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MLB model board · 2026-09-15

15 MLB games · 571 model-vs-market reads

Projections for pitcher strikeouts and batter markets only. Home runs live on Homer Nukes because the variance profile is different.

Market context, not picks. Calibration notice (audit 2026-07-21): across 18,659 settled leans, none of these markets' model probabilities out-predict the market on Brier or log loss — the model is overconfident (its high-confidence reads under-perform). Treat the model number as a market-anchored research signal, not a proven advantage; the market price is the better probability. Paper / review / educational only — never a bet. Total bases is disabled for prediction and is not listed here; its settled history stays on Results.

SCHEDULEliveMODEL LEANSavailableUPDATEDSep 15, 6:11 AM ETeducational analytics only
Gap ≥ 5 pp
229
model vs market · context
Gap 2.5–5 pp
66
model vs market · context
Small gap
215
13 anomalies shown separately
Sample too small
48
no projection emitted
Strikeouts8 gap ≥ 5 pp·31 totalHits86 gap ≥ 5 pp·270 totalHits + Runs + RBIs135 gap ≥ 5 pp·270 total
Highest model probabilities · 8 shown
Market context · no model anomalies
Austin Hays
Austin HaysSD vs COL
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsUnder 1.5+16.1%
proj 0.65-213 · draftkings
Jake Cronenworth
Jake CronenworthSD vs COL
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsUnder 1.5+15.5%
proj 0.67-213 · draftkings
Elly De La Cruz
Elly De La CruzCIN vs LAD
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsOver 0.5+18.3%
proj 1.41-182 · draftkings
Bryan Reynolds
Bryan ReynoldsPIT vs MIL
Gap ≥ 5 pp
Hits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.5+18.4%
proj 2.22-170 · draftkings
Tommy Edman
Tommy EdmanLAD vs CIN
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsUnder 1.5+9.5%
proj 0.59-253 · draftkings
TJ Rumfield
TJ RumfieldCOL vs SD
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsOver 0.5+9%
proj 1.33-259 · draftkings
Otto Lopez
Otto LopezMIA vs AZ
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsOver 0.5+8.4%
proj 1.31-256 · draftkings
Nico Hoerner
Nico HoernerCHC vs ATL
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsOver 0.5+8.3%
proj 1.28-241 · draftkings
Filters · 571 of 571 leans
Market
Gap size
Team
Sort
Density
Great American Ball Park38 leansFinal · graded

LAD@CIN

Los Angeles Dodgers at Cincinnati Reds

first pitch
6:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
probable · awayYoshinobu Yamamoto
LAD
Rhett Lowder
probable · homeRhett Lowder
CIN
Strikeouts
Rhett Lowder
Rhett Lowder
CINvsLADPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
OVER3.5
Projection3.64
Edge−2.8%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.6 K across 26 starts
-125 · draftkings
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
LADvsCINPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
OVER7.5
Projection7.73
Edge+1.3%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 8.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 6.6 K across 26 starts
-112 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Elly De La Cruz
Elly De La Cruz
CINvsLADBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.41
Edge+18.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 131 games
-182 · draftkings
Matt McLain
Matt McLain
CINvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.36
Edge+11.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.41 across 119 games
-130 · draftkings
Will Smith
Will Smith
LADvsCINBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.63
Edge+10.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 65 games
+203 · draftkings
Sal Stewart
Sal Stewart
CINvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.89
Edge+9.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.29 across 150 games
+112 · draftkings
Sal Stewart
Sal Stewart
CINvsLADBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.06
Edge+9.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 150 games
-185 · draftkings
Carlos Jorge
Carlos Jorge
CINvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.33
Edge+9.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.33
  • SeasonSeason average 0.33 across 6 games
+117 · draftkings
Tommy Edman
Tommy Edman
LADvsCINBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.59
Edge+9.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 72 games
-253 · draftkings
Carlos Jorge
Carlos Jorge
CINvsLADBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.33
Edge+8.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.33
  • SeasonSeason average 0.33 across 6 games
+101 · draftkings
Mookie Betts
Mookie Betts
LADvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.54
Edge+7.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.08 across 112 games
-150 · draftkings
Kyle Tucker
Kyle Tucker
LADvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.22
Edge+7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 141 games
-133 · draftkings
Max Muncy
Max Muncy
LADvsCINBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.92
Edge+3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 80 games
-194 · draftkings
Ke'Bryan Hayes
Ke'Bryan Hayes
CINvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.71
Edge+2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 70 games
-118 · draftkings
Will Smith
Will Smith
LADvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1.53
Edge+2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.66 across 65 games
+114 · draftkings
Elly De La Cruz
Elly De La CruzModel anomaly
CINvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection3.09
Edge+29.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.37 across 131 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+111 · draftkings
JJ Bleday
JJ Bleday
CINvsLADBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.58
Edge−3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 122 games
+103 · draftkings
Ke'Bryan Hayes
Ke'Bryan Hayes
CINvsLADBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.42
Edge−3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.44 across 70 games
-131 · draftkings
Freddie Freeman
Freddie Freeman
LADvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.79
Edge−2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.07 across 142 games
-143 · draftkings
Freddie Freeman
Freddie Freeman
LADvsCINBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.8
Edge+2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 142 games
+184 · draftkings
Matt McLain
Matt McLain
CINvsLADBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.57
Edge+2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.63 across 119 games
-105 · draftkings
Alex Freeland
Alex Freeland
LADvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.15
Edge+1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.19 across 84 games
-170 · draftkings
Mookie Betts
Mookie Betts
LADvsCINBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.03
Edge−1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 112 games
+198 · draftkings
Tommy Edman
Tommy Edman
LADvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.61
Edge+1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.92 across 72 games
+114 · draftkings
Kyle Tucker
Kyle Tucker
LADvsCINBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.8
Edge−0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 141 games
+165 · draftkings
Alex Freeland
Alex Freeland
LADvsCINBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.6
Edge+0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 84 games
-117 · draftkings
Max Muncy
Max Muncy
LADvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.7
Edge−0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.50 across 80 games
-122 · draftkings
JJ Bleday
JJ Bleday
CINvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.24
Edge−0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.67 across 122 games
-177 · draftkings
Teoscar Hernandez
LAD @ CINBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Hector Rodriguez
LAD @ CINBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Josue De Paula
Josue De Paula
LADvsCINBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (4 games of log data)
— · draftkings
Eugenio Suarez
LAD @ CINBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Will Banfield
Will Banfield
CINvsLADBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (4 games of log data)
— · draftkings
Teoscar Hernandez
LAD @ CINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Josue De Paula
Josue De Paula
LADvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (4 games of log data)
— · draftkings
Hector Rodriguez
LAD @ CINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Eugenio Suarez
LAD @ CINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Will Banfield
Will Banfield
CINvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (4 games of log data)
— · draftkings
Tropicana Field40 leansFinal · graded

ATH@TB

Athletics at Tampa Bay Rays

first pitch
6:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Jack Perkins
probable · awayJack Perkins
ATH
Griffin Jax
probable · homeGriffin Jax
TB
Strikeouts
Griffin Jax
Griffin Jax
TBvsATHPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER4.5
Projection3.51
Edge+19.5%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.3 K across 31 starts
+126 · fanduel
Griffin Jax
Griffin Jax
TBvsATHPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER5.5
Projection3.51
Edge+16.1%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.3 K across 31 starts
-150 · draftkings
Jack Perkins
Jack Perkins
ATHvsTBPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
OVER3.5
Projection4.33
Edge+2.5%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.5 K across 34 starts
-155 · draftkings
Jack Perkins
Jack Perkins
ATHvsTBPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
OVER4.5
Projection4.33
Edge+2.2%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.5 K across 34 starts
+122 · fanduel
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Richie Palacios
Richie Palacios
TBvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.19
Edge+19.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.58 across 109 games
+118 · draftkings
Victor Mesa Jr.
Victor Mesa Jr.
TBvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.55
Edge+18.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.81 across 63 games
-109 · draftkings
Shea Langeliers
Shea Langeliers
ATHvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.36
Edge+18.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.21 across 95 games
+107 · draftkings
Lawrence Butler
Lawrence Butler
ATHvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.97
Edge+17%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.55 across 137 games
+131 · draftkings
Henry Bolte
Henry Bolte
ATHvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.98
Edge+14.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.75 across 105 games
+116 · draftkings
Shea Langeliers
Shea Langeliers
ATHvsTBBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.13
Edge+13.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 95 games
-174 · draftkings
Jeff McNeil
Jeff McNeil
ATHvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.08
Edge+12.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.66 across 132 games
+103 · draftkings
Donovan Walton
Donovan Walton
ATHvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.63
Edge+12.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 71 games
-178 · draftkings
Victor Mesa Jr.
Victor Mesa Jr.
TBvsATHBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.16
Edge+11.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 63 games
-189 · draftkings
Carlos Cortes
Carlos Cortes
ATHvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.32
Edge+10.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.34 across 112 games
-141 · draftkings
Jonathan Aranda
Jonathan Aranda
TBvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.43
Edge+10.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.15 across 145 games
-138 · draftkings
Zack Gelof
Zack Gelof
ATHvsTBBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.91
Edge+10.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 95 games
-138 · draftkings
Tommy White
Tommy White
ATHvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.46
Edge+8.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.51 across 43 games
-172 · draftkings
Carlos Cortes
Carlos Cortes
ATHvsTBBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.77
Edge+7.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 112 games
-122 · draftkings
Jonah Heim
Jonah Heim
ATHvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.29
Edge+6.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.49 across 96 games
-151 · draftkings
Richie Palacios
Richie Palacios
TBvsATHBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.84
Edge+6.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 109 games
-143 · draftkings
Jonah Heim
Jonah Heim
ATHvsTBBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.76
Edge+5.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 96 games
-130 · draftkings
Henry Bolte
Henry Bolte
ATHvsTBBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.98
Edge+4.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 105 games
-184 · draftkings
Donovan Walton
Donovan Walton
ATHvsTBBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.78
Edge+4.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 71 games
-142 · draftkings
Lawrence Butler
Lawrence Butler
ATHvsTBBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.81
Edge+3.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 137 games
-152 · draftkings
Tommy White
Tommy White
ATHvsTBBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.87
Edge+3.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 43 games
-147 · draftkings
Jonathan Aranda
Jonathan Aranda
TBvsATHBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.07
Edge+3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 145 games
-236 · draftkings
Jeff McNeil
Jeff McNeil
ATHvsTBBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.04
Edge+2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 132 games
-228 · draftkings
Jorge Mateo
Jorge Mateo
TBvsATHBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.42
Edge+2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.54 across 70 games
-105 · draftkings
Zack Gelof
Zack GelofModel anomaly
ATHvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER0.5
Projection2.4
Edge+21.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.11 across 95 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-164 · draftkings
Chandler Simpson
Chandler Simpson
TBvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.04
Edge−2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.17 across 138 games
+192 · draftkings
Liam Hicks
Liam Hicks
TBvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.72
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.05 across 132 games
-108 · draftkings
Chandler Simpson
Chandler Simpson
TBvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.83
Edge+1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 138 games
-132 · draftkings
Cedric Mullins
Cedric Mullins
TBvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.54
Edge+1.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 124 games
+115 · draftkings
Junior Caminero
Junior Caminero
TBvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER2.5
Projection2.31
Edge−1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.32 across 149 games
+109 · draftkings
Jorge Mateo
Jorge Mateo
TBvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.09
Edge+1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.29 across 70 games
-165 · draftkings
Junior Caminero
Junior Caminero
TBvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.03
Edge+0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 149 games
-235 · draftkings
Liam Hicks
Liam Hicks
TBvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.88
Edge−0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 132 games
-200 · draftkings
Cedric Mullins
Cedric Mullins
TBvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.18
Edge−0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.46 across 124 games
-141 · draftkings
Yandy Diaz
ATH @ TBBatterHits
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Yandy Diaz
ATH @ TBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Progressive Field38 leansFinal · graded

CWS@CLE

Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians

first pitch
6:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Davis Martin
probable · awayDavis Martin
CWS
Foster Griffin
probable · homeFoster Griffin
CLE
Strikeouts
Foster Griffin
Foster Griffin
CLEvsCWSPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER4.5
Projection4.28
Edge+7.5%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.0 K across 29 starts
+116 · draftkings
Davis Martin
Davis Martin
CWSvsCLEPitcherStrikeouts
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER2.5
Projection3.27
Edge+4%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.4 K across 26 starts
-138 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Brayan Rocchio
Brayan Rocchio
CLEvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.81
Edge+11.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.72 across 144 games
+121 · draftkings
Travis Bazzana
Travis Bazzana
CLEvsCWSBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.1
Edge+11.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 113 games
-167 · draftkings
Nathaniel Lowe
Nathaniel Lowe
CLEvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.67
Edge+7.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.63 across 115 games
+119 · draftkings
Steven Kwan
Steven Kwan
CLEvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.08
Edge+7.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.75 across 140 games
-127 · draftkings
Chase Meidroth
Chase Meidroth
CWSvsCLEBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.74
Edge+5.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 144 games
+194 · draftkings
Steven Kwan
Steven Kwan
CLEvsCWSBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.2
Edge+5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 140 games
-257 · draftkings
Brenton Doyle
Brenton Doyle
CWSvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.19
Edge+4.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.17 across 63 games
-169 · draftkings
Munetaka Murakami
Munetaka Murakami
CWSvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.62
Edge+4.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.95 across 115 games
+110 · draftkings
Patrick Bailey
Patrick Bailey
CLEvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.43
Edge+4.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.26 across 96 games
+127 · draftkings
Edgar Quero
Edgar Quero
CWSvsCLEBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.69
Edge+3.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.58 across 66 games
+168 · draftkings
Colson Montgomery
Colson Montgomery
CWSvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.52
Edge+3.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 142 games
+114 · draftkings
Miguel Vargas
Miguel Vargas
CWSvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.02
Edge+3.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.14 across 148 games
-127 · draftkings
Brayan Rocchio
Brayan Rocchio
CLEvsCWSBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge+2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 144 games
-164 · draftkings
Colson Montgomery
Colson Montgomery
CWSvsCLEBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.53
Edge+2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 142 games
+117 · draftkings
Travis Bazzana
Travis BazzanaModel anomaly
CLEvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.56
Edge+21%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.82 across 113 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+107 · draftkings
Chase DeLauter
Chase DeLauter
CLEvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection0.99
Edge−2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 125 games
-259 · draftkings
Chase Meidroth
Chase Meidroth
CWSvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.66
Edge−2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.92 across 144 games
-127 · draftkings
Braden Montgomery
Braden Montgomery
CWSvsCLEBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.53
Edge+2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 81 games
+116 · draftkings
Patrick Bailey
Patrick Bailey
CLEvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.76
Edge+2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 96 games
-149 · draftkings
Miguel Vargas
Miguel Vargas
CWSvsCLEBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.91
Edge−2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 148 games
-241 · draftkings
Jo Adell
Jo Adell
CLEvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.85
Edge−1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 148 games
+167 · draftkings
Munetaka Murakami
Munetaka Murakami
CWSvsCLEBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.57
Edge−1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 115 games
+106 · draftkings
Randal Grichuk
Randal Grichuk
CWSvsCLEBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge−1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 102 games
-196 · draftkings
Randal Grichuk
Randal Grichuk
CWSvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.47
Edge−1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.34 across 102 games
-103 · draftkings
Jo Adell
Jo Adell
CLEvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.87
Edge+1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.93 across 148 games
-123 · draftkings
Nathaniel Lowe
Nathaniel Lowe
CLEvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.7
Edge−1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 115 games
-154 · draftkings
Chase DeLauter
Chase DeLauter
CLEvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.66
Edge−1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.02 across 125 games
+109 · draftkings
Braden Montgomery
Braden Montgomery
CWSvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.25
Edge+0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.70 across 81 games
+129 · draftkings
Petey Halpin
Petey Halpin
CLEvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.54
Edge+0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.58 across 59 games
+111 · draftkings
Edgar Quero
Edgar Quero
CWSvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.19
Edge+0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 66 games
-131 · draftkings
Petey Halpin
Petey Halpin
CLEvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection0.99
Edge−0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 59 games
-171 · draftkings
Brenton Doyle
Brenton Doyle
CWSvsCLEBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.54
Edge−0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.59 across 63 games
+107 · draftkings
Jose Ramirez
CWS @ CLEBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Luisangel Acuna
CWS @ CLEBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Jose Ramirez
CWS @ CLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Luisangel Acuna
CWS @ CLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
PNC Park38 leansFinal · graded

MIL@PIT

Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates

first pitch
6:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Jacob Misiorowski
probable · awayJacob Misiorowski
MIL
Lake Bachar
probable · homeLake Bachar
PIT
Strikeouts
Jacob Misiorowski
Jacob Misiorowski
MILvsPITPitcherStrikeouts
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER8.5
Projection7.6
Edge+4%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 8.7 K across 27 starts
-156 · draftkings
Lake Bachar
Lake Bachar
PITvsMILPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection2.24
Edge+1.3%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 1.7 K across 48 starts
-199 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Brice Turang
Brice Turang
MILvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection3.19
Edge+19%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 4.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.37 across 139 games
-148 · draftkings
Bryan Reynolds
Bryan Reynolds
PITvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection2.22
Edge+18.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.13 across 150 games
-170 · draftkings
Garrett Mitchell
Garrett Mitchell
MILvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.53
Edge+17.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 133 games
-104 · draftkings
William Contreras
William Contreras
MILvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection3.13
Edge+17.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 4.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.26 across 137 games
-138 · draftkings
Bryan Reynolds
Bryan Reynolds
PITvsMILBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.04
Edge+16.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 150 games
-134 · draftkings
Spencer Horwitz
Spencer Horwitz
PITvsMILBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.87
Edge+16.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 105 games
-103 · draftkings
Konnor Griffin
Konnor Griffin
PITvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.85
Edge+15.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 67 games
+138 · draftkings
Brandon Lowe
Brandon Lowe
PITvsMILBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1
Edge+15.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 139 games
-128 · draftkings
Jackson Chourio
Jackson Chourio
MILvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER2.5
Projection3.13
Edge+15%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.56 across 115 games
+120 · draftkings
Oneil Cruz
Oneil Cruz
PITvsMILBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.03
Edge+14.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 86 games
-128 · draftkings
Oneil Cruz
Oneil Cruz
PITvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection2.17
Edge+13.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.44 across 86 games
-172 · draftkings
Brandon Lowe
Brandon Lowe
PITvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.87
Edge+12.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.24 across 139 games
-155 · draftkings
Cooper Pratt
Cooper Pratt
MILvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.08
Edge+11%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 62 games
-104 · draftkings
Ryan O'Hearn
Ryan O'Hearn
PITvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection2.04
Edge+10.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.27 across 99 games
-149 · draftkings
Nick Gonzales
Nick Gonzales
PITvsMILBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.07
Edge+10.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 138 games
-163 · draftkings
Nick Gonzales
Nick Gonzales
PITvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.79
Edge+10.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.07 across 138 games
-194 · draftkings
Joey Ortiz
Joey Ortiz
MILvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.95
Edge+10%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.60 across 110 games
-101 · draftkings
Jake Mangum
Jake Mangum
PITvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.5
Edge+9.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.71 across 117 games
-165 · draftkings
Jake Mangum
Jake Mangum
PITvsMILBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge+7.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 117 games
-138 · draftkings
Jackson Chourio
Jackson Chourio
MILvsPITBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.36
Edge+7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.22 across 115 games
+165 · draftkings
Jake Bauers
Jake Bauers
MILvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.12
Edge+7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 2.15 across 134 games
-118 · draftkings
Joey Ortiz
Joey Ortiz
MILvsPITBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1
Edge+6.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 110 games
-187 · draftkings
Sal Frelick
Sal Frelick
MILvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1.03
Edge+6.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.46 across 101 games
-124 · draftkings
Ryan O'Hearn
Ryan O'Hearn
PITvsMILBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.79
Edge+6.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 99 games
-123 · draftkings
Brice Turang
Brice Turang
MILvsPITBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.26
Edge+5.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 139 games
-267 · draftkings
Sal Frelick
Sal Frelick
MILvsPITBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.57
Edge+5.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 101 games
+144 · draftkings
Garrett Mitchell
Garrett Mitchell
MILvsPITBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.03
Edge+5.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 133 games
-184 · draftkings
Konnor Griffin
Konnor Griffin
PITvsMILBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.91
Edge+4.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 67 games
-166 · draftkings
Cooper Pratt
Cooper Pratt
MILvsPITBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.94
Edge+4.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 62 games
-185 · draftkings
Spencer Horwitz
Spencer HorwitzModel anomaly
PITvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER0.5
Projection1.78
Edge+22.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.66 across 105 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-128 · draftkings
Christian Yelich
Christian Yelich
MILvsPITBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge−2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 108 games
+171 · draftkings
Jake Bauers
Jake Bauers
MILvsPITBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.74
Edge−2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 134 games
+141 · draftkings
William Contreras
William Contreras
MILvsPITBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.13
Edge+2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 137 games
-244 · draftkings
Christian Yelich
Christian Yelich
MILvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.96
Edge+2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.02 across 108 games
-133 · draftkings
Rafael Flores
MIL @ PITBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Rafael Flores
MIL @ PITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Nationals Park38 leansFinal · graded

PHI@WSH

Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals

first pitch
6:45 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Cristopher Sánchez
probable · awayCristopher Sánchez
PHI
Jackson Kent
probable · homeJackson Kent
WSH
Strikeouts
Jackson Kent
Jackson Kent
WSHvsPHIPitcherStrikeouts
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER3.5
Projection3.38
Edge+3.5%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.8 K across 6 starts
+102 · draftkings
Cristopher Sanchez
PHI @ WSHPitcherStrikeouts
Sample too small
Line6.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Jorbit Vivas
Jorbit Vivas
WSHvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.29
Edge+14.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.17 across 109 games
-127 · draftkings
Jacob Young
Jacob Young
WSHvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.51
Edge+13.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.63 across 123 games
-149 · draftkings
James Wood
James Wood
WSHvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.98
Edge+11.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.45 across 124 games
+115 · draftkings
CJ Abrams
CJ Abrams
WSHvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.95
Edge+11.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.30 across 142 games
-172 · draftkings
Derek Hill
Derek Hill
PHIvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.43
Edge+11%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.25 across 83 games
-166 · draftkings
Yohandy Morales
Yohandy Morales
WSHvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.89
Edge+10.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.89
  • SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 9 games
-175 · draftkings
Jorbit Vivas
Jorbit Vivas
WSHvsPHIBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.72
Edge+9.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.63 across 109 games
-102 · draftkings
Brady House
Brady House
WSHvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.7
Edge+9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.81 across 84 games
+121 · draftkings
James Wood
James Wood
WSHvsPHIBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.06
Edge+8.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 124 games
-173 · draftkings
Dylan Crews
Dylan Crews
WSHvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.83
Edge+8.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.76 across 96 games
+101 · draftkings
CJ Abrams
CJ Abrams
WSHvsPHIBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.9
Edge+8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 142 games
-142 · draftkings
Harry Ford
Harry Ford
WSHvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.32
Edge+7.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.33 across 30 games
-142 · draftkings
Jacob Young
Jacob Young
WSHvsPHIBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.75
Edge+6.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 123 games
-123 · draftkings
Kyle Schwarber
Kyle Schwarber
PHIvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.43
Edge+6.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.16 across 144 games
-141 · draftkings
Yohandy Morales
Yohandy Morales
WSHvsPHIBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge+6.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.89
  • SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 9 games
-145 · draftkings
Andrés Chaparro
Andrés Chaparro
WSHvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.36
Edge+4.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.52 across 73 games
+132 · draftkings
Edmundo Sosa
Edmundo Sosa
PHIvsWSHBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.63
Edge+3.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 78 games
+148 · draftkings
Edmundo Sosa
Edmundo Sosa
PHIvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.37
Edge−3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.54 across 78 games
-127 · draftkings
Harry Ford
Harry Ford
WSHvsPHIBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.52
Edge−3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.53 across 30 games
-117 · draftkings
Trea Turner
Trea Turner
PHIvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER2.5
Projection2.12
Edge−2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.03 across 145 games
+122 · draftkings
Bryson Stott
Bryson Stott
PHIvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.43
Edge−2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.76 across 143 games
-104 · draftkings
Andrés Chaparro
Andrés Chaparro
WSHvsPHIBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.7
Edge−2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 73 games
-162 · draftkings
Derek Hill
Derek Hill
PHIvsWSHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.68
Edge+2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.57 across 83 games
-129 · draftkings
J.T. Realmuto
J.T. Realmuto
PHIvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.62
Edge+1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.65 across 111 games
-104 · draftkings
Bryce Harper
Bryce Harper
PHIvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.81
Edge+1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.11 across 149 games
-121 · draftkings
J.T. Realmuto
J.T. Realmuto
PHIvsWSHBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.73
Edge−1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 111 games
+146 · draftkings
Bryce Harper
Bryce Harper
PHIvsWSHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.93
Edge−1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 149 games
-216 · draftkings
Alec Bohm
Alec Bohm
PHIvsWSHBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.01
Edge−1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 141 games
-255 · draftkings
Kyle Schwarber
Kyle Schwarber
PHIvsWSHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.9
Edge−1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 144 games
-210 · draftkings
Luis Arraez
Luis Arraez
PHIvsWSHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.17
Edge+0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.25 across 142 games
+176 · draftkings
Bryson Stott
Bryson Stott
PHIvsWSHBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.68
Edge+0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 143 games
+144 · draftkings
Trea Turner
Trea Turner
PHIvsWSHBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.05
Edge+0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 145 games
-214 · draftkings
Luis Arraez
Luis Arraez
PHIvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.96
Edge−0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.13 across 142 games
-154 · draftkings
Dylan Crews
Dylan Crews
WSHvsPHIBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.92
Edge−0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 96 games
-224 · draftkings
Brady House
Brady House
WSHvsPHIBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.77
Edge+0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 84 games
-165 · draftkings
Alec Bohm
Alec Bohm
PHIvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection2
Edge+0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 141 games
-148 · draftkings
Rogers Centre37 leansFinal · graded

DET@TOR

Detroit Tigers at Toronto Blue Jays

first pitch
7:07 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Drew Anderson
probable · awayDrew Anderson
DET
Braydon Fisher
probable · homeBraydon Fisher
TOR
Strikeouts
Drew Anderson
Drew Anderson
DETvsTORPitcherStrikeouts
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER3.5
Projection3.57
Edge+2.7%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 2.2 K across 47 starts
+119 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Max Clark
Max Clark
DETvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.19
Edge+19.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.98 across 40 games
+126 · draftkings
Kazuma Okamoto
Kazuma Okamoto
TORvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.41
Edge+16.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.02 across 144 games
-103 · draftkings
Brett Bateman
Brett Bateman
TORvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.31
Edge+13.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.31 across 32 games
-128 · draftkings
Kevin McGonigle
Kevin McGonigle
DETvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.37
Edge+13.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.14 across 145 games
-122 · draftkings
Kazuma Okamoto
Kazuma Okamoto
TORvsDETBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.08
Edge+12.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 144 games
-171 · draftkings
John Peck
John Peck
DETvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.7
Edge+11.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.70 across 10 games
-168 · draftkings
Spencer Torkelson
Spencer Torkelson
DETvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.66
Edge+10.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.63 across 147 games
+134 · draftkings
Colt Keith
Colt Keith
DETvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.32
Edge+10.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.34 across 136 games
-135 · draftkings
Alejandro Kirk
Alejandro Kirk
TORvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.19
Edge+10.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.87 across 71 games
-120 · draftkings
Max Clark
Max Clark
DETvsTORBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.02
Edge+10%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 40 games
-159 · draftkings
Kevin McGonigle
Kevin McGonigle
DETvsTORBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.13
Edge+7.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 145 games
-229 · draftkings
John Peck
John Peck
DETvsTORBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.8
Edge+7.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 10 games
-131 · draftkings
Gleyber Torres
Gleyber Torres
DETvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.12
Edge+7.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.04 across 89 games
-124 · draftkings
Alejandro Kirk
Alejandro Kirk
TORvsDETBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.09
Edge+7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 71 games
-216 · draftkings
Dillon Dingler
Dillon Dingler
DETvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.83
Edge+7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.07 across 137 games
+106 · draftkings
Brett Bateman
Brett Bateman
TORvsDETBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.26
Edge+6.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.31 across 32 games
-253 · draftkings
George Springer
George Springer
TORvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.09
Edge+5.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 115 games
-133 · draftkings
Nathan Lukes
Nathan Lukes
TORvsDETBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.06
Edge+5.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 112 games
-214 · draftkings
Colt Keith
Colt Keith
DETvsTORBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.66
Edge+5.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 136 games
-107 · draftkings
Spencer Torkelson
Spencer Torkelson
DETvsTORBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.77
Edge+5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 147 games
-135 · draftkings
Zach McKinstry
Zach McKinstry
DETvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.1
Edge+4.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.21 across 117 games
-166 · draftkings
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
TORvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.96
Edge+4.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.93 across 136 games
-122 · draftkings
Nathan Lukes
Nathan Lukes
TORvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.77
Edge+3.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.63 across 112 games
-111 · draftkings
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
TORvsDETBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.1
Edge+3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 136 games
-237 · draftkings
Riley Greene
Riley GreeneModel anomaly
DETvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection3.18
Edge+29.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 4.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.16 across 129 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+102 · draftkings
Riley Greene
Riley GreeneModel anomaly
DETvsTORBatterHits
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER0.5
Projection1.42
Edge+20.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 129 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-169 · draftkings
Dillon Dingler
Dillon Dingler
DETvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.81
Edge−3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 137 games
-187 · draftkings
Ernie Clement
Ernie Clement
TORvsDETBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge−2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 147 games
-213 · draftkings
Gleyber Torres
Gleyber Torres
DETvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.05
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 89 games
-239 · draftkings
Josh Smith
Josh Smith
TORvsDETBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.56
Edge−1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 66 games
+106 · draftkings
Zach McKinstry
Zach McKinstry
DETvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.52
Edge−1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.63 across 117 games
-101 · draftkings
Josh Smith
Josh Smith
TORvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.28
Edge+1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.15 across 66 games
+132 · draftkings
George Springer
George Springer
TORvsDETBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge−0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 115 games
-249 · draftkings
Ernie Clement
Ernie Clement
TORvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.52
Edge−0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.74 across 147 games
-103 · draftkings
Andres Gimenez
DET @ TORBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Andres Gimenez
DET @ TORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Citi Field38 leansFinal · graded

BAL@NYM

Baltimore Orioles at New York Mets

first pitch
7:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Shane Baz
probable · awayShane Baz
BAL
Sean Manaea
probable · homeSean Manaea
NYM
Strikeouts
Sean Manaea
Sean ManaeaModel anomaly
NYMvsBALPitcherStrikeouts
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
UNDER6.5
Projection3.54
Edge+35.9%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.2 K across 30 starts
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-127 · draftkings
Shane Baz
Shane Baz
BALvsNYMPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
OVER4.5
Projection5.08
Edge+1.8%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.2 K across 29 starts
-140 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Brett Baty
Brett Baty
NYMvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.73
Edge+17.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.46 across 128 games
-148 · draftkings
Francisco Lindor
Francisco Lindor
NYMvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.52
Edge+14.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.03 across 92 games
-110 · draftkings
Jared Young
Jared Young
NYMvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.99
Edge+13.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 97 games
+110 · draftkings
A.J. Ewing
A.J. Ewing
NYMvsBALBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.16
Edge+13.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 108 games
-169 · draftkings
Luis Torrens
Luis Torrens
NYMvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.93
Edge+11.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.66 across 80 games
-179 · draftkings
Coby Mayo
Coby Mayo
BALvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.86
Edge+10.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 117 games
+114 · draftkings
Juan Soto
Juan Soto
NYMvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.18
Edge+7.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.15 across 99 games
-123 · draftkings
Marcus Semien
Marcus Semien
NYMvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.76
Edge+7.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.52 across 129 games
+108 · draftkings
Pete Alonso
Pete Alonso
BALvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.03
Edge+7.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.25 across 151 games
-110 · draftkings
Bo Bichette
Bo Bichette
NYMvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.06
Edge+7.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 2.01 across 148 games
-113 · draftkings
Rece Hinds
Rece Hinds
BALvsNYMBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.33
Edge+7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.37 across 19 games
-104 · draftkings
Jeremiah Jackson
Jeremiah Jackson
BALvsNYMBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.44
Edge+6.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 82 games
+116 · draftkings
Gunnar Henderson
Gunnar Henderson
BALvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.63
Edge+6.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 148 games
+117 · draftkings
Brett Baty
Brett Baty
NYMvsBALBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.7
Edge+5.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 128 games
-115 · draftkings
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
BALvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.59
Edge+5.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 49 games
+117 · draftkings
Francisco Lindor
Francisco Lindor
NYMvsBALBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.96
Edge+4.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 92 games
-190 · draftkings
Jared Young
Jared Young
NYMvsBALBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge+4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 97 games
-165 · draftkings
Carson Benge
Carson Benge
NYMvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.79
Edge+3.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 143 games
-108 · draftkings
Luis Torrens
Luis Torrens
NYMvsBALBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.76
Edge+2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 80 games
-146 · draftkings
A.J. Ewing
A.J. EwingModel anomaly
NYMvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.52
Edge+23.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.74 across 108 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+114 · draftkings
Bo Bichette
Bo Bichette
NYMvsBALBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge−2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 148 games
-246 · draftkings
Gunnar Henderson
Gunnar Henderson
BALvsNYMBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 148 games
-171 · draftkings
Jackson Holliday
Jackson Holliday
BALvsNYMBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.67
Edge+1.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 97 games
+141 · draftkings
Leody Taveras
Leody Taveras
BALvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.19
Edge+1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.57 across 126 games
-184 · draftkings
Juan Soto
Juan Soto
NYMvsBALBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.93
Edge+1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 99 games
-213 · draftkings
Jeremiah Jackson
Jeremiah Jackson
BALvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection0.94
Edge−1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.48 across 82 games
-169 · draftkings
Coby Mayo
Coby Mayo
BALvsNYMBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.81
Edge+1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 117 games
-170 · draftkings
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
BALvsNYMBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.84
Edge+1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 49 games
-162 · draftkings
Marcus Semien
Marcus Semien
NYMvsBALBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.84
Edge+1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 129 games
-179 · draftkings
Rece Hinds
Rece Hinds
BALvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.59
Edge+0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 19 games
+116 · draftkings
Pete Alonso
Pete Alonso
BALvsNYMBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.95
Edge+0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 151 games
-215 · draftkings
Carson Benge
Carson Benge
NYMvsBALBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.92
Edge+0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 143 games
-203 · draftkings
Leody Taveras
Leody Taveras
BALvsNYMBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.55
Edge0%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 126 games
+110 · draftkings
Jackson Holliday
Jackson Holliday
BALvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.4
Edge0%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.51 across 97 games
+109 · draftkings
Carlos Narvaez
BAL @ NYMBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Carlos Narvaez
BAL @ NYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Wrigley Field38 leansFinal · graded

ATL@CHC

Atlanta Braves at Chicago Cubs

first pitch
7:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Martín Pérez
probable · awayMartín Pérez
ATL
Kevin Gausman
probable · homeKevin Gausman
CHC
Strikeouts
Kevin Gausman
Kevin Gausman
CHCvsATLPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER5.5
Projection6.6
Edge+15.6%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.7 K across 30 starts
-112 · draftkings
Martin Perez
ATL @ CHCPitcherStrikeouts
Sample too small
Line3.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Mike Yastrzemski
Mike Yastrzemski
ATLvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.43
Edge+13.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.25 across 127 games
-141 · draftkings
Tyrone Taylor
Tyrone Taylor
CHCvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.05
Edge+12.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.50 across 82 games
+108 · draftkings
Michael Busch
Michael Busch
CHCvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.24
Edge+12.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 149 games
-113 · draftkings
Nico Hoerner
Nico Hoerner
CHCvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.27
Edge+12.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.93 across 148 games
-112 · draftkings
Sean Murphy
Sean Murphy
ATLvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.62
Edge+12.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.44 across 25 games
-145 · draftkings
Drake Baldwin
Drake Baldwin
ATLvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.3
Edge+11.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.30 across 128 games
-117 · draftkings
Pete Crow-Armstrong
Pete Crow-Armstrong
CHCvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.75
Edge+10.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.50 across 151 games
-142 · draftkings
Carson Kelly
Carson Kelly
CHCvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.8
Edge+8.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 108 games
+113 · draftkings
Drake Baldwin
Drake Baldwin
ATLvsCHCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.2
Edge+8.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 128 games
-225 · draftkings
Nico Hoerner
Nico Hoerner
CHCvsATLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.28
Edge+8.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 148 games
-241 · draftkings
Austin Riley
Austin Riley
ATLvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.58
Edge+7.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.65 across 149 games
+126 · draftkings
Mike Yastrzemski
Mike Yastrzemski
ATLvsCHCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.7
Edge+7.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 127 games
-108 · draftkings
Matt Shaw
Matt Shaw
CHCvsATLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.44
Edge+6.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.57 across 63 games
+117 · draftkings
Tyrone Taylor
Tyrone Taylor
CHCvsATLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.95
Edge+6.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 82 games
-169 · draftkings
Michael Harris II
Michael Harris II
ATLvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.04
Edge+5.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.18 across 145 games
-117 · draftkings
Alex Bregman
Alex Bregman
CHCvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.99
Edge+4.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.19 across 148 games
-118 · draftkings
Ozzie Albies
Ozzie Albies
ATLvsCHCBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.61
Edge+3.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 151 games
+143 · draftkings
Matt Olson
Matt Olson
ATLvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.78
Edge+3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.16 across 151 games
-111 · draftkings
Sean Murphy
Sean Murphy
ATLvsCHCBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.64
Edge+3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 25 games
-115 · draftkings
Michael Harris II
Michael Harris II
ATLvsCHCBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.11
Edge+2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 145 games
-236 · draftkings
Seiya Suzuki
Seiya Suzuki
CHCvsATLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge−2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 133 games
-208 · draftkings
Matt Shaw
Matt Shaw
CHCvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.1
Edge−2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.30 across 63 games
-158 · draftkings
Carson Kelly
Carson Kelly
CHCvsATLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.78
Edge+2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 108 games
-155 · draftkings
Matt Olson
Matt Olson
ATLvsCHCBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge−2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 151 games
-205 · draftkings
Alex Bregman
Alex Bregman
CHCvsATLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.02
Edge+2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 148 games
-220 · draftkings
Austin Riley
Austin Riley
ATLvsCHCBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.75
Edge+1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 149 games
-147 · draftkings
Pete Crow-Armstrong
Pete Crow-Armstrong
CHCvsATLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.14
Edge+1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 151 games
-264 · draftkings
Seiya Suzuki
Seiya Suzuki
CHCvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.85
Edge+0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.31 across 133 games
-125 · draftkings
Ozzie Albies
Ozzie Albies
ATLvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.41
Edge+0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.92 across 151 games
+110 · draftkings
Michael Busch
Michael Busch
CHCvsATLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.9
Edge−0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 149 games
-216 · draftkings
Ronald Acuna Jr.
ATL @ CHCBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Mauricio Dubon
ATL @ CHCBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
B.J. Murray Jr.
ATL @ CHCBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Ronald Acuna Jr.
ATL @ CHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Mauricio Dubon
ATL @ CHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
B.J. Murray Jr.
ATL @ CHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Target Field39 leansFinal · graded

NYY@MIN

New York Yankees at Minnesota Twins

first pitch
7:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Max Fried
probable · awayMax Fried
NYY
Bailey Ober
probable · homeBailey Ober
MIN
Strikeouts
Max Fried
Max Fried
NYYvsMINPitcherStrikeouts
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER4.5
Projection5.1
Edge+4%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.2 K across 18 starts
-148 · fanduel
Max Fried
Max Fried
NYYvsMINPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
UNDER5.5
Projection5.1
Edge−2.8%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.2 K across 18 starts
-163 · draftkings
Bailey Ober
Bailey Ober
MINvsNYYPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
OVER4.5
Projection4.31
Edge−0.2%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.9 K across 22 starts
+113 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Josh Bell
Josh Bell
MINvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.98
Edge+15.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.07 across 143 games
+126 · draftkings
Kody Clemens
Kody Clemens
MINvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.05
Edge+15.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 2.01 across 132 games
+119 · draftkings
Kaelen Culpepper
Kaelen Culpepper
MINvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.83
Edge+14.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.87 across 30 games
+131 · draftkings
Ryan Jeffers
Ryan Jeffers
MINvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.96
Edge+13.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.12 across 84 games
+124 · draftkings
Cody Bellinger
Cody Bellinger
NYYvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.46
Edge+10.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.12 across 123 games
-133 · draftkings
Ben Rice
Ben Rice
NYYvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.7
Edge+10.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.10
  • SeasonSeason average 2.29 across 143 games
-147 · draftkings
Josh Bell
Josh Bell
MINvsNYYBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge+10.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 143 games
-153 · draftkings
Austin Martin
Austin Martin
MINvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.35
Edge+9.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.31 across 100 games
-158 · draftkings
Spencer Jones
Spencer Jones
NYYvsMINBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.04
Edge+9.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 75 games
-178 · draftkings
Walker Jenkins
Walker Jenkins
MINvsNYYBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.19
Edge+9.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.29 across 14 games
-122 · draftkings
Spencer Jones
Spencer Jones
NYYvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.97
Edge+8.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 75 games
-104 · draftkings
Anthony Volpe
Anthony Volpe
NYYvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.62
Edge+8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.53 across 60 games
+125 · draftkings
Kody Clemens
Kody Clemens
MINvsNYYBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.95
Edge+7.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 132 games
-167 · draftkings
Ben Rice
Ben Rice
NYYvsMINBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.24
Edge+6.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 143 games
-255 · draftkings
Brooks Lee
Brooks Lee
MINvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.63
Edge+6.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.95 across 142 games
+116 · draftkings
Royce Lewis
Royce Lewis
MINvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.36
Edge+5.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 114 games
-177 · draftkings
Austin Wells
Austin Wells
NYYvsMINBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.35
Edge+5.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.50 across 114 games
-106 · draftkings
Austin Martin
Austin Martin
MINvsNYYBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.69
Edge+4.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 100 games
-118 · draftkings
Kaelen Culpepper
Kaelen Culpepper
MINvsNYYBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.9
Edge+4.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 30 games
-164 · draftkings
Aaron Judge
Aaron Judge
NYYvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2
Edge+4.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.20 across 65 games
-123 · draftkings
Walker Jenkins
Walker Jenkins
MINvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.71
Edge−3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 14 games
-143 · draftkings
Ryan McMahon
Ryan McMahon
NYYvsMINBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.6
Edge−3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 109 games
-137 · draftkings
Ryan McMahon
Ryan McMahon
NYYvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.1
Edge−3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.19 across 109 games
-171 · draftkings
Anthony Volpe
Anthony Volpe
NYYvsMINBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.62
Edge−2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 60 games
-140 · draftkings
Luke Keaschall
Luke Keaschall
MINvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.53
Edge+2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 141 games
+107 · draftkings
Ryan Jeffers
Ryan Jeffers
MINvsNYYBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.8
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 84 games
-159 · draftkings
Brooks Lee
Brooks Lee
MINvsNYYBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.87
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 142 games
-176 · draftkings
George Lombard Jr.
George Lombard Jr.
NYYvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.43
Edge+2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 32 games
+116 · draftkings
Luke Keaschall
Luke Keaschall
MINvsNYYBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge−1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 141 games
-199 · draftkings
Cody Bellinger
Cody Bellinger
NYYvsMINBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.05
Edge+1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 123 games
-255 · draftkings
Royce Lewis
Royce Lewis
MINvsNYYBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.72
Edge+1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 114 games
-141 · draftkings
Austin Wells
Austin Wells
NYYvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.99
Edge−0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 114 games
-171 · draftkings
Aaron Judge
Aaron Judge
NYYvsMINBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.74
Edge−0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 65 games
+155 · draftkings
George Lombard Jr.
George Lombard Jr.
NYYvsMINBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.62
Edge+0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 32 games
+127 · draftkings
Luis Garcia Jr.
NYY @ MINBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Luis Garcia Jr.
NYY @ MINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Busch Stadium38 leansFinal · graded

SF@STL

San Francisco Giants at St. Louis Cardinals

first pitch
7:45 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Blade Tidwell
probable · awayBlade Tidwell
SF
Andre Pallante
probable · homeAndre Pallante
STL
Strikeouts
Blade Tidwell
Blade Tidwell
SFvsSTLPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER3.5
Projection3.16
Edge+7.2%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 2.5 K across 15 starts
+102 · draftkings
Andre Pallante
Andre Pallante
STLvsSFPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
OVER3.5
Projection3.6
Edge−1.1%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.9 K across 26 starts
-114 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Christian Koss
Christian Koss
SFvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.9
Edge+15.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.30 across 56 games
+125 · draftkings
Bryce Eldridge
Bryce Eldridge
SFvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.27
Edge+14.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.94 across 105 games
-106 · draftkings
Nathan Church
Nathan Church
STLvsSFBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.01
Edge+10.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 121 games
-162 · draftkings
Bryce Eldridge
Bryce Eldridge
SFvsSTLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.14
Edge+10.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 105 games
-198 · draftkings
Nathan Church
Nathan Church
STLvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.78
Edge+9.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.65 across 121 games
+114 · draftkings
Masyn Winn
Masyn Winn
STLvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.74
Edge+7.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.69 across 125 games
+107 · draftkings
Alec Burleson
Alec Burleson
STLvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.48
Edge+5.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.37 across 150 games
-157 · draftkings
Jonah Cox
Jonah Cox
SFvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.76
Edge+5.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.51 across 41 games
-101 · draftkings
Drew Gilbert
Drew Gilbert
SFvsSTLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.56
Edge+5.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 120 games
+141 · draftkings
Turner Hill
Turner Hill
SFvsSTLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.56
Edge+5.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 25 games
+138 · draftkings
Christian Koss
Christian Koss
SFvsSTLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge+5.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 56 games
-165 · draftkings
Jordan Walker
Jordan Walker
STLvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.65
Edge−3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.39 across 147 games
-126 · draftkings
Jung Hoo Lee
Jung Hoo Lee
SFvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.6
Edge−3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 138 games
-104 · draftkings
Turner Hill
Turner Hill
SFvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.25
Edge−2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.60 across 25 games
-141 · draftkings
Drew Cavanaugh
Drew Cavanaugh
SFvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.55
Edge−2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 51 games
-122 · draftkings
Bryan Torres
Bryan Torres
STLvsSFBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge−2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 59 games
-203 · draftkings
Drew Gilbert
Drew Gilbert
SFvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.27
Edge−2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.34 across 120 games
-136 · draftkings
Bryan Torres
Bryan Torres
STLvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.41
Edge−1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.22 across 59 games
-120 · draftkings
Osleivis Basabe
Osleivis Basabe
SFvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.3
Edge+1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.31 across 36 games
+131 · draftkings
Shay Whitcomb
Shay Whitcomb
SFvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.24
Edge−1.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 34 games
+123 · draftkings
Masyn Winn
Masyn Winn
STLvsSFBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge+1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 125 games
-172 · draftkings
Alec Burleson
Alec Burleson
STLvsSFBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.14
Edge−1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 150 games
+178 · draftkings
Jordan Walker
Jordan Walker
STLvsSFBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.79
Edge+1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 147 games
+176 · draftkings
Osleivis Basabe
Osleivis Basabe
SFvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.57
Edge+1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 36 games
+120 · draftkings
Nolan Gorman
Nolan Gorman
STLvsSFBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.6
Edge−1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.59 across 79 games
+115 · draftkings
Jonah Cox
Jonah Cox
SFvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.93
Edge+0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 41 games
-218 · draftkings
Drew Cavanaugh
Drew Cavanaugh
SFvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.88
Edge−0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 51 games
-157 · draftkings
Jung Hoo Lee
Jung Hoo Lee
SFvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection0.87
Edge+0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 138 games
-261 · draftkings
Nolan Gorman
Nolan Gorman
STLvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.41
Edge+0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.32 across 79 games
+111 · draftkings
Shay Whitcomb
Shay Whitcomb
SFvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.74
Edge0%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.47 across 34 games
-157 · draftkings
Ivan Herrera
SF @ STLBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Leonardo Bernal
SF @ STLBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Joshua Baez
SF @ STLBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Ivan Herrera
SF @ STLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Leonardo Bernal
SF @ STLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Joshua Baez
SF @ STLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Globe Life Field37 leansFinal · graded

BOS@TEX

Boston Red Sox at Texas Rangers

first pitch
8:05 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Patrick Sandoval
probable · awayPatrick Sandoval
BOS
probable · homeTBD
TEX
Strikeouts
Patrick Sandoval
Patrick Sandoval
BOSvsTEXPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
UNDER5.5
Projection5.27
Edge−1.4%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.2 K across 11 starts
-133 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Jahmai Jones
Jahmai Jones
BOSvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.67
Edge+19%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 83 games
-129 · draftkings
Jahmai Jones
Jahmai Jones
BOSvsTEXBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.32
Edge+16.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.35 across 83 games
+138 · draftkings
Jake Burger
Jake Burger
TEXvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.04
Edge+16%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.87 across 143 games
+125 · draftkings
Corey Seager
Corey Seager
TEXvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.33
Edge+14.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.96 across 89 games
-106 · draftkings
Josh Jung
Josh Jung
TEXvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.03
Edge+11.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.05 across 94 games
+100 · draftkings
Nick Sogard
Nick Sogard
BOSvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.65
Edge+11.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.79 across 53 games
+134 · draftkings
Adley Rutschman
Adley Rutschman
BOSvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.24
Edge+9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.99 across 89 games
-112 · draftkings
Trevor Story
Trevor Story
BOSvsTEXBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.08
Edge+8.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 54 games
-198 · draftkings
Trevor Story
Trevor Story
BOSvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.86
Edge+8.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.81 across 54 games
+101 · draftkings
Justin Foscue
Justin Foscue
TEXvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.58
Edge+8.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.27 across 89 games
+131 · draftkings
Nick Sogard
Nick Sogard
BOSvsTEXBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.88
Edge+8.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 53 games
-143 · draftkings
Wyatt Langford
Wyatt Langford
TEXvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.65
Edge+8.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 98 games
+122 · draftkings
Ezequiel Duran
Ezequiel Duran
TEXvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.86
Edge+7.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.01 across 139 games
+100 · draftkings
Josh Jung
Josh Jung
TEXvsBOSBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.12
Edge+6.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.15 across 94 games
-218 · draftkings
Nate Eaton
Nate Eaton
BOSvsTEXBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.22
Edge+4.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.33 across 15 games
-138 · draftkings
Caleb Durbin
Caleb Durbin
BOSvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.55
Edge+4.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 140 games
+114 · draftkings
Justin Foscue
Justin Foscue
TEXvsBOSBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.76
Edge+4.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.63 across 89 games
-137 · draftkings
Corey Seager
Corey Seager
TEXvsBOSBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.03
Edge+4.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 89 games
-211 · draftkings
Cody Freeman
Cody Freeman
TEXvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.96
Edge+3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.13 across 31 games
-154 · draftkings
Jake Burger
Jake Burger
TEXvsBOSBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.77
Edge+2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 143 games
-149 · draftkings
Ezequiel Duran
Ezequiel Duran
TEXvsBOSBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge−3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 139 games
+151 · draftkings
Brandon Nimmo
Brandon Nimmo
TEXvsBOSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.85
Edge−2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 144 games
-198 · draftkings
Willson Contreras
Willson Contreras
BOSvsTEXBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge−2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 125 games
-203 · draftkings
Caleb Durbin
Caleb Durbin
BOSvsTEXBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.77
Edge−2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 140 games
-182 · draftkings
Wilyer Abreu
Wilyer Abreu
BOSvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.81
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.03 across 146 games
-117 · draftkings
Roman Anthony
Roman Anthony
BOSvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.56
Edge−2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.61 across 44 games
-103 · draftkings
Adley Rutschman
Adley Rutschman
BOSvsTEXBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.94
Edge−1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 89 games
-230 · draftkings
Willson Contreras
Willson Contreras
BOSvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.77
Edge+1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.14 across 125 games
-116 · draftkings
Brandon Nimmo
Brandon Nimmo
TEXvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.41
Edge−1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.82 across 144 games
+102 · draftkings
Nate Eaton
Nate Eaton
BOSvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.67
Edge−1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 15 games
-121 · draftkings
Wilyer Abreu
Wilyer Abreu
BOSvsTEXBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.99
Edge+0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 146 games
-232 · draftkings
Cody Freeman
Cody Freeman
TEXvsBOSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.59
Edge−0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 31 games
-122 · draftkings
Wyatt Langford
Wyatt Langford
TEXvsBOSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.71
Edge−0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 98 games
-145 · draftkings
Roman Anthony
Roman Anthony
BOSvsTEXBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge+0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 44 games
+177 · draftkings
Elias Diaz
BOS @ TEXBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Elias Diaz
BOS @ TEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Daikin Park38 leansFinal · graded

KC@HOU

Kansas City Royals at Houston Astros

first pitch
8:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Michael Wacha
probable · awayMichael Wacha
KC
Hunter Brown
probable · homeHunter Brown
HOU
Strikeouts
Hunter Brown
Hunter Brown
HOUvsKCPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER5.5
Projection7.05
Edge+19%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 8.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.9 K across 17 starts
-141 · draftkings
Michael Wacha
Michael WachaModel anomaly
KCvsHOUPitcherStrikeouts
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER4.5
Projection6.13
Edge+22.5%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.1 K across 29 starts
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-131 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Isaac Paredes
Isaac Paredes
HOUvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.39
Edge+19.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 143 games
+104 · draftkings
Michael Massey
Michael Massey
KCvsHOUBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.05
Edge+15.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 117 games
-137 · draftkings
Salvador Perez
Salvador Perez
KCvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.97
Edge+14.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.74 across 140 games
+118 · draftkings
Salvador Perez
Salvador Perez
KCvsHOUBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.09
Edge+14.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 140 games
-160 · draftkings
Vinnie Pasquantino
Vinnie Pasquantino
KCvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.79
Edge+11.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.78 across 103 games
+122 · draftkings
Carter Jensen
Carter Jensen
KCvsHOUBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.01
Edge+10.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 138 games
-166 · draftkings
Michael Massey
Michael Massey
KCvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.49
Edge+8.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 117 games
-165 · draftkings
Bobby Witt Jr.
Bobby Witt Jr.
KCvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.97
Edge+8.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.15 across 131 games
-104 · draftkings
Jac Caglianone
Jac Caglianone
KCvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.87
Edge+8.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.03 across 133 games
+111 · draftkings
Cam Smith
Cam Smith
HOUvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.63
Edge+8.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.57 across 139 games
+125 · draftkings
Isaac Paredes
Isaac Paredes
HOUvsKCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.02
Edge+7.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 143 games
-186 · draftkings
Yainer Diaz
Yainer Diaz
HOUvsKCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.21
Edge+7.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 81 games
-238 · draftkings
Yainer Diaz
Yainer Diaz
HOUvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.99
Edge+6.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 81 games
-113 · draftkings
Christian Walker
Christian Walker
HOUvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.57
Edge+3.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 144 games
+111 · draftkings
Vinnie Pasquantino
Vinnie Pasquantino
KCvsHOUBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.84
Edge+3.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 103 games
-163 · draftkings
Cam Smith
Cam Smith
HOUvsKCBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.77
Edge+3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 139 games
-144 · draftkings
Jac Caglianone
Jac Caglianone
KCvsHOUBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.95
Edge+2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 133 games
-182 · draftkings
Kyle Isbel
Kyle Isbel
KCvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.1
Edge+2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.30 across 87 games
-154 · draftkings
Carter Jensen
Carter JensenModel anomaly
KCvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.63
Edge+23.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.87 across 138 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+105 · draftkings
Taylor Trammell
Taylor Trammell
HOUvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.53
Edge−3.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.56 across 86 games
-122 · draftkings
Yordan Alvarez
Yordan Alvarez
HOUvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.86
Edge−3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.42 across 146 games
-146 · draftkings
Daulton Varsho
Daulton Varsho
HOUvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.76
Edge−2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 128 games
-180 · draftkings
Jose Altuve
Jose Altuve
HOUvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.77
Edge+2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 123 games
-116 · draftkings
Nick Loftin
Nick Loftin
KCvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.14
Edge−1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.48 across 110 games
-181 · draftkings
Bobby Witt Jr.
Bobby Witt Jr.
KCvsHOUBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.95
Edge+1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 131 games
-215 · draftkings
Isaac Collins
Isaac Collins
KCvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.92
Edge−0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.33 across 133 games
-164 · draftkings
Isaac Collins
Isaac Collins
KCvsHOUBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.45
Edge−0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 133 games
-114 · draftkings
Jose Altuve
Jose Altuve
HOUvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge−0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 123 games
-234 · draftkings
Yordan Alvarez
Yordan Alvarez
HOUvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.9
Edge−0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 146 games
+183 · draftkings
Christian Walker
Christian Walker
HOUvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.76
Edge−0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 144 games
-166 · draftkings
Nick Loftin
Nick Loftin
KCvsHOUBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.66
Edge−0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 110 games
-139 · draftkings
Kyle Isbel
Kyle Isbel
KCvsHOUBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.59
Edge−0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 87 games
-121 · draftkings
Taylor Trammell
Taylor Trammell
HOUvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.91
Edge−0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 86 games
-157 · draftkings
Daulton Varsho
Daulton Varsho
HOUvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.45
Edge−0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.51 across 128 games
+104 · draftkings
Jeremy Pena
KC @ HOUBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Jeremy Pena
KC @ HOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Coors Field38 leansFinal · graded

SD@COL

San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies

first pitch
8:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Walker Buehler
probable · awayWalker Buehler
SD
Kyle Freeland
probable · homeKyle Freeland
COL
Strikeouts
Walker Buehler
Walker Buehler
SDvsCOLPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER3.5
Projection4.26
Edge+13.3%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.2 K across 29 starts
-119 · draftkings
Kyle Freeland
Kyle FreelandModel anomaly
COLvsSDPitcherStrikeouts
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER2.5
Projection3.76
Edge+22.3%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.3 K across 24 starts
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+103 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Jake Cronenworth
Jake Cronenworth
SDvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER2.5
Projection1.32
Edge+18.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.44 across 96 games
-148 · draftkings
Austin Hays
Austin Hays
SDvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER2.5
Projection1.29
Edge+18.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.48 across 31 games
-153 · draftkings
Austin Hays
Austin Hays
SDvsCOLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.65
Edge+16.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 31 games
-213 · draftkings
Jake Cronenworth
Jake Cronenworth
SDvsCOLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.67
Edge+15.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 96 games
-213 · draftkings
Manny Machado
Manny Machado
SDvsCOLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.86
Edge+14.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 146 games
-159 · draftkings
Xander Bogaerts
Xander Bogaerts
SDvsCOLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.88
Edge+11%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 143 games
-192 · draftkings
Xander Bogaerts
Xander Bogaerts
SDvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER2.5
Projection1.78
Edge+9.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.55 across 143 games
-135 · draftkings
TJ Rumfield
TJ Rumfield
COLvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.38
Edge+9.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.96 across 145 games
-141 · draftkings
Luis Campusano
Luis Campusano
SDvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER2.5
Projection1.63
Edge+9.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.55 across 65 games
-144 · draftkings
TJ Rumfield
TJ Rumfield
COLvsSDBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.33
Edge+9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 145 games
-259 · draftkings
Adael Amador
Adael Amador
COLvsSDBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.05
Edge+8.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 16 games
-190 · draftkings
Luis Campusano
Luis Campusano
SDvsCOLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.85
Edge+8.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 65 games
-222 · draftkings
Jake McCarthy
Jake McCarthy
COLvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.6
Edge+7.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.29 across 131 games
-157 · draftkings
Mickey Moniak
Mickey Moniak
COLvsSDBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.68
Edge+5.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 107 games
+172 · draftkings
Manny Machado
Manny Machado
SDvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER2.5
Projection2.26
Edge+3.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.92 across 146 games
-105 · draftkings
Adael Amador
Adael AmadorModel anomaly
COLvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.51
Edge+20.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.62 across 16 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-103 · draftkings
Jackson Merrill
Jackson Merrill
SDvsCOLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.24
Edge−3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 146 games
+133 · draftkings
Brett Sullivan
Brett Sullivan
COLvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.25
Edge−2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.40 across 70 games
-139 · draftkings
Connor Norby
Connor Norby
COLvsSDBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection0.92
Edge+2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 94 games
-270 · draftkings
Ty France
Ty France
SDvsCOLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.25
Edge−2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 116 games
-167 · draftkings
Connor Norby
Connor Norby
COLvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.81
Edge−2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.41 across 94 games
-147 · draftkings
Cole Carrigg
Cole Carrigg
COLvsSDBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge−1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 78 games
-250 · draftkings
Jake McCarthy
Jake McCarthy
COLvsSDBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.26
Edge+1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.13 across 131 games
+164 · draftkings
Kyle Karros
Kyle Karros
COLvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.45
Edge−1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.71 across 117 games
-112 · draftkings
Ezequiel Tovar
Ezequiel Tovar
COLvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.5
Edge+1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.39 across 133 games
+107 · draftkings
Samad Taylor
Samad Taylor
SDvsCOLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.91
Edge−1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 36 games
-229 · draftkings
Jackson Merrill
Jackson Merrill
SDvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER2.5
Projection2.74
Edge+1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.08 across 146 games
-113 · draftkings
Brett Sullivan
Brett Sullivan
COLvsSDBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.63
Edge−1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.66 across 70 games
+122 · draftkings
Samad Taylor
Samad Taylor
SDvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.58
Edge−1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 36 games
+104 · draftkings
Kyle Karros
Kyle Karros
COLvsSDBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.76
Edge+1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 117 games
+170 · draftkings
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SDvsCOLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.27
Edge+0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 148 games
-138 · draftkings
Mickey Moniak
Mickey Moniak
COLvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.49
Edge−0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 107 games
-103 · draftkings
Ezequiel Tovar
Ezequiel Tovar
COLvsSDBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.75
Edge−0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 133 games
-162 · draftkings
Ty France
Ty France
SDvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER2.5
Projection2.31
Edge−0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.02 across 116 games
-116 · draftkings
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SDvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER2.5
Projection2.58
Edge+0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.25 across 148 games
+107 · draftkings
Cole Carrigg
Cole Carrigg
COLvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.86
Edge+0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.01 across 78 games
-130 · draftkings
Angel Stadium38 leansFinal · graded

SEA@LAA

Seattle Mariners at Los Angeles Angels

first pitch
9:38 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Logan Gilbert
probable · awayLogan Gilbert
SEA
Ryan Johnson
probable · homeRyan Johnson
LAA
Strikeouts
Logan Gilbert
Logan Gilbert
SEAvsLAAPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER6.5
Projection7.49
Edge+13.9%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 8.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 6.5 K across 29 starts
-121 · draftkings
Ryan Johnson
Ryan Johnson
LAAvsSEAPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
UNDER4.5
Projection3.88
Edge−0.2%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.3 K across 19 starts
-164 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Zach Neto
Zach Neto
LAAvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.47
Edge+18.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.13 across 145 games
+106 · draftkings
Randy Arozarena
Randy Arozarena
SEAvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.68
Edge+13.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.10
  • SeasonSeason average 2.26 across 143 games
-127 · draftkings
Mike Trout
Mike Trout
LAAvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.9
Edge+11.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 131 games
+113 · draftkings
Jose Siri
Jose Siri
LAAvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.39
Edge+11.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.27 across 80 games
-137 · draftkings
Wade Meckler
Wade Meckler
LAAvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.64
Edge+11%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 82 games
+137 · draftkings
Zach Neto
Zach Neto
LAAvsSEABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.13
Edge+11%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 145 games
-177 · draftkings
Denzer Guzman
Denzer Guzman
LAAvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.59
Edge+10.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.59 across 68 games
+138 · draftkings
Cole Young
Cole Young
SEAvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.11
Edge+9.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.82 across 149 games
-111 · draftkings
Mike Trout
Mike Trout
LAAvsSEABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.99
Edge+9.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 131 games
-167 · draftkings
Brock Rodden
Brock Rodden
SEAvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.12
Edge+9.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 21 games
-149 · draftkings
Cal Raleigh
Cal Raleigh
SEAvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.14
Edge+8.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.59 across 116 games
-120 · draftkings
Josh Naylor
Josh Naylor
SEAvsLAABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.18
Edge+8.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 141 games
-222 · draftkings
Josh Naylor
Josh Naylor
SEAvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.96
Edge+7.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.82 across 141 games
-110 · draftkings
Christian Moore
Christian Moore
LAAvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.04
Edge+6.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 27 games
-145 · draftkings
Lazaro Montes
Lazaro Montes
SEAvsLAABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.4
Edge+6.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.50 across 12 games
+109 · draftkings
Randy Arozarena
Randy Arozarena
SEAvsLAABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.17
Edge+6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 143 games
-231 · draftkings
Vaughn Grissom
Vaughn Grissom
LAAvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.57
Edge+4.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 106 games
+115 · draftkings
Josh Lowe
Josh Lowe
LAAvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.88
Edge+4.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.15 across 97 games
-128 · draftkings
Jose Siri
Jose Siri
LAAvsSEABatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.64
Edge+3.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.57 across 80 games
-113 · draftkings
Josh Lowe
Josh Lowe
LAAvsSEABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.44
Edge−3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.59 across 97 games
-102 · draftkings
Vaughn Grissom
Vaughn Grissom
LAAvsSEABatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.73
Edge−2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 106 games
+134 · draftkings
Dominic Canzone
Dominic Canzone
SEAvsLAABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.01
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 135 games
-235 · draftkings
Cole Young
Cole Young
SEAvsLAABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1
Edge+2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 149 games
-220 · draftkings
Dominic Canzone
Dominic Canzone
SEAvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.91
Edge+2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 135 games
-129 · draftkings
Lazaro Montes
Lazaro Montes
SEAvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.34
Edge+1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.58 across 12 games
+122 · draftkings
Brock Rodden
Brock Rodden
SEAvsLAABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.59
Edge+1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.57 across 21 games
-112 · draftkings
Denzer Guzman
Denzer Guzman
LAAvsSEABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.74
Edge+1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 68 games
-149 · draftkings
Cal Raleigh
Cal Raleigh
SEAvsLAABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge−1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 116 games
-193 · draftkings
J.P. Crawford
J.P. Crawford
SEAvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.8
Edge+1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.59 across 105 games
-124 · draftkings
Wade Meckler
Wade Meckler
LAAvsSEABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.8
Edge+1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 82 games
-168 · draftkings
J.P. Crawford
J.P. Crawford
SEAvsLAABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.9
Edge−0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 105 games
-223 · draftkings
Christian Moore
Christian Moore
LAAvsSEABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.61
Edge+0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.63 across 27 games
-119 · draftkings
Julio Rodriguez
SEA @ LAABatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Moises Ballesteros
SEA @ LAABatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Julio Rodriguez
SEA @ LAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Moises Ballesteros
SEA @ LAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Chase Field38 leansFinal · graded

MIA@AZ

Miami Marlins at Arizona Diamondbacks

first pitch
9:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Janson Junk
probable · awayJanson Junk
MIA
Michael Soroka
probable · homeMichael Soroka
AZ
Strikeouts
Janson Junk
Janson Junk
MIAvsAZPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
UNDER2.5
Projection2.55
Edge−2.9%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.2 K across 23 starts
-107 · draftkings
Michael Soroka
Michael Soroka
AZvsMIAPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
OVER4.5
Projection4.45
Edge−1%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.0 K across 19 starts
-101 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Jakob Marsee
Jakob Marsee
MIAvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.13
Edge+19.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 142 games
+121 · draftkings
Otto Lopez
Otto Lopez
MIAvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.5
Edge+14.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.29 across 147 games
-124 · draftkings
Jakob Marsee
Jakob Marsee
MIAvsAZBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.13
Edge+13.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 142 games
-163 · draftkings
Joe Mack
Joe Mack
MIAvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.75
Edge+13.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.60 across 95 games
-159 · draftkings
Nolan Arenado
Nolan Arenado
AZvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.13
Edge+11.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 141 games
-101 · draftkings
Griffin Conine
Griffin Conine
MIAvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.11
Edge+11.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.72 across 82 games
-101 · draftkings
Gabriel Moreno
Gabriel Moreno
AZvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.31
Edge+10%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.23 across 120 games
-137 · draftkings
Javier Sanoja
Javier Sanoja
MIAvsAZBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.19
Edge+9.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 125 games
-204 · draftkings
Pavin Smith
Pavin Smith
AZvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.88
Edge+8.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 30 games
-158 · draftkings
Otto Lopez
Otto Lopez
MIAvsAZBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.31
Edge+8.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.22 across 147 games
-256 · draftkings
Griffin Conine
Griffin Conine
MIAvsAZBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.99
Edge+7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 82 games
-179 · draftkings
Nolan Arenado
Nolan Arenado
AZvsMIABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge+5.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 141 games
-192 · draftkings
Pavin Smith
Pavin Smith
AZvsMIABatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.47
Edge+3.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.43 across 30 games
+110 · draftkings
Gabriel Moreno
Gabriel Moreno
AZvsMIABatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.2
Edge+3.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 120 games
+202 · draftkings
Esteury Ruiz
Esteury Ruiz
MIAvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge+3.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 84 games
-131 · draftkings
Tim Tawa
Tim Tawa
AZvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.72
Edge+3.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.63 across 87 games
-104 · draftkings
Jordan Lawlar
Jordan Lawlar
AZvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.46
Edge+3.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.62 across 34 games
+118 · draftkings
Ketel Marte
Ketel Marte
AZvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.15
Edge+3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.10 across 130 games
-147 · draftkings
Joe Mack
Joe Mack
MIAvsAZBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.7
Edge+2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 95 games
-131 · draftkings
Javier Sanoja
Javier SanojaModel anomaly
MIAvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.63
Edge+21.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 125 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+104 · draftkings
Kyle Stowers
Kyle Stowers
MIAvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.6
Edge−2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 113 games
-121 · draftkings
Esteury Ruiz
Esteury Ruiz
MIAvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.45
Edge−2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.50 across 84 games
-102 · draftkings
Jordan Lawlar
Jordan Lawlar
AZvsMIABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.7
Edge−2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 34 games
-156 · draftkings
Xavier Edwards
Xavier Edwards
MIAvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.73
Edge+1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.87 across 137 games
-118 · draftkings
Lars Nootbaar
Lars Nootbaar
AZvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.52
Edge+1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.54 across 80 games
+109 · draftkings
Xavier Edwards
Xavier Edwards
MIAvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.03
Edge+1.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 137 games
-254 · draftkings
Corbin Carroll
Corbin Carroll
AZvsMIABatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.8
Edge+1.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 145 games
+185 · draftkings
Geraldo Perdomo
Geraldo Perdomo
AZvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.5
Edge−1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.69 across 146 games
-106 · draftkings
Kyle Stowers
Kyle Stowers
MIAvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.8
Edge−1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 113 games
+159 · draftkings
Geraldo Perdomo
Geraldo Perdomo
AZvsMIABatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.85
Edge−0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 146 games
+176 · draftkings
Lars Nootbaar
Lars Nootbaar
AZvsMIABatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge+0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 80 games
+191 · draftkings
Ketel Marte
Ketel Marte
AZvsMIABatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1
Edge−0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 130 games
-266 · draftkings
Corbin Carroll
Corbin Carroll
AZvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.88
Edge−0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 145 games
-138 · draftkings
Tim Tawa
Tim Tawa
AZvsMIABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.84
Edge−0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 87 games
-187 · draftkings
Heriberto Hernandez
MIA @ AZBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Heriberto Hernandez
MIA @ AZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
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