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Settled · graded against final box scores
274–255 on 529 decisive picks · 51.8%2026-09-23
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MLB model board · 2026-09-23

16 MLB games · 552 model-vs-market reads

Projections for pitcher strikeouts and batter markets only. Home runs live on Homer Nukes because the variance profile is different.

Market context, not picks. Calibration notice (audit 2026-07-21): across 18,659 settled leans, none of these markets' model probabilities out-predict the market on Brier or log loss — the model is overconfident (its high-confidence reads under-perform). Treat the model number as a market-anchored research signal, not a proven advantage; the market price is the better probability. Paper / review / educational only — never a bet. Total bases is disabled for prediction and is not listed here; its settled history stays on Results.

SCHEDULEliveMODEL LEANSavailableUPDATEDSep 23, 6:02 AM ETeducational analytics only
Gap ≥ 5 pp
263
model vs market · context
Gap 2.5–5 pp
60
model vs market · context
Small gap
173
17 anomalies shown separately
Sample too small
39
no projection emitted
Strikeouts19 gap ≥ 5 pp·30 totalHits99 gap ≥ 5 pp·261 totalHits + Runs + RBIs145 gap ≥ 5 pp·261 total
Filters · 552 of 552 leans
Market
Gap size
Team
Sort
Density
Comerica Park37 leansFinal · graded

WSH@DET

Washington Nationals at Detroit Tigers

first pitch
1:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Richard Lovelady
probable · awayRichard Lovelady
WSH
Framber Valdez
probable · homeFramber Valdez
DET
Strikeouts
Framber Valdez
Framber Valdez
DETvsWSHPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER5.5
Projection4.32
Edge+12.5%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.3 K across 30 starts
-131 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
CJ Abrams
CJ Abrams
WSHvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.41
Edge+19.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.31 across 148 games
+117 · draftkings
Yohandy Morales
Yohandy Morales
WSHvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2
Edge+17.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 14 games
+135 · draftkings
Max Clark
Max Clark
DETvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.36
Edge+15.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.02 across 47 games
-107 · draftkings
Jacob Young
Jacob Young
WSHvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.62
Edge+14.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.63 across 128 games
-159 · draftkings
Kevin McGonigle
Kevin McGonigle
DETvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.43
Edge+13.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.15 across 152 games
-125 · draftkings
Riley Greene
Riley Greene
DETvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.48
Edge+12.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.16 across 136 games
-126 · draftkings
Kevin McGonigle
Kevin McGonigle
DETvsWSHBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.23
Edge+11%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 152 games
-225 · draftkings
Spencer Torkelson
Spencer Torkelson
DETvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.98
Edge+10.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.65 across 155 games
+102 · draftkings
Hao-Yu Lee
Hao-Yu Lee
DETvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.3
Edge+10.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.61 across 105 games
-127 · draftkings
Max Clark
Max Clark
DETvsWSHBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.14
Edge+10%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 47 games
-198 · draftkings
CJ Abrams
CJ Abrams
WSHvsDETBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.05
Edge+9.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 148 games
-172 · draftkings
Dylan Crews
Dylan Crews
WSHvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.73
Edge+8.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 103 games
+113 · draftkings
Riley Greene
Riley Greene
DETvsWSHBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.17
Edge+8.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 136 games
-211 · draftkings
Ben Malgeri
Ben Malgeri
DETvsWSHBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.48
Edge+7.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.56 across 48 games
+131 · draftkings
Hao-Yu Lee
Hao-Yu Lee
DETvsWSHBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.15
Edge+7.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 105 games
-235 · draftkings
Spencer Torkelson
Spencer Torkelson
DETvsWSHBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.93
Edge+6.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 155 games
-168 · draftkings
James Wood
James Wood
WSHvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.89
Edge+5.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.38 across 131 games
-104 · draftkings
Jacob Young
Jacob Young
WSHvsDETBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.75
Edge+5.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 128 games
-127 · draftkings
John Peck
John Peck
DETvsWSHBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.49
Edge+5.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.59 across 17 games
+121 · draftkings
Harry Ford
Harry Ford
WSHvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.25
Edge+4.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.30 across 33 games
-159 · draftkings
Dillon Dingler
Dillon Dingler
DETvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.98
Edge+3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.06 across 142 games
-122 · draftkings
Dylan Crews
Dylan Crews
WSHvsDETBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.88
Edge+2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 103 games
-182 · draftkings
Ben Malgeri
Ben Malgeri
DETvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.29
Edge−3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.27 across 48 games
+107 · draftkings
Gleyber Torres
Gleyber Torres
DETvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.58
Edge−2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.96 across 96 games
-105 · draftkings
Harry Ford
Harry Ford
WSHvsDETBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.52
Edge−2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.55 across 33 games
-108 · draftkings
Andrés Chaparro
Andrés Chaparro
WSHvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.35
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.50 across 78 games
+122 · draftkings
John Peck
John Peck
DETvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection0.99
Edge+2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.18 across 17 games
-151 · draftkings
James Wood
James Wood
WSHvsDETBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.95
Edge+2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 131 games
-197 · draftkings
Andrés Chaparro
Andrés Chaparro
WSHvsDETBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.66
Edge−1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 78 games
+125 · draftkings
Brady House
Brady House
WSHvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.39
Edge+1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.78 across 90 games
+118 · draftkings
Dillon Dingler
Dillon Dingler
DETvsWSHBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge−1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 142 games
+168 · draftkings
Brady House
Brady House
WSHvsDETBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.66
Edge+0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 90 games
+138 · draftkings
Gleyber Torres
Gleyber Torres
DETvsWSHBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.78
Edge−0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 96 games
+164 · draftkings
Yohandy Morales
Yohandy Morales
WSHvsDETBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.69
Edge−0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 14 games
-143 · draftkings
Nasim Nunez
WSH @ DETBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Nasim Nunez
WSH @ DETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Oriole Park at Camden Yards20 leansFinal · graded

TOR@BAL

Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles

first pitch
1:35 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Max Scherzer
probable · awayMax Scherzer
TOR
probable · homeTBD
BAL
Strikeouts
Max Scherzer
Max Scherzer
TORvsBALPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER4.5
Projection2.99
Edge+19.6%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.4 K across 16 starts
-127 · draftkings
Chris Bassitt
Chris Bassitt
BALvsTORPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER3.5
Projection4.82
Edge+19%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.8 K across 19 starts
-132 · fanduel
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Pete Alonso
Pete Alonso
BALvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.44
Edge+17.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.28 across 157 games
+102 · draftkings
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
BALvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.02
Edge+14.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.95 across 55 games
+125 · draftkings
Gunnar Henderson
Gunnar Henderson
BALvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.93
Edge+11.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 154 games
+113 · draftkings
Coby Mayo
Coby Mayo
BALvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.77
Edge+11.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.74 across 123 games
-172 · draftkings
Colton Cowser
Colton Cowser
BALvsTORBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.74
Edge+10.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.57 across 129 games
-103 · draftkings
Gunnar Henderson
Gunnar Henderson
BALvsTORBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.1
Edge+9.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 154 games
-172 · draftkings
Coby Mayo
Coby Mayo
BALvsTORBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.87
Edge+9.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 123 games
-135 · draftkings
Colton Cowser
Colton Cowser
BALvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.19
Edge+9.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.17 across 129 games
-136 · draftkings
Dylan Beavers
Dylan Beavers
BALvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.65
Edge+7.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.50 across 98 games
+118 · draftkings
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
BALvsTORBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1
Edge+7.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 55 games
-159 · draftkings
Leody Taveras
Leody Taveras
BALvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.38
Edge+6.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.55 across 130 games
-178 · draftkings
Jeremiah Jackson
Jeremiah Jackson
BALvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.33
Edge+5.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.47 across 88 games
-159 · draftkings
Pete Alonso
Pete Alonso
BALvsTORBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.95
Edge+5.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 157 games
-176 · draftkings
Jeremiah Jackson
Jeremiah Jackson
BALvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.58
Edge−2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.66 across 88 games
-127 · draftkings
Samuel Basallo
Samuel Basallo
BALvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.56
Edge+1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 112 games
+118 · draftkings
Leody Taveras
Leody Taveras
BALvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.65
Edge−0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 130 games
-137 · draftkings
Dylan Beavers
Dylan Beavers
BALvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.71
Edge−0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 98 games
-152 · draftkings
Samuel Basallo
Samuel Basallo
BALvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.28
Edge−0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.55 across 112 games
+118 · draftkings
Oriole Park at Camden Yards0 leans

TOR@BAL

Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles

first pitch
6:35 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
probable · awayTBD
TOR
probable · homeTBD
BAL
prop lines pending
Lines have not posted yet for this matchup. When books post lines, projections appear here for pitcher strikeouts, batter hits, and batter total bases.
Oracle Park38 leansFinal · graded

MIN@SF

Minnesota Twins at San Francisco Giants

first pitch
3:45 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Connor Prielipp
probable · awayConnor Prielipp
MIN
Cesar Perdomo
probable · homeCesar Perdomo
SF
Strikeouts
Cesar Perdomo
Cesar Perdomo
SFvsMINPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER3.5
Projection2.82
Edge+12.3%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.0 K across 4 starts
-118 · draftkings
Connor Prielipp
Connor Prielipp
MINvsSFPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
UNDER5.5
Projection5.01
Edge0%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.4 K across 23 starts
-145 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Brooks Lee
Brooks Lee
MINvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.2
Edge+12.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 150 games
-106 · draftkings
Ryan Jeffers
Ryan Jeffers
MINvsSFBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.63
Edge+12.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 89 games
-263 · draftkings
Christian Koss
Christian Koss
SFvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.46
Edge+9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.32 across 63 games
-170 · draftkings
Jonah Cox
Jonah Cox
SFvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.69
Edge+7.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.58 across 48 games
+113 · draftkings
Brooks Lee
Brooks Lee
MINvsSFBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.13
Edge+6.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 150 games
-224 · draftkings
Christian Koss
Christian Koss
SFvsMINBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.8
Edge+5.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 63 games
-138 · draftkings
Ryan Jeffers
Ryan Jeffers
MINvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1.31
Edge+4.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.02 across 89 games
+106 · draftkings
Austin Martin
Austin Martin
MINvsSFBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.68
Edge+4.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 103 games
+167 · draftkings
Turner Hill
Turner Hill
SFvsMINBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.62
Edge+4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 30 games
+144 · draftkings
Shay Whitcomb
Shay Whitcomb
SFvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.07
Edge+3.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 40 games
-158 · draftkings
Luke Keaschall
Luke Keaschall
MINvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2
Edge+3.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 148 games
-144 · draftkings
Osleivis Basabe
Osleivis Basabe
SFvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.92
Edge+2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.24 across 42 games
-138 · draftkings
Victor Bericoto
Victor Bericoto
SFvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.31
Edge+2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.41 across 34 games
+133 · draftkings
Emmanuel Rodriguez
Emmanuel Rodriguez
MINvsSFBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.62
Edge−3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 11 games
+110 · draftkings
Kody Clemens
Kody Clemens
MINvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.52
Edge−3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.94 across 139 games
-111 · draftkings
Ryan Kreidler
Ryan Kreidler
MINvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.11
Edge−3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.22 across 90 games
+127 · draftkings
Luke Keaschall
Luke Keaschall
MINvsSFBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.13
Edge−2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 148 games
+178 · draftkings
Royce Lewis
Royce Lewis
MINvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.39
Edge−2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.69 across 121 games
-123 · draftkings
Osleivis Basabe
Osleivis Basabe
SFvsMINBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.51
Edge−2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 42 games
-112 · draftkings
Josh Bell
Josh Bell
MINvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.93
Edge+2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.06 across 150 games
-129 · draftkings
Royce Lewis
Royce Lewis
MINvsSFBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.77
Edge−2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 121 games
+153 · draftkings
Shay Whitcomb
Shay Whitcomb
SFvsMINBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.59
Edge−1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.47 across 40 games
-128 · draftkings
Brett Harris
Brett Harris
SFvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.94
Edge+1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 14 games
-166 · draftkings
Jonah Cox
Jonah Cox
SFvsMINBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.84
Edge+1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 48 games
-176 · draftkings
Scott Bandura
Scott Bandura
SFvsMINBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.44
Edge+1.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.44
  • SeasonSeason average 0.44 across 9 games
-105 · draftkings
Andrew Knizner
Andrew Knizner
SFvsMINBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.75
Edge−1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 25 games
-166 · draftkings
Ryan Kreidler
Ryan Kreidler
MINvsSFBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.54
Edge+1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.58 across 90 games
+113 · draftkings
Austin Martin
Austin Martin
MINvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.4
Edge−0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.29 across 103 games
-114 · draftkings
Emmanuel Rodriguez
Emmanuel Rodriguez
MINvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.28
Edge−0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.36 across 11 games
+126 · draftkings
Josh Bell
Josh Bell
MINvsSFBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge−0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 150 games
-244 · draftkings
Andrew Knizner
Andrew Knizner
SFvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.32
Edge−0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 25 games
+117 · draftkings
Scott Bandura
Scott Bandura
SFvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.67
Edge−0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.67
  • SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 9 games
+124 · draftkings
Kody Clemens
Kody Clemens
MINvsSFBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.74
Edge+0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 139 games
+159 · draftkings
Turner Hill
Turner Hill
SFvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.37
Edge−0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.63 across 30 games
+111 · draftkings
Brett Harris
Brett Harris
SFvsMINBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.51
Edge−0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.43 across 14 games
+101 · draftkings
Victor Bericoto
Victor Bericoto
SFvsMINBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.6
Edge−0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 34 games
+120 · draftkings
PNC Park38 leansFinal · graded

STL@PIT

St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates

first pitch
6:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Matthew Liberatore
probable · awayMatthew Liberatore
STL
Lake Bachar
probable · homeLake Bachar
PIT
Strikeouts
Matthew Liberatore
Matthew Liberatore
STLvsPITPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER5.5
Projection3.5
Edge+17.2%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.9 K across 30 starts
-162 · draftkings
Matthew Liberatore
Matthew LiberatoreModel anomaly
STLvsPITPitcherStrikeouts
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
UNDER4.5
Projection3.5
Edge+22.6%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.9 K across 30 starts
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+132 · fanduel
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Oneil Cruz
Oneil Cruz
PITvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.33
Edge+11.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.46 across 93 games
-111 · draftkings
Henry Davis
Henry Davis
PITvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.35
Edge+11.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.30 across 86 games
-129 · draftkings
Nathan Church
Nathan Church
STLvsPITBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.02
Edge+11.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 127 games
-162 · draftkings
Brandon Lowe
Brandon Lowe
PITvsSTLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.01
Edge+9.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 146 games
-163 · draftkings
Konnor Griffin
Konnor Griffin
PITvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.18
Edge+9.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.05 across 74 games
-123 · draftkings
Nathan Church
Nathan Church
STLvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.67
Edge+9.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.65 across 127 games
+123 · draftkings
Masyn Winn
Masyn Winn
STLvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.54
Edge+8.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.67 across 129 games
-183 · draftkings
Alec Burleson
Alec Burleson
STLvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.06
Edge+7.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.31 across 156 games
-112 · draftkings
Oneil Cruz
Oneil Cruz
PITvsSTLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.09
Edge+5.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 93 games
-200 · draftkings
Konnor Griffin
Konnor Griffin
PITvsSTLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.23
Edge+5.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 74 games
-257 · draftkings
Bryan Reynolds
Bryan Reynolds
PITvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.74
Edge+2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.07 across 157 games
-109 · draftkings
Nick Gonzales
Nick Gonzales
PITvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.62
Edge+2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.04 across 143 games
+100 · draftkings
Brandon Lowe
Brandon LoweModel anomaly
PITvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.44
Edge+20%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.28 across 146 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+114 · draftkings
Jake Mangum
Jake Mangum
PITvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge−3.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 121 games
-203 · draftkings
Bryan Torres
Bryan Torres
STLvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge−3.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 64 games
-178 · draftkings
Henry Davis
Henry Davis
PITvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.44
Edge−3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.49 across 86 games
-102 · draftkings
Jared Triolo
Jared Triolo
PITvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.5
Edge−2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 108 games
-111 · draftkings
Jordan Walker
Jordan Walker
STLvsPITBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.73
Edge−2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 153 games
+137 · draftkings
JJ Wetherholt
JJ Wetherholt
STLvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.58
Edge+1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.96 across 134 games
+101 · draftkings
Jordan Walker
Jordan Walker
STLvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.56
Edge+1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.32 across 153 games
+103 · draftkings
Thomas Saggese
Thomas Saggese
STLvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.32
Edge−1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.53 across 47 games
+111 · draftkings
Bryan Torres
Bryan Torres
STLvsPITBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.5
Edge+1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.59 across 64 games
+104 · draftkings
Jake Mangum
Jake Mangum
PITvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.4
Edge−0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.69 across 121 games
+106 · draftkings
Alec Burleson
Alec Burleson
STLvsPITBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.93
Edge−0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 156 games
-223 · draftkings
JJ Wetherholt
JJ Wetherholt
STLvsPITBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge−0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 134 games
-182 · draftkings
Bryan Reynolds
Bryan Reynolds
PITvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.94
Edge+0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 157 games
-221 · draftkings
Jared Triolo
Jared Triolo
PITvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge−0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.28 across 108 games
-153 · draftkings
Nick Gonzales
Nick Gonzales
PITvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge+0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.13 across 143 games
-217 · draftkings
Masyn Winn
Masyn Winn
STLvsPITBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.67
Edge−0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 129 games
-139 · draftkings
Thomas Saggese
Thomas Saggese
STLvsPITBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.68
Edge+0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 47 games
+141 · draftkings
Ivan Herrera
STL @ PITBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Leonardo Bernal
STL @ PITBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Rafael Flores
STL @ PITBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Ivan Herrera
STL @ PITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Leonardo Bernal
STL @ PITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Rafael Flores
STL @ PITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Citizens Bank Park38 leansFinal · graded

MIL@PHI

Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies

first pitch
6:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Logan Henderson
probable · awayLogan Henderson
MIL
Aaron Nola
probable · homeAaron Nola
PHI
Strikeouts
Aaron Nola
Aaron Nola
PHIvsMILPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER5.5
Projection4.65
Edge+11.7%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.5 K across 31 starts
-128 · draftkings
Logan Henderson
Logan HendersonModel anomaly
MILvsPHIPitcherStrikeouts
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER5.5
Projection6.68
Edge+23%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 6.3 K across 17 starts
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-113 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
William Contreras
William Contreras
MILvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection3.03
Edge+19%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.26 across 143 games
-124 · draftkings
Justin Crawford
Justin Crawford
PHIvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.56
Edge+17.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.41 across 139 games
-148 · draftkings
Joey Ortiz
Joey Ortiz
MILvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.12
Edge+16.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 116 games
+110 · draftkings
Alec Bohm
Alec Bohm
PHIvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.16
Edge+15.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.93 across 148 games
+113 · draftkings
Brandon Marsh
Brandon Marsh
PHIvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.45
Edge+15.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 148 games
-117 · draftkings
Bryce Harper
Bryce Harper
PHIvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.05
Edge+14.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.10 across 156 games
+117 · draftkings
Cooper Pratt
Cooper Pratt
MILvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.93
Edge+13.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 68 games
+119 · draftkings
Garrett Mitchell
Garrett Mitchell
MILvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.26
Edge+12.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.82 across 139 games
-108 · draftkings
Trea Turner
Trea Turner
PHIvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.91
Edge+11.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.03 across 152 games
+115 · draftkings
Bryson Stott
Bryson Stott
PHIvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.78
Edge+11.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.76 across 150 games
-184 · draftkings
Luis Arraez
Luis Arraez
PHIvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.91
Edge+11.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.12 across 149 games
+109 · draftkings
Joey Ortiz
Joey Ortiz
MILvsPHIBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.11
Edge+11.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 116 games
-182 · draftkings
Christian Yelich
Christian Yelich
MILvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.05
Edge+11.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.99 across 113 games
+101 · draftkings
Jake Bauers
Jake Bauers
MILvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.11
Edge+11.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 2.13 across 139 games
+101 · draftkings
Alec Bohm
Alec Bohm
PHIvsMILBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.17
Edge+10.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 148 games
-198 · draftkings
J.T. Realmuto
J.T. Realmuto
PHIvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.49
Edge+9.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.57 across 117 games
-158 · draftkings
Cooper Pratt
Cooper Pratt
MILvsPHIBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.99
Edge+9.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 68 games
-162 · draftkings
Brice Turang
Brice Turang
MILvsPHIBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.11
Edge+9.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 145 games
-184 · draftkings
Luis Lara
Luis Lara
MILvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.73
Edge+8.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.76 across 54 games
+116 · draftkings
Justin Crawford
Justin Crawford
PHIvsMILBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.79
Edge+8.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 139 games
-121 · draftkings
Brandon Marsh
Brandon Marsh
PHIvsMILBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.66
Edge+8.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 148 games
+106 · draftkings
Bryce Harper
Bryce Harper
PHIvsMILBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.03
Edge+7.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 156 games
-169 · draftkings
Jackson Chourio
Jackson Chourio
MILvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.35
Edge+7.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.49 across 122 games
-131 · draftkings
Bryson Stott
Bryson Stott
PHIvsMILBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge+5.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 150 games
-148 · draftkings
Luis Arraez
Luis Arraez
PHIvsMILBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.12
Edge+5.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.24 across 149 games
-214 · draftkings
Kyle Schwarber
Kyle Schwarber
PHIvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.66
Edge+3.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.11 across 151 games
+103 · draftkings
Trea Turner
Trea Turner
PHIvsMILBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.94
Edge+3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 152 games
-189 · draftkings
Luis Lara
Luis Lara
MILvsPHIBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge+2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 54 games
-164 · draftkings
Brice Turang
Brice TurangModel anomaly
MILvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.62
Edge+21.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.33 across 145 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+103 · draftkings
Jake Bauers
Jake Bauers
MILvsPHIBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.84
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 139 games
-169 · draftkings
Kyle Schwarber
Kyle Schwarber
PHIvsMILBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.63
Edge−2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 151 games
+114 · draftkings
William Contreras
William Contreras
MILvsPHIBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.12
Edge+2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 143 games
-246 · draftkings
Christian Yelich
Christian Yelich
MILvsPHIBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.8
Edge−2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 113 games
-187 · draftkings
Garrett Mitchell
Garrett Mitchell
MILvsPHIBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge+1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 139 games
-201 · draftkings
J.T. Realmuto
J.T. Realmuto
PHIvsMILBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.66
Edge+0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 117 games
-133 · draftkings
Jackson Chourio
Jackson Chourio
MILvsPHIBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.04
Edge−0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.18 across 122 games
+199 · draftkings
Yankee Stadium39 leansFinal · graded

TB@NYY

Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees

first pitch
7:05 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Ian Seymour
probable · awayIan Seymour
TB
Gerrit Cole
probable · homeGerrit Cole
NYY
Strikeouts
Ian Seymour
Ian Seymour
TBvsNYYPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER5.5
Projection4.67
Edge+15.1%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.4 K across 45 starts
+121 · draftkings
Ian Seymour
Ian Seymour
TBvsNYYPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER6.5
Projection4.67
Edge+13.1%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.4 K across 45 starts
-142 · fanduel
Gerrit Cole
Gerrit Cole
NYYvsTBPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
UNDER5.5
Projection5.02
Edge−0.5%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.9 K across 21 starts
-142 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
George Lombard Jr.
George Lombard Jr.
NYYvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection2.06
Edge+18.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.82 across 39 games
-167 · draftkings
Ben Rice
Ben Rice
NYYvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.54
Edge+18.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.27 across 150 games
+104 · draftkings
Taylor Walls
Taylor Walls
TBvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.6
Edge+17.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.49 across 116 games
-138 · draftkings
Jonathan Aranda
Jonathan Aranda
TBvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.02
Edge+15.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.13 across 151 games
+121 · draftkings
Victor Mesa Jr.
Victor Mesa Jr.
TBvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.97
Edge+15.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.74 across 69 games
-172 · draftkings
Chandler Simpson
Chandler Simpson
TBvsNYYBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.3
Edge+13.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.19 across 146 games
-196 · draftkings
George Lombard Jr.
George Lombard Jr.
NYYvsTBBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.92
Edge+12.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 39 games
-128 · draftkings
Heliot Ramos
Heliot Ramos
NYYvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.9
Edge+12.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.69 across 108 games
+120 · draftkings
Cody Bellinger
Cody Bellinger
NYYvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.22
Edge+11.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.13 across 130 games
-110 · draftkings
Austin Wells
Austin Wells
NYYvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.24
Edge+10.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 119 games
-140 · draftkings
Paul Goldschmidt
Paul Goldschmidt
NYYvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.88
Edge+9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.75 across 102 games
+105 · draftkings
Spencer Jones
Spencer Jones
NYYvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.62
Edge+8.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 81 games
+129 · draftkings
Jonathan Aranda
Jonathan Aranda
TBvsNYYBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge+8.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 151 games
-156 · draftkings
Richie Palacios
Richie Palacios
TBvsNYYBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.74
Edge+8.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 114 games
-110 · draftkings
Junior Caminero
Junior Caminero
TBvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.94
Edge+8.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.28 across 157 games
+100 · draftkings
Taylor Walls
Taylor Walls
TBvsNYYBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.69
Edge+7.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 116 games
-105 · draftkings
Victor Mesa Jr.
Victor Mesa Jr.
TBvsNYYBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.85
Edge+7.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 69 games
-142 · draftkings
Ben Rice
Ben Rice
NYYvsTBBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.03
Edge+7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 150 games
-184 · draftkings
Liam Hicks
Liam Hicks
TBvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.5
Edge+6.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.01 across 138 games
+132 · draftkings
Amed Rosario
Amed Rosario
NYYvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.56
Edge+6.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.32 across 84 games
-175 · draftkings
Cedric Mullins
Cedric Mullins
TBvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.12
Edge+5.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.43 across 129 games
-147 · draftkings
Anthony Volpe
Anthony Volpe
NYYvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.37
Edge+4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.53 across 66 games
-173 · draftkings
Spencer Jones
Spencer Jones
NYYvsTBBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.78
Edge+3.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 81 games
-144 · draftkings
Cody Bellinger
Cody Bellinger
NYYvsTBBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.05
Edge+3.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 130 games
-224 · draftkings
Anthony Volpe
Anthony Volpe
NYYvsTBBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.74
Edge+3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 66 games
-137 · draftkings
Amed Rosario
Amed Rosario
NYYvsTBBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.75
Edge+2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 84 games
-144 · draftkings
Chandler Simpson
Chandler SimpsonModel anomaly
TBvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.3
Edge+24.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 146 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+118 · draftkings
Richie Palacios
Richie PalaciosModel anomaly
TBvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER0.5
Projection1.93
Edge+20.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 114 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-147 · draftkings
Cedric Mullins
Cedric Mullins
TBvsNYYBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.53
Edge−3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 129 games
-121 · draftkings
Heliot Ramos
Heliot Ramos
NYYvsTBBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.78
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 108 games
-153 · draftkings
Junior Caminero
Junior Caminero
TBvsNYYBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.93
Edge+0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 157 games
-218 · draftkings
Paul Goldschmidt
Paul Goldschmidt
NYYvsTBBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.87
Edge+0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 102 games
-190 · draftkings
Liam Hicks
Liam Hicks
TBvsNYYBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.78
Edge+0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 138 games
-158 · draftkings
Austin Wells
Austin Wells
NYYvsTBBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.56
Edge+0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.51 across 119 games
-110 · draftkings
Yandy Diaz
TB @ NYYBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Yandy Diaz
TB @ NYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Fenway Park38 leansFinal · graded

CLE@BOS

Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox

first pitch
7:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Foster Griffin
probable · awayFoster Griffin
CLE
Sonny Gray
probable · homeSonny Gray
BOS
Strikeouts
Sonny Gray
Sonny Gray
BOSvsCLEPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER4.5
Projection5.65
Edge+15.1%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.2 K across 28 starts
-114 · draftkings
Foster Griffin
Foster Griffin
CLEvsBOSPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
UNDER4.5
Projection4.46
Edge−3%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.0 K across 30 starts
-116 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Brayan Rocchio
Brayan Rocchio
CLEvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.03
Edge+19.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.76 across 149 games
+136 · draftkings
Travis Bazzana
Travis Bazzana
CLEvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.11
Edge+17%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.82 across 119 games
+125 · draftkings
Jahmai Jones
Jahmai Jones
BOSvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.57
Edge+16.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 89 games
-160 · draftkings
Jahmai Jones
Jahmai Jones
BOSvsCLEBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.27
Edge+15.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.35 across 89 games
+121 · draftkings
Trevor Story
Trevor Story
BOSvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.03
Edge+14.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.87 across 60 games
+109 · draftkings
Jo Adell
Jo Adell
CLEvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.17
Edge+14%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.95 across 154 games
+109 · draftkings
Trevor Story
Trevor Story
BOSvsCLEBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.09
Edge+10.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 60 games
-185 · draftkings
Chase DeLauter
Chase DeLauter
CLEvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.93
Edge+9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.05 across 129 games
+103 · draftkings
Caleb Durbin
Caleb Durbin
BOSvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.79
Edge+8.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.79 across 147 games
+112 · draftkings
Steven Kwan
Steven Kwan
CLEvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.98
Edge+8.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.75 across 146 games
-113 · draftkings
Travis Bazzana
Travis Bazzana
CLEvsBOSBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.95
Edge+7.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 119 games
-157 · draftkings
Isiah Kiner-Falefa
Isiah Kiner-Falefa
BOSvsCLEBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.49
Edge+7.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 54 games
+131 · draftkings
Adley Rutschman
Adley Rutschman
BOSvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.92
Edge+7.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.94 across 95 games
+101 · draftkings
Nathaniel Lowe
Nathaniel Lowe
CLEvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.41
Edge+6.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.61 across 119 games
-165 · draftkings
Jo Adell
Jo Adell
CLEvsBOSBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.01
Edge+6.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 154 games
-181 · draftkings
Brayan Rocchio
Brayan Rocchio
CLEvsBOSBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge+6.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 149 games
-157 · draftkings
Nick Sogard
Nick Sogard
BOSvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.46
Edge+5.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.72 across 60 games
+131 · draftkings
Patrick Bailey
Patrick Bailey
CLEvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.17
Edge+5.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.24 across 99 games
-157 · draftkings
Wilyer Abreu
Wilyer Abreu
BOSvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.69
Edge+5.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 152 games
+106 · draftkings
Nick Sogard
Nick Sogard
BOSvsCLEBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge+5.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 60 games
-146 · draftkings
Roman Anthony
Roman Anthony
BOSvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.71
Edge+4.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.63 across 51 games
-102 · draftkings
Steven Kwan
Steven Kwan
CLEvsBOSBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.15
Edge+4.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 146 games
-244 · draftkings
Caleb Durbin
Caleb Durbin
BOSvsCLEBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.93
Edge+3.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 147 games
-187 · draftkings
Roman Anthony
Roman Anthony
BOSvsCLEBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.96
Edge+2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 51 games
-200 · draftkings
Chase DeLauter
Chase DeLauter
CLEvsBOSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.99
Edge+1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 129 games
-202 · draftkings
Nathaniel Lowe
Nathaniel Lowe
CLEvsBOSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.69
Edge+1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 119 games
-133 · draftkings
Patrick Bailey
Patrick Bailey
CLEvsBOSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.66
Edge+1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 99 games
-126 · draftkings
Isiah Kiner-Falefa
Isiah Kiner-Falefa
BOSvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection0.98
Edge+1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.35 across 54 games
-161 · draftkings
Wilyer Abreu
Wilyer Abreu
BOSvsCLEBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge+0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 152 games
-176 · draftkings
Adley Rutschman
Adley Rutschman
BOSvsCLEBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.94
Edge+0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 95 games
-206 · draftkings
Ceddanne Rafaela
CLE @ BOSBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Jose Ramirez
CLE @ BOSBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Angel Martinez
CLE @ BOSBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Ceddanne Rafaela
CLE @ BOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Jose Ramirez
CLE @ BOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Angel Martinez
CLE @ BOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Truist Park39 leansFinal · graded

CIN@ATL

Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves

first pitch
7:15 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Andrew Abbott
probable · awayAndrew Abbott
CIN
Chris Sale
probable · homeChris Sale
ATL
Strikeouts
Chris Sale
Chris Sale
ATLvsCINPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER6.5
Projection7.69
Edge+9.1%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 8.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 7.3 K across 26 starts
-166 · fanduel
Chris Sale
Chris Sale
ATLvsCINPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER7.5
Projection7.69
Edge+7.1%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 8.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 7.3 K across 26 starts
+115 · draftkings
Andrew Abbott
Andrew Abbott
CINvsATLPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
UNDER3.5
Projection3.65
Edge+1.1%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.0 K across 31 starts
+119 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Juan Brito
Juan Brito
CINvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.97
Edge+19%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.74 across 27 games
-133 · draftkings
Juan Brito
Juan Brito
CINvsATLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.01
Edge+16.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 27 games
-114 · draftkings
Michael Harris II
Michael Harris II
ATLvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.48
Edge+15%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.17 across 151 games
-110 · draftkings
Sal Stewart
Sal Stewart
CINvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.03
Edge+14.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.27 across 157 games
+122 · draftkings
Drake Baldwin
Drake Baldwin
ATLvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.56
Edge+13.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.32 across 134 games
-129 · draftkings
JJ Bleday
JJ Bleday
CINvsATLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge+13.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 128 games
-108 · draftkings
Drake Baldwin
Drake Baldwin
ATLvsCINBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.36
Edge+12.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.13 across 134 games
-234 · draftkings
JJ Bleday
JJ Bleday
CINvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.64
Edge+11.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.67 across 128 games
-148 · draftkings
Matt Olson
Matt Olson
ATLvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.34
Edge+11.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.17 across 157 games
-124 · draftkings
Michael Harris II
Michael Harris II
ATLvsCINBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.3
Edge+11.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 151 games
-208 · draftkings
Elly De La Cruz
Elly De La Cruz
CINvsATLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.21
Edge+10.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 138 games
-197 · draftkings
Ha-Seong Kim
Ha-Seong Kim
ATLvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.76
Edge+9.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 42 games
-174 · draftkings
Jose Trevino
Jose Trevino
CINvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.28
Edge+9.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.37 across 46 games
-132 · draftkings
Matt Olson
Matt Olson
ATLvsCINBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.14
Edge+9.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 157 games
-212 · draftkings
Ozzie Albies
Ozzie Albies
ATLvsCINBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.71
Edge+9.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 157 games
-269 · draftkings
Sal Stewart
Sal Stewart
CINvsATLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.01
Edge+9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 157 games
-173 · draftkings
Ha-Seong Kim
Ha-Seong Kim
ATLvsCINBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.32
Edge+8.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.33 across 42 games
+102 · draftkings
Jose Trevino
Jose Trevino
CINvsATLBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.65
Edge+3.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 46 games
-113 · draftkings
Matt McLain
Matt McLain
CINvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.04
Edge+3.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.38 across 126 games
-141 · draftkings
Sean Murphy
Sean Murphy
ATLvsCINBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.39
Edge+2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.59 across 29 games
-111 · draftkings
Elly De La Cruz
Elly De La CruzModel anomaly
CINvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.54
Edge+20.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.38 across 138 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+106 · draftkings
Sean Murphy
Sean Murphy
ATLvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection1.01
Edge−3.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.31 across 29 games
+135 · draftkings
Ozzie Albies
Ozzie Albies
ATLvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.76
Edge−2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.92 across 157 games
-138 · draftkings
Austin Riley
Austin Riley
ATLvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.57
Edge+1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 154 games
+101 · draftkings
Matt McLain
Matt McLain
CINvsATLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.51
Edge−1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 126 games
-109 · draftkings
Dane Myers
Dane Myers
CINvsATLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.65
Edge−1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 106 games
+126 · draftkings
Tyler Stephenson
Tyler Stephenson
CINvsATLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.75
Edge+1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 125 games
-152 · draftkings
Tyler Stephenson
Tyler Stephenson
CINvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.22
Edge+1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.54 across 125 games
-186 · draftkings
Austin Riley
Austin Riley
ATLvsCINBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.74
Edge−0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 154 games
-162 · draftkings
Dane Myers
Dane Myers
CINvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.26
Edge0%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.32 across 106 games
+129 · draftkings
Mauricio Dubon
CIN @ ATLBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Ronald Acuna Jr.
CIN @ ATLBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Eugenio Suarez
CIN @ ATLBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Ronald Acuna Jr.
CIN @ ATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Mauricio Dubon
CIN @ ATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Eugenio Suarez
CIN @ ATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Kauffman Stadium37 leansFinal · graded

CWS@KC

Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals

first pitch
7:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Bryan Hudson
probable · awayBryan Hudson
CWS
Seth Lugo
probable · homeSeth Lugo
KC
Strikeouts
Seth Lugo
Seth Lugo
KCvsCWSPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
UNDER4.5
Projection4.28
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.2 K across 31 starts
-110 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Chase Meidroth
Chase Meidroth
CWSvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.5
Edge+19.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.01 across 151 games
-102 · draftkings
Vinnie Pasquantino
Vinnie Pasquantino
KCvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.46
Edge+18.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.93 across 109 games
-102 · draftkings
Carter Jensen
Carter Jensen
KCvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.29
Edge+14.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 144 games
-107 · draftkings
Kyle Teel
Kyle Teel
CWSvsKCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.47
Edge+12.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.54 across 35 games
+156 · draftkings
Miguel Vargas
Miguel Vargas
CWSvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.48
Edge+11%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.16 across 155 games
-128 · draftkings
Brenton Doyle
Brenton Doyle
CWSvsKCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge+8.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 70 games
-145 · draftkings
Brenton Doyle
Brenton Doyle
CWSvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.55
Edge+7.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.30 across 70 games
+129 · draftkings
Vinnie Pasquantino
Vinnie Pasquantino
KCvsCWSBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.01
Edge+7.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 109 games
-188 · draftkings
Braden Montgomery
Braden Montgomery
CWSvsKCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.57
Edge+6.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 87 games
+149 · draftkings
Carter Jensen
Carter Jensen
KCvsCWSBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.96
Edge+6.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 144 games
-180 · draftkings
John Rave
John Rave
KCvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.37
Edge+5.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.44 across 45 games
-174 · draftkings
Michael Massey
Michael Massey
KCvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.64
Edge+5.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.69 across 124 games
+111 · draftkings
Maikel Garcia
Maikel Garcia
KCvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.79
Edge+5.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 79 games
-106 · draftkings
Chase Meidroth
Chase Meidroth
CWSvsKCBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.05
Edge+4.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 151 games
-216 · draftkings
Munetaka Murakami
Munetaka Murakami
CWSvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.88
Edge+4.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.96 across 122 games
-109 · draftkings
Colson Montgomery
Colson Montgomery
CWSvsKCBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.53
Edge+4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 148 games
+124 · draftkings
Michael Massey
Michael Massey
KCvsCWSBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.9
Edge+2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 124 games
-181 · draftkings
Sam Antonacci
Sam Antonacci
CWSvsKCBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.91
Edge+2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 134 games
-249 · draftkings
Andrew Benintendi
Andrew Benintendi
CWSvsKCBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.66
Edge+2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 137 games
+150 · draftkings
Andrew Benintendi
Andrew Benintendi
CWSvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.39
Edge−3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 137 games
-104 · draftkings
Maikel Garcia
Maikel Garcia
KCvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.84
Edge−3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 79 games
-213 · draftkings
Sam Antonacci
Sam Antonacci
CWSvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.78
Edge−2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 134 games
-142 · draftkings
Kyle Isbel
Kyle Isbel
KCvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.92
Edge−2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.24 across 93 games
+133 · draftkings
Munetaka Murakami
Munetaka Murakami
CWSvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.61
Edge+1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 122 games
+132 · draftkings
Jac Caglianone
Jac Caglianone
KCvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.85
Edge−1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 139 games
+163 · draftkings
Kyle Teel
Kyle Teel
CWSvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.4
Edge−1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.60 across 35 games
-115 · draftkings
Salvador Perez
Salvador Perez
KCvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.79
Edge−1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 147 games
-183 · draftkings
Salvador Perez
Salvador Perez
KCvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.35
Edge−1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.70 across 147 games
+109 · draftkings
Braden Montgomery
Braden Montgomery
CWSvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.18
Edge−0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.67 across 87 games
-139 · draftkings
Colson Montgomery
Colson Montgomery
CWSvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.46
Edge+0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.82 across 148 games
+107 · draftkings
Bobby Witt Jr.
Bobby Witt Jr.
KCvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.1
Edge−0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 138 games
+197 · draftkings
John Rave
John Rave
KCvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.62
Edge−0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 45 games
-129 · draftkings
Jac Caglianone
Jac Caglianone
KCvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.66
Edge+0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.02 across 139 games
-108 · draftkings
Miguel Vargas
Miguel Vargas
CWSvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.01
Edge+0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 155 games
-258 · draftkings
Bobby Witt Jr.
Bobby Witt Jr.
KCvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.82
Edge−0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.13 across 138 games
-132 · draftkings
Kyle Isbel
Kyle Isbel
KCvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.53
Edge+0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.66 across 93 games
+106 · draftkings
Wrigley Field38 leansFinal · graded

MIA@CHC

Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs

first pitch
7:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Ryan Gusto
probable · awayRyan Gusto
MIA
Kevin Gausman
probable · homeKevin Gausman
CHC
Strikeouts
Kevin Gausman
Kevin Gausman
CHCvsMIAPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER5.5
Projection6.42
Edge+7.1%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.7 K across 31 starts
-142 · draftkings
Ryan Gusto
Ryan Gusto
MIAvsCHCPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
UNDER3.5
Projection3.61
Edge+0.8%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.1 K across 22 starts
+115 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Jakob Marsee
Jakob Marsee
MIAvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection2
Edge+18.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.61 across 148 games
-165 · draftkings
Otto Lopez
Otto Lopez
MIAvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.24
Edge+16.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.28 across 153 games
+106 · draftkings
Michael Busch
Michael Busch
CHCvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.19
Edge+16.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 155 games
+108 · draftkings
Pete Crow-Armstrong
Pete Crow-Armstrong
CHCvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.87
Edge+16.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.54 across 157 games
-117 · draftkings
Agustín Ramírez
Agustín Ramírez
MIAvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.67
Edge+14.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.55 across 66 games
-143 · draftkings
Joe Mack
Joe Mack
MIAvsCHCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.75
Edge+13.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 100 games
+109 · draftkings
Dansby Swanson
Dansby Swanson
CHCvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.99
Edge+13.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.98 across 120 games
+124 · draftkings
Griffin Conine
Griffin Conine
MIAvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.71
Edge+13.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.72 across 88 games
-146 · draftkings
Carson Kelly
Carson Kelly
CHCvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.84
Edge+13%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 113 games
+129 · draftkings
Seiya Suzuki
Seiya Suzuki
CHCvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.25
Edge+12.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.31 across 139 games
-104 · draftkings
Jakob Marsee
Jakob Marsee
MIAvsCHCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.94
Edge+12.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 148 games
-128 · draftkings
Griffin Conine
Griffin Conine
MIAvsCHCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.84
Edge+11.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 88 games
-118 · draftkings
Kyle Stowers
Kyle Stowers
MIAvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.75
Edge+9.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 119 games
-163 · draftkings
Otto Lopez
Otto Lopez
MIAvsCHCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.26
Edge+9.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.22 across 153 games
-230 · draftkings
Agustín Ramírez
Agustín Ramírez
MIAvsCHCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge+9.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 66 games
-125 · draftkings
Ian Happ
Ian Happ
CHCvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.66
Edge+8.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.81 across 150 games
+124 · draftkings
Pete Crow-Armstrong
Pete Crow-Armstrong
CHCvsMIABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.2
Edge+8.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 157 games
-203 · draftkings
Javier Sanoja
Javier Sanoja
MIAvsCHCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.09
Edge+8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 131 games
-188 · draftkings
Carson Kelly
Carson Kelly
CHCvsMIABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.88
Edge+7.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 113 games
-146 · draftkings
Graham Pauley
Graham Pauley
MIAvsCHCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.62
Edge+7.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.55 across 51 games
+107 · draftkings
Kyle Stowers
Kyle Stowers
MIAvsCHCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.85
Edge+7.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 119 games
-135 · draftkings
Seiya Suzuki
Seiya Suzuki
CHCvsMIABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.06
Edge+6.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 139 games
-194 · draftkings
Nico Hoerner
Nico Hoerner
CHCvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.9
Edge+6.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 154 games
-108 · draftkings
Michael Busch
Michael Busch
CHCvsMIABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.95
Edge+5.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 155 games
-184 · draftkings
Ian Happ
Ian Happ
CHCvsMIABatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.74
Edge+3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 150 games
-139 · draftkings
Michael Conforto
Michael Conforto
CHCvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.39
Edge+2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.28 across 108 games
+122 · draftkings
Graham Pauley
Graham PauleyModel anomaly
MIAvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER0.5
Projection1.87
Edge+23.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.33 across 51 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-114 · draftkings
Joe Mack
Joe MackModel anomaly
MIAvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER0.5
Projection1.79
Edge+23.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.59 across 100 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-110 · draftkings
Javier Sanoja
Javier SanojaModel anomaly
MIAvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.44
Edge+23.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 131 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+124 · draftkings
Nico Hoerner
Nico Hoerner
CHCvsMIABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge−2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 154 games
-243 · draftkings
Michael Conforto
Michael Conforto
CHCvsMIABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.69
Edge−0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.57 across 108 games
-144 · draftkings
Dansby Swanson
Dansby Swanson
CHCvsMIABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.72
Edge+0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 120 games
-150 · draftkings
Pedro Ramirez
MIA @ CHCBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Heriberto Hernandez
MIA @ CHCBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Pedro Ramirez
MIA @ CHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Heriberto Hernandez
MIA @ CHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Globe Life Field38 leansFinal · graded

NYM@TEX

New York Mets at Texas Rangers

first pitch
8:05 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Nolan McLean
probable · awayNolan McLean
NYM
probable · homeTBD
TEX
Strikeouts
Cody Bradford
Cody Bradford
TEXvsNYMPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER2.5
Projection2.41
Edge+7%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 2.5 K across 8 starts
+121 · draftkings
Nolan McLean
Nolan McLean
NYMvsTEXPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
OVER5.5
Projection5.95
Edge+2.3%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 6.3 K across 30 starts
-131 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Carson Benge
Carson Benge
NYMvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.46
Edge+17%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.03 across 150 games
-106 · draftkings
Francisco Alvarez
Francisco Alvarez
NYMvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.85
Edge+14%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.51 across 108 games
+126 · draftkings
Josh Jung
Josh Jung
TEXvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.22
Edge+13.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.05 across 101 games
-111 · draftkings
Danny Jansen
Danny Jansen
TEXvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.69
Edge+13.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.28 across 60 games
-171 · draftkings
A.J. Ewing
A.J. Ewing
NYMvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.72
Edge+11.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.75 across 115 games
+132 · draftkings
Jake Burger
Jake Burger
TEXvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.74
Edge+11.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.87 across 150 games
+130 · draftkings
Carson Benge
Carson Benge
NYMvsTEXBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.23
Edge+10.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 150 games
-208 · draftkings
Juan Soto
Juan Soto
NYMvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.23
Edge+9.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.17 across 106 games
-116 · draftkings
A.J. Ewing
A.J. Ewing
NYMvsTEXBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge+9.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 115 games
-151 · draftkings
Francisco Alvarez
Francisco Alvarez
NYMvsTEXBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge+8.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 108 games
-144 · draftkings
Ezequiel Duran
Ezequiel Duran
TEXvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.8
Edge+8.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.99 across 146 games
+110 · draftkings
Danny Jansen
Danny Jansen
TEXvsNYMBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.8
Edge+8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 60 games
-126 · draftkings
Juan Soto
Juan Soto
NYMvsTEXBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.1
Edge+7.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 106 games
-214 · draftkings
Wyatt Langford
Wyatt Langford
TEXvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.96
Edge+7.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.92 across 105 games
-109 · draftkings
Josh Jung
Josh Jung
TEXvsNYMBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.17
Edge+6.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 101 games
-236 · draftkings
Brandon Nimmo
Brandon Nimmo
TEXvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.81
Edge+6.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.82 across 150 games
+101 · draftkings
Marcus Semien
Marcus Semien
NYMvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.66
Edge+6.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.53 across 135 games
+112 · draftkings
Evan Carter
Evan Carter
TEXvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.06
Edge+6.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.22 across 134 games
-143 · draftkings
Corey Seager
Corey Seager
TEXvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.01
Edge+6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.93 across 96 games
-118 · draftkings
Nick Morabito
Nick Morabito
NYMvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.06
Edge+5.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 13 games
-143 · draftkings
Francisco Lindor
Francisco Lindor
NYMvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.88
Edge+3.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 99 games
-114 · draftkings
Ezequiel Duran
Ezequiel Duran
TEXvsNYMBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.77
Edge−3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 146 games
-179 · draftkings
Francisco Lindor
Francisco Lindor
NYMvsTEXBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.85
Edge−2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 99 games
-212 · draftkings
Brandon Nimmo
Brandon Nimmo
TEXvsNYMBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.95
Edge+2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 150 games
-186 · draftkings
Mark Vientos
Mark Vientos
NYMvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.29
Edge−2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.48 across 84 games
+109 · draftkings
Nick Morabito
Nick Morabito
NYMvsTEXBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.53
Edge−1.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.46 across 13 games
-113 · draftkings
Bo Bichette
Bo Bichette
NYMvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.76
Edge+1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.01 across 155 games
-115 · draftkings
Evan Carter
Evan Carter
TEXvsNYMBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.48
Edge−1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.55 across 134 games
-102 · draftkings
Nicky Lopez
Nicky Lopez
TEXvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1
Edge−1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.20 across 91 games
-186 · draftkings
Jake Burger
Jake Burger
TEXvsNYMBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.66
Edge−1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 150 games
-142 · draftkings
Nicky Lopez
Nicky Lopez
TEXvsNYMBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.54
Edge+1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 91 games
+113 · draftkings
Corey Seager
Corey Seager
TEXvsNYMBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.93
Edge−1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 96 games
-226 · draftkings
Bo Bichette
Bo Bichette
NYMvsTEXBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.02
Edge−0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 155 games
-249 · draftkings
Mark Vientos
Mark Vientos
NYMvsTEXBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.64
Edge−0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 84 games
+128 · draftkings
Wyatt Langford
Wyatt Langford
TEXvsNYMBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.85
Edge−0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 105 games
-183 · draftkings
Marcus Semien
Marcus Semien
NYMvsTEXBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.79
Edge−0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 135 games
-174 · draftkings
Coors Field38 leansFinal · graded

AZ@COL

Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies

first pitch
8:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Merrill Kelly
probable · awayMerrill Kelly
AZ
Mason Adams
probable · homeMason Adams
COL
Strikeouts
Mason Adams
Mason Adams
COLvsAZPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER3.5
Projection4.45
Edge+19.3%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.6 K across 5 starts
+103 · draftkings
Merrill Kelly
Merrill Kelly
AZvsCOLPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER3.5
Projection4.72
Edge+18%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.0 K across 28 starts
-132 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Lars Nootbaar
Lars Nootbaar
AZvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER2.5
Projection1.4
Edge+13.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.49 across 85 games
-156 · draftkings
Ketel Marte
Ketel Marte
AZvsCOLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1
Edge+12.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 136 games
-149 · draftkings
Ketel Marte
Ketel Marte
AZvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER2.5
Projection1.94
Edge+10.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.07 across 136 games
-103 · draftkings
Cole Carrigg
Cole Carrigg
COLvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.35
Edge+8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.11 across 85 games
-129 · draftkings
Adael Amador
Adael Amador
COLvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.89
Edge+7.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.18 across 22 games
-106 · draftkings
Pavin Smith
Pavin Smith
AZvsCOLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.48
Edge+6.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.46 across 35 games
+126 · draftkings
Corbin Carroll
Corbin Carroll
AZvsCOLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.9
Edge+6.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 151 games
-221 · draftkings
Pavin Smith
Pavin Smith
AZvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1.09
Edge+6.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 35 games
-127 · draftkings
Nolan Arenado
Nolan Arenado
AZvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER2.5
Projection2.66
Edge+5.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.93 across 147 games
+111 · draftkings
Lars Nootbaar
Lars Nootbaar
AZvsCOLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.72
Edge+5.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 85 games
+188 · draftkings
Jake McCarthy
Jake McCarthy
COLvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.39
Edge+4.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.29 across 138 games
-156 · draftkings
Cole Carrigg
Cole Carrigg
COLvsAZBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.15
Edge+4.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 85 games
-242 · draftkings
Hunter Goodman
Hunter Goodman
COLvsAZBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.8
Edge+3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 133 games
+187 · draftkings
Hunter Goodman
Hunter Goodman
COLvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.92
Edge−3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.14 across 133 games
-149 · draftkings
Kyle Karros
Kyle Karros
COLvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.81
Edge−3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 123 games
+157 · draftkings
Adael Amador
Adael Amador
COLvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.78
Edge−2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 22 games
+151 · draftkings
Corbin Carroll
Corbin Carroll
AZvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER2.5
Projection2.29
Edge−2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 151 games
-131 · draftkings
Tim Tawa
Tim Tawa
AZvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.64
Edge−2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.59 across 92 games
-123 · draftkings
Jake McCarthy
Jake McCarthy
COLvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.12
Edge−2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.13 across 138 games
-216 · draftkings
TJ Rumfield
TJ Rumfield
COLvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.77
Edge−2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.93 across 151 games
+115 · draftkings
Gabriel Moreno
Gabriel Moreno
AZvsCOLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.31
Edge−2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 126 games
-154 · draftkings
Geraldo Perdomo
Geraldo Perdomo
AZvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER2.5
Projection1.92
Edge+1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 152 games
-162 · draftkings
Ezequiel Tovar
Ezequiel Tovar
COLvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.7
Edge−1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 137 games
+135 · draftkings
Connor Norby
Connor Norby
COLvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.88
Edge+1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.46 across 100 games
-134 · draftkings
Connor Norby
Connor Norby
COLvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.04
Edge+1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 100 games
-257 · draftkings
Tim Tawa
Tim Tawa
AZvsCOLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.72
Edge+1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 92 games
+161 · draftkings
Mickey Moniak
Mickey Moniak
COLvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.38
Edge−1.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 113 games
-116 · draftkings
Geraldo Perdomo
Geraldo Perdomo
AZvsCOLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.16
Edge−1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 152 games
+168 · draftkings
Gabriel Moreno
Gabriel Moreno
AZvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER2.5
Projection2.63
Edge+1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.26 across 126 games
-107 · draftkings
Ezequiel Tovar
Ezequiel Tovar
COLvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.44
Edge−1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.39 across 137 games
+101 · draftkings
Nolan Arenado
Nolan Arenado
AZvsCOLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.24
Edge−0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 147 games
+157 · draftkings
TJ Rumfield
TJ Rumfield
COLvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.13
Edge−0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 151 games
+182 · draftkings
Kyle Karros
Kyle Karros
COLvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.6
Edge−0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.70 across 123 games
-112 · draftkings
Mickey Moniak
Mickey Moniak
COLvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.72
Edge+0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 113 games
+152 · draftkings
Jesus Sanchez
AZ @ COLBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Jesus Sanchez
AZ @ COLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Sutter Health Park38 leansFinal · graded

LAA@ATH

Los Angeles Angels at Athletics

first pitch
9:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Walbert Ureña
probable · awayWalbert Ureña
LAA
Jeffrey Springs
probable · homeJeffrey Springs
ATH
Strikeouts
Jeffrey Springs
Jeffrey Springs
ATHvsLAAPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER4.5
Projection3.77
Edge+19.5%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.9 K across 28 starts
+120 · draftkings
Walbert Urena
LAA @ ATHPitcherStrikeouts
Sample too small
Line4.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Zack Gelof
Zack Gelof
ATHvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.26
Edge+15%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.12 across 102 games
-101 · draftkings
Lawrence Butler
Lawrence Butler
ATHvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.24
Edge+14.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.58 across 144 games
-107 · draftkings
Alika Williams
Alika Williams
ATHvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.24
Edge+7.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.29 across 77 games
-160 · draftkings
Zack Gelof
Zack Gelof
ATHvsLAABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge+7.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 102 games
-176 · draftkings
Vaughn Grissom
Vaughn Grissom
LAAvsATHBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.83
Edge+7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 113 games
-233 · draftkings
Christian Moore
Christian Moore
LAAvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1.08
Edge+6.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 33 games
-127 · draftkings
Alika Williams
Alika Williams
ATHvsLAABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.76
Edge+6.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 77 games
-123 · draftkings
Donovan Walton
Donovan Walton
ATHvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.57
Edge+6.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.54 across 78 games
+123 · draftkings
Jonah Heim
Jonah Heim
ATHvsLAABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.5
Edge+6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 101 games
+127 · draftkings
Lawrence Butler
Lawrence Butler
ATHvsLAABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.96
Edge+5.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 144 games
-183 · draftkings
Shea Langeliers
Shea Langeliers
ATHvsLAABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.13
Edge+5.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 101 games
-241 · draftkings
Travis d'Arnaud
Travis d'Arnaud
LAAvsATHBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.35
Edge+5.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.40 across 30 games
-108 · draftkings
Wade Meckler
Wade Meckler
LAAvsATHBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.96
Edge+4.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 89 games
-192 · draftkings
Oswald Peraza
Oswald Peraza
LAAvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1.05
Edge+4.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.20 across 111 games
-133 · draftkings
Zach Neto
Zach Neto
LAAvsATHBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.77
Edge+4.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 152 games
+192 · draftkings
Denzer Guzman
Denzer Guzman
LAAvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.93
Edge+4.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.65 across 75 games
-124 · draftkings
Jonah Heim
Jonah Heim
ATHvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.86
Edge+4.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.43 across 101 games
-149 · draftkings
Oswald Peraza
Oswald Peraza
LAAvsATHBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.59
Edge+4.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 111 games
+140 · draftkings
Shea Langeliers
Shea Langeliers
ATHvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.04
Edge+3.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.19 across 101 games
-132 · draftkings
Wade Meckler
Wade Meckler
LAAvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.69
Edge+3.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.67 across 89 games
-104 · draftkings
Donovan Walton
Donovan Walton
ATHvsLAABatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.77
Edge+3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 78 games
-147 · draftkings
Denzer Guzman
Denzer Guzman
LAAvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.85
Edge−3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 75 games
-224 · draftkings
Vaughn Grissom
Vaughn Grissom
LAAvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.87
Edge−3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 113 games
+116 · draftkings
Henry Bolte
Henry Bolte
ATHvsLAABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.88
Edge−2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 112 games
-221 · draftkings
Jeff McNeil
Jeff McNeil
ATHvsLAABatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.84
Edge−2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 139 games
+166 · draftkings
Tommy White
Tommy White
ATHvsLAABatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.8
Edge−1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 50 games
+142 · draftkings
Christian Moore
Christian Moore
LAAvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.62
Edge+1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 33 games
+135 · draftkings
Travis d'Arnaud
Travis d'Arnaud
LAAvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.62
Edge+1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 30 games
+124 · draftkings
Jeff McNeil
Jeff McNeil
ATHvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.57
Edge−1.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.63 across 139 games
-113 · draftkings
Tommy White
Tommy White
ATHvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.22
Edge−1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.44 across 50 games
-137 · draftkings
Jose Siri
Jose Siri
LAAvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.6
Edge+1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.30 across 87 games
-105 · draftkings
Mike Trout
Mike Trout
LAAvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.84
Edge−1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 138 games
+182 · draftkings
Zach Neto
Zach Neto
LAAvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER2.5
Projection1.89
Edge−0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.09 across 152 games
-161 · draftkings
Jose Siri
Jose Siri
LAAvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.8
Edge+0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 87 games
-173 · draftkings
Henry Bolte
Henry Bolte
ATHvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.73
Edge+0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.75 across 112 games
-121 · draftkings
Mike Trout
Mike Trout
LAAvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.64
Edge+0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 138 games
+114 · draftkings
UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium38 leansFinal · graded

SD@LAD

San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers

first pitch
10:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Robbie Ray
probable · awayRobbie Ray
SD
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
probable · homeYoshinobu Yamamoto
LAD
Strikeouts
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
LADvsSDPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER6.5
Projection7.55
Edge+18.3%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 8.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 6.6 K across 27 starts
-101 · draftkings
Robbie Ray
Robbie Ray
SDvsLADPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER3.5
Projection4.27
Edge+6.1%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.6 K across 30 starts
-151 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Dustin Harris
Dustin Harris
SDvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection2.36
Edge+20%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.82 across 38 games
-176 · draftkings
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SDvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.68
Edge+19.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.10
  • SeasonSeason average 2.25 across 155 games
-111 · draftkings
Jackson Merrill
Jackson Merrill
SDvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.4
Edge+17.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.09 across 153 games
+108 · draftkings
Ty France
Ty France
SDvsLADBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.36
Edge+17.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 123 games
-178 · draftkings
Dustin Harris
Dustin Harris
SDvsLADBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.1
Edge+17.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 38 games
-143 · draftkings
Kyle Tucker
Kyle Tucker
LADvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.2
Edge+15%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 148 games
+107 · draftkings
Xander Bogaerts
Xander Bogaerts
SDvsLADBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.09
Edge+14.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 149 games
-156 · draftkings
Mookie Betts
Mookie Betts
LADvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.58
Edge+13.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.17 across 118 games
-118 · draftkings
Luis Campusano
Luis Campusano
SDvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.53
Edge+10.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.57 across 69 games
-157 · draftkings
Jackson Merrill
Jackson Merrill
SDvsLADBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.2
Edge+10%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 153 games
-189 · draftkings
Luis Campusano
Luis Campusano
SDvsLADBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge+9.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 69 games
-127 · draftkings
Andy Pages
Andy Pages
LADvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.17
Edge+8.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 2.24 across 128 games
-115 · draftkings
Will Smith
Will Smith
LADvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.04
Edge+7.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 70 games
-117 · draftkings
Mookie Betts
Mookie Betts
LADvsSDBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.2
Edge+6.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 118 games
-216 · draftkings
Manny Machado
Manny Machado
SDvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.64
Edge+5.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 153 games
+113 · draftkings
Kyle Tucker
Kyle Tucker
LADvsSDBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.91
Edge+5.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 148 games
-162 · draftkings
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SDvsLADBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.16
Edge+4.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 155 games
-227 · draftkings
Freddie Freeman
Freddie Freeman
LADvsSDBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1
Edge+4.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 149 games
-192 · draftkings
Freddie Freeman
Freddie Freeman
LADvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.79
Edge+4.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.07 across 149 games
-108 · draftkings
Andy Pages
Andy Pages
LADvsSDBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.02
Edge+4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 128 games
-205 · draftkings
Will Smith
Will Smith
LADvsSDBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.9
Edge+2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 70 games
-189 · draftkings
Tommy Edman
Tommy Edman
LADvsSDBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.63
Edge+2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 79 games
+137 · draftkings
Samad Taylor
Samad TaylorModel anomaly
SDvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER0.5
Projection2.45
Edge+25.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.09 across 43 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-153 · draftkings
Xander Bogaerts
Xander BogaertsModel anomaly
SDvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.25
Edge+25.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.60 across 149 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+137 · draftkings
Jake Cronenworth
Jake CronenworthModel anomaly
SDvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER0.5
Projection2.39
Edge+25.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.58 across 103 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-152 · draftkings
Samad Taylor
Samad TaylorModel anomaly
SDvsLADBatterHits
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER0.5
Projection1.2
Edge+23.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 43 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-121 · draftkings
Jake Cronenworth
Jake CronenworthModel anomaly
SDvsLADBatterHits
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER0.5
Projection1.15
Edge+22.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 103 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-121 · draftkings
Ty France
Ty FranceModel anomaly
SDvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.57
Edge+22.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.10
  • SeasonSeason average 2.05 across 123 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+115 · draftkings
Manny Machado
Manny Machado
SDvsLADBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.71
Edge−3.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 153 games
+127 · draftkings
Tommy Edman
Tommy Edman
LADvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.61
Edge+1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 79 games
-104 · draftkings
Shohei Ohtani
SD @ LADBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Teoscar Hernandez
SD @ LADBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Enrique Hernandez
SD @ LADBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Shohei Ohtani
SD @ LADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Teoscar Hernandez
SD @ LADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Enrique Hernandez
SD @ LADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
T-Mobile Park38 leansFinal · graded

HOU@SEA

Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners

first pitch
10:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Ethan Pecko
probable · awayEthan Pecko
HOU
George Kirby
probable · homeGeorge Kirby
SEA
Strikeouts
Ethan Pecko
Ethan Pecko
HOUvsSEAPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER4.5
Projection3.26
Edge+15.1%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.2 K across 6 starts
-170 · draftkings
George Kirby
George Kirby
SEAvsHOUPitcherStrikeouts
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER4.5
Projection4.97
Edge+2.6%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.9 K across 29 starts
-132 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Isaac Paredes
Isaac Paredes
HOUvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.24
Edge+16.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.99 across 150 games
+107 · draftkings
Randy Arozarena
Randy Arozarena
SEAvsHOUBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.22
Edge+14%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 149 games
-173 · draftkings
Brice Matthews
Brice Matthews
HOUvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.29
Edge+13.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.17 across 75 games
-123 · draftkings
Dominic Canzone
Dominic Canzone
SEAvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.13
Edge+10.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.76 across 141 games
-111 · draftkings
Yainer Diaz
Yainer Diaz
HOUvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.99
Edge+9.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 88 games
-103 · draftkings
J.P. Crawford
J.P. Crawford
SEAvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.94
Edge+8.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.58 across 111 games
-103 · draftkings
Yordan Alvarez
Yordan Alvarez
HOUvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.42
Edge+8.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.44 across 153 games
-131 · draftkings
Josh Naylor
Josh Naylor
SEAvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.95
Edge+8.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 147 games
-105 · draftkings
Dominic Canzone
Dominic Canzone
SEAvsHOUBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.07
Edge+7.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 141 games
-207 · draftkings
Cal Raleigh
Cal Raleigh
SEAvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.8
Edge+6.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.60 across 122 games
+103 · draftkings
Brock Rodden
Brock Rodden
SEAvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.78
Edge+6.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 25 games
-112 · draftkings
Josh Naylor
Josh Naylor
SEAvsHOUBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.12
Edge+6.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 147 games
-220 · draftkings
Taylor Trammell
Taylor Trammell
HOUvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.06
Edge+5.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 89 games
-142 · draftkings
Yainer Diaz
Yainer Diaz
HOUvsSEABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.16
Edge+5.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 88 games
-237 · draftkings
Jose Altuve
Jose Altuve
HOUvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.72
Edge+5.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 130 games
+103 · draftkings
Jose Altuve
Jose Altuve
HOUvsSEABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.08
Edge+5.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 130 games
-212 · draftkings
Lazaro Montes
Lazaro Montes
SEAvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.13
Edge+5.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.35 across 17 games
-137 · draftkings
Cole Young
Cole Young
SEAvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.64
Edge+5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.78 across 154 games
+109 · draftkings
Isaac Paredes
Isaac Paredes
HOUvsSEABatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge+4.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 150 games
-198 · draftkings
Brice Matthews
Brice Matthews
HOUvsSEABatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.59
Edge+4.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.57 across 75 games
+101 · draftkings
Christian Walker
Christian Walker
HOUvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.36
Edge+3.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.81 across 150 games
+130 · draftkings
J.P. Crawford
J.P. Crawford
SEAvsHOUBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge+3.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 111 games
-178 · draftkings
Yordan Alvarez
Yordan Alvarez
HOUvsSEABatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.16
Edge+3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 153 games
-250 · draftkings
Randy Arozarena
Randy ArozarenaModel anomaly
SEAvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.88
Edge+22.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.26 across 149 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+102 · draftkings
Cal Raleigh
Cal Raleigh
SEAvsHOUBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.62
Edge−2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 122 games
+112 · draftkings
Taylor Trammell
Taylor Trammell
HOUvsSEABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.53
Edge−1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.55 across 89 games
-114 · draftkings
Cole Young
Cole Young
SEAvsHOUBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.85
Edge+1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 154 games
-173 · draftkings
Lazaro Montes
Lazaro Montes
SEAvsHOUBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.39
Edge−1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.47 across 17 games
-132 · draftkings
Christian Walker
Christian Walker
HOUvsSEABatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.61
Edge−1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 150 games
+115 · draftkings
Cam Smith
Cam Smith
HOUvsSEABatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.56
Edge−1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 145 games
+107 · draftkings
Brock Rodden
Brock Rodden
SEAvsHOUBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.39
Edge−1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.48 across 25 games
+118 · draftkings
Cam Smith
Cam Smith
HOUvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.06
Edge−0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.51 across 145 games
-169 · draftkings
Jeremy Pena
HOU @ SEABatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Julio Rodriguez
HOU @ SEABatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Jeremy Pena
HOU @ SEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Julio Rodriguez
HOU @ SEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
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Home runs live on the Power Board

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HR markets are high-variance and rated on a separate power-profile scale (barrel + park + matchup), not the standard High / Medium / Low tiers used here.

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