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MLB model board · 2026-09-09

15 MLB games · 528 model-vs-market reads

Projections for pitcher strikeouts and batter markets only. Home runs live on Homer Nukes because the variance profile is different.

Market context, not picks. Calibration notice (audit 2026-07-21): across 18,659 settled leans, none of these markets' model probabilities out-predict the market on Brier or log loss — the model is overconfident (its high-confidence reads under-perform). Treat the model number as a market-anchored research signal, not a proven advantage; the market price is the better probability. Paper / review / educational only — never a bet. Total bases is disabled for prediction and is not listed here; its settled history stays on Results.

SCHEDULEliveMODEL LEANSavailableUPDATEDSep 9, 1:16 PM ETeducational analytics only
Gap ≥ 5 pp
177
model vs market · context
Gap 2.5–5 pp
82
model vs market · context
Small gap
207
12 anomalies shown separately
Sample too small
50
no projection emitted
Strikeouts12 gap ≥ 5 pp·26 totalHits56 gap ≥ 5 pp·251 totalHits + Runs + RBIs109 gap ≥ 5 pp·251 total
Highest model probabilities · 8 shown
Market context · no model anomalies
Cody Bellinger
Cody BellingerNYY vs COL
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsOver 0.5+8%
proj 1.24-257 · draftkings
Tyler Stephenson
Tyler StephensonCIN vs LAD
Gap ≥ 5 pp
Hits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.5+18%
proj 2.01-163 · draftkings
TJ Rumfield
TJ RumfieldCOL vs NYY
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsOver 0.5+14.2%
proj 1.27-189 · draftkings
Jackson Chourio
Jackson ChourioMIL vs CHC
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsOver 0.5+7%
proj 1.34-260 · draftkings
Carson Kelly
Carson KellyCHC vs MIL
Gap ≥ 5 pp
Hits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.5+15.3%
proj 2.15-175 · draftkings
Geraldo Perdomo
Geraldo PerdomoAZ vs KC
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsUnder 1.5+9.1%
proj 0.75-230 · draftkings
Rafael Devers
Rafael DeversSF vs STL
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsOver 0.5+8.3%
proj 1.19-234 · draftkings
Jake McCarthy
Jake McCarthyCOL vs NYY
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsOver 0.5+8.4%
proj 1.21-232 · draftkings
Filters · 528 of 528 leans
Market
Gap size
Team
Sort
Density
Comerica Park0 leans

MIN@DET

Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers

first pitch
1:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Zebby Matthews
probable · awayZebby Matthews
MIN
Keider Montero
probable · homeKeider Montero
DET
prop lines pending
Lines have not posted yet for this matchup. When books post lines, projections appear here for pitcher strikeouts, batter hits, and batter total bases.
Sutter Health Park36 leansFinal · graded

TOR@ATH

Toronto Blue Jays at Athletics

first pitch
3:05 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Braydon Fisher
probable · awayBraydon Fisher
TOR
Brady Basso
probable · homeBrady Basso
ATH
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Zack Gelof
Zack Gelof
ATHvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.4
Edge+17.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.11 across 91 games
-103 · draftkings
Henry Bolte
Henry Bolte
ATHvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.22
Edge+9.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.74 across 101 games
-125 · draftkings
Ernie Clement
Ernie Clement
TORvsATHBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.82
Edge+8.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 142 games
-218 · draftkings
Jeff McNeil
Jeff McNeil
ATHvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.07
Edge+7.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 129 games
-116 · draftkings
Carlos Cortes
Carlos Cortes
ATHvsTORBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge+5.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 108 games
-144 · draftkings
Donovan Walton
Donovan Walton
ATHvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.43
Edge+5.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.55 across 67 games
+135 · draftkings
Alika Williams
Alika Williams
ATHvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.49
Edge+5.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.28 across 68 games
+126 · draftkings
Brett Bateman
Brett Bateman
TORvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.19
Edge+5.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.19 across 27 games
-169 · draftkings
Lawrence Butler
Lawrence Butler
ATHvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.64
Edge+4.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.49 across 133 games
+106 · draftkings
Carlos Cortes
Carlos Cortes
ATHvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.44
Edge+4.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.37 across 108 games
+128 · draftkings
Nathan Lukes
Nathan Lukes
TORvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.98
Edge+4.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.65 across 107 games
-131 · draftkings
Nathan Lukes
Nathan Lukes
TORvsATHBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.11
Edge+3.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 107 games
-255 · draftkings
Ernie Clement
Ernie Clement
TORvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1.53
Edge+3.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 142 games
+119 · draftkings
Brett Bateman
Brett Bateman
TORvsATHBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.27
Edge+3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.33 across 27 games
+167 · draftkings
Henry Bolte
Henry Bolte
ATHvsTORBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.14
Edge+3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 101 games
-251 · draftkings
Alejandro Kirk
Alejandro Kirk
TORvsATHBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1.04
Edge+2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 67 games
-208 · draftkings
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
TORvsATHBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1.04
Edge+2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 131 games
-198 · draftkings
Donovan Walton
Donovan Walton
ATHvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.62
Edge−3.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 67 games
-144 · draftkings
George Springer
George Springer
TORvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER2.5
Projection2.22
Edge−3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 110 games
-146 · draftkings
Zack Gelof
Zack Gelof
ATHvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.92
Edge+2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 91 games
-202 · draftkings
Jonah Heim
Jonah Heim
ATHvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.71
Edge−1.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 94 games
-159 · draftkings
Myles Straw
Myles Straw
TORvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.77
Edge−1.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.54 across 114 games
-178 · draftkings
Lawrence Butler
Lawrence Butler
ATHvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.75
Edge−1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 133 games
-171 · draftkings
George Springer
George Springer
TORvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.06
Edge+1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 110 games
-217 · draftkings
Kazuma Okamoto
Kazuma Okamoto
TORvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.98
Edge−0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 139 games
-258 · draftkings
Alika Williams
Alika Williams
ATHvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.75
Edge+0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 68 games
-156 · draftkings
Jeff McNeil
Jeff McNeil
ATHvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.04
Edge+0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 129 games
-253 · draftkings
Jonah Heim
Jonah Heim
ATHvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.3
Edge+0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.50 across 94 games
+121 · draftkings
Myles Straw
Myles Straw
TORvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.49
Edge−0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 114 games
+100 · draftkings
Alejandro Kirk
Alejandro Kirk
TORvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER2.5
Projection2.06
Edge+0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.82 across 67 games
-147 · draftkings
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
TORvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER2.5
Projection2.11
Edge0%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.92 across 131 games
-139 · draftkings
Kazuma Okamoto
Kazuma Okamoto
TORvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER2.5
Projection2.3
Edge0%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 139 games
+117 · draftkings
Andres Gimenez
TOR @ ATHBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Max Muncy (2002)
TOR @ ATHBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Andres Gimenez
TOR @ ATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Max Muncy (2002)
TOR @ ATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Oracle Park38 leansFinal · graded

STL@SF

St. Louis Cardinals at San Francisco Giants

first pitch
3:45 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Andre Pallante
probable · awayAndre Pallante
STL
Blade Tidwell
probable · homeBlade Tidwell
SF
Strikeouts
Blade Tidwell
Blade Tidwell
SFvsSTLPitcherStrikeouts
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER4.5
Projection4.09
Edge+4.7%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 2.6 K across 14 starts
-113 · draftkings
Andre Pallante
Andre Pallante
STLvsSFPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
UNDER3.5
Projection3.23
Edge−1.5%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.9 K across 25 starts
-133 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Rafael Devers
Rafael Devers
SFvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection3.05
Edge+19.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.19 across 146 games
-126 · draftkings
Turner Hill
Turner Hill
SFvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.15
Edge+14.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 20 games
+101 · draftkings
Bryce Eldridge
Bryce Eldridge
SFvsSTLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.17
Edge+14.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 100 games
-175 · draftkings
Christian Koss
Christian Koss
SFvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.83
Edge+13.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.25 across 51 games
+125 · draftkings
Nathan Church
Nathan Church
STLvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.77
Edge+12.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.65 across 116 games
+131 · draftkings
Nathan Church
Nathan Church
STLvsSFBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.9
Edge+9.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 116 games
-144 · draftkings
Drew Gilbert
Drew Gilbert
SFvsSTLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.46
Edge+8.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.63 across 115 games
+131 · draftkings
Rafael Devers
Rafael Devers
SFvsSTLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.19
Edge+8.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 146 games
-234 · draftkings
Jordan Walker
Jordan Walker
STLvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.02
Edge+5.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.44 across 142 games
-115 · draftkings
Osleivis Basabe
Osleivis Basabe
SFvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.44
Edge+3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.38 across 34 games
+120 · draftkings
Bryce Eldridge
Bryce EldridgeModel anomaly
SFvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.4
Edge+21.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 100 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+110 · draftkings
Drew Gilbert
Drew Gilbert
SFvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.22
Edge−2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.33 across 115 games
-147 · draftkings
Bryan Torres
Bryan Torres
STLvsSFBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.77
Edge−2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 57 games
+151 · draftkings
Jung Hoo Lee
Jung Hoo Lee
SFvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge+2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 133 games
+182 · draftkings
Masyn Winn
Masyn Winn
STLvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.39
Edge−2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 121 games
+102 · draftkings
Jung Hoo Lee
Jung Hoo Lee
SFvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.61
Edge−1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.92 across 133 games
-116 · draftkings
Turner Hill
Turner Hill
SFvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.88
Edge−1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 20 games
-189 · draftkings
Osleivis Basabe
Osleivis Basabe
SFvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.59
Edge+1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 34 games
+124 · draftkings
Masyn Winn
Masyn Winn
STLvsSFBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.68
Edge+1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 121 games
+147 · draftkings
Nolan Gorman
Nolan Gorman
STLvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.2
Edge−1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.31 across 75 games
+132 · draftkings
Nolan Gorman
Nolan Gorman
STLvsSFBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.49
Edge+1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.59 across 75 games
+102 · draftkings
Drew Cavanaugh
Drew Cavanaugh
SFvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.93
Edge−0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 46 games
-167 · draftkings
Christian Koss
Christian Koss
SFvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.77
Edge+0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 51 games
-161 · draftkings
Jordan Walker
Jordan Walker
STLvsSFBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.95
Edge+0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 142 games
-217 · draftkings
Shay Whitcomb
Shay Whitcomb
SFvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.49
Edge+0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.38 across 29 games
+100 · draftkings
Alec Burleson
Alec Burleson
STLvsSFBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection0.94
Edge+0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 145 games
-269 · draftkings
Drew Cavanaugh
Drew Cavanaugh
SFvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.62
Edge−0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.63 across 46 games
-125 · draftkings
Bryan Torres
Bryan Torres
STLvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.31
Edge−0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.23 across 57 games
-126 · draftkings
Shay Whitcomb
Shay Whitcomb
SFvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.76
Edge0%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 29 games
+131 · draftkings
Alec Burleson
Alec Burleson
STLvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.98
Edge0%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.36 across 145 games
-141 · draftkings
Ivan Herrera
STL @ SFBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Leonardo Bernal
STL @ SFBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Joshua Baez
STL @ SFBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Ivan Herrera
STL @ SFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Leonardo Bernal
STL @ SFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Joshua Baez
STL @ SFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Petco Park38 leansFinal · graded

WSH@SD

Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres

first pitch
4:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Jackson Kent
probable · awayJackson Kent
WSH
Walker Buehler
probable · homeWalker Buehler
SD
Strikeouts
Jackson Kent
Jackson Kent
WSHvsSDPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER3.5
Projection4.09
Edge+5.7%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.2 K across 5 starts
-142 · draftkings
Walker Buehler
Walker Buehler
SDvsWSHPitcherStrikeouts
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER3.5
Projection4.26
Edge+4.3%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.2 K across 28 starts
-171 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Brady House
Brady House
WSHvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.29
Edge+19.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 80 games
+115 · draftkings
Manny Machado
Manny Machado
SDvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.52
Edge+14.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.94 across 141 games
-118 · draftkings
Dylan Crews
Dylan Crews
WSHvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.99
Edge+14.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 92 games
+110 · draftkings
Keibert Ruiz
Keibert Ruiz
WSHvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2
Edge+13.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 91 games
+117 · draftkings
Daylen Lile
Daylen Lile
WSHvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.07
Edge+13.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 2.04 across 145 games
+112 · draftkings
Jacob Young
Jacob Young
WSHvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.46
Edge+10.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.62 across 119 games
-160 · draftkings
Keibert Ruiz
Keibert Ruiz
WSHvsSDBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.07
Edge+10.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 91 games
-178 · draftkings
Brady House
Brady House
WSHvsSDBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.98
Edge+8.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 80 games
-171 · draftkings
Manny Machado
Manny Machado
SDvsWSHBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.12
Edge+8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 141 games
-207 · draftkings
Ty France
Ty France
SDvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.13
Edge+6.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.96 across 114 games
-122 · draftkings
Austin Hays
Austin Hays
SDvsWSHBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.46
Edge+6.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 29 games
+119 · draftkings
Dylan Crews
Dylan Crews
WSHvsSDBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.92
Edge+5.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 92 games
-175 · draftkings
Luis Campusano
Luis Campusano
SDvsWSHBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.81
Edge+5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 60 games
-141 · draftkings
Jacob Young
Jacob Young
WSHvsSDBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.75
Edge+4.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 119 games
-131 · draftkings
Ty France
Ty France
SDvsWSHBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.09
Edge+4.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 114 games
-227 · draftkings
CJ Abrams
CJ Abrams
WSHvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.75
Edge+4.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.30 across 138 games
+100 · draftkings
Jake Cronenworth
Jake Cronenworth
SDvsWSHBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.46
Edge+4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 92 games
+109 · draftkings
Jorbit Vivas
Jorbit Vivas
WSHvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.07
Edge+4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 106 games
-159 · draftkings
Luis Campusano
Luis Campusano
SDvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.5
Edge+3.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.60 across 60 games
+117 · draftkings
Daylen Lile
Daylen Lile
WSHvsSDBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.93
Edge+3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 145 games
-182 · draftkings
James Wood
James Wood
WSHvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.84
Edge+3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.48 across 120 games
-112 · draftkings
Jake Cronenworth
Jake Cronenworth
SDvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.95
Edge+2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.40 across 92 games
-160 · draftkings
Austin Hays
Austin Hays
SDvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.02
Edge+2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.34 across 29 games
-152 · draftkings
Jorbit Vivas
Jorbit Vivas
WSHvsSDBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.66
Edge+2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 106 games
-124 · draftkings
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SDvsWSHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.05
Edge−1.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 143 games
+189 · draftkings
Jackson Merrill
Jackson Merrill
SDvsWSHBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge−1.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 141 games
+168 · draftkings
Xander Bogaerts
Xander Bogaerts
SDvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.45
Edge−1.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.50 across 138 games
-112 · draftkings
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SDvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection2.19
Edge+1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.18 across 143 games
-166 · draftkings
CJ Abrams
CJ Abrams
WSHvsSDBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.7
Edge−1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 138 games
+135 · draftkings
Jackson Merrill
Jackson Merrill
SDvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.68
Edge−1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.96 across 141 games
-120 · draftkings
Abimelec Ortiz
Abimelec Ortiz
WSHvsSDBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.57
Edge+0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 34 games
+118 · draftkings
Samad Taylor
Samad Taylor
SDvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.37
Edge−0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 32 games
+110 · draftkings
James Wood
James Wood
WSHvsSDBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.91
Edge+0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 120 games
-193 · draftkings
Samad Taylor
Samad Taylor
SDvsWSHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.8
Edge−0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 32 games
-175 · draftkings
Abimelec Ortiz
Abimelec Ortiz
WSHvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.21
Edge−0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.41 across 34 games
+130 · draftkings
Xander Bogaerts
Xander Bogaerts
SDvsWSHBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.72
Edge+0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 138 games
+154 · draftkings
T-Mobile Park38 leansFinal · graded

TEX@SEA

Texas Rangers at Seattle Mariners

first pitch
4:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Cody Bradford
probable · awayCody Bradford
TEX
Kade Anderson
probable · homeKade Anderson
SEA
Strikeouts
Cody Bradford
Cody BradfordModel anomaly
TEXvsSEAPitcherStrikeouts
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
UNDER3.5
Projection2.3
Edge+31.3%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 2.7 K across 6 starts
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+124 · draftkings
Kade Anderson
Kade AndersonModel anomaly
SEAvsTEXPitcherStrikeouts
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
UNDER5.5
Projection3.67
Edge+27.2%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.7 K across 3 starts
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-151 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Jake Burger
Jake Burger
TEXvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.1
Edge+17.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 138 games
+127 · draftkings
Corey Seager
Corey Seager
TEXvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.2
Edge+14.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 84 games
+101 · draftkings
Cody Freeman
Cody Freeman
TEXvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.29
Edge+14.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.17 across 29 games
-141 · draftkings
Brandon Nimmo
Brandon Nimmo
TEXvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.11
Edge+13.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.82 across 139 games
+108 · draftkings
Cal Raleigh
Cal Raleigh
SEAvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.23
Edge+11.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 110 games
-114 · draftkings
Randy Arozarena
Randy Arozarena
SEAvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.49
Edge+10.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.18 across 137 games
-128 · draftkings
Justin Foscue
Justin Foscue
TEXvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.64
Edge+10.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.28 across 85 games
-172 · draftkings
Wyatt Langford
Wyatt Langford
TEXvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.73
Edge+9.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.96 across 93 games
+122 · draftkings
Jake Burger
Jake Burger
TEXvsSEABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.88
Edge+8.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 138 games
-145 · draftkings
Ezequiel Duran
Ezequiel Duran
TEXvsSEABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.09
Edge+7.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 134 games
-186 · draftkings
Cal Raleigh
Cal Raleigh
SEAvsTEXBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.98
Edge+7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 110 games
-181 · draftkings
Justin Foscue
Justin Foscue
TEXvsSEABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge+6.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 85 games
-137 · draftkings
Brandon Nimmo
Brandon Nimmo
TEXvsSEABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.1
Edge+6.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 139 games
-192 · draftkings
Cole Young
Cole Young
SEAvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.7
Edge+6.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.79 across 143 games
+108 · draftkings
Logan O'Hoppe
Logan O'Hoppe
TEXvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.2
Edge+5.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.30 across 79 games
-166 · draftkings
Weston Wilson
Weston Wilson
SEAvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.06
Edge+4.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 53 games
-160 · draftkings
Cody Freeman
Cody Freeman
TEXvsSEABatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.69
Edge+4.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 29 games
-118 · draftkings
J.P. Crawford
J.P. Crawford
SEAvsTEXBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.94
Edge+3.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 99 games
-193 · draftkings
J.P. Crawford
J.P. Crawford
SEAvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.62
Edge+3.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.54 across 99 games
+104 · draftkings
Randy Arozarena
Randy Arozarena
SEAvsTEXBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.06
Edge+2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 137 games
-228 · draftkings
Corey Seager
Corey Seager
TEXvsSEABatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.92
Edge+2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 84 games
-190 · draftkings
Ezequiel Duran
Ezequiel DuranModel anomaly
TEXvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.43
Edge+20.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.05 across 134 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+109 · draftkings
Wyatt Langford
Wyatt Langford
TEXvsSEABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.67
Edge−3.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 93 games
-153 · draftkings
Logan O'Hoppe
Logan O'Hoppe
TEXvsSEABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.59
Edge−2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 79 games
-132 · draftkings
Weston Wilson
Weston Wilson
SEAvsTEXBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.55
Edge−2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.49 across 53 games
-120 · draftkings
Dominic Canzone
Dominic Canzone
SEAvsTEXBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.91
Edge−1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 129 games
-237 · draftkings
Josh Naylor
Josh Naylor
SEAvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.7
Edge+0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.79 across 135 games
-115 · draftkings
Cole Young
Cole Young
SEAvsTEXBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.85
Edge+0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 143 games
-181 · draftkings
Dominic Canzone
Dominic Canzone
SEAvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.8
Edge+0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.71 across 129 games
-126 · draftkings
Josh Naylor
Josh Naylor
SEAvsTEXBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.02
Edge−0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 135 games
-253 · draftkings
Julio Rodriguez
TEX @ SEABatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Michael Arroyo
Michael Arroyo
SEAvsTEXBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (2 games of log data)
— · draftkings
Elias Diaz
TEX @ SEABatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Julio Rodriguez
TEX @ SEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Michael Arroyo
Michael Arroyo
SEAvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (2 games of log data)
— · draftkings
Elias Diaz
TEX @ SEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Oriole Park at Camden Yards38 leansFinal · graded

CLE@BAL

Cleveland Guardians at Baltimore Orioles

first pitch
6:35 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Foster Griffin
probable · awayFoster Griffin
CLE
Shane Baz
probable · homeShane Baz
BAL
Strikeouts
Foster Griffin
Foster Griffin
CLEvsBALPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER5.5
Projection4.3
Edge+15.5%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.1 K across 28 starts
-118 · draftkings
Shane Baz
Shane Baz
BALvsCLEPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER4.5
Projection4.71
Edge+7.1%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.2 K across 28 starts
+115 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Brayan Rocchio
Brayan Rocchio
CLEvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.91
Edge+12%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.72 across 139 games
+112 · draftkings
Travis Bazzana
Travis Bazzana
CLEvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.03
Edge+10.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 108 games
+103 · draftkings
Coby Mayo
Coby Mayo
BALvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.96
Edge+6.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.71 across 112 games
-111 · draftkings
Pete Alonso
Pete Alonso
BALvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.08
Edge+4.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.26 across 146 games
-129 · draftkings
Angel Genao
Angel Genao
CLEvsBALBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.66
Edge+3.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 29 games
+153 · draftkings
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
BALvsCLEBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.73
Edge+3.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 44 games
+166 · draftkings
Patrick Bailey
Patrick Bailey
CLEvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.42
Edge+3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.25 across 93 games
+123 · draftkings
Leody Taveras
Leody Taveras
BALvsCLEBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.5
Edge+2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 122 games
+112 · draftkings
Nathaniel Lowe
Nathaniel Lowe
CLEvsBALBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.65
Edge+2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 110 games
+147 · draftkings
Dylan Beavers
Dylan Beavers
BALvsCLEBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.66
Edge−3.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 88 games
-156 · draftkings
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
BALvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.5
Edge−3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 44 games
-114 · draftkings
Jackson Holliday
Jackson Holliday
BALvsCLEBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge−3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 92 games
-194 · draftkings
Dylan Beavers
Dylan Beavers
BALvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.18
Edge−2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.47 across 88 games
+125 · draftkings
Steven Kwan
Steven Kwan
CLEvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.76
Edge−2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.71 across 135 games
-143 · draftkings
Jo Adell
Jo Adell
CLEvsBALBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.95
Edge−2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 143 games
-239 · draftkings
Pete Alonso
Pete Alonso
BALvsCLEBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.9
Edge−2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 146 games
+182 · draftkings
Blaze Alexander
Blaze Alexander
BALvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.62
Edge−2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.75 across 83 games
+100 · draftkings
Coby Mayo
Coby Mayo
BALvsCLEBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.8
Edge−2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 112 games
-195 · draftkings
Jo Adell
Jo Adell
CLEvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection2.01
Edge+2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.92 across 143 games
-131 · draftkings
Angel Genao
Angel Genao
CLEvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.34
Edge−2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.48 across 29 games
-129 · draftkings
Travis Bazzana
Travis Bazzana
CLEvsBALBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge+2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 108 games
-177 · draftkings
Patrick Bailey
Patrick Bailey
CLEvsBALBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.76
Edge+1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 93 games
-151 · draftkings
Steven Kwan
Steven Kwan
CLEvsBALBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.04
Edge−1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 135 games
-238 · draftkings
Petey Halpin
Petey Halpin
CLEvsBALBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.54
Edge−1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.58 across 59 games
+102 · draftkings
Jackson Holliday
Jackson Holliday
BALvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.56
Edge+1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.52 across 92 games
+100 · draftkings
Petey Halpin
Petey Halpin
CLEvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.99
Edge−1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 59 games
-171 · draftkings
Rece Hinds
Rece Hinds
BALvsCLEBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.48
Edge−0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.47 across 15 games
-107 · draftkings
Rece Hinds
Rece Hinds
BALvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.87
Edge+0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 15 games
-159 · draftkings
Leody Taveras
Leody Taveras
BALvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.24
Edge+0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.58 across 122 games
+132 · draftkings
Brayan Rocchio
Brayan Rocchio
CLEvsBALBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.84
Edge+0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 139 games
-181 · draftkings
Nathaniel Lowe
Nathaniel Lowe
CLEvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.62
Edge+0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.65 across 110 games
-108 · draftkings
Blaze Alexander
Blaze Alexander
BALvsCLEBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.93
Edge+0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 83 games
+198 · draftkings
Jose Ramirez
CLE @ BALBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Carlos Narvaez
CLE @ BALBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Jose Ramirez
CLE @ BALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Carlos Narvaez
CLE @ BALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Citizens Bank Park38 leansFinal · graded

HOU@PHI

Houston Astros at Philadelphia Phillies

first pitch
6:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Hunter Brown
probable · awayHunter Brown
HOU
Cristopher Sánchez
probable · homeCristopher Sánchez
PHI
Strikeouts
Hunter Brown
Hunter BrownModel anomaly
HOUvsPHIPitcherStrikeouts
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER4.5
Projection6.47
Edge+23.9%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.8 K across 16 starts
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-142 · draftkings
Cristopher Sanchez
HOU @ PHIPitcherStrikeouts
Sample too small
Line6.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Yainer Diaz
Yainer Diaz
HOUvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.23
Edge+18.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.87 across 76 games
+118 · draftkings
Nick Allen
Nick Allen
HOUvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.32
Edge+10.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.24 across 55 games
-151 · draftkings
Isaac Paredes
Isaac Paredes
HOUvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.96
Edge+10.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.93 across 138 games
+104 · draftkings
Yainer Diaz
Yainer Diaz
HOUvsPHIBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.14
Edge+9.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 76 games
-194 · draftkings
Daulton Varsho
Daulton Varsho
HOUvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.57
Edge+9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.54 across 123 games
+134 · draftkings
Nick Allen
Nick Allen
HOUvsPHIBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.78
Edge+7.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 55 games
-124 · draftkings
Kyle Schwarber
Kyle Schwarber
PHIvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.23
Edge+6.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.17 across 139 games
-123 · draftkings
Jose Altuve
Jose Altuve
HOUvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.78
Edge+6.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 118 games
+103 · draftkings
Trea Turner
Trea Turner
PHIvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.01
Edge+5.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.03 across 140 games
-121 · draftkings
Bryce Harper
Bryce Harper
PHIvsHOUBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.08
Edge+5.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 144 games
-203 · draftkings
Christian Walker
Christian Walker
HOUvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.6
Edge+4.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 139 games
+112 · draftkings
Alec Bohm
Alec Bohm
PHIvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.9
Edge+4.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 137 games
-115 · draftkings
Cam Smith
Cam Smith
HOUvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.37
Edge+4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.54 across 134 games
-179 · draftkings
Bryson Stott
Bryson Stott
PHIvsHOUBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.64
Edge+3.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 138 games
+150 · draftkings
Bryce Harper
Bryce Harper
PHIvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.85
Edge+2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.10 across 144 games
-119 · draftkings
Luis Arraez
Luis Arraez
PHIvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.72
Edge−3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.14 across 137 games
+107 · draftkings
Justin Crawford
Justin Crawford
PHIvsHOUBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.64
Edge−3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 129 games
-147 · draftkings
Yordan Alvarez
Yordan Alvarez
HOUvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection2.07
Edge+2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.44 across 143 games
-134 · draftkings
Brandon Marsh
Brandon Marsh
PHIvsHOUBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.67
Edge−2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 137 games
-147 · draftkings
Cam Smith
Cam Smith
HOUvsPHIBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.66
Edge−2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 134 games
-147 · draftkings
Christian Walker
Christian Walker
HOUvsPHIBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.77
Edge−1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 139 games
-176 · draftkings
Alec Bohm
Alec Bohm
PHIvsHOUBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.91
Edge−1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 137 games
-225 · draftkings
Jose Altuve
Jose Altuve
HOUvsPHIBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.92
Edge−1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 118 games
-215 · draftkings
Luis Arraez
Luis Arraez
PHIvsHOUBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.08
Edge−1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.26 across 137 games
+187 · draftkings
J.T. Realmuto
J.T. Realmuto
PHIvsHOUBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.56
Edge+1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 107 games
+117 · draftkings
Kyle Schwarber
Kyle Schwarber
PHIvsHOUBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.85
Edge+1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 139 games
-175 · draftkings
Bryson Stott
Bryson Stott
PHIvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.33
Edge−1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 138 games
-121 · draftkings
Yordan Alvarez
Yordan Alvarez
HOUvsPHIBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.96
Edge−0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 143 games
+201 · draftkings
Trea Turner
Trea Turner
PHIvsHOUBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1
Edge+1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 140 games
-228 · draftkings
Isaac Paredes
Isaac Paredes
HOUvsPHIBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.87
Edge−0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 138 games
-209 · draftkings
Daulton Varsho
Daulton Varsho
HOUvsPHIBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.77
Edge+0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 123 games
-159 · draftkings
Justin Crawford
Justin Crawford
PHIvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.29
Edge+0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.39 across 129 games
+128 · draftkings
J.T. Realmuto
J.T. Realmuto
PHIvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.34
Edge+0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.59 across 107 games
+117 · draftkings
Brandon Marsh
Brandon Marsh
PHIvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.28
Edge+0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 137 games
+121 · draftkings
Jeremy Pena
HOU @ PHIBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Jeremy Pena
HOU @ PHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
loanDepot park38 leansFinal · graded

NYM@MIA

New York Mets at Miami Marlins

first pitch
6:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Robert Stock
probable · awayRobert Stock
NYM
Janson Junk
probable · homeJanson Junk
MIA
Strikeouts
Janson Junk
Janson Junk
MIAvsNYMPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER3.5
Projection2.61
Edge+14%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.4 K across 22 starts
-133 · draftkings
Robert Stock
Robert StockModel anomaly
NYMvsMIAPitcherStrikeouts
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
UNDER4.5
Projection2.71
Edge+23.3%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.6 K across 7 starts
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-151 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Graham Pauley
Graham Pauley
MIAvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.63
Edge+14.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.26 across 46 games
-148 · draftkings
Javier Sanoja
Javier Sanoja
MIAvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.29
Edge+12.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 120 games
-113 · draftkings
Francisco Alvarez
Francisco Alvarez
NYMvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.57
Edge+12%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.45 across 100 games
-169 · draftkings
Brett Baty
Brett Baty
NYMvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.69
Edge+10.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.47 across 125 games
+128 · draftkings
Bo Bichette
Bo Bichette
NYMvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.27
Edge+8.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.05 across 143 games
-123 · draftkings
Jakob Marsee
Jakob Marsee
MIAvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.8
Edge+8.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.50 across 137 games
+104 · draftkings
A.J. Ewing
A.J. Ewing
NYMvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.88
Edge+8.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.67 across 103 games
+102 · draftkings
Joe Mack
Joe Mack
MIAvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.42
Edge+8.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.54 across 90 games
-161 · draftkings
Juan Soto
Juan Soto
NYMvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.35
Edge+7.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.19 across 94 games
-139 · draftkings
Otto Lopez
Otto Lopez
MIAvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.13
Edge+7.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.25 across 142 games
-126 · draftkings
Javier Sanoja
Javier Sanoja
MIAvsNYMBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.23
Edge+7.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 120 games
-235 · draftkings
Jared Young
Jared Young
NYMvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.82
Edge+7.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 92 games
-102 · draftkings
Jakob Marsee
Jakob Marsee
MIAvsNYMBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.92
Edge+5.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 137 games
-176 · draftkings
Francisco Alvarez
Francisco Alvarez
NYMvsMIABatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.73
Edge+4.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 100 games
-128 · draftkings
Francisco Lindor
Francisco Lindor
NYMvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.18
Edge+4.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.95 across 87 games
-140 · draftkings
A.J. Ewing
A.J. Ewing
NYMvsMIABatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1
Edge+3.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 103 games
-202 · draftkings
Griffin Conine
Griffin Conine
MIAvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.67
Edge+3.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.65 across 77 games
+101 · draftkings
Marcus Semien
Marcus Semien
NYMvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.55
Edge+3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.50 across 125 games
+109 · draftkings
Kyle Stowers
Kyle Stowers
MIAvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.06
Edge+3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.92 across 108 games
-133 · draftkings
Owen Caissie
Owen Caissie
MIAvsNYMBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.45
Edge+2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 104 games
+102 · draftkings
Kyle Stowers
Kyle Stowers
MIAvsNYMBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.9
Edge−3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 108 games
-224 · draftkings
Griffin Conine
Griffin Conine
MIAvsNYMBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.71
Edge−2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 77 games
+132 · draftkings
Carson Benge
Carson Benge
NYMvsMIABatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.92
Edge−2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 138 games
+182 · draftkings
Marcus Semien
Marcus Semien
NYMvsMIABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.78
Edge−2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 125 games
-187 · draftkings
Francisco Lindor
Francisco Lindor
NYMvsMIABatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.9
Edge−2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 87 games
+187 · draftkings
Carson Benge
Carson Benge
NYMvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.63
Edge−2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.96 across 138 games
-122 · draftkings
Graham Pauley
Graham Pauley
MIAvsNYMBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.61
Edge+1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.52 across 46 games
-114 · draftkings
Jared Young
Jared Young
NYMvsMIABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.81
Edge−1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 92 games
-192 · draftkings
Juan Soto
Juan Soto
NYMvsMIABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.94
Edge−1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 94 games
-247 · draftkings
Owen Caissie
Owen Caissie
MIAvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.21
Edge−1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.53 across 104 games
+123 · draftkings
Bo Bichette
Bo Bichette
NYMvsMIABatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.12
Edge+1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 143 games
+196 · draftkings
Joe Mack
Joe Mack
MIAvsNYMBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.64
Edge+0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 90 games
-127 · draftkings
Brett Baty
Brett Baty
NYMvsMIABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.7
Edge+0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 125 games
-143 · draftkings
Otto Lopez
Otto Lopez
MIAvsNYMBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.05
Edge0%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.20 across 142 games
-261 · draftkings
Heriberto Hernandez
NYM @ MIABatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Heriberto Hernandez
NYM @ MIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Fenway Park37 leansFinal · graded

LAA@BOS

Los Angeles Angels at Boston Red Sox

first pitch
6:45 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Ryan Johnson
probable · awayRyan Johnson
LAA
Jake Bennett
probable · homeJake Bennett
BOS
Strikeouts
Jake Bennett
Jake Bennett
BOSvsLAAPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER4.5
Projection5.81
Edge+11.2%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.8 K across 17 starts
-184 · fanduel
Jake Bennett
Jake Bennett
BOSvsLAAPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER5.5
Projection5.81
Edge+10.5%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.8 K across 17 starts
+117 · draftkings
Ryan Johnson
Ryan Johnson
LAAvsBOSPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
OVER3.5
Projection3.47
Edge−0.1%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.2 K across 18 starts
+102 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Jose Siri
Jose Siri
LAAvsBOSBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.32
Edge+11.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.53 across 75 games
+114 · draftkings
Zach Neto
Zach Neto
LAAvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.25
Edge+9.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.10 across 140 games
-116 · draftkings
Mike Trout
Mike Trout
LAAvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.85
Edge+6.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 126 games
-106 · draftkings
Caleb Durbin
Caleb Durbin
BOSvsLAABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.62
Edge+6.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 136 games
+160 · draftkings
Nick Sogard
Nick Sogard
BOSvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.92
Edge+6.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 49 games
-120 · draftkings
Jose Siri
Jose Siri
LAAvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.74
Edge+5.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.19 across 75 games
-166 · draftkings
Adley Rutschman
Adley Rutschman
BOSvsLAABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.79
Edge+5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 86 games
-260 · draftkings
Jarren Duran
Jarren Duran
BOSvsLAABatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.64
Edge+4.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 136 games
+159 · draftkings
Trevor Story
Trevor Story
BOSvsLAABatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.12
Edge+4.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 50 games
-256 · draftkings
Vaughn Grissom
Vaughn Grissom
LAAvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.94
Edge+4.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.87 across 101 games
-113 · draftkings
Denzer Guzman
Denzer Guzman
LAAvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.26
Edge+4.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.52 across 63 games
-171 · draftkings
Wilyer Abreu
Wilyer Abreu
BOSvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER2.5
Projection1.66
Edge+4.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.01 across 142 games
-161 · draftkings
Nick Sogard
Nick Sogard
BOSvsLAABatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.99
Edge+4.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 49 games
-209 · draftkings
Mike Trout
Mike Trout
LAAvsBOSBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.99
Edge+4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 126 games
-210 · draftkings
Eli White
Eli White
BOSvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.62
Edge+4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.24 across 80 games
+103 · draftkings
Zach Neto
Zach Neto
LAAvsBOSBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.08
Edge+3.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 140 games
-230 · draftkings
Christian Moore
Christian Moore
LAAvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.25
Edge−3.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 22 games
+120 · draftkings
Vaughn Grissom
Vaughn Grissom
LAAvsBOSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.94
Edge−3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 101 games
-250 · draftkings
Travis d'Arnaud
Travis d'Arnaud
LAAvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.64
Edge−2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 28 games
-133 · draftkings
Mickey Gasper
Mickey Gasper
BOSvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.63
Edge−2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.66 across 53 games
+102 · draftkings
Denzer Guzman
Denzer Guzman
LAAvsBOSBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.58
Edge−2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 63 games
+105 · draftkings
Travis d'Arnaud
Travis d'Arnaud
LAAvsBOSBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.36
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.43 across 28 games
-118 · draftkings
Wilyer Abreu
Wilyer Abreu
BOSvsLAABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.99
Edge−1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 142 games
-262 · draftkings
Christian Moore
Christian Moore
LAAvsBOSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.74
Edge−1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 22 games
-167 · draftkings
Caleb Durbin
Caleb Durbin
BOSvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.25
Edge+1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.79 across 136 games
-116 · draftkings
Eli White
Eli White
BOSvsLAABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.74
Edge−1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.59 across 80 games
-164 · draftkings
Mickey Gasper
Mickey Gasper
BOSvsLAABatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.76
Edge+0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 53 games
+169 · draftkings
Trevor Story
Trevor Story
BOSvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.95
Edge+0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 50 games
-147 · draftkings
Adley Rutschman
Adley Rutschman
BOSvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.89
Edge−0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.98 across 86 games
+125 · draftkings
Jarren Duran
Jarren Duran
BOSvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.42
Edge+0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.74 across 136 games
-105 · draftkings
Moises Ballesteros
LAA @ BOSBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Kyren Paris
Kyren Paris
LAAvsBOSBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (3 games of log data)
— · draftkings
Moises Ballesteros
LAA @ BOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Kyren Paris
Kyren Paris
LAAvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (3 games of log data)
— · draftkings
Yankee Stadium38 leansFinal · graded

COL@NYY

Colorado Rockies at New York Yankees

first pitch
7:05 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Tomoyuki Sugano
probable · awayTomoyuki Sugano
COL
Will Warren
probable · homeWill Warren
NYY
Strikeouts
Will Warren
Will Warren
NYYvsCOLPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER5.5
Projection4.15
Edge+10.2%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.8 K across 28 starts
-147 · draftkings
Tomoyuki Sugano
Tomoyuki Sugano
COLvsNYYPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER3.5
Projection3.26
Edge+5.5%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.2 K across 25 starts
-102 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Adael Amador
Adael Amador
COLvsNYYBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.05
Edge+17.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 11 games
-130 · draftkings
Jake McCarthy
Jake McCarthy
COLvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.49
Edge+15.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.27 across 125 games
-106 · draftkings
TJ Rumfield
TJ Rumfield
COLvsNYYBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.27
Edge+14.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 140 games
-189 · draftkings
Zac Veen
Zac Veen
COLvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.14
Edge+11.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.18 across 22 games
-132 · draftkings
Hunter Goodman
Hunter Goodman
COLvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.09
Edge+9.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.19 across 124 games
+100 · draftkings
Cole Carrigg
Cole Carrigg
COLvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.94
Edge+8.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.08 across 72 games
+104 · draftkings
Jake McCarthy
Jake McCarthy
COLvsNYYBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.21
Edge+8.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 125 games
-232 · draftkings
Cody Bellinger
Cody Bellinger
NYYvsCOLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.24
Edge+8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 117 games
-257 · draftkings
Cody Bellinger
Cody Bellinger
NYYvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.38
Edge+7.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.06 across 117 games
-146 · draftkings
Spencer Jones
Spencer Jones
NYYvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.09
Edge+6.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.58 across 69 games
-127 · draftkings
Kyle Karros
Kyle Karros
COLvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.41
Edge+5.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.72 across 112 games
+136 · draftkings
Austin Wells
Austin Wells
NYYvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.53
Edge+5.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 108 games
+121 · draftkings
Mickey Moniak
Mickey Moniak
COLvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.68
Edge+5.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.95 across 103 games
+109 · draftkings
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
NYYvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.81
Edge+5.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 133 games
-105 · draftkings
Ezequiel Tovar
Ezequiel Tovar
COLvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.08
Edge+5.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.36 across 129 games
-135 · draftkings
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
NYYvsCOLBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.9
Edge+3.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 133 games
-182 · draftkings
Cole Carrigg
Cole Carrigg
COLvsNYYBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.98
Edge+3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 72 games
-201 · draftkings
Adael Amador
Adael AmadorModel anomaly
COLvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER0.5
Projection2.96
Edge+26.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.10
  • SeasonSeason average 2.82 across 11 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-162 · draftkings
TJ Rumfield
TJ RumfieldModel anomaly
COLvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.44
Edge+24.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 140 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+123 · draftkings
Kyle Karros
Kyle Karros
COLvsNYYBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.66
Edge−3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 112 games
-155 · draftkings
Austin Wells
Austin Wells
NYYvsCOLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.55
Edge−2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.51 across 108 games
-102 · draftkings
George Lombard Jr.
George Lombard Jr.
NYYvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.18
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 27 games
-130 · draftkings
Ryan McMahon
Ryan McMahon
NYYvsCOLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.55
Edge−2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 104 games
+100 · draftkings
Ben Rice
Ben Rice
NYYvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER2.5
Projection2.33
Edge−1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.25 across 138 games
+106 · draftkings
Zac Veen
Zac Veen
COLvsNYYBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.48
Edge−1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.45 across 22 games
-102 · draftkings
Ezequiel Tovar
Ezequiel Tovar
COLvsNYYBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.59
Edge+1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 129 games
-112 · draftkings
Aaron Judge
Aaron Judge
NYYvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER2.5
Projection2.02
Edge−1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.23 across 60 games
-153 · draftkings
Ryan McMahon
Ryan McMahon
NYYvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection0.95
Edge+1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.19 across 104 games
-166 · draftkings
Aaron Judge
Aaron Judge
NYYvsCOLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.79
Edge+0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 60 games
+178 · draftkings
Mickey Moniak
Mickey Moniak
COLvsNYYBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.79
Edge−0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 103 games
-171 · draftkings
George Lombard Jr.
George Lombard Jr.
NYYvsCOLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.66
Edge−0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 27 games
+134 · draftkings
Spencer Jones
Spencer Jones
NYYvsCOLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge+0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 69 games
-196 · draftkings
Hunter Goodman
Hunter Goodman
COLvsNYYBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge+0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 124 games
-178 · draftkings
Ben Rice
Ben Rice
NYYvsCOLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.13
Edge0%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 138 games
+191 · draftkings
Luis Garcia Jr.
COL @ NYYBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Luis Garcia Jr.
COL @ NYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Truist Park38 leansFinal · graded

TB@ATL

Tampa Bay Rays at Atlanta Braves

first pitch
7:15 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Griffin Jax
probable · awayGriffin Jax
TB
probable · homeTBD
ATL
Strikeouts
Griffin Jax
Griffin Jax
TBvsATLPitcherStrikeouts
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER4.5
Projection5
Edge+4.8%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.4 K across 30 starts
-109 · draftkings
Reynaldo Lopez
TB @ ATLPitcherStrikeouts
Sample too small
Line3.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Sean Murphy
Sean Murphy
ATLvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.99
Edge+15.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.48 across 21 games
-155 · draftkings
Jonathan Aranda
Jonathan Aranda
TBvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.33
Edge+13.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.16 across 140 games
-113 · draftkings
Richie Palacios
Richie Palacios
TBvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.5
Edge+12%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.50 across 105 games
-154 · draftkings
Sean Murphy
Sean Murphy
ATLvsTBBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge+11.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 21 games
-121 · draftkings
Liam Hicks
Liam Hicks
TBvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.89
Edge+10.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.09 across 128 games
+112 · draftkings
Junior Caminero
Junior Caminero
TBvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.52
Edge+10.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.34 across 144 games
-139 · draftkings
Drake Baldwin
Drake Baldwin
ATLvsTBBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.15
Edge+7.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 122 games
-218 · draftkings
Victor Mesa Jr.
Victor Mesa Jr.
TBvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.69
Edge+7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.59 across 58 games
+111 · draftkings
Drake Baldwin
Drake Baldwin
ATLvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.04
Edge+7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.28 across 122 games
-114 · draftkings
Austin Riley
Austin Riley
ATLvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.68
Edge+6.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.66 across 143 games
+111 · draftkings
Mike Yastrzemski
Mike Yastrzemski
ATLvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.11
Edge+6.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.23 across 122 games
-143 · draftkings
Jonathan Aranda
Jonathan Aranda
TBvsATLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.08
Edge+5.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 140 games
-209 · draftkings
Liam Hicks
Liam Hicks
TBvsATLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.99
Edge+5.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 128 games
-179 · draftkings
Victor Mesa Jr.
Victor Mesa Jr.
TBvsATLBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.87
Edge+4.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 58 games
-164 · draftkings
Cedric Mullins
Cedric Mullins
TBvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.49
Edge+4.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.48 across 120 games
+122 · draftkings
Chandler Simpson
Chandler Simpson
TBvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.87
Edge+4.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 133 games
-124 · draftkings
Jorge Mateo
Jorge Mateo
TBvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.21
Edge+4.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.32 across 66 games
-162 · draftkings
Chandler Simpson
Chandler Simpson
TBvsATLBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.19
Edge+3.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.19 across 133 games
-272 · draftkings
Austin Riley
Austin Riley
ATLvsTBBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.85
Edge+3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 143 games
-166 · draftkings
Ozzie Albies
Ozzie Albies
ATLvsTBBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.78
Edge−2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 145 games
+151 · draftkings
Matt Olson
Matt Olson
ATLvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.53
Edge−2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.17 across 145 games
-113 · draftkings
Michael Harris II
Michael Harris II
ATLvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.88
Edge−2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.15 across 139 games
-147 · draftkings
Cedric Mullins
Cedric Mullins
TBvsATLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.65
Edge−1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 120 games
-142 · draftkings
Junior Caminero
Junior Caminero
TBvsATLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.14
Edge−1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 144 games
+187 · draftkings
Jorge Mateo
Jorge Mateo
TBvsATLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.48
Edge+1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.56 across 66 games
+101 · draftkings
Richie Palacios
Richie Palacios
TBvsATLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.58
Edge+0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 105 games
-114 · draftkings
Michael Harris II
Michael Harris II
ATLvsTBBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection0.95
Edge−0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 139 games
-254 · draftkings
Mike Yastrzemski
Mike Yastrzemski
ATLvsTBBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.54
Edge−0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.58 across 122 games
-109 · draftkings
Matt Olson
Matt Olson
ATLvsTBBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.73
Edge+0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 145 games
+155 · draftkings
Ozzie Albies
Ozzie Albies
ATLvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.48
Edge+0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.95 across 145 games
+102 · draftkings
Yandy Diaz
TB @ ATLBatterHits
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Ronald Acuna Jr.
TB @ ATLBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Mauricio Dubon
TB @ ATLBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Yandy Diaz
TB @ ATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Ronald Acuna Jr.
TB @ ATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Mauricio Dubon
TB @ ATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Kauffman Stadium38 leansFinal · graded

AZ@KC

Arizona Diamondbacks at Kansas City Royals

first pitch
7:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Zac Gallen
probable · awayZac Gallen
AZ
Daniel Lynch IV
probable · homeDaniel Lynch IV
KC
Strikeouts
Zac Gallen
Zac Gallen
AZvsKCPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER2.5
Projection3.09
Edge+17.9%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.2 K across 19 starts
+115 · draftkings
Daniel Lynch IV
Daniel Lynch IVModel anomaly
KCvsAZPitcherStrikeouts
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
UNDER2.5
Projection1.31
Edge+25%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 1.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 0.9 K across 52 starts
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-109 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Salvador Perez
Salvador Perez
KCvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.23
Edge+13.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.76 across 136 games
-111 · draftkings
Carter Jensen
Carter Jensen
KCvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.31
Edge+11.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.82 across 134 games
-121 · draftkings
John Rave
John Rave
KCvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.69
Edge+10.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.49 across 35 games
+130 · draftkings
Salvador Perez
Salvador Perez
KCvsAZBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.14
Edge+9.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 136 games
-209 · draftkings
Geraldo Perdomo
Geraldo Perdomo
AZvsKCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.75
Edge+9.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 141 games
-230 · draftkings
Geraldo Perdomo
Geraldo Perdomo
AZvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1.45
Edge+5.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.71 across 141 games
+120 · draftkings
James McCann
James McCann
AZvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.74
Edge+5.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 42 games
+105 · draftkings
Nolan Arenado
Nolan Arenado
AZvsKCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.71
Edge+5.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 136 games
+188 · draftkings
Isaac Collins
Isaac Collins
KCvsAZBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.5
Edge+5.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 129 games
+123 · draftkings
Nick Loftin
Nick Loftin
KCvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.61
Edge+4.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.53 across 106 games
+110 · draftkings
John Rave
John Rave
KCvsAZBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.78
Edge+4.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.66 across 35 games
-143 · draftkings
Michael Massey
Michael Massey
KCvsAZBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.05
Edge+3.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 113 games
-226 · draftkings
Bobby Witt Jr.
Bobby Witt Jr.
KCvsAZBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.9
Edge+2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 127 games
-261 · draftkings
Carter Jensen
Carter Jensen
KCvsAZBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.95
Edge+2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 134 games
-209 · draftkings
Vinnie Pasquantino
Vinnie Pasquantino
KCvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.85
Edge−3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 99 games
+168 · draftkings
Ryan Waldschmidt
Ryan Waldschmidt
AZvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.67
Edge−2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 75 games
-153 · draftkings
Isaac Collins
Isaac Collins
KCvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.02
Edge+2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.34 across 129 games
-151 · draftkings
Tim Tawa
Tim Tawa
AZvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.61
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.63 across 83 games
+101 · draftkings
James McCann
James McCann
AZvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.93
Edge+2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 42 games
-189 · draftkings
Michael Massey
Michael Massey
KCvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.7
Edge+2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.70 across 113 games
-110 · draftkings
Kyle Isbel
Kyle Isbel
KCvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.55
Edge+2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 84 games
+119 · draftkings
Vinnie Pasquantino
Vinnie Pasquantino
KCvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.76
Edge+2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.82 across 99 games
-118 · draftkings
Jordan Lawlar
Jordan Lawlar
AZvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.22
Edge−1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.45 across 29 games
+116 · draftkings
Ketel Marte
Ketel Marte
AZvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection0.95
Edge+1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 125 games
-260 · draftkings
Ketel Marte
Ketel Marte
AZvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.95
Edge−1.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.10 across 125 games
-154 · draftkings
Kyle Isbel
Kyle Isbel
KCvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.06
Edge−1.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.32 across 84 games
-159 · draftkings
Nolan Arenado
Nolan Arenado
AZvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.45
Edge+1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 136 games
+102 · draftkings
Nick Loftin
Nick Loftin
KCvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.87
Edge+1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 106 games
-187 · draftkings
Bobby Witt Jr.
Bobby Witt Jr.
KCvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.87
Edge−1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.15 across 127 games
-143 · draftkings
Jordan Lawlar
Jordan Lawlar
AZvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.61
Edge−1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 29 games
+116 · draftkings
Ildemaro Vargas
Ildemaro Vargas
AZvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge+1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 123 games
+189 · draftkings
Ryan Waldschmidt
Ryan Waldschmidt
AZvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.1
Edge−1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.51 across 75 games
-156 · draftkings
Gabriel Moreno
Gabriel Moreno
AZvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.09
Edge−1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 115 games
-222 · draftkings
Tim Tawa
Tim Tawa
AZvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.84
Edge−0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 83 games
-192 · draftkings
Ildemaro Vargas
Ildemaro Vargas
AZvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.73
Edge−0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 123 games
-124 · draftkings
Gabriel Moreno
Gabriel Moreno
AZvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection2.01
Edge−0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.22 across 115 games
-164 · draftkings
Rate Field37 leansFinal · graded

PIT@CWS

Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago White Sox

first pitch
7:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Lake Bachar
probable · awayLake Bachar
PIT
Davis Martin
probable · homeDavis Martin
CWS
Strikeouts
Davis Martin
Davis Martin
CWSvsPITPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER4.5
Projection3.34
Edge+14.5%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.6 K across 25 starts
-115 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Oneil Cruz
Oneil Cruz
PITvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.63
Edge+18.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.47 across 81 games
-101 · draftkings
Bryan Reynolds
Bryan Reynolds
PITvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.37
Edge+18.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.14 across 145 games
+104 · draftkings
Oneil Cruz
Oneil Cruz
PITvsCWSBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.22
Edge+14.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 81 games
-163 · draftkings
Brandon Lowe
Brandon Lowe
PITvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.33
Edge+14.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.26 across 135 games
-102 · draftkings
Kyle Teel
Kyle Teel
CWSvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.91
Edge+14%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 23 games
+128 · draftkings
Bryan Reynolds
Bryan Reynolds
PITvsCWSBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.15
Edge+12.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 145 games
-183 · draftkings
Brandon Lowe
Brandon Lowe
PITvsCWSBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.15
Edge+12%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 135 games
-182 · draftkings
Jake Mangum
Jake Mangum
PITvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.62
Edge+10.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.74 across 113 games
+134 · draftkings
Colson Montgomery
Colson Montgomery
CWSvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.95
Edge+9.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 136 games
+101 · draftkings
Tristan Peters
Tristan Peters
CWSvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.53
Edge+6.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.66 across 134 games
+125 · draftkings
Tristan Peters
Tristan Peters
CWSvsPITBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge+6.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 134 games
-144 · draftkings
Chase Meidroth
Chase Meidroth
CWSvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.56
Edge+5.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.93 across 138 games
+116 · draftkings
Chase Meidroth
Chase Meidroth
CWSvsPITBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.85
Edge+4.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 138 games
-155 · draftkings
Konnor Griffin
Konnor Griffin
PITvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.92
Edge+4.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.03 across 62 games
-122 · draftkings
Jake Mangum
Jake Mangum
PITvsCWSBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.9
Edge+3.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 113 games
-168 · draftkings
Spencer Horwitz
Spencer Horwitz
PITvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.58
Edge+3.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.67 across 102 games
+106 · draftkings
Andrew Benintendi
Andrew Benintendi
CWSvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.61
Edge+3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.72 across 127 games
+104 · draftkings
Sam Antonacci
Sam Antonacci
CWSvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.78
Edge+3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 123 games
-113 · draftkings
Munetaka Murakami
Munetaka Murakami
CWSvsPITBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.53
Edge+2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 109 games
+117 · draftkings
Spencer Horwitz
Spencer Horwitz
PITvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.72
Edge−3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 102 games
-173 · draftkings
Miguel Vargas
Miguel Vargas
CWSvsPITBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.96
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 142 games
-214 · draftkings
Nick Gonzales
Nick Gonzales
PITvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.74
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.09 across 134 games
-112 · draftkings
Braden Montgomery
Braden Montgomery
CWSvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.46
Edge+2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.81 across 75 games
+113 · draftkings
Nick Gonzales
Nick Gonzales
PITvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.07
Edge+2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.15 across 134 games
-232 · draftkings
Andrew Benintendi
Andrew Benintendi
CWSvsPITBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.67
Edge−2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 127 games
+127 · draftkings
Colson Montgomery
Colson Montgomery
CWSvsPITBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.7
Edge−1.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 136 games
-156 · draftkings
Munetaka Murakami
Munetaka Murakami
CWSvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.45
Edge−1.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.99 across 109 games
-103 · draftkings
Jacob Gonzalez
Jacob Gonzalez
PITvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.6
Edge−1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 72 games
-127 · draftkings
Jacob Gonzalez
Jacob Gonzalez
PITvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.1
Edge+1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.29 across 72 games
-153 · draftkings
Braden Montgomery
Braden Montgomery
CWSvsPITBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.65
Edge−1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 75 games
+127 · draftkings
Konnor Griffin
Konnor Griffin
PITvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.02
Edge−0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 62 games
-247 · draftkings
Kyle Teel
Kyle Teel
CWSvsPITBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.63
Edge+0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 23 games
-127 · draftkings
Miguel Vargas
Miguel Vargas
CWSvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.88
Edge+0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.15 across 142 games
-131 · draftkings
Sam Antonacci
Sam Antonacci
CWSvsPITBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.91
Edge−0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 123 games
-204 · draftkings
Rafael Flores
PIT @ CWSBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Rafael Flores
PIT @ CWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
American Family Field38 leansFinal · graded

CHC@MIL

Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers

first pitch
7:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Kevin Gausman
probable · awayKevin Gausman
CHC
Logan Henderson
probable · homeLogan Henderson
MIL
Strikeouts
Kevin Gausman
Kevin Gausman
CHCvsMILPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER5.5
Projection6.59
Edge+16%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.7 K across 29 starts
-108 · draftkings
Logan Henderson
Logan Henderson
MILvsCHCPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
UNDER6.5
Projection6.09
Edge−1.4%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 6.2 K across 15 starts
-155 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Brice Turang
Brice Turang
MILvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.44
Edge+19.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.29 across 135 games
+108 · draftkings
Pete Crow-Armstrong
Pete Crow-Armstrong
CHCvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.74
Edge+17.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.49 across 146 games
-109 · draftkings
Cooper Pratt
Cooper Pratt
MILvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.16
Edge+16.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.83 across 58 games
+113 · draftkings
Jackson Chourio
Jackson Chourio
MILvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.94
Edge+16.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.49 across 111 games
-133 · draftkings
William Contreras
William Contreras
MILvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.47
Edge+15.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.13 across 134 games
-105 · draftkings
Carson Kelly
Carson Kelly
CHCvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection2.15
Edge+15.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 103 games
-175 · draftkings
David Hamilton
David Hamilton
MILvsCHCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.92
Edge+14.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 103 games
-113 · draftkings
David Hamilton
David Hamilton
MILvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.6
Edge+13.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.40 across 103 games
-148 · draftkings
Michael Conforto
Michael Conforto
CHCvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.38
Edge+12.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.26 across 98 games
-122 · draftkings
Garrett Mitchell
Garrett Mitchell
MILvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.68
Edge+10%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.75 across 129 games
-173 · draftkings
Nico Hoerner
Nico Hoerner
CHCvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.95
Edge+9.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 143 games
+102 · draftkings
Ian Happ
Ian Happ
CHCvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.62
Edge+9.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.83 across 139 games
-162 · draftkings
Brice Turang
Brice Turang
MILvsCHCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.05
Edge+8.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 135 games
-170 · draftkings
Alex Bregman
Alex Bregman
CHCvsMILBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.11
Edge+8.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 143 games
-188 · draftkings
Jackson Chourio
Jackson Chourio
MILvsCHCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.34
Edge+7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.19 across 111 games
-260 · draftkings
Carson Kelly
Carson Kelly
CHCvsMILBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge+7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 103 games
-139 · draftkings
Seiya Suzuki
Seiya Suzuki
CHCvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.81
Edge+6.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.33 across 128 games
+105 · draftkings
Michael Conforto
Michael Conforto
CHCvsMILBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.63
Edge+6.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.55 across 98 games
+103 · draftkings
Ian Happ
Ian Happ
CHCvsMILBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.75
Edge+6.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 139 games
-124 · draftkings
Pete Crow-Armstrong
Pete Crow-Armstrong
CHCvsMILBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.09
Edge+6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 146 games
-196 · draftkings
Nico Hoerner
Nico Hoerner
CHCvsMILBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.18
Edge+6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 143 games
-229 · draftkings
Michael Busch
Michael Busch
CHCvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.57
Edge+5.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 144 games
+118 · draftkings
William Contreras
William Contreras
MILvsCHCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.12
Edge+5.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 134 games
-206 · draftkings
Christian Yelich
Christian Yelich
MILvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.79
Edge+5.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.98 across 104 games
-103 · draftkings
Garrett Mitchell
Garrett Mitchell
MILvsCHCBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.76
Edge+4.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 129 games
-129 · draftkings
Jake Bauers
Jake Bauers
MILvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.6
Edge+4.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 2.10 across 131 games
+111 · draftkings
Cooper Pratt
Cooper Pratt
MILvsCHCBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.87
Edge+3.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 58 games
-170 · draftkings
Alex Bregman
Alex BregmanModel anomaly
CHCvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.54
Edge+20.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.19 across 143 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+111 · draftkings
Jake Bauers
Jake Bauers
MILvsCHCBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.64
Edge−2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 131 games
-143 · draftkings
Sal Frelick
Sal Frelick
MILvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.44
Edge−2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.49 across 98 games
-115 · draftkings
Christian Yelich
Christian Yelich
MILvsCHCBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.81
Edge−1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 104 games
-188 · draftkings
Michael Busch
Michael Busch
CHCvsMILBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.75
Edge+0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 144 games
-154 · draftkings
Seiya Suzuki
Seiya Suzuki
CHCvsMILBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.81
Edge−0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 128 games
-174 · draftkings
Sal Frelick
Sal Frelick
MILvsCHCBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.77
Edge−0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 98 games
+166 · draftkings
Pedro Ramirez
CHC @ MILBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Pedro Ramirez
CHC @ MILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium38 leansFinal · graded

CIN@LAD

Cincinnati Reds at Los Angeles Dodgers

first pitch
10:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Rhett Lowder
probable · awayRhett Lowder
CIN
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
probable · homeYoshinobu Yamamoto
LAD
Strikeouts
Rhett Lowder
Rhett Lowder
CINvsLADPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER3.5
Projection3.09
Edge+6.7%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.6 K across 25 starts
-105 · draftkings
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
LADvsCINPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
UNDER7.5
Projection7.48
Edge−2.5%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 8.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 6.4 K across 25 starts
-112 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Tyler Stephenson
Tyler Stephenson
CINvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection2.01
Edge+18%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.61 across 113 games
-163 · draftkings
Sal Stewart
Sal Stewart
CINvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.1
Edge+14.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.30 across 145 games
+116 · draftkings
Matt McLain
Matt McLain
CINvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.47
Edge+13%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.44 across 117 games
-135 · draftkings
Tyler Stephenson
Tyler Stephenson
CINvsLADBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.9
Edge+12.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 113 games
-127 · draftkings
Tommy Edman
Tommy Edman
LADvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.36
Edge+10.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.03 across 67 games
-117 · draftkings
Mookie Betts
Mookie Betts
LADvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.57
Edge+9.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.10
  • SeasonSeason average 2.04 across 107 games
-144 · draftkings
Will Smith
Will Smith
LADvsCINBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.58
Edge+9.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 60 games
+171 · draftkings
Ke'Bryan Hayes
Ke'Bryan Hayes
CINvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.93
Edge+9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 66 games
-120 · draftkings
Sal Stewart
Sal Stewart
CINvsLADBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.06
Edge+8.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 145 games
-195 · draftkings
JJ Bleday
JJ Bleday
CINvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.5
Edge+7.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.69 across 117 games
-153 · draftkings
Alex Freeland
Alex Freeland
LADvsCINBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.34
Edge+7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.58 across 79 games
-102 · draftkings
Shohei Ohtani
Shohei Ohtani
LADvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER2.5
Projection1.68
Edge+6.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.37 across 130 games
-136 · draftkings
Kyle Tucker
Kyle Tucker
LADvsCINBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.54
Edge+6.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 136 games
+139 · draftkings
Shohei Ohtani
Shohei Ohtani
LADvsCINBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.78
Edge+5.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 130 games
-255 · draftkings
Alex Freeland
Alex Freeland
LADvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.73
Edge+5.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.15 across 79 games
-161 · draftkings
JJ Bleday
JJ Bleday
CINvsLADBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.68
Edge+3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 117 games
-123 · draftkings
Tommy Edman
Tommy Edman
LADvsCINBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.08
Edge+3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 67 games
-213 · draftkings
Matt McLain
Matt McLain
CINvsLADBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.62
Edge+2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 117 games
-112 · draftkings
Elly De La Cruz
Elly De La CruzModel anomaly
CINvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.98
Edge+32.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.37 across 126 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+136 · draftkings
Elly De La Cruz
Elly De La CruzModel anomaly
CINvsLADBatterHits
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER0.5
Projection1.41
Edge+23.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 126 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-146 · draftkings
Max Muncy
Max Muncy
CIN @ LADBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.76
Edge−1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 132 games
-170 · draftkings
Freddie Freeman
Freddie Freeman
LADvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection2.05
Edge+1.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.10 across 140 games
-152 · draftkings
Max Muncy
Max Muncy
CIN @ LADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.55
Edge−1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 132 games
-109 · draftkings
Freddie Freeman
Freddie Freeman
LADvsCINBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection0.96
Edge−1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 140 games
-271 · draftkings
Ke'Bryan Hayes
Ke'Bryan Hayes
CINvsLADBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.48
Edge−0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.45 across 66 games
+100 · draftkings
Mookie Betts
Mookie Betts
LADvsCINBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.08
Edge−0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 107 games
+190 · draftkings
Will Smith
Will Smith
LADvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.49
Edge−0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 60 games
-104 · draftkings
Kyle Tucker
Kyle Tucker
LADvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.28
Edge0%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.76 across 136 games
-121 · draftkings
Teoscar Hernandez
CIN @ LADBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Hector Rodriguez
CIN @ LADBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Eugenio Suarez
CIN @ LADBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Carlos Jorge
Carlos Jorge
CINvsLADBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (3 games of log data)
— · draftkings
Teoscar Hernandez
CIN @ LADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Hector Rodriguez
CIN @ LADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Eugenio Suarez
CIN @ LADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Carlos Jorge
Carlos Jorge
CINvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (3 games of log data)
— · draftkings
Open MLB model audit · partial →
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HR markets are high-variance and rated on a separate power-profile scale (barrel + park + matchup), not the standard High / Medium / Low tiers used here.

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