sutter Health Park0 leans
HOU@ATH

Houston Astros at Athletics
first pitch9:40 PM ET
HOU@ATH
Houston Astros at Athletics
Game details · probable pitchers
Petco Park0 leans
AZ@SD

Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres
first pitch9:40 PM ET
AZ@SD
Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres
Game details · probable pitchers
T-Mobile Park2 leansFinal · graded
LAA@SEA

Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners
first pitch10:10 PM ET
LAA@SEA
Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.3 K across 21 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 6.6 K across 31 starts
Oracle Park38 leansFinal · graded
LAD@SF

Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants
first pitch10:15 PM ET
LAD@SF
Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 7.0 K across 25 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 2.8 K across 4 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 41 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.30 across 64 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.55 across 49 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.38 across 128 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.51 across 41 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 64 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.23 across 130 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.37 across 35 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.21 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 130 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 150 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 120 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 49 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.17 across 120 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.44
- SeasonSeason average 0.44 across 9 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.36 across 132 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 132 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.06 across 151 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 150 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.76 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 146 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 146 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.67
- SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 9 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.55 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 35 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 151 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.63 across 128 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (3 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (3 games of log data)
Open the MLB Power Board →
HR markets are high-variance and rated on a separate power-profile scale (barrel + park + matchup), not the standard High / Medium / Low tiers used here.
