Settled · graded against final box scores
135–133 on 268 decisive picks · 50.4%2026-08-30
View audit →Slate · pick a date
MLB model board · 2026-08-30
14 MLB games · 267 model-vs-market reads
Projections for pitcher strikeouts and batter markets only. Home runs live on Homer Nukes because the variance profile is different.
Market context, not picks. Calibration notice (audit 2026-07-21): across 18,659 settled leans, none of these markets' model probabilities out-predict the market on Brier or log loss — the model is overconfident (its high-confidence reads under-perform). Treat the model number as a market-anchored research signal, not a proven advantage; the market price is the better probability. Paper / review / educational only — never a bet. Total bases is disabled for prediction and is not listed here; its settled history stays on Results.
SCHEDULEliveMODEL LEANSavailableUPDATEDAug 30, 1:43 PM ETeducational analytics only
Gap ≥ 5 pp
88
model vs market · context
Gap 2.5–5 pp
40
model vs market · context
Small gap
102
5 anomalies shown separately
Sample too small
32
no projection emitted
Highest model probabilities · 8 shown
Market context · no model anomaliesZach NetoLAA vs PHI
Gap ≥ 5 ppHitsOver 0.5+17.4%
proj 1.27-172 · draftkings
Elly De La CruzCIN vs CHC
Gap ≥ 5 ppHitsOver 0.5+10.9%
proj 1.33-230 · draftkings
William ContrerasMIL vs TEX
Gap ≥ 5 ppHitsOver 0.5+10.5%
proj 1.37-226 · draftkings
Sal StewartCIN vs CHC
Gap ≥ 5 ppHitsOver 0.5+9.7%
proj 1.21-235 · draftkings
Gunnar HendersonBAL vs ATH
Gap ≥ 5 ppHitsUnder 1.5+6.5%
proj 0.74-255 · draftkings
Carson BengeNYM vs HOU
Gap ≥ 5 ppHitsOver 0.5+10.5%
proj 1.23-202 · draftkings
Seiya SuzukiCHC vs CIN
Gap ≥ 5 ppHitsOver 0.5+8.7%
proj 1.18-216 · draftkings
Luke KeaschallMIN vs CWS
Gap 2.5–5 ppHitsOver 0.5+4.9%
proj 1.11-250 · draftkings
Filters · 267 of 267 leans
Market
Gap size
Team
Sort
Density
Nationals Park0 leans
MIA@WSH
Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals
first pitch12:15 PM ET
Nationals Park0 leans
MIA@WSH
Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals
first pitch
12:15 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
prop lines pending
Lines have not posted yet for this matchup. When books post lines, projections appear here for pitcher strikeouts, batter hits, and batter total bases.Truist Park0 leans
COL@ATL
Colorado Rockies at Atlanta Braves
first pitch1:35 PM ET
Truist Park0 leans
COL@ATL
Colorado Rockies at Atlanta Braves
first pitch
1:35 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
prop lines pending
Lines have not posted yet for this matchup. When books post lines, projections appear here for pitcher strikeouts, batter hits, and batter total bases.Yankee Stadium0 leans
BOS@NYY
Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees
first pitch1:35 PM ET
Yankee Stadium0 leans
BOS@NYY
Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees
first pitch
1:35 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
prop lines pending
Lines have not posted yet for this matchup. When books post lines, projections appear here for pitcher strikeouts, batter hits, and batter total bases.Rogers Centre0 leans
SEA@TOR
Seattle Mariners at Toronto Blue Jays
first pitch1:37 PM ET
Rogers Centre0 leans
SEA@TOR
Seattle Mariners at Toronto Blue Jays
first pitch
1:37 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
prop lines pending
Lines have not posted yet for this matchup. When books post lines, projections appear here for pitcher strikeouts, batter hits, and batter total bases.Progressive Field0 leans
KC@CLE
Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians
first pitch1:40 PM ET
Progressive Field0 leans
KC@CLE
Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Guardians
first pitch
1:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
prop lines pending
Lines have not posted yet for this matchup. When books post lines, projections appear here for pitcher strikeouts, batter hits, and batter total bases.Comerica Park0 leans
LAD@DET
Los Angeles Dodgers at Detroit Tigers
first pitch1:40 PM ET
Comerica Park0 leans
LAD@DET
Los Angeles Dodgers at Detroit Tigers
first pitch
1:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
prop lines pending
Lines have not posted yet for this matchup. When books post lines, projections appear here for pitcher strikeouts, batter hits, and batter total bases.Tropicana Field0 leans
SD@TB
San Diego Padres at Tampa Bay Rays
first pitch1:40 PM ET
Tropicana Field0 leans
SD@TB
San Diego Padres at Tampa Bay Rays
first pitch
1:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
prop lines pending
Lines have not posted yet for this matchup. When books post lines, projections appear here for pitcher strikeouts, batter hits, and batter total bases.Target Field37 leansFinal · graded
CWS@MIN
Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins
first pitch2:10 PM ET
Target Field37 leansFinal · graded
CWS@MIN
Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins
first pitch
2:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Strikeouts
Zebby Matthews
MINvsCWSPitcherStrikeouts
OVER4.5
Projection4.95
Edge+1.6%
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.9 K across 18 starts
-134 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Tristan Peters
CWSvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection2.23
Edge+17.6%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.66 across 125 games
+116 · draftkings
Kaelen Culpepper
MINvsCWSBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection1.21
Edge+13.9%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 18 games
-166 · draftkings
Andrew Benintendi
CWSvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection2.04
Edge+11.3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.79 across 118 games
+101 · draftkings
Drew Romo
CWSvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER0.5
Projection1.32
Edge+11.3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 55 games
-147 · draftkings
Josh Bell
MINvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection2.23
Edge+11%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.07 across 130 games
-114 · draftkings
Colson Montgomery
CWSvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.79
Edge+10.3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.87 across 127 games
+120 · draftkings
Kody Clemens
MINvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection2.13
Edge+9.8%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 118 games
-110 · draftkings
Braden Montgomery
CWSvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.95
Edge+8.4%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 67 games
-105 · draftkings
Miguel Vargas
CWSvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection2.29
Edge+7.9%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.18 across 133 games
-126 · draftkings
Brooks Lee
MINvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection2.18
Edge+7.4%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 128 games
-127 · draftkings
Tristan Peters
CWSvsMINBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.96
Edge+7.2%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 125 games
-163 · draftkings
Miguel Vargas
CWSvsMINBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection1.06
Edge+5%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 133 games
-228 · draftkings
Luke Keaschall
MINvsCWSBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection1.11
Edge+4.9%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 127 games
-250 · draftkings
Luke Keaschall
MINvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.92
Edge+4.8%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 127 games
-129 · draftkings
Kody Clemens
MINvsCWSBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.99
Edge+4.6%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 118 games
-205 · draftkings
Chase Meidroth
CWSvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.63
Edge+4.6%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 130 games
+107 · draftkings
Colson Montgomery
CWSvsMINBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.8
Edge+4.3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 127 games
-147 · draftkings
Sam Antonacci
CWSvsMINBatterHits
UNDER0.5
Projection0.76
Edge+4%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 114 games
+186 · draftkings
Chase Meidroth
CWSvsMINBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.95
Edge+3.5%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 130 games
-196 · draftkings
Andrew Benintendi
CWSvsMINBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge+3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 118 games
-183 · draftkings
Munetaka Murakami
CWSvsMINBatterHits
UNDER0.5
Projection0.59
Edge+2.9%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 100 games
+133 · draftkings
Kaelen CulpepperModel anomaly
MINvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection2.17
Edge+21.7%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.94 across 18 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+116 · draftkings
Drew Romo
CWSvsMINBatterHits
UNDER0.5
Projection0.52
Edge−3.5%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.44 across 55 games
-111 · draftkings
Ryan Jeffers
MINvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.58
Edge−3.5%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.07 across 72 games
-122 · draftkings
Sam Antonacci
CWSvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.63
Edge−3.3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.87 across 114 games
-128 · draftkings
Munetaka Murakami
CWSvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
UNDER1.5
Projection1.44
Edge−2.9%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.08 across 100 games
-117 · draftkings
Josh Bell
MINvsCWSBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.92
Edge+1.9%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 130 games
-202 · draftkings
Trevor Larnach
MINvsCWSBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.77
Edge+1.7%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 110 games
-147 · draftkings
Royce Lewis
MINvsCWSBatterHits
UNDER0.5
Projection0.73
Edge−1%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 101 games
+148 · draftkings
Trevor Larnach
MINvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.35
Edge+1%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.71 across 110 games
+117 · draftkings
Royce Lewis
MINvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
UNDER1.5
Projection1.23
Edge+0.9%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.76 across 101 games
-126 · draftkings
Braden Montgomery
CWSvsMINBatterHits
UNDER0.5
Projection0.77
Edge−0.8%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 67 games
+161 · draftkings
Brooks Lee
MINvsCWSBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection1.01
Edge−0.7%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 128 games
-262 · draftkings
Ryan Jeffers
MINvsCWSBatterHits
UNDER0.5
Projection0.76
Edge+0.5%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 72 games
+167 · draftkings
Walker Jenkins
MINvsCWSBatterHits
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
- Sampletoo small to project (2 games of log data)
— · draftkings
Walker Jenkins
MINvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
- Sampletoo small to project (2 games of log data)
— · draftkings
American Family Field38 leansFinal · graded
TEX@MIL
Texas Rangers at Milwaukee Brewers
first pitch2:10 PM ET
American Family Field38 leansFinal · graded
TEX@MIL
Texas Rangers at Milwaukee Brewers
first pitch
2:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Strikeouts
Dustin May
MILvsTEXPitcherStrikeouts
UNDER4.5
Projection3.41
Edge+19.5%
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.7 K across 25 starts
+113 · draftkings
Kumar Rocker
TEXvsMILPitcherStrikeouts
OVER4.5
Projection4.67
Edge−0.6%
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.7 K across 25 starts
-119 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Ezequiel Duran
TEXvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection2.09
Edge+16.4%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.98 across 125 games
+120 · draftkings
William Contreras
MILvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection2.76
Edge+15.3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.13 across 126 games
-126 · draftkings
David Hamilton
MILvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.8
Edge+12.2%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.40 across 97 games
+125 · draftkings
Cody Freeman
TEXvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER0.5
Projection1.27
Edge+11.8%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.15 across 20 games
-164 · draftkings
Jake Bauers
MILvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection2.39
Edge+11.1%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.18 across 121 games
-120 · draftkings
Ezequiel Duran
TEXvsMILBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection1.13
Edge+10.6%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 125 games
-175 · draftkings
William Contreras
MILvsTEXBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection1.37
Edge+10.5%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 126 games
-226 · draftkings
Christian Yelich
MILvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection2.31
Edge+10.4%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.02 across 94 games
-124 · draftkings
Jackson Chourio
MILvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection2.6
Edge+8.5%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.40 across 101 games
-150 · draftkings
Garrett Mitchell
MILvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.98
Edge+8%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.75 across 121 games
-108 · draftkings
Joc Pederson
TEXvsMILBatterHits
UNDER0.5
Projection0.43
Edge+7.8%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 124 games
+120 · draftkings
Jackson Chourio
MILvsTEXBatterHits
OVER1.5
Projection1.28
Edge+7.3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.16 across 101 games
+196 · draftkings
Wyatt Langford
TEXvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.79
Edge+6.7%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.99 across 84 games
+103 · draftkings
David Hamilton
MILvsTEXBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge+6.2%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 97 games
-144 · draftkings
Christian Yelich
MILvsTEXBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection1.12
Edge+5.9%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 94 games
-223 · draftkings
Corey Seager
TEXvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.91
Edge+5.7%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.83 across 75 games
-111 · draftkings
Jake Bauers
MILvsTEXBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection1.01
Edge+5%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 121 games
-198 · draftkings
Cooper Pratt
MILvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.55
Edge+4.8%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.70 across 50 games
+116 · draftkings
Corey Seager
TEXvsMILBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection1.01
Edge+4.5%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 75 games
-201 · draftkings
Jake Burger
TEXvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.48
Edge+3.9%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 129 games
+119 · draftkings
Garrett Mitchell
MILvsTEXBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.96
Edge+3.3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 121 games
-187 · draftkings
Brice Turang
MILvsTEXBatterHits
UNDER0.5
Projection0.75
Edge+3.2%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 125 games
+177 · draftkings
Cooper Pratt
MILvsTEXBatterHits
UNDER0.5
Projection0.66
Edge−3.2%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 50 games
+118 · draftkings
Sal Frelick
MILvsTEXBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.78
Edge−3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 91 games
-193 · draftkings
Evan Carter
TEXvsMILBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.58
Edge−2.8%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.56 across 115 games
-130 · draftkings
Brandon Nimmo
TEXvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.4
Edge−2.5%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.81 across 130 games
-102 · draftkings
Cody Freeman
TEXvsMILBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.7
Edge+2.4%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 20 games
-132 · draftkings
Jake Burger
TEXvsMILBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.73
Edge−1.7%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 129 games
-166 · draftkings
Wyatt Langford
TEXvsMILBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.94
Edge+1.6%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 84 games
-193 · draftkings
Sal Frelick
MILvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.57
Edge+1.5%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.55 across 91 games
-101 · draftkings
Brice Turang
MILvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.83
Edge−1.3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.26 across 125 games
-138 · draftkings
Evan Carter
TEXvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER0.5
Projection1.05
Edge+1%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.21 across 115 games
-173 · draftkings
Brandon Nimmo
TEXvsMILBatterHits
UNDER0.5
Projection0.75
Edge−0.9%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 130 games
+145 · draftkings
Joc Pederson
TEXvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
UNDER1.5
Projection1.08
Edge−0.5%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.46 across 124 games
-148 · draftkings
Elias Diaz
TEX @ MILBatterHits
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Elias Diaz
TEX @ MILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Busch Stadium38 leansFinal · graded
PIT@STL
Pittsburgh Pirates at St. Louis Cardinals
first pitch2:15 PM ET
Busch Stadium38 leansFinal · graded
PIT@STL
Pittsburgh Pirates at St. Louis Cardinals
first pitch
2:15 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Strikeouts
Matthew Liberatore
STLvsPITPitcherStrikeouts
OVER5.5
Projection6.32
Edge+9%
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.1 K across 26 starts
-120 · draftkings
Braxton Ashcraft
PITvsSTLPitcherStrikeouts
OVER5.5
Projection5.72
Edge+7.9%
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 6.2 K across 26 starts
+118 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Jordan Walker
STLvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection2.75
Edge+18.2%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.50 across 133 games
-114 · draftkings
Nathan Church
STLvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.91
Edge+15.5%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.62 across 107 games
+130 · draftkings
Oneil Cruz
PITvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection2.31
Edge+12.3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.42 across 73 games
-108 · draftkings
Nolan Gorman
STLvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER0.5
Projection0.96
Edge+9%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.33 across 67 games
-113 · draftkings
Alec Burleson
STLvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection2.4
Edge+8.9%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.40 across 136 games
-130 · draftkings
Jimmy Crooks
STLvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER0.5
Projection0.96
Edge+8.5%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 52 games
-124 · draftkings
Nathan Church
STLvsPITBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge+6.7%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 107 games
-156 · draftkings
Jake Mangum
PITvsSTLBatterHits
UNDER0.5
Projection0.7
Edge+5.7%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 106 games
+176 · draftkings
Jordan Walker
STLvsPITBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection1.11
Edge+5.3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 133 games
-231 · draftkings
Bryan Reynolds
PITvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.8
Edge+4.5%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.09 across 137 games
-107 · draftkings
Esmerlyn Valdez
PITvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.72
Edge+4.4%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.03 across 64 games
+102 · draftkings
Bryan Reynolds
PITvsSTLBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.98
Edge+3.5%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 137 games
-211 · draftkings
Nick Gonzales
PITvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.86
Edge+3.2%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.12 across 128 games
-120 · draftkings
Henry Davis
PITvsSTLBatterHits
UNDER0.5
Projection0.34
Edge+2.7%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.49 across 78 games
-121 · draftkings
Oneil Cruz
PITvsSTLBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.96
Edge+2.7%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 73 games
-195 · draftkings
Nick Yorke
PITvsSTLBatterHits
UNDER0.5
Projection0.63
Edge−2.8%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.66 across 32 games
+114 · draftkings
Nick Gonzales
PITvsSTLBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection1.13
Edge+2.5%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.16 across 128 games
-251 · draftkings
Jared Triolo
PITvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
UNDER1.5
Projection1.27
Edge+2.4%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.33 across 93 games
-114 · draftkings
Jimmy Crooks
STLvsPITBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.48
Edge−1.7%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.46 across 52 games
-103 · draftkings
Esmerlyn Valdez
PITvsSTLBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.81
Edge+1.4%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 64 games
-168 · draftkings
Nolan Gorman
STLvsPITBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.41
Edge−1.4%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 67 games
+112 · draftkings
Jared Triolo
PITvsSTLBatterHits
UNDER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge−1.3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 93 games
+176 · draftkings
Nick Yorke
PITvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.26
Edge−1.3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.22 across 32 games
+120 · draftkings
Henry Davis
PITvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge−0.9%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.26 across 78 games
-138 · draftkings
Alec Burleson
STLvsPITBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection1.05
Edge−0.2%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 136 games
-269 · draftkings
Jake Mangum
PITvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
UNDER1.5
Projection1.28
Edge−0.1%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.75 across 106 games
-123 · draftkings
Ivan Herrera
PIT @ STLBatterHits
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
JJ Wetherholt
PIT @ STLBatterHits
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Jose Fermin
PIT @ STLBatterHits
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Rafael Flores
PIT @ STLBatterHits
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Joshua Baez
PIT @ STLBatterHits
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Ivan Herrera
PIT @ STLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
JJ Wetherholt
PIT @ STLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Rafael Flores
PIT @ STLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Jose Fermin
PIT @ STLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Joshua Baez
PIT @ STLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Citi Field38 leansFinal · graded
HOU@NYM
Houston Astros at New York Mets
first pitch3:10 PM ET
Citi Field38 leansFinal · graded
HOU@NYM
Houston Astros at New York Mets
first pitch
3:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Strikeouts
Ethan Pecko
HOUvsNYMPitcherStrikeouts
Line3.5
Projection—
Edge—
- Sampletoo small to project (2 games of log data)
— · draftkings
Zach Thornton
HOU @ NYMPitcherStrikeouts
Line3.5
Projection—
Edge—
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Jared Young
NYMvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.92
Edge+14.7%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 84 games
+120 · draftkings
Carson Benge
NYMvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection2.26
Edge+11.9%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.02 across 129 games
-112 · draftkings
Carson Benge
NYMvsHOUBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection1.23
Edge+10.5%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 129 games
-202 · draftkings
Jared Young
NYMvsHOUBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge+10.5%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 84 games
-153 · draftkings
Marcus Semien
NYMvsHOUBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.94
Edge+8.8%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 116 games
-152 · draftkings
Luis Robert Jr.
NYMvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.8
Edge+8.7%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.61 across 56 games
+109 · draftkings
Daulton Varsho
HOUvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.77
Edge+7.6%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.54 across 115 games
+104 · draftkings
Isaac Paredes
HOUvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.9
Edge+7.3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 129 games
-104 · draftkings
Cam Smith
HOUvsNYMBatterHits
UNDER0.5
Projection0.46
Edge+6%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 125 games
+118 · draftkings
Yordan Alvarez
HOUvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection2.46
Edge+4.9%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.51 across 134 games
-154 · draftkings
Yainer Diaz
HOUvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.83
Edge+4.6%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 69 games
-108 · draftkings
A.J. Ewing
NYMvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
UNDER1.5
Projection1.14
Edge+4.1%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.59 across 95 games
-115 · draftkings
Daulton Varsho
HOUvsNYMBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.92
Edge+3.6%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 115 games
-187 · draftkings
Marcus Semien
NYMvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.45
Edge+3.5%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.51 across 116 games
+120 · draftkings
Jose Altuve
HOUvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.83
Edge+3.1%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 110 games
-116 · draftkings
Christian Walker
HOUvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.66
Edge+3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.92 across 130 games
+100 · draftkings
Luis Robert Jr.
NYMvsHOUBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge+2.6%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 56 games
-167 · draftkings
Jose Altuve
HOUvsNYMBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.92
Edge−3.2%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 110 games
-239 · draftkings
Cam Smith
HOUvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.18
Edge−3.2%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 125 games
+116 · draftkings
Francisco Lindor
NYMvsHOUBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.81
Edge−2.9%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 78 games
-199 · draftkings
Christian Walker
HOUvsNYMBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.78
Edge−2.6%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 130 games
-184 · draftkings
Juan Soto
NYMvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
UNDER1.5
Projection1.63
Edge−2.3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.16 across 85 games
+101 · draftkings
A.J. Ewing
NYMvsHOUBatterHits
UNDER0.5
Projection0.68
Edge+2.2%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 95 games
+150 · draftkings
Francisco Alvarez
NYMvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER0.5
Projection1.11
Edge+1.6%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.41 across 94 games
-174 · draftkings
Francisco Lindor
NYMvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.61
Edge−1.4%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 78 games
-115 · draftkings
Bo Bichette
NYMvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.75
Edge−0.7%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 134 games
-124 · draftkings
Isaac Paredes
HOUvsNYMBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.87
Edge−0.5%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 129 games
-203 · draftkings
Juan Soto
NYMvsHOUBatterHits
UNDER0.5
Projection0.74
Edge−0.5%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 85 games
+154 · draftkings
Yainer Diaz
HOUvsNYMBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.99
Edge+0.4%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 69 games
-232 · draftkings
Francisco Alvarez
NYMvsHOUBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.58
Edge−0.2%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 94 games
-117 · draftkings
Bo Bichette
NYMvsHOUBatterHits
UNDER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge+0.1%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 134 games
+179 · draftkings
Yordan Alvarez
HOUvsNYMBatterHits
OVER1.5
Projection1.12
Edge0%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.15 across 134 games
+184 · draftkings
Jeremy Pena
HOU @ NYMBatterHits
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Nelson Velazquez
HOU @ NYMBatterHits
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Jeremy Pena
HOU @ NYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Nelson Velazquez
HOU @ NYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Sutter Health Park38 leansFinal · graded
BAL@ATH
Baltimore Orioles at Athletics
first pitch4:05 PM ET
Sutter Health Park38 leansFinal · graded
BAL@ATH
Baltimore Orioles at Athletics
first pitch
4:05 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Strikeouts
Jeffrey SpringsModel anomaly
ATHvsBALPitcherStrikeouts
UNDER4.5
Projection2.83
Edge+25.4%
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.8 K across 24 starts
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-128 · draftkings
Chris Bassitt
BALvsATHPitcherStrikeouts
UNDER4.5
Projection4.1
Edge+1.1%
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.4 K across 15 starts
-134 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Brian Serven
ATHvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.95
Edge+15.5%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 15 games
+126 · draftkings
Dylan Beavers
BALvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection2.02
Edge+14.2%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.54 across 79 games
+104 · draftkings
Christian Franklin
BALvsATHBatterHits
UNDER0.5
Projection0.38
Edge+11.4%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.36 across 14 games
+126 · draftkings
Lawrence Butler
ATHvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection2.08
Edge+6.5%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.46 across 123 games
-132 · draftkings
Gunnar Henderson
BALvsATHBatterHits
UNDER1.5
Projection0.74
Edge+6.5%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 134 games
-255 · draftkings
Gunnar Henderson
BALvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
UNDER1.5
Projection1.37
Edge+6%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 134 games
+114 · draftkings
Coby Mayo
BALvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection2.14
Edge+5.3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 103 games
-138 · draftkings
Lawrence Butler
ATHvsBALBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection1.05
Edge+4.1%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 123 games
-234 · draftkings
Leody Taveras
BALvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.88
Edge+3.9%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.65 across 115 games
-123 · draftkings
Dylan Beavers
BALvsATHBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.87
Edge+3.7%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 79 games
-171 · draftkings
Donovan Walton
ATHvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.65
Edge+3.4%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.59 across 59 games
-102 · draftkings
Jackson Holliday
BALvsATHBatterHits
UNDER0.5
Projection0.76
Edge+3.3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 84 games
+181 · draftkings
Carlos Cortes
ATHvsBALBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge+3.3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 101 games
-159 · draftkings
Christian FranklinModel anomaly
BALvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
UNDER1.5
Projection0.59
Edge+20.3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.57 across 14 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-134 · draftkings
Tommy White
ATHvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
UNDER1.5
Projection1.71
Edge−3.3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.62 across 37 games
+106 · draftkings
Donovan Walton
ATHvsBALBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.79
Edge−3.2%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 59 games
-199 · draftkings
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
BALvsATHBatterHits
OVER1.5
Projection0.97
Edge−2.7%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 34 games
+195 · draftkings
Coby Mayo
BALvsATHBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.84
Edge−2.6%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 103 games
-214 · draftkings
Jeff McNeil
ATHvsBALBatterHits
OVER1.5
Projection1.13
Edge−2.5%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 119 games
+170 · draftkings
Pete Alonso
BALvsATHBatterHits
OVER1.5
Projection1.11
Edge−2.3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 136 games
+179 · draftkings
Zack Gelof
ATHvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.67
Edge−1.5%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.04 across 81 games
-123 · draftkings
Carlos Cortes
ATHvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.33
Edge−1.4%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.36 across 101 games
+111 · draftkings
Henry Bolte
ATHvsBALBatterHits
OVER1.5
Projection1.07
Edge−1.4%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 91 games
+193 · draftkings
Jackson Holliday
BALvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
UNDER1.5
Projection1.54
Edge+1.3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.48 across 84 games
+109 · draftkings
Tommy White
ATHvsBALBatterHits
OVER1.5
Projection1
Edge−1.2%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 37 games
+190 · draftkings
Pete Alonso
BALvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER2.5
Projection2.49
Edge−1.2%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.29 across 136 games
-104 · draftkings
Brian Serven
ATHvsBALBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.68
Edge−1.1%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 15 games
-147 · draftkings
Jeff McNeil
ATHvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection2.04
Edge+1.1%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.57 across 119 games
-150 · draftkings
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
BALvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection2.12
Edge−0.9%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.15 across 34 games
-154 · draftkings
Zack Gelof
ATHvsBALBatterHits
UNDER0.5
Projection0.77
Edge+0.6%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 81 games
+171 · draftkings
Henry Bolte
ATHvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.82
Edge−0.3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 91 games
-136 · draftkings
Leody Taveras
BALvsATHBatterHits
UNDER0.5
Projection0.77
Edge−0.2%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 115 games
+165 · draftkings
Max Muncy (2002)
BAL @ ATHBatterHits
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Carlos Narvaez
BAL @ ATHBatterHits
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Max Muncy (2002)
BAL @ ATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Carlos Narvaez
BAL @ ATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Angel Stadium38 leansFinal · graded
PHI@LAA
Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Angels
first pitch4:07 PM ET
Angel Stadium38 leansFinal · graded
PHI@LAA
Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Angels
first pitch
4:07 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Strikeouts
Yusei Kikuchi
LAAvsPHIPitcherStrikeouts
UNDER5.5
Projection3.91
Edge+15.2%
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.6 K across 8 starts
-153 · draftkings
Zack Wheeler
PHIvsLAAPitcherStrikeouts
UNDER7.5
Projection5.96
Edge+13.6%
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 6.7 K across 22 starts
-144 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Zach Neto
LAAvsPHIBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection1.27
Edge+17.4%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 132 games
-172 · draftkings
Vaughn Grissom
LAAvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.97
Edge+15%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 92 games
+129 · draftkings
Josh Lowe
LAAvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER0.5
Projection1.41
Edge+14.1%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.22 across 87 games
-142 · draftkings
Denzer Guzman
LAAvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER0.5
Projection1.54
Edge+13.5%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.59 across 58 games
-149 · draftkings
Bryan De La Cruz
PHIvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.89
Edge+13.2%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 17 games
+111 · draftkings
Derek Hill
PHIvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER0.5
Projection1.51
Edge+12.9%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.21 across 76 games
-166 · draftkings
Mike Trout
LAAvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.7
Edge+9.1%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 117 games
+121 · draftkings
Josh Lowe
LAAvsPHIBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.76
Edge+8.5%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 87 games
-115 · draftkings
Alec Bohm
PHIvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection2.36
Edge+8.5%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 129 games
-137 · draftkings
Bryce Harper
PHIvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection2.16
Edge+8.4%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.13 across 135 games
-119 · draftkings
Kyle Schwarber
PHIvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection2.33
Edge+5.8%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.15 across 130 games
-135 · draftkings
Wade Meckler
LAAvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER0.5
Projection1.45
Edge+5.5%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.61 across 69 games
-185 · draftkings
Trea Turner
PHIvsLAABatterHits
UNDER1.5
Projection0.9
Edge+5.3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 131 games
-216 · draftkings
J.T. Realmuto
PHIvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.71
Edge+4.8%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.62 across 100 games
+100 · draftkings
Luis Arraez
PHIvsLAABatterHits
OVER1.5
Projection1.29
Edge+3.3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.27 across 128 games
+160 · draftkings
Tyler Heineman
LAAvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER0.5
Projection0.77
Edge+2.8%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 55 games
-127 · draftkings
Zach NetoModel anomaly
LAAvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection2.84
Edge+27.5%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.08 across 132 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+117 · draftkings
Christian Moore
LAAvsPHIBatterHits
UNDER0.5
Projection0.52
Edge−3.1%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.54 across 13 games
-109 · draftkings
Derek Hill
PHIvsLAABatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.57
Edge−3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.54 across 76 games
-129 · draftkings
Christian Moore
LAAvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER0.5
Projection0.73
Edge−3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 13 games
-154 · draftkings
Alec Bohm
PHIvsLAABatterHits
OVER1.5
Projection1.06
Edge−2.6%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 129 games
+195 · draftkings
J.T. Realmuto
PHIvsLAABatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.78
Edge−2.6%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 100 games
-190 · draftkings
Mike Trout
LAAvsPHIBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge+2.4%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 117 games
-168 · draftkings
Denzer Guzman
LAAvsPHIBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.65
Edge+2.1%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 58 games
-122 · draftkings
Luis Arraez
PHIvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection2.09
Edge+2%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.19 across 128 games
-155 · draftkings
Bryce Harper
PHIvsLAABatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection1.02
Edge+1.8%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 135 games
-223 · draftkings
Vaughn Grissom
LAAvsPHIBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge+1.6%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 92 games
-168 · draftkings
Wade Meckler
LAAvsPHIBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.73
Edge+1.2%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 69 games
-147 · draftkings
Tyler Heineman
LAAvsPHIBatterHits
UNDER0.5
Projection0.38
Edge−0.7%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.45 across 55 games
-129 · draftkings
Bryan De La Cruz
PHIvsLAABatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.79
Edge−0.4%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 17 games
-176 · draftkings
Trea Turner
PHIvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
UNDER1.5
Projection1.72
Edge−0.4%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.05 across 131 games
+117 · draftkings
Kyle Schwarber
PHIvsLAABatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.91
Edge+0.2%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 130 games
-200 · draftkings
Bryson Stott
PHIvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.55
Edge+0.1%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.81 across 130 games
-104 · draftkings
Bryson Stott
PHIvsLAABatterHits
UNDER0.5
Projection0.75
Edge0%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 130 games
+160 · draftkings
Moises Ballesteros
PHI @ LAABatterHits
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Moises Ballesteros
PHI @ LAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Wrigley Field40 leansFinal · graded
CIN@CHC
Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs
first pitch7:20 PM ET
Wrigley Field40 leansFinal · graded
CIN@CHC
Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs
first pitch
7:20 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Strikeouts
Chase Burns
CINvsCHCPitcherStrikeouts
OVER5.5
Projection6.8
Edge+12%
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 6.6 K across 25 starts
-145 · draftkings
Chase Burns
CINvsCHCPitcherStrikeouts
OVER6.5
Projection6.8
Edge+10.9%
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 6.6 K across 25 starts
+126 · fanduel
Shota Imanaga
CHCvsCINPitcherStrikeouts
OVER5.5
Projection5.98
Edge−3%
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.5 K across 26 starts
-154 · fanduel
Shota Imanaga
CHCvsCINPitcherStrikeouts
UNDER6.5
Projection5.98
Edge−2.2%
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.5 K across 26 starts
-153 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Elly De La Cruz
CINvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection2.63
Edge+14.2%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.26 across 117 games
-126 · draftkings
Seiya Suzuki
CHCvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection2.61
Edge+13.8%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.42 across 118 games
-126 · draftkings
Ian Happ
CHCvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection2.18
Edge+13.8%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 131 games
+103 · draftkings
Alex Bregman
CHCvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection2.57
Edge+12.8%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.14 across 133 games
-126 · draftkings
Elly De La Cruz
CINvsCHCBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection1.33
Edge+10.9%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 117 games
-230 · draftkings
Matt McLain
CINvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.66
Edge+10.2%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.42 across 108 games
+131 · draftkings
Sal Stewart
CINvsCHCBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection1.21
Edge+9.7%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 136 games
-235 · draftkings
Seiya Suzuki
CHCvsCINBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection1.18
Edge+8.7%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 118 games
-216 · draftkings
Miguel Amaya
CHCvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER0.5
Projection1.26
Edge+8.3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.42 across 66 games
-139 · draftkings
JJ Bleday
CINvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.71
Edge+7.5%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.72 across 108 games
+115 · draftkings
Pete Crow-Armstrong
CHCvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER2.5
Projection2.77
Edge+7.4%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.45 across 136 games
+113 · draftkings
Michael Busch
CHCvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection2.04
Edge+6.7%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 134 games
-122 · draftkings
Michael Conforto
CHCvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER0.5
Projection1.41
Edge+5.8%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.21 across 90 games
-163 · draftkings
Tyler Stephenson
CINvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.74
Edge+5.6%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.58 across 105 games
+101 · draftkings
Ian Happ
CHCvsCINBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.85
Edge+5.5%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 131 games
-153 · draftkings
Alex Bregman
CHCvsCINBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection1.06
Edge+4%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 133 games
-217 · draftkings
Jose Trevino
CINvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER0.5
Projection1.27
Edge+3.5%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.45 across 38 games
-163 · draftkings
Sal StewartModel anomaly
CINvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection3.03
Edge+20.5%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.35 across 136 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-119 · draftkings
Matt McLain
CINvsCHCBatterHits
UNDER0.5
Projection0.62
Edge−3.5%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 108 games
+109 · draftkings
Nico Hoerner
CHCvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
OVER1.5
Projection1.55
Edge−3.3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 133 games
-119 · draftkings
Dane Myers
CINvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
UNDER1.5
Projection1.4
Edge−3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.20 across 89 games
-127 · draftkings
Dane Myers
CINvsCHCBatterHits
UNDER0.5
Projection0.78
Edge−2.4%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.66 across 89 games
+153 · draftkings
Nico Hoerner
CHCvsCINBatterHits
UNDER0.5
Projection0.92
Edge−2.2%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 133 games
+182 · draftkings
Miguel Amaya
CHCvsCINBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.57
Edge+2.1%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 66 games
-105 · draftkings
Tyler Stephenson
CINvsCHCBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.85
Edge+1.8%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 105 games
-179 · draftkings
Jose Trevino
CINvsCHCBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.67
Edge−1.3%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 38 games
-142 · draftkings
JJ Bleday
CINvsCHCBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.73
Edge+1.2%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 108 games
-147 · draftkings
Pete Crow-Armstrong
CHCvsCINBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection1.14
Edge+0.6%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 136 games
-269 · draftkings
Michael Busch
CHCvsCINBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge−0.4%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 134 games
-201 · draftkings
Michael Conforto
CHCvsCINBatterHits
OVER0.5
Projection0.57
Edge0%
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.53 across 90 games
-114 · draftkings
Pedro Ramirez
CIN @ CHCBatterHits
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Eugenio Suarez
CIN @ CHCBatterHits
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Hector Rodriguez
CIN @ CHCBatterHits
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Pedro Ramirez
CIN @ CHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Eugenio Suarez
CIN @ CHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Hector Rodriguez
CIN @ CHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Home runs live on the Power Board
Open the MLB Power Board →
HR markets are high-variance and rated on a separate power-profile scale (barrel + park + matchup), not the standard High / Medium / Low tiers used here.