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MLB model board · 2026-09-02

15 MLB games · 488 model-vs-market reads

Projections for pitcher strikeouts and batter markets only. Home runs live on Homer Nukes because the variance profile is different.

Market context, not picks. Calibration notice (audit 2026-07-21): across 18,659 settled leans, none of these markets' model probabilities out-predict the market on Brier or log loss — the model is overconfident (its high-confidence reads under-perform). Treat the model number as a market-anchored research signal, not a proven advantage; the market price is the better probability. Paper / review / educational only — never a bet. Total bases is disabled for prediction and is not listed here; its settled history stays on Results.

SCHEDULEliveMODEL LEANSavailableUPDATEDSep 2, 1:17 PM ETeducational analytics only
Gap ≥ 5 pp
187
model vs market · context
Gap 2.5–5 pp
68
model vs market · context
Small gap
183
10 anomalies shown separately
Sample too small
40
no projection emitted
Strikeouts10 gap ≥ 5 pp·24 totalHits75 gap ≥ 5 pp·232 totalHits + Runs + RBIs102 gap ≥ 5 pp·232 total
Highest model probabilities · 8 shown
Market context · no model anomalies
Samuel Basallo
Samuel BasalloBAL vs COL
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsUnder 1.5+15.8%
proj 0.58-236 · draftkings
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
Jazz Chisholm Jr.NYY vs LAA
Gap ≥ 5 pp
Hits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.5+19.5%
proj 2.38-177 · draftkings
Cole Carrigg
Cole CarriggCOL vs BAL
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsUnder 1.5+11.2%
proj 0.66-252 · draftkings
Cody Freeman
Cody FreemanTEX vs ATH
Gap ≥ 5 pp
Hits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.5+18.5%
proj 1.8-181 · draftkings
Bryce Harper
Bryce HarperPHI vs AZ
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsOver 0.5+9.9%
proj 1.39-256 · draftkings
Ian Happ
Ian HappCHC vs MIL
Gap ≥ 5 pp
Hits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.5+20%
proj 2.33-160 · draftkings
William Contreras
William ContrerasMIL vs CHC
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsOver 0.5+8.7%
proj 1.42-263 · draftkings
Tristan Peters
Tristan PetersCWS vs HOU
Gap ≥ 5 pp
Hits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.5+17.2%
proj 2.27-175 · draftkings
Filters · 488 of 488 leans
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Great American Ball Park0 leans

SD@CIN

San Diego Padres at Cincinnati Reds

first pitch
12:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Casey Mize
probable · awayCasey Mize
SD
Brandon Williamson
probable · homeBrandon Williamson
CIN
prop lines pending
Lines have not posted yet for this matchup. When books post lines, projections appear here for pitcher strikeouts, batter hits, and batter total bases.
Nationals Park0 leans

ATL@WSH

Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals

first pitch
1:05 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Grant Holmes
probable · awayGrant Holmes
ATL
Brad Lord
probable · homeBrad Lord
WSH
prop lines pending
Lines have not posted yet for this matchup. When books post lines, projections appear here for pitcher strikeouts, batter hits, and batter total bases.
Globe Life Field38 leansFinal · graded

ATH@TEX

Athletics at Texas Rangers

first pitch
2:35 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Jacob Lopez
probable · awayJacob Lopez
ATH
Cody Bradford
probable · homeCody Bradford
TEX
Strikeouts
Jacob Lopez
Jacob Lopez
ATHvsTEXPitcherStrikeouts
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER5.5
Projection5.81
Edge+4%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.4 K across 22 starts
-104 · draftkings
Cody Bradford
Cody BradfordModel anomaly
TEXvsATHPitcherStrikeouts
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
UNDER4.5
Projection2.45
Edge+31.7%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 2.6 K across 5 starts
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-122 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Cody Freeman
Cody Freeman
TEXvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.8
Edge+18.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.39 across 23 games
-181 · draftkings
Lawrence Butler
Lawrence Butler
ATHvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.19
Edge+17.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.48 across 126 games
+107 · draftkings
Ezequiel Duran
Ezequiel Duran
TEXvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.26
Edge+14.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.02 across 128 games
-103 · draftkings
Jeff McNeil
Jeff McNeil
ATHvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2
Edge+13.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.59 across 122 games
+114 · draftkings
Cody Freeman
Cody Freeman
TEXvsATHBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.96
Edge+12.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 23 games
-138 · draftkings
Alika Williams
Alika Williams
ATHvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.15
Edge+10.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.20 across 61 games
-137 · draftkings
Brandon Nimmo
Brandon Nimmo
TEXvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.24
Edge+10%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 133 games
-118 · draftkings
Corey Seager
Corey Seager
TEXvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.04
Edge+8.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 78 games
-110 · draftkings
Danny Jansen
Danny Jansen
TEXvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.32
Edge+8.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.15 across 47 games
-157 · draftkings
Jeff McNeil
Jeff McNeil
ATHvsTEXBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.08
Edge+8.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 122 games
-187 · draftkings
Wyatt Langford
Wyatt Langford
TEXvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.94
Edge+7.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.99 across 87 games
-106 · draftkings
Tommy White
Tommy White
ATHvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.69
Edge+7.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.59 across 39 games
+112 · draftkings
Zack Gelof
Zack Gelof
ATHvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.71
Edge+6.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.01 across 84 games
+108 · draftkings
Denzel Clarke
Denzel Clarke
ATHvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge+6.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 22 games
-119 · draftkings
Lawrence Butler
Lawrence Butler
ATHvsTEXBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1
Edge+5.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 126 games
-200 · draftkings
Wyatt Langford
Wyatt Langford
TEXvsATHBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.99
Edge+4.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 87 games
-183 · draftkings
Brandon Nimmo
Brandon Nimmo
TEXvsATHBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.12
Edge+4.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 133 games
-221 · draftkings
Jake Burger
Jake Burger
TEXvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.73
Edge+3.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 132 games
-103 · draftkings
Ezequiel Duran
Ezequiel Duran
TEXvsATHBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.98
Edge+3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 128 games
-194 · draftkings
Logan O'Hoppe
Logan O'Hoppe
TEXvsATHBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.53
Edge+2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.66 across 77 games
+118 · draftkings
Alika Williams
Alika Williams
ATHvsTEXBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.64
Edge+2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 61 games
-117 · draftkings
Henry Bolte
Henry Bolte
ATHvsTEXBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.07
Edge+2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 94 games
-234 · draftkings
Zack Gelof
Zack Gelof
ATHvsTEXBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.76
Edge−3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 84 games
-186 · draftkings
Danny Jansen
Danny Jansen
TEXvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.46
Edge−2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.51 across 47 games
-121 · draftkings
Justin Foscue
Justin Foscue
TEXvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.34
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.19 across 79 games
+127 · draftkings
Justin Foscue
Justin Foscue
TEXvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.7
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.59 across 79 games
-132 · draftkings
Tommy White
Tommy White
ATHvsTEXBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.99
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 39 games
-180 · draftkings
Henry Bolte
Henry Bolte
ATHvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.71
Edge+2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.63 across 94 games
-111 · draftkings
Jonah Heim
Jonah Heim
ATHvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.47
Edge+2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.53 across 88 games
+111 · draftkings
Jonah Heim
Jonah Heim
ATHvsTEXBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.76
Edge−1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 88 games
-177 · draftkings
Denzel Clarke
Denzel Clarke
ATHvsTEXBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.4
Edge−1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.41 across 22 games
-130 · draftkings
Logan O'Hoppe
Logan O'Hoppe
TEXvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection0.98
Edge+1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.26 across 77 games
-161 · draftkings
Jake Burger
Jake Burger
TEXvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge+0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 132 games
-182 · draftkings
Corey Seager
Corey Seager
TEXvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.87
Edge+0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 78 games
-189 · draftkings
Max Muncy (2002)
ATH @ TEXBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Max Muncy (2002)
ATH @ TEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Coors Field38 leansFinal · graded

BAL@COL

Baltimore Orioles at Colorado Rockies

first pitch
3:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Trevor Rogers
probable · awayTrevor Rogers
BAL
Tomoyuki Sugano
probable · homeTomoyuki Sugano
COL
Strikeouts
Tomoyuki Sugano
Tomoyuki Sugano
COLvsBALPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER3.5
Projection3.06
Edge+6.5%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.1 K across 24 starts
-119 · draftkings
Trevor Rogers
Trevor Rogers
BALvsCOLPitcherStrikeouts
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER5.5
Projection5.66
Edge+4.2%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.8 K across 25 starts
+103 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Samuel Basallo
Samuel Basallo
BALvsCOLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.58
Edge+15.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 97 games
-236 · draftkings
Samuel Basallo
Samuel Basallo
BALvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER2.5
Projection1.26
Edge+14.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.63 across 97 games
-147 · draftkings
Cole Carrigg
Cole Carrigg
COLvsBALBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.66
Edge+11.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 67 games
-252 · draftkings
Leody Taveras
Leody Taveras
BALvsCOLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.61
Edge+10.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 118 games
+190 · draftkings
Pete Alonso
Pete Alonso
BALvsCOLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.95
Edge+10.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 139 games
-166 · draftkings
Gunnar Henderson
Gunnar Henderson
BALvsCOLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.9
Edge+7.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 137 games
-185 · draftkings
Jackson Holliday
Jackson Holliday
BALvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER2.5
Projection1.81
Edge+7.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.51 across 86 games
-133 · draftkings
Jackson Holliday
Jackson Holliday
BALvsCOLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.97
Edge+5.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 86 games
-186 · draftkings
Jordan Beck
Jordan Beck
COLvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1.04
Edge+4.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 47 games
-146 · draftkings
Pete Alonso
Pete Alonso
BALvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER2.5
Projection2.13
Edge+3.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.27 across 139 games
-113 · draftkings
Gunnar Henderson
Gunnar Henderson
BALvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER2.5
Projection1.95
Edge+3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 137 games
-134 · draftkings
Cole Carrigg
Cole Carrigg
COLvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1.46
Edge+3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.01 across 67 games
+110 · draftkings
Mickey Moniak
Mickey Moniak
COLvsBALBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.79
Edge−3.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 99 games
+145 · draftkings
TJ Rumfield
TJ Rumfield
COLvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.65
Edge−3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 135 games
-129 · draftkings
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
BALvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER2.5
Projection2.1
Edge−3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 37 games
-147 · draftkings
Ezequiel Tovar
Ezequiel Tovar
COLvsBALBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.7
Edge−3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 124 games
-165 · draftkings
Dylan Beavers
Dylan Beavers
BALvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.71
Edge−2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.52 across 82 games
+112 · draftkings
Willi Castro
Willi Castro
COLvsBALBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.87
Edge−2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 119 games
-227 · draftkings
Jake McCarthy
Jake McCarthy
COLvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.97
Edge−2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.23 across 120 games
+126 · draftkings
Hunter Goodman
Hunter Goodman
COLvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER2.5
Projection2.09
Edge−2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.18 across 119 games
+117 · draftkings
Connor Norby
Connor Norby
COLvsBALBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.85
Edge−2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 84 games
+176 · draftkings
Coby Mayo
Coby Mayo
BALvsCOLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.8
Edge+2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 105 games
+192 · draftkings
Ezequiel Tovar
Ezequiel Tovar
COLvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.29
Edge−1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.37 across 124 games
+112 · draftkings
Coby Mayo
Coby Mayo
BALvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER2.5
Projection2.11
Edge−1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.71 across 105 games
-149 · draftkings
Jordan Beck
Jordan Beck
COLvsBALBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.64
Edge−1.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.57 across 47 games
+122 · draftkings
Leody Taveras
Leody Taveras
BALvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.71
Edge−1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.61 across 118 games
+115 · draftkings
Connor Norby
Connor Norby
COLvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.76
Edge+1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.32 across 84 games
-123 · draftkings
Colton Cowser
Colton Cowser
BALvsCOLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.73
Edge−1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.55 across 116 games
+147 · draftkings
Hunter Goodman
Hunter Goodman
COLvsBALBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection0.92
Edge−1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 119 games
-268 · draftkings
TJ Rumfield
TJ Rumfield
COLvsBALBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.96
Edge−0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 135 games
-236 · draftkings
Willi Castro
Willi Castro
COLvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.77
Edge+0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.95 across 119 games
-121 · draftkings
Dylan Beavers
Dylan Beavers
BALvsCOLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge+0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 82 games
+187 · draftkings
Jake McCarthy
Jake McCarthy
COLvsBALBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.1
Edge−0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 120 games
-207 · draftkings
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
BALvsCOLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1
Edge+0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 37 games
-212 · draftkings
Mickey Moniak
Mickey Moniak
COLvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.58
Edge−0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.96 across 99 games
-106 · draftkings
Colton Cowser
Colton Cowser
BALvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.44
Edge0%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.19 across 116 games
-106 · draftkings
Chase Field33 leansFinal · graded

PHI@AZ

Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks

first pitch
3:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Andrew Painter
probable · awayAndrew Painter
PHI
Taylor Clarke
probable · homeTaylor Clarke
AZ
Strikeouts
Andrew Painter
Andrew Painter
PHIvsAZPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER3.5
Projection4.85
Edge+15.4%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.2 K across 20 starts
-139 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Bryce Harper
Bryce Harper
PHIvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.58
Edge+11.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.17 across 138 games
-145 · draftkings
Bryce Harper
Bryce Harper
PHIvsAZBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.39
Edge+9.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 138 games
-256 · draftkings
Lars Nootbaar
Lars Nootbaar
AZvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.98
Edge+9.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.55 across 69 games
-109 · draftkings
J.T. Realmuto
J.T. Realmuto
PHIvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.98
Edge+7.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.66 across 102 games
-112 · draftkings
Tim Tawa
Tim Tawa
AZvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.61
Edge+6.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.61 across 77 games
+118 · draftkings
Corbin Carroll
Corbin Carroll
AZvsPHIBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.7
Edge+5.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 136 games
+180 · draftkings
Kyle Schwarber
Kyle Schwarber
PHIvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.37
Edge+4.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.14 across 133 games
-147 · draftkings
Ildemaro Vargas
Ildemaro Vargas
AZvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.74
Edge+4.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 118 games
-101 · draftkings
Geraldo Perdomo
Geraldo Perdomo
AZvsPHIBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.06
Edge+4.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 135 games
-214 · draftkings
Trea Turner
Trea Turner
PHIvsAZBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.9
Edge+4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 134 games
-232 · draftkings
Gabriel Moreno
Gabriel Moreno
AZvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.96
Edge+3.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.23 across 109 games
-129 · draftkings
Alec Bohm
Alec Bohm
PHIvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.15
Edge+3.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 132 games
-142 · draftkings
Geraldo Perdomo
Geraldo Perdomo
AZvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.77
Edge+3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 135 games
-114 · draftkings
Bryson Stott
Bryson Stott
PHIvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.56
Edge−3.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.81 across 133 games
-109 · draftkings
Justin Crawford
Justin Crawford
PHIvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.7
Edge−2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 124 games
+131 · draftkings
Ildemaro Vargas
Ildemaro Vargas
AZvsPHIBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.84
Edge−2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 118 games
-205 · draftkings
Kyle Schwarber
Kyle Schwarber
PHIvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.9
Edge−2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 133 games
-222 · draftkings
Justin Crawford
Justin Crawford
PHIvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.51
Edge+2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.43 across 124 games
+107 · draftkings
Brandon Marsh
Brandon Marsh
PHIvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.68
Edge+1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 132 games
+147 · draftkings
Luis Arraez
Luis Arraez
PHIvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.58
Edge+1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.17 across 131 games
+115 · draftkings
Alec Bohm
Alec Bohm
PHIvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.01
Edge−1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 132 games
-270 · draftkings
Trea Turner
Trea Turner
PHIvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.77
Edge−1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.04 across 134 games
+117 · draftkings
Tim Tawa
Tim Tawa
AZvsPHIBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.78
Edge+1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 77 games
-157 · draftkings
Nolan Arenado
Nolan Arenado
AZvsPHIBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.71
Edge−1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 130 games
+141 · draftkings
Gabriel Moreno
Gabriel Moreno
AZvsPHIBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.99
Edge−1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 109 games
-259 · draftkings
Bryson Stott
Bryson Stott
PHIvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.8
Edge−0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 133 games
+170 · draftkings
Luis Arraez
Luis Arraez
PHIvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.03
Edge−0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.27 across 131 games
-220 · draftkings
Nolan Arenado
Nolan Arenado
AZvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.51
Edge−0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.82 across 130 games
-103 · draftkings
Corbin Carroll
Corbin Carroll
AZvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.58
Edge−0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.96 across 136 games
+105 · draftkings
Brandon Marsh
Brandon Marsh
PHIvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.3
Edge−0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 132 games
-120 · draftkings
Lars Nootbaar
Lars Nootbaar
AZvsPHIBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge−0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 69 games
-185 · draftkings
J.T. Realmuto
J.T. Realmuto
PHIvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.88
Edge−0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 102 games
-206 · draftkings
Fenway Park38 leansFinal · graded

SEA@BOS

Seattle Mariners at Boston Red Sox

first pitch
4:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Bryce Miller
probable · awayBryce Miller
SEA
Patrick Sandoval
probable · homePatrick Sandoval
BOS
Strikeouts
Patrick Sandoval
Patrick Sandoval
BOSvsSEAPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER5.5
Projection5.88
Edge+9.9%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.3 K across 9 starts
+102 · draftkings
Bryce Miller
Bryce Miller
SEAvsBOSPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER4.5
Projection4.82
Edge+9%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.4 K across 17 starts
+118 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Randy Arozarena
Randy Arozarena
SEAvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.6
Edge+14.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.19 across 131 games
-117 · draftkings
Cal Raleigh
Cal Raleigh
SEAvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.03
Edge+13.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.47 across 105 games
+108 · draftkings
Connor Wong
Connor Wong
BOSvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.56
Edge+11.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.42 across 64 games
-166 · draftkings
Nick Sogard
Nick Sogard
BOSvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.98
Edge+10.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 43 games
-106 · draftkings
Trevor Story
Trevor Story
BOSvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.85
Edge+10.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 44 games
+110 · draftkings
Trevor Story
Trevor Story
BOSvsSEABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1
Edge+9.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 44 games
-168 · draftkings
Mickey Gasper
Mickey Gasper
BOSvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.95
Edge+7.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.70 across 47 games
-114 · draftkings
Weston Wilson
Weston Wilson
SEAvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.01
Edge+7.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 49 games
-138 · draftkings
Connor Wong
Connor Wong
BOSvsSEABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.76
Edge+6.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 64 games
-127 · draftkings
Cal Raleigh
Cal Raleigh
SEAvsBOSBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.85
Edge+5.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 105 games
-154 · draftkings
Nick Sogard
Nick Sogard
BOSvsSEABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1
Edge+5.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 43 games
-204 · draftkings
Taylor Ward
Taylor Ward
SEAvsBOSBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.52
Edge+4.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 130 games
+125 · draftkings
Josh Naylor
Josh Naylor
SEAvsBOSBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.07
Edge+4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 129 games
-227 · draftkings
Caleb Durbin
Caleb Durbin
BOSvsSEABatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.68
Edge+3.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 130 games
+160 · draftkings
Roman Anthony
Roman Anthony
BOSvsSEABatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.12
Edge+3.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 33 games
-252 · draftkings
Randy Arozarena
Randy Arozarena
SEAvsBOSBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.06
Edge+3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 131 games
-221 · draftkings
Dominic Canzone
Dominic Canzone
SEAvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.75
Edge+3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.69 across 123 games
-108 · draftkings
Jarren Duran
Jarren Duran
BOSvsSEABatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.69
Edge+3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 130 games
+162 · draftkings
Josh Naylor
Josh Naylor
SEAvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.7
Edge+3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.81 across 129 games
-105 · draftkings
J.P. Crawford
J.P. Crawford
SEAvsBOSBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.63
Edge−3.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 93 games
+111 · draftkings
Roman Anthony
Roman Anthony
BOSvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.67
Edge−2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.55 across 33 games
-136 · draftkings
Wilyer Abreu
Wilyer Abreu
BOSvsSEABatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.94
Edge−2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 136 games
+195 · draftkings
Taylor Ward
Taylor Ward
SEAvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.22
Edge−2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.63 across 130 games
-147 · draftkings
Dominic Canzone
Dominic Canzone
SEAvsBOSBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.8
Edge−2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 123 games
+161 · draftkings
Ceddanne Rafaela
Ceddanne Rafaela
BOSvsSEABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.07
Edge+1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 132 games
-260 · draftkings
Ceddanne Rafaela
Ceddanne Rafaela
BOSvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.89
Edge+1.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.17 across 132 games
-129 · draftkings
Wilyer Abreu
Wilyer Abreu
BOSvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.73
Edge−1.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.06 across 136 games
+113 · draftkings
Mickey Gasper
Mickey Gasper
BOSvsSEABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge−1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 47 games
-212 · draftkings
Cole Young
Cole Young
SEAvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.44
Edge+1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.78 across 138 games
+110 · draftkings
Cole Young
Cole Young
SEAvsBOSBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.7
Edge−1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 138 games
+137 · draftkings
Jarren Duran
Jarren Duran
BOSvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.64
Edge−0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.78 across 130 games
-116 · draftkings
J.P. Crawford
J.P. Crawford
SEAvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.21
Edge+0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.52 across 93 games
+133 · draftkings
Caleb Durbin
Caleb Durbin
BOSvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.27
Edge−0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 130 games
-122 · draftkings
Weston Wilson
Weston Wilson
SEAvsBOSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.49
Edge0%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.49 across 49 games
+102 · draftkings
Julio Rodriguez
SEA @ BOSBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Julio Rodriguez
SEA @ BOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
PNC Park38 leansFinal · graded

SF@PIT

San Francisco Giants at Pittsburgh Pirates

first pitch
6:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Landen Roupp
probable · awayLanden Roupp
SF
Bubba Chandler
probable · homeBubba Chandler
PIT
Strikeouts
Landen Roupp
Landen Roupp
SFvsPITPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER4.5
Projection4.14
Edge+12.4%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.1 K across 26 starts
+121 · draftkings
Bubba Chandler
Bubba Chandler
PITvsSFPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
OVER4.5
Projection4.59
Edge+0.3%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.5 K across 26 starts
-106 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Oneil Cruz
Oneil Cruz
PITvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.66
Edge+15%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.52 across 75 games
-118 · draftkings
Turner Hill
Turner Hill
SFvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.15
Edge+14.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 14 games
+105 · draftkings
Bryce Eldridge
Bryce Eldridge
SFvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.34
Edge+14.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 93 games
-114 · draftkings
Bryce Eldridge
Bryce Eldridge
SFvsPITBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.22
Edge+12.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 93 games
-205 · draftkings
Brandon Lowe
Brandon Lowe
PITvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.4
Edge+11.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.30 across 129 games
-120 · draftkings
Rafael Devers
Rafael Devers
SFvsPITBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.17
Edge+10.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 139 games
-211 · draftkings
Shay Whitcomb
Shay Whitcomb
SFvsPITBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.33
Edge+9.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.25 across 24 games
+107 · draftkings
Oneil Cruz
Oneil Cruz
PITvsSFBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.13
Edge+9.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 75 games
-183 · draftkings
Jake Mangum
Jake Mangum
PITvsSFBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.7
Edge+7.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 108 games
+187 · draftkings
Jacob Gonzalez
Jacob Gonzalez
PITvsSFBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.5
Edge+6.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 67 games
+131 · draftkings
Jake Mangum
Jake Mangum
PITvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1.17
Edge+6.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 108 games
-104 · draftkings
Nate Furman
Nate Furman
SFvsPITBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.37
Edge+6.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.33 across 12 games
+100 · draftkings
Brandon Lowe
Brandon Lowe
PITvsSFBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.05
Edge+5.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 129 games
-204 · draftkings
Drew Gilbert
Drew Gilbert
SFvsPITBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.57
Edge+5.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 110 games
+141 · draftkings
Spencer Horwitz
Spencer Horwitz
PITvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1.33
Edge+4.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.67 across 96 games
+103 · draftkings
Bryan Reynolds
Bryan Reynolds
PITvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.95
Edge+3.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.11 across 139 games
-125 · draftkings
Bryan Reynolds
Bryan Reynolds
PITvsSFBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.04
Edge+3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 139 games
-238 · draftkings
Turner Hill
Turner Hill
SFvsPITBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.01
Edge+3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 14 games
-178 · draftkings
Rafael Devers
Rafael DeversModel anomaly
SFvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.96
Edge+20.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.12 across 139 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-122 · draftkings
Christian Koss
Christian Koss
SFvsPITBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.65
Edge−3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.59 across 44 games
-152 · draftkings
Spencer Horwitz
Spencer Horwitz
PITvsSFBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.78
Edge+2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 96 games
+189 · draftkings
Christian Koss
Christian Koss
SFvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.36
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 44 games
+129 · draftkings
Esmerlyn Valdez
Esmerlyn Valdez
PITvsSFBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.71
Edge−2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 66 games
+135 · draftkings
Esmerlyn Valdez
Esmerlyn Valdez
PITvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.73
Edge+2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.06 across 66 games
-108 · draftkings
Nick Gonzales
Nick Gonzales
PITvsSFBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.24
Edge+2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.17 across 129 games
+166 · draftkings
Jung Hoo Lee
Jung Hoo Lee
SFvsPITBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge+2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 127 games
+197 · draftkings
Drew Cavanaugh
Drew Cavanaugh
SFvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.1
Edge+1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 41 games
-175 · draftkings
Jung Hoo Lee
Jung Hoo Lee
SFvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.73
Edge−1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.96 across 127 games
-128 · draftkings
Nate Furman
Nate Furman
SFvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.64
Edge+1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.58 across 12 games
+127 · draftkings
Jacob Gonzalez
Jacob Gonzalez
PITvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.02
Edge+1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.34 across 67 games
-138 · draftkings
Shay Whitcomb
Shay Whitcomb
SFvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection0.93
Edge+0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 24 games
-174 · draftkings
Drew Gilbert
Drew Gilbert
SFvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.53
Edge−0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.35 across 110 games
-104 · draftkings
Drew Cavanaugh
Drew Cavanaugh
SFvsPITBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.67
Edge+0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.63 across 41 games
-133 · draftkings
Nick Gonzales
Nick Gonzales
PITvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection2.02
Edge+0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.14 across 129 games
-156 · draftkings
Rafael Flores
SF @ PITBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Rafael Flores
SF @ PITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Tropicana Field38 leansFinal · graded

NYM@TB

New York Mets at Tampa Bay Rays

first pitch
6:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Justin Hagenman
probable · awayJustin Hagenman
NYM
Griffin Jax
probable · homeGriffin Jax
TB
Strikeouts
Griffin Jax
Griffin Jax
TBvsNYMPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER4.5
Projection5.77
Edge+10.1%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.5 K across 29 starts
-133 · draftkings
Justin Hagenman
Justin Hagenman
NYMvsTBPitcherStrikeouts
Sample too small
Line3.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Jared Young
Jared Young
NYMvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.75
Edge+12.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.61 across 87 games
+130 · draftkings
Brett Baty
Brett Baty
NYMvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.25
Edge+11.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.39 across 120 games
-126 · draftkings
Junior Caminero
Junior Caminero
TBvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.52
Edge+10.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.33 across 138 games
-137 · draftkings
Brett Baty
Brett Baty
NYMvsTBBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.74
Edge+10.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 120 games
-104 · draftkings
Junior Caminero
Junior Caminero
TBvsNYMBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.24
Edge+9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 138 games
-255 · draftkings
Victor Mesa Jr.
Victor Mesa Jr.
TBvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.83
Edge+8.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 52 games
+105 · draftkings
Carson Benge
Carson Benge
NYMvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.99
Edge+8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.98 across 132 games
-107 · draftkings
Francisco Lindor
Francisco Lindor
NYMvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.91
Edge+6.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.93 across 81 games
-104 · draftkings
Victor Mesa Jr.
Victor Mesa Jr.
TBvsNYMBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.91
Edge+6.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 52 games
-162 · draftkings
Francisco Alvarez
Francisco Alvarez
NYMvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.1
Edge+6.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.41 across 96 games
-142 · draftkings
Liam Hicks
Liam Hicks
TBvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.95
Edge+6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.11 across 123 games
-111 · draftkings
Liam Hicks
Liam Hicks
TBvsNYMBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.1
Edge+5.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 123 games
-215 · draftkings
Jared Young
Jared Young
NYMvsTBBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge+5.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 87 games
-155 · draftkings
Chandler Simpson
Chandler Simpson
TBvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.98
Edge+5.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 127 games
-134 · draftkings
Carson Benge
Carson Benge
NYMvsTBBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.18
Edge+5.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 132 games
-239 · draftkings
Chandler Simpson
Chandler Simpson
TBvsNYMBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.24
Edge+5.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.19 across 127 games
+194 · draftkings
A.J. Ewing
A.J. Ewing
NYMvsTBBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.78
Edge+4.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 98 games
-137 · draftkings
Taylor Walls
Taylor Walls
TBvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.34
Edge+3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.48 across 108 games
+134 · draftkings
Marcus Semien
Marcus Semien
NYMvsTBBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge+2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 119 games
-163 · draftkings
Juan Soto
Juan Soto
NYMvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.66
Edge+2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.12 across 88 games
-102 · draftkings
Juan Soto
Juan Soto
NYMvsTBBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.73
Edge−3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 88 games
-177 · draftkings
A.J. Ewing
A.J. Ewing
NYMvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.24
Edge+2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.58 across 98 games
-170 · draftkings
Cedric Mullins
Cedric Mullins
TBvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.3
Edge−2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.49 across 116 games
+111 · draftkings
Bo Bichette
Bo Bichette
NYMvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.65
Edge+2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.99 across 137 games
-103 · draftkings
Marcus Semien
Marcus Semien
NYMvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.29
Edge+1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.48 across 119 games
+129 · draftkings
Bo Bichette
Bo Bichette
NYMvsTBBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.92
Edge−1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 137 games
+183 · draftkings
Jonathan Aranda
Jonathan Aranda
TBvsNYMBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.87
Edge−1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 134 games
+178 · draftkings
Cedric Mullins
Cedric Mullins
TBvsNYMBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.6
Edge−1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 116 games
+114 · draftkings
Richie Palacios
Richie Palacios
TBvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.27
Edge+1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.45 across 100 games
+132 · draftkings
Francisco Lindor
Francisco Lindor
NYMvsTBBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.85
Edge−1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 81 games
-200 · draftkings
Richie Palacios
Richie Palacios
TBvsNYMBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.53
Edge−0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.66 across 100 games
+102 · draftkings
Taylor Walls
Taylor Walls
TBvsNYMBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.65
Edge+0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 108 games
-129 · draftkings
Francisco Alvarez
Francisco Alvarez
NYMvsTBBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.58
Edge+0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 96 games
-114 · draftkings
Jonathan Aranda
Jonathan Aranda
TBvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.81
Edge−0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.11 across 134 games
-133 · draftkings
Yandy Diaz
NYM @ TBBatterHits
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Yandy Diaz
NYM @ TBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Progressive Field38 leansFinal · graded

TOR@CLE

Toronto Blue Jays at Cleveland Guardians

first pitch
6:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Dylan Cease
probable · awayDylan Cease
TOR
Joey Cantillo
probable · homeJoey Cantillo
CLE
Strikeouts
Dylan Cease
Dylan CeaseModel anomaly
TORvsCLEPitcherStrikeouts
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER6.5
Projection8.67
Edge+37.5%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 8.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 8.7 K across 25 starts
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+103 · draftkings
Joey Cantillo
Joey Cantillo
CLEvsTORPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
OVER4.5
Projection4.71
Edge−0.6%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.2 K across 28 starts
-118 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Jo Adell
Jo Adell
CLEvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.32
Edge+18.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.95 across 135 games
+122 · draftkings
Nathan Lukes
Nathan Lukes
TORvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.98
Edge+17.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 100 games
+127 · draftkings
Brett Bateman
Brett Bateman
TORvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.17
Edge+17.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.15 across 20 games
-102 · draftkings
Charles McAdoo
Charles McAdoo
TORvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.69
Edge+16.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.48 across 23 games
-155 · draftkings
Austin Hedges
Austin Hedges
CLEvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.15
Edge+15.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.40 across 63 games
-102 · draftkings
Travis Bazzana
Travis Bazzana
CLEvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.9
Edge+15.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.70 across 102 games
-150 · draftkings
Steven Kwan
Steven Kwan
CLEvsTORBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.29
Edge+14.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 127 games
-187 · draftkings
Travis Bazzana
Travis Bazzana
CLEvsTORBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.94
Edge+14.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 102 games
-115 · draftkings
Brett Bateman
Brett Bateman
TORvsCLEBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.3
Edge+14.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.30 across 20 games
-193 · draftkings
Charles McAdoo
Charles McAdoo
TORvsCLEBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.87
Edge+13.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 23 games
-114 · draftkings
Jo Adell
Jo Adell
CLEvsTORBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.11
Edge+13.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 135 games
-150 · draftkings
George Springer
George Springer
TORvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.17
Edge+12.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 105 games
-110 · draftkings
Austin Hedges
Austin Hedges
CLEvsTORBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.62
Edge+12.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 63 games
+130 · draftkings
George Springer
George Springer
TORvsCLEBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.17
Edge+11.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 105 games
-198 · draftkings
Chase DeLauter
Chase DeLauter
CLEvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.98
Edge+10.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.07 across 116 games
+105 · draftkings
Nathaniel Lowe
Nathaniel Lowe
CLEvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.78
Edge+10.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.65 across 103 games
-181 · draftkings
Brayan Rocchio
Brayan Rocchio
CLEvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.53
Edge+10%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.66 across 132 games
-172 · draftkings
Kazuma Okamoto
Kazuma Okamoto
TORvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.84
Edge+7.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.98 across 133 games
+103 · draftkings
Myles Straw
Myles Straw
TORvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.17
Edge+6.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 108 games
-154 · draftkings
Nathan Lukes
Nathan Lukes
TORvsCLEBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge+6.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 100 games
-154 · draftkings
Chase DeLauter
Chase DeLauter
CLEvsTORBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.04
Edge+6.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 116 games
-177 · draftkings
Nathaniel Lowe
Nathaniel Lowe
CLEvsTORBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.81
Edge+6.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 103 games
-138 · draftkings
Angel Genao
Angel Genao
CLEvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.35
Edge+5.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.59 across 22 games
-186 · draftkings
Alejandro Kirk
Alejandro Kirk
TORvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.73
Edge+5.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.76 across 62 games
+100 · draftkings
Brayan Rocchio
Brayan Rocchio
CLEvsTORBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.73
Edge+3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 132 games
-132 · draftkings
Myles Straw
Myles Straw
TORvsCLEBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.66
Edge+2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.52 across 108 games
-120 · draftkings
Steven Kwan
Steven KwanModel anomaly
CLEvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.31
Edge+20.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.72 across 127 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+108 · draftkings
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
TORvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.58
Edge−3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 124 games
-106 · draftkings
Alejandro Kirk
Alejandro Kirk
TORvsCLEBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.93
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 62 games
-199 · draftkings
Angel Genao
Angel Genao
CLEvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.75
Edge+2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 22 games
-137 · draftkings
Kazuma Okamoto
Kazuma Okamoto
TORvsCLEBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.77
Edge+1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 133 games
-157 · draftkings
Ernie Clement
Ernie Clement
TORvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.13
Edge+1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.76 across 135 games
-133 · draftkings
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
TORvsCLEBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.88
Edge−0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 124 games
+187 · draftkings
Ernie Clement
Ernie Clement
TORvsCLEBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.77
Edge+0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 135 games
+160 · draftkings
Jose Ramirez
TOR @ CLEBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Jose Ramirez
TOR @ CLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Target Field38 leansFinal · graded

DET@MIN

Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins

first pitch
7:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Drew Anderson
probable · awayDrew Anderson
DET
Dean Kremer
probable · homeDean Kremer
MIN
Strikeouts
Drew Anderson
Drew Anderson
DETvsMINPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER4.5
Projection3.53
Edge+10.8%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 2.1 K across 45 starts
-160 · draftkings
Dean Kremer
Dean Kremer
MINvsDETPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER4.5
Projection4.85
Edge+9.9%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.1 K across 12 starts
+110 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Walker Jenkins
Walker Jenkins
MINvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2
Edge+18.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 5 games
+130 · draftkings
Kaelen Culpepper
Kaelen Culpepper
MINvsDETBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.22
Edge+17.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 21 games
-152 · draftkings
Luke Keaschall
Luke Keaschall
MINvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.35
Edge+15.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 130 games
-124 · draftkings
Brooks Lee
Brooks Lee
MINvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.44
Edge+13.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.98 across 131 games
-121 · draftkings
Colt Keith
Colt Keith
DETvsMINBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.46
Edge+9.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 126 games
+137 · draftkings
Ryan Jeffers
Ryan Jeffers
MINvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.21
Edge+9.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.21 across 75 games
-113 · draftkings
Colt Keith
Colt Keith
DETvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.77
Edge+8.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.34 across 126 games
-133 · draftkings
Luke Keaschall
Luke Keaschall
MINvsDETBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.18
Edge+8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 130 games
-243 · draftkings
Josh Bell
Josh Bell
MINvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.99
Edge+7.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.08 across 133 games
-108 · draftkings
Zach McKinstry
Zach McKinstry
DETvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.91
Edge+7.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.21 across 109 games
-143 · draftkings
Trevor Larnach
Trevor Larnach
MINvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.56
Edge+7.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 113 games
+127 · draftkings
Kody Clemens
Kody Clemens
MINvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.1
Edge+6.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.99 across 121 games
-122 · draftkings
Zach McKinstry
Zach McKinstry
DETvsMINBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.53
Edge+6.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 109 games
+137 · draftkings
Royce Lewis
Royce Lewis
MINvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.65
Edge+5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 104 games
+106 · draftkings
Brooks Lee
Brooks Lee
MINvsDETBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.07
Edge+3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 131 games
-246 · draftkings
Dillon Dingler
Dillon Dingler
DETvsMINBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.77
Edge+3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 128 games
+173 · draftkings
Kaelen Culpepper
Kaelen CulpepperModel anomaly
MINvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.4
Edge+27.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.10 across 21 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+126 · draftkings
Walker Jenkins
Walker Jenkins
MINvsDETBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.6
Edge−3.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 5 games
+105 · draftkings
Josh Bell
Josh Bell
MINvsDETBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge−2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 133 games
-206 · draftkings
Riley Greene
Riley Greene
DETvsMINBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.79
Edge−2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 118 games
+151 · draftkings
Ryan Jeffers
Ryan Jeffers
MINvsDETBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.92
Edge+2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 75 games
-201 · draftkings
Royce Lewis
Royce Lewis
MINvsDETBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge+2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 104 games
-171 · draftkings
Trevor Larnach
Trevor Larnach
MINvsDETBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.77
Edge+1.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 113 games
-149 · draftkings
Gleyber Torres
Gleyber Torres
DETvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.66
Edge+1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.01 across 80 games
-107 · draftkings
Spencer Torkelson
Spencer Torkelson
DETvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.05
Edge−1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.60 across 136 games
-159 · draftkings
Spencer Torkelson
Spencer Torkelson
DETvsMINBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.57
Edge−1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 136 games
+108 · draftkings
Kevin McGonigle
Kevin McGonigle
DETvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.76
Edge−1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.12 across 134 games
-131 · draftkings
Kevin McGonigle
Kevin McGonigle
DETvsMINBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge−1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 134 games
+176 · draftkings
Gleyber Torres
Gleyber Torres
DETvsMINBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge−1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 80 games
-207 · draftkings
Max Clark
Max Clark
DETvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.38
Edge−0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.66 across 29 games
+108 · draftkings
Kody Clemens
Kody Clemens
MINvsDETBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge−0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 121 games
-217 · draftkings
Dillon Dingler
Dillon Dingler
DETvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.4
Edge−0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.10 across 128 games
-110 · draftkings
Riley Greene
Riley Greene
DETvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.75
Edge+0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.99 across 118 games
-120 · draftkings
Max Clark
Max Clark
DETvsMINBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.66
Edge−0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 29 games
+132 · draftkings
John Peck
John Peck
DETvsMINBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (1 games of log data)
— · draftkings
John Peck
John Peck
DETvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (1 games of log data)
— · draftkings
Kauffman Stadium38 leansFinal · graded

MIA@KC

Miami Marlins at Kansas City Royals

first pitch
7:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Eury Pérez
probable · awayEury Pérez
MIA
Noah Cameron
probable · homeNoah Cameron
KC
Strikeouts
Noah Cameron
Noah Cameron
KCvsMIAPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
OVER4.5
Projection4.65
Edge−2.6%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.0 K across 26 starts
-122 · draftkings
Eury Perez
MIA @ KCPitcherStrikeouts
Sample too small
Line4.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Josh Rojas
Josh Rojas
KCvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.7
Edge+13%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.39 across 33 games
+137 · draftkings
Nick Loftin
Nick Loftin
KCvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.92
Edge+12.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.55 across 99 games
+121 · draftkings
Kyle Isbel
Kyle Isbel
KCvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.83
Edge+12.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.35 across 77 games
+123 · draftkings
Agustín Ramírez
Agustín Ramírez
MIAvsKCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.57
Edge+8.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 52 games
+162 · draftkings
Jac Caglianone
Jac Caglianone
KCvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.37
Edge+7.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.05 across 127 games
-128 · draftkings
Nick Loftin
Nick Loftin
KCvsMIABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.92
Edge+7.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 99 games
-154 · draftkings
Carter Jensen
Carter Jensen
KCvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.88
Edge+6.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.75 across 128 games
-108 · draftkings
Josh Rojas
Josh Rojas
KCvsMIABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.8
Edge+6.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 33 games
-134 · draftkings
Vinnie Pasquantino
Vinnie Pasquantino
KCvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.8
Edge+6.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.79 across 92 games
-104 · draftkings
Otto Lopez
Otto Lopez
MIAvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.29
Edge+5.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.27 across 135 games
-156 · draftkings
Jac Caglianone
Jac Caglianone
KCvsMIABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.21
Edge+5.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 127 games
-240 · draftkings
Griffin Conine
Griffin Conine
MIAvsKCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.51
Edge+5.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 70 games
+126 · draftkings
Brian Navarreto
Brian Navarreto
MIAvsKCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.28
Edge+5.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.26 across 19 games
-122 · draftkings
Isaac Collins
Isaac Collins
KCvsMIABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge+5.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 123 games
-147 · draftkings
Kyle Isbel
Kyle Isbel
KCvsMIABatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.81
Edge+4.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 77 games
-147 · draftkings
Kyle Stowers
Kyle Stowers
MIAvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.96
Edge+4.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.92 across 102 games
-116 · draftkings
Salvador Perez
Salvador Perez
KCvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.79
Edge+4.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.69 across 129 games
-109 · draftkings
Isaac Collins
Isaac Collins
KCvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.45
Edge+3.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.40 across 123 games
+123 · draftkings
Vinnie Pasquantino
Vinnie Pasquantino
KCvsMIABatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.9
Edge+3.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 92 games
-183 · draftkings
Esteury Ruiz
Esteury Ruiz
MIAvsKCBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.41
Edge+3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.53 across 76 games
-104 · draftkings
Salvador Perez
Salvador Perez
KCvsMIABatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.93
Edge+2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 129 games
-200 · draftkings
Bobby Witt Jr.
Bobby Witt Jr.
KCvsMIABatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.06
Edge−2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 120 games
-250 · draftkings
Carter Jensen
Carter Jensen
KCvsMIABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.84
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 128 games
-171 · draftkings
Kyle Stowers
Kyle Stowers
MIAvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.9
Edge−2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 102 games
-213 · draftkings
Otto Lopez
Otto Lopez
MIAvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.16
Edge−1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.22 across 135 games
+165 · draftkings
Griffin Conine
Griffin Conine
MIAvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.1
Edge−1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.60 across 70 games
-147 · draftkings
Agustín Ramírez
Agustín Ramírez
MIAvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.23
Edge+1.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 52 games
-118 · draftkings
Esteury Ruiz
Esteury Ruiz
MIAvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.73
Edge−1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 76 games
+123 · draftkings
Bobby Witt Jr.
Bobby Witt Jr.
KCvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.99
Edge−0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.17 across 120 games
-156 · draftkings
Javier Sanoja
Javier Sanoja
MIAvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.6
Edge+0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.69 across 113 games
+110 · draftkings
Javier Sanoja
Javier Sanoja
MIAvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.01
Edge−0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 113 games
-230 · draftkings
Brian Navarreto
Brian Navarreto
MIAvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.74
Edge−0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 19 games
-138 · draftkings
Heriberto Hernandez
MIA @ KCBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Leo Jimenez
MIA @ KCBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Heriberto Hernandez
MIA @ KCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Leo Jimenez
MIA @ KCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Wrigley Field38 leansFinal · graded

MIL@CHC

Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs

first pitch
7:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Jacob Misiorowski
probable · awayJacob Misiorowski
MIL
David Peterson
probable · homeDavid Peterson
CHC
Strikeouts
Jacob Misiorowski
Jacob Misiorowski
MILvsCHCPitcherStrikeouts
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER7.5
Projection7.3
Edge+3.2%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 8.9 K across 25 starts
-101 · draftkings
David Peterson
David Peterson
CHCvsMILPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
OVER4.5
Projection4.57
Edge+2.5%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.0 K across 27 starts
+105 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Ian Happ
Ian Happ
CHCvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection2.33
Edge+20%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 133 games
-160 · draftkings
Miguel Amaya
Miguel Amaya
CHCvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.48
Edge+18%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.46 across 68 games
-112 · draftkings
Michael Conforto
Michael Conforto
CHCvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.53
Edge+17.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.26 across 92 games
-110 · draftkings
Seiya Suzuki
Seiya Suzuki
CHCvsMILBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.28
Edge+17.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 121 games
-167 · draftkings
Michael Busch
Michael Busch
CHCvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.88
Edge+14.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 137 games
-170 · draftkings
Ian Happ
Ian Happ
CHCvsMILBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.9
Edge+14.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 133 games
-117 · draftkings
Pete Crow-Armstrong
Pete Crow-Armstrong
CHCvsMILBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.19
Edge+14%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 139 games
-157 · draftkings
William Contreras
William Contreras
MILvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.72
Edge+13%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.14 across 128 games
-135 · draftkings
Nico Hoerner
Nico Hoerner
CHCvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.86
Edge+12%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 136 games
+121 · draftkings
Garrett Mitchell
Garrett Mitchell
MILvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.82
Edge+10.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.75 across 123 games
+118 · draftkings
Miguel Amaya
Miguel Amaya
CHCvsMILBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.62
Edge+10.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 68 games
+121 · draftkings
Alex Bregman
Alex Bregman
CHCvsMILBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.06
Edge+9.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 136 games
-168 · draftkings
Michael Conforto
Michael Conforto
CHCvsMILBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.62
Edge+9.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.54 across 92 games
+116 · draftkings
William Contreras
William Contreras
MILvsCHCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.42
Edge+8.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 128 games
-263 · draftkings
Cooper Pratt
Cooper Pratt
MILvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.78
Edge+8.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 52 games
+111 · draftkings
Michael Busch
Michael Busch
CHCvsMILBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.81
Edge+8.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 137 games
-128 · draftkings
Jackson Chourio
Jackson Chourio
MILvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER2.5
Projection2.65
Edge+7.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.40 across 104 games
+121 · draftkings
Joey Ortiz
Joey Ortiz
MILvsCHCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge+5.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 102 games
-165 · draftkings
Joey Ortiz
Joey Ortiz
MILvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.62
Edge+5.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.55 across 102 games
+110 · draftkings
Nico Hoerner
Nico Hoerner
CHCvsMILBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.02
Edge+4.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 136 games
-192 · draftkings
Garrett Mitchell
Garrett Mitchell
MILvsCHCBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge+3.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 123 games
-156 · draftkings
Jake Bauers
Jake Bauers
MILvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.83
Edge+3.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.15 across 124 games
-110 · draftkings
Seiya Suzuki
Seiya SuzukiModel anomaly
CHCvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.96
Edge+27.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.42 across 121 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+112 · draftkings
Alex Bregman
Alex BregmanModel anomaly
CHCvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.7
Edge+24.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.19 across 136 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+118 · draftkings
Pete Crow-Armstrong
Pete Crow-ArmstrongModel anomaly
CHCvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.88
Edge+23.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.45 across 139 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+111 · draftkings
Andrew Vaughn
Andrew Vaughn
MILvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.56
Edge−2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.62 across 92 games
-116 · draftkings
Andrew Vaughn
Andrew Vaughn
MILvsCHCBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.93
Edge+2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 92 games
-201 · draftkings
Jake Bauers
Jake Bauers
MILvsCHCBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.81
Edge−1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 124 games
-187 · draftkings
Brice Turang
Brice Turang
MILvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.88
Edge+1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.25 across 128 games
-129 · draftkings
Jackson Chourio
Jackson Chourio
MILvsCHCBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.23
Edge+1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.16 across 104 games
+163 · draftkings
Brice Turang
Brice Turang
MILvsCHCBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.85
Edge+0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 128 games
+190 · draftkings
Cooper Pratt
Cooper Pratt
MILvsCHCBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.77
Edge−0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 52 games
-167 · draftkings
Gary Sanchez
MIL @ CHCBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Pedro Ramirez
MIL @ CHCBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Gary Sanchez
MIL @ CHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Pedro Ramirez
MIL @ CHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Daikin Park38 leansFinal · graded

CWS@HOU

Chicago White Sox at Houston Astros

first pitch
8:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Davis Martin
probable · awayDavis Martin
CWS
Hayden Wesneski
probable · homeHayden Wesneski
HOU
Strikeouts
Hayden Wesneski
Hayden Wesneski
HOUvsCWSPitcherStrikeouts
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER4.5
Projection5.03
Edge+3%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.7 K across 6 starts
-150 · draftkings
Davis Martin
Davis Martin
CWSvsHOUPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
UNDER3.5
Projection3
Edge+1.8%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 1.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.6 K across 24 starts
-128 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Tristan Peters
Tristan Peters
CWSvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection2.27
Edge+17.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.63 across 128 games
-175 · draftkings
Colson Montgomery
Colson Montgomery
CWSvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.05
Edge+16.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 130 games
+125 · draftkings
Chase Meidroth
Chase Meidroth
CWSvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.84
Edge+15.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.98 across 132 games
+136 · draftkings
Chase Meidroth
Chase Meidroth
CWSvsHOUBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.06
Edge+13.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 132 games
-152 · draftkings
Tristan Peters
Tristan Peters
CWSvsHOUBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1
Edge+12.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 128 games
-142 · draftkings
Jake Rogers
Jake Rogers
CWSvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.29
Edge+12.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 48 games
-133 · draftkings
Andrew Benintendi
Andrew Benintendi
CWSvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.98
Edge+11.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 121 games
+108 · draftkings
Miguel Vargas
Miguel Vargas
CWSvsHOUBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.06
Edge+9.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 136 games
-187 · draftkings
Miguel Vargas
Miguel Vargas
CWSvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.08
Edge+9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.17 across 136 games
-105 · draftkings
Braden Montgomery
Braden Montgomery
CWSvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.83
Edge+8.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.87 across 69 games
+105 · draftkings
Yainer Diaz
Yainer Diaz
HOUvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.92
Edge+5.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 71 games
-111 · draftkings
Colson Montgomery
Colson Montgomery
CWSvsHOUBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.81
Edge+5.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 130 games
-142 · draftkings
Daulton Varsho
Daulton Varsho
HOUvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.71
Edge+4.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.52 across 117 games
-102 · draftkings
Jose Altuve
Jose Altuve
HOUvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.88
Edge+4.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 112 games
-115 · draftkings
Sam Antonacci
Sam Antonacci
CWSvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.88
Edge+4.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 117 games
-118 · draftkings
Isaac Paredes
Isaac Paredes
HOUvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.85
Edge+3.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 132 games
-116 · draftkings
Andrew Benintendi
Andrew Benintendi
CWSvsHOUBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.88
Edge+3.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 121 games
-176 · draftkings
Christian Walker
Christian Walker
HOUvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.6
Edge+3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 133 games
+105 · draftkings
Sam Antonacci
Sam Antonacci
CWSvsHOUBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.91
Edge−3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 117 games
-235 · draftkings
Taylor Trammell
Taylor Trammell
HOUvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.48
Edge−3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.57 across 76 games
-109 · draftkings
Christian Walker
Christian Walker
HOUvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.72
Edge−3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 133 games
-169 · draftkings
Yordan Alvarez
Yordan Alvarez
HOUvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection0.97
Edge−2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.13 across 137 games
-261 · draftkings
Munetaka Murakami
Munetaka Murakami
CWSvsHOUBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.58
Edge+2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 103 games
+126 · draftkings
Yordan Alvarez
Yordan Alvarez
HOUvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER2.5
Projection2.14
Edge−1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.48 across 137 games
+118 · draftkings
Taylor Trammell
Taylor Trammell
HOUvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.79
Edge−1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.17 across 76 games
-145 · draftkings
Munetaka Murakami
Munetaka Murakami
CWSvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.47
Edge−1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.04 across 103 games
-104 · draftkings
Jake Rogers
Jake Rogers
CWSvsHOUBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.53
Edge+1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.46 across 48 games
-101 · draftkings
Braden Montgomery
Braden Montgomery
CWSvsHOUBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.71
Edge−1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 69 games
+142 · draftkings
Yainer Diaz
Yainer Diaz
HOUvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.98
Edge+1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 71 games
-224 · draftkings
Daulton Varsho
Daulton Varsho
HOUvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge+1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 117 games
-188 · draftkings
Isaac Paredes
Isaac Paredes
HOUvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.77
Edge−0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 132 games
+162 · draftkings
Jose Altuve
Jose Altuve
HOUvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge−0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 112 games
-228 · draftkings
Cam Smith
Cam Smith
HOUvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.18
Edge−0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 128 games
+130 · draftkings
Cam Smith
Cam Smith
HOUvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.51
Edge0%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 128 games
+102 · draftkings
Jeremy Pena
CWS @ HOUBatterHits
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Jeremy Pena
CWS @ HOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Angel Stadium38 leansFinal · graded

NYY@LAA

New York Yankees at Los Angeles Angels

first pitch
9:38 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Cam Schlittler
probable · awayCam Schlittler
NYY
Reid Detmers
probable · homeReid Detmers
LAA
Strikeouts
Cam Schlittler
Cam Schlittler
NYYvsLAAPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER7.5
Projection6.71
Edge+15.9%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 7.2 K across 28 starts
+109 · draftkings
Reid Detmers
Reid Detmers
LAAvsNYYPitcherStrikeouts
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER6.5
Projection6.2
Edge+3.1%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 6.4 K across 27 starts
-106 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
NYYvsLAABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.15
Edge+19.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 129 games
-138 · draftkings
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
NYYvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection2.38
Edge+19.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.75 across 129 games
-177 · draftkings
Zach Neto
Zach Neto
LAAvsNYYBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.12
Edge+16%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 134 games
-148 · draftkings
Wade Meckler
Wade Meckler
LAAvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.85
Edge+16%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.69 across 72 games
-159 · draftkings
Christian Moore
Christian Moore
LAAvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.29
Edge+14.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.19 across 16 games
-136 · draftkings
Wade Meckler
Wade Meckler
LAAvsNYYBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge+14%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 72 games
-130 · draftkings
Mike Trout
Mike Trout
LAAvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.9
Edge+13.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 120 games
-177 · draftkings
Cody Bellinger
Cody Bellinger
NYYvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.26
Edge+13%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.03 across 112 games
-106 · draftkings
Ben Rice
Ben Rice
NYYvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.37
Edge+12.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.23 across 133 games
-108 · draftkings
Vaughn Grissom
Vaughn Grissom
LAAvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection2.09
Edge+12.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 95 games
-174 · draftkings
Mike Trout
Mike Trout
LAAvsNYYBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.93
Edge+12.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 120 games
-134 · draftkings
Vaughn Grissom
Vaughn Grissom
LAAvsNYYBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge+7.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 95 games
-142 · draftkings
Josh Lowe
Josh Lowe
LAAvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.94
Edge+7.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.19 across 90 games
-118 · draftkings
Oswald Peraza
Oswald Peraza
LAAvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.96
Edge+7.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.23 across 101 games
-118 · draftkings
Cody Bellinger
Cody Bellinger
NYYvsLAABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.09
Edge+7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 112 games
-214 · draftkings
Christian Moore
Christian Moore
LAAvsNYYBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.69
Edge+6.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 16 games
-109 · draftkings
Trent Grisham
Trent Grisham
NYYvsLAABatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.52
Edge+4.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 118 games
+125 · draftkings
Ben Rice
Ben Rice
NYYvsLAABatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.02
Edge+4.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 133 games
-209 · draftkings
Josh Lowe
Josh Lowe
LAAvsNYYBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.56
Edge+3.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 90 games
+104 · draftkings
Zach Neto
Zach NetoModel anomaly
LAAvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.45
Edge+24.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.10 across 134 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+133 · draftkings
Jose Siri
Jose Siri
LAAvsNYYBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.42
Edge+2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.55 across 71 games
-106 · draftkings
Oswald Peraza
Oswald Peraza
LAAvsNYYBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.55
Edge+2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 101 games
-101 · draftkings
Trent Grisham
Trent Grisham
NYYvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.5
Edge+1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 118 games
+108 · draftkings
Heliot Ramos
Heliot Ramos
NYYvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.45
Edge+1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.69 across 95 games
+112 · draftkings
Paul Goldschmidt
Paul Goldschmidt
NYYvsLAABatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.77
Edge−1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 94 games
+151 · draftkings
Amed Rosario
Amed Rosario
NYYvsLAABatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.61
Edge−1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 78 games
+115 · draftkings
Heliot Ramos
Heliot Ramos
NYYvsLAABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.75
Edge−1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 95 games
-168 · draftkings
Paul Goldschmidt
Paul Goldschmidt
NYYvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.64
Edge+0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.79 across 94 games
-109 · draftkings
Jose Siri
Jose Siri
LAAvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge−0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.23 across 71 games
-144 · draftkings
Amed Rosario
Amed Rosario
NYYvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.16
Edge+0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.32 across 78 games
+132 · draftkings
Jose Caballero
NYY @ LAABatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Moises Ballesteros
NYY @ LAABatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Ali Sanchez
NYY @ LAABatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Jose Caballero
NYY @ LAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Moises Ballesteros
NYY @ LAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Ali Sanchez
NYY @ LAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium37 leansFinal · graded

STL@LAD

St. Louis Cardinals at Los Angeles Dodgers

first pitch
10:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
probable · awayTBD
STL
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
probable · homeYoshinobu Yamamoto
LAD
Strikeouts
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
LADvsSTLPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER6.5
Projection7.64
Edge+10.4%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 8.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 6.4 K across 24 starts
-147 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Nathan Church
Nathan Church
STLvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.91
Edge+16.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.61 across 109 games
-159 · draftkings
Alec Burleson
Alec Burleson
STLvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.24
Edge+15.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 2.38 across 138 games
+111 · draftkings
César Prieto
César Prieto
STLvsLADBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.18
Edge+14.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.17 across 12 games
-101 · draftkings
Jordan Walker
Jordan Walker
STLvsLADBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.16
Edge+13.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.13 across 135 games
-170 · draftkings
César Prieto
César Prieto
STLvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.28
Edge+12.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.25 across 12 games
+122 · draftkings
Nathan Church
Nathan Church
STLvsLADBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge+10.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 109 games
-132 · draftkings
Hunter Feduccia
Hunter Feduccia
LADvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.08
Edge+8.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 76 games
-152 · draftkings
Nolan Gorman
Nolan Gorman
STLvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.94
Edge+7.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.29 across 69 games
-119 · draftkings
Tommy Edman
Tommy Edman
LADvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.01
Edge+6.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.92 across 60 games
-111 · draftkings
Hunter Feduccia
Hunter Feduccia
LADvsSTLBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.59
Edge+4.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.58 across 76 games
+100 · draftkings
Freddie Freeman
Freddie Freeman
LADvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.06
Edge+4.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.13 across 134 games
-139 · draftkings
Alec Burleson
Alec Burleson
STLvsLADBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.99
Edge+3.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 138 games
-202 · draftkings
Mookie Betts
Mookie Betts
LADvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.03
Edge+3.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.96 across 101 games
-127 · draftkings
Freddie Freeman
Freddie Freeman
LADvsSTLBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.12
Edge+3.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 134 games
-251 · draftkings
Jordan Walker
Jordan WalkerModel anomaly
STLvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.56
Edge+22.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.51 across 135 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+119 · draftkings
Nolan Gorman
Nolan Gorman
STLvsLADBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.4
Edge−3.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.59 across 69 games
+105 · draftkings
Kyle Tucker
Kyle Tucker
LADvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.75
Edge−3.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 129 games
+138 · draftkings
Max Muncy
Max Muncy
STL @ LADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.6
Edge−2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 126 games
-116 · draftkings
Alex Call
Alex Call
LADvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.57
Edge−1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.55 across 64 games
+108 · draftkings
Shohei Ohtani
Shohei Ohtani
LADvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.8
Edge−1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.40 across 128 games
+117 · draftkings
Max Muncy
Max Muncy
STL @ LADBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.71
Edge−1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 126 games
+137 · draftkings
Tommy Edman
Tommy Edman
LADvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge+1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 60 games
-202 · draftkings
Alex Call
Alex Call
LADvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.06
Edge+0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 64 games
-157 · draftkings
Mookie Betts
Mookie Betts
LADvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.02
Edge+0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 101 games
-227 · draftkings
Kyle Tucker
Kyle Tucker
LADvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.6
Edge+0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.81 across 129 games
-108 · draftkings
Shohei Ohtani
Shohei Ohtani
LADvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.84
Edge0%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 128 games
+179 · draftkings
Ivan Herrera
STL @ LADBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Teoscar Hernandez
STL @ LADBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Jose Fermin
STL @ LADBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Joshua Baez
STL @ LADBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Leonardo Bernal
STL @ LADBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Teoscar Hernandez
STL @ LADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Ivan Herrera
STL @ LADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Jose Fermin
STL @ LADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Joshua Baez
STL @ LADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Leonardo Bernal
STL @ LADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
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