12 MLB games · 436 model-vs-market reads
Projections for pitcher strikeouts and batter markets only. Home runs live on Homer Nukes because the variance profile is different.
Market context, not picks. Calibration notice (audit 2026-07-21): across 18,659 settled leans, none of these markets' model probabilities out-predict the market on Brier or log loss — the model is overconfident (its high-confidence reads under-perform). Treat the model number as a market-anchored research signal, not a proven advantage; the market price is the better probability. Paper / review / educational only — never a bet. Total bases is disabled for prediction and is not listed here; its settled history stays on Results.
Truist Park38 leansFinal · graded
SF@ATL

San Francisco Giants at Atlanta Braves
first pitch6:05 PM ET
SF@ATL
San Francisco Giants at Atlanta Braves
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.7 K across 25 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 1.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 0.8 K across 4 starts
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.10 across 10 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.10 across 10 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.87 across 91 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.08 across 137 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 91 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.37 across 109 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 26 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 137 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 137 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 16 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.40 across 10 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.31 across 26 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.59 across 27 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.31 across 16 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.26 across 137 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 137 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.58 across 117 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.57 across 42 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.22 across 117 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.20 across 131 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 137 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.19 across 27 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 135 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 135 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 125 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 109 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 42 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 131 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.31 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.98 across 125 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 10 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Great American Ball Park38 leansFinal · graded
SD@CIN

San Diego Padres at Cincinnati Reds
first pitch6:40 PM ET
SD@CIN
San Diego Padres at Cincinnati Reds
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.0 K across 27 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.3 K across 26 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.27 across 118 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.61 across 106 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 137 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 118 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 106 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.46 across 50 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.72 across 109 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.43 across 21 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 21 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.42 across 109 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 50 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 109 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 130 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.36 across 137 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.50 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.16 across 135 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 134 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 74 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.19 across 42 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 135 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 134 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 106 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 42 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.51 across 74 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 52 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.96 across 106 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 109 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.98 across 133 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.58 across 52 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.51 across 130 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 133 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Tropicana Field20 leansFinal · graded
NYM@TB

New York Mets at Tampa Bay Rays
first pitch6:40 PM ET
NYM@TB
New York Mets at Tampa Bay Rays
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.2 K across 5 starts
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.1 K across 41 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.34 across 136 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 136 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 122 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.10 across 122 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.47 across 106 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 125 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.18 across 125 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.50 across 115 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 133 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.12 across 133 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 106 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 115 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.66 across 99 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.45 across 99 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Fenway Park38 leansFinal · graded
SEA@BOS

Seattle Mariners at Boston Red Sox
first pitch6:45 PM ET
SEA@BOS
Seattle Mariners at Boston Red Sox
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 6.4 K across 22 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.0 K across 25 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.45 across 103 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.42 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.83 across 41 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.66 across 121 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.62 across 45 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.42 across 31 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.10 across 129 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 127 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 103 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 48 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 127 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 136 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 41 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 129 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 130 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.49 across 91 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 128 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 45 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 128 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.71 across 42 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 31 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 129 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.48 across 48 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 128 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 42 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 136 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 91 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.07 across 134 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 121 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 129 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 134 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 128 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.17 across 130 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Nationals Park38 leansFinal · graded
MIA@WSH

Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals
first pitch6:45 PM ET
MIA@WSH
Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 2.3 K across 18 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 2.9 K across 18 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.04 across 137 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.92 across 87 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 87 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 10 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 137 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.29 across 133 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 51 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.65 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.82 across 73 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 75 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 128 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.23 across 133 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.63 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 26 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.67 across 111 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 131 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.34 across 131 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.16 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.46 across 128 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.54 across 26 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.56 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.40 across 10 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 73 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.52 across 75 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.55 across 51 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 111 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Target Field38 leansFinal · graded
DET@MIN

Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins
first pitch7:40 PM ET
DET@MIN
Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 6.5 K across 26 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.8 K across 4 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 19 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 19 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.09 across 131 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 125 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.98 across 129 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.35 across 125 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.75 across 128 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.14 across 132 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 108 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.21 across 108 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 128 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.95 across 119 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 126 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.74 across 27 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.72 across 111 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 129 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 102 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 73 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 27 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 86 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.43 across 86 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 11 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 119 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.62 across 134 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.04 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 111 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.12 across 126 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.36 across 11 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.75 across 102 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.08 across 73 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 134 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 132 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 131 games
- Sampletoo small to project (3 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (3 games of log data)
Wrigley Field38 leansFinal · graded
MIL@CHC

Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs
first pitch7:40 PM ET
MIL@CHC
Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.2 K across 13 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 6.0 K across 21 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.13 across 126 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.39 across 119 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.47 across 137 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 96 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.39 across 98 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.66 across 74 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 95 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.75 across 122 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.41 across 74 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.40 across 102 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 126 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 119 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.13 across 134 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.16 across 102 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.18 across 122 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 98 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 96 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.87 across 135 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 95 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 122 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 53 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 126 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.38 across 53 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 135 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.53 across 92 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 122 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 134 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 137 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.70 across 50 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.26 across 126 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 134 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 134 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 92 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 50 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Globe Life Field38 leansFinal · graded
ATH@TEX

Athletics at Texas Rangers
first pitch8:05 PM ET
ATH@TEX
Athletics at Texas Rangers
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 6.4 K across 25 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.7 K across 17 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.02 across 126 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 124 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.57 across 120 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.57 across 60 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.29 across 21 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 126 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.65 across 92 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 102 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.34 across 102 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.63 across 38 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 92 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.02 across 82 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.53 across 86 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 21 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.17 across 46 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 60 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.98 across 85 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 38 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.25 across 75 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 85 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.48 across 124 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.52 across 46 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 130 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 82 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 120 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 131 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 86 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.81 across 131 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 130 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.83 across 76 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 75 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.18 across 77 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 76 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 77 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Daikin Park38 leansFinal · graded
CWS@HOU

Chicago White Sox at Houston Astros
first pitch8:10 PM ET
CWS@HOU
Chicago White Sox at Houston Astros
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.0 K across 27 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.4 K across 23 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 119 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 126 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.87 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.53 across 116 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 130 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.17 across 134 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 130 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 116 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.87 across 111 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 128 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 134 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 126 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 119 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.92 across 131 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.30 across 40 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 130 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 115 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.45 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.66 across 126 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.06 across 101 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.55 across 126 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 130 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 115 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 111 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 128 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 135 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 131 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 101 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.50 across 135 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.53 across 40 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Coors Field38 leansFinal · graded
BAL@COL

Baltimore Orioles at Colorado Rockies
first pitch8:40 PM ET
BAL@COL
Baltimore Orioles at Colorado Rockies
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.6 K across 19 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.5 K across 6 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.48 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.47 across 15 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 118 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.20 across 15 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 135 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 133 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.71 across 104 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 116 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 137 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 35 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.52 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.34 across 82 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.29 across 137 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.20 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.56 across 114 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 117 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.92 across 135 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 97 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 122 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.96 across 118 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 118 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 116 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 82 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 104 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 97 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 113 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 133 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.20 across 117 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.09 across 35 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.24 across 118 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.39 across 122 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Angel Stadium36 leansFinal · graded
NYY@LAA

New York Yankees at Los Angeles Angels
first pitch9:38 PM ET
NYY@LAA
New York Yankees at Los Angeles Angels
Game details · probable pitchers
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.72 across 127 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 132 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 101 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.25 across 131 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 127 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 116 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 14 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.83 across 93 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.45 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 110 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.20 across 88 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 118 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 88 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 131 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.08 across 132 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.81 across 116 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 118 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.65 across 23 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 110 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.45 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 23 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.57 across 14 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 93 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.51 across 101 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Chase Field38 leansFinal · graded
PHI@AZ

Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks
first pitch9:40 PM ET
PHI@AZ
Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.0 K across 24 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 8.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.7 K across 27 starts
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 75 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.24 across 107 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 128 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.57 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.65 across 101 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 75 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 133 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.74 across 133 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.57 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 130 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.13 across 136 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.15 across 131 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 128 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 122 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 134 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.94 across 130 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.26 across 129 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.05 across 132 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 101 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 131 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.42 across 122 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.99 across 134 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 38 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 136 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 131 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 132 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 107 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.37 across 38 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 130 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.18 across 129 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 130 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 131 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Open the MLB Power Board →
HR markets are high-variance and rated on a separate power-profile scale (barrel + park + matchup), not the standard High / Medium / Low tiers used here.
