12 MLB games · 454 model-vs-market reads
Projections for pitcher strikeouts and batter markets only. Home runs live on Homer Nukes because the variance profile is different.
Market context, not picks. Calibration notice (audit 2026-07-21): across 18,659 settled leans, none of these markets' model probabilities out-predict the market on Brier or log loss — the model is overconfident (its high-confidence reads under-perform). Treat the model number as a market-anchored research signal, not a proven advantage; the market price is the better probability. Paper / review / educational only — never a bet. Total bases is disabled for prediction and is not listed here; its settled history stays on Results.
Globe Life Field38 leansFinal · graded
SEA@TEX

Seattle Mariners at Texas Rangers
first pitch2:35 PM ET
SEA@TEX
Seattle Mariners at Texas Rangers
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.5 K across 19 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.5 K across 19 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 94 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.17 across 98 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.53 across 51 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.87 across 99 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.02 across 94 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.96 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.17 across 53 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.27 across 86 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 98 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 99 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.57 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 99 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 106 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 41 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 94 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.79 across 99 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 51 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.42 across 89 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.43 across 54 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.63 across 91 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.36 across 53 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 91 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.41 across 74 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 54 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 94 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.66 across 89 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 41 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 106 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 74 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.55 across 86 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Comerica Park38 leansFinal · graded
BAL@DET

Baltimore Orioles at Detroit Tigers
first pitch6:40 PM ET
BAL@DET
Baltimore Orioles at Detroit Tigers
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.5 K across 22 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.5 K across 20 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.14
- SeasonSeason average 3.14 across 7 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.44 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.43
- SeasonSeason average 1.43 across 7 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.27 across 97 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.58 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.51 across 88 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.04 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.92 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 79 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.31 across 13 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 88 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.18 across 106 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.59 across 87 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.46 across 13 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 87 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 51 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 49 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.01 across 102 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.40 across 96 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 97 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 96 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 82 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 106 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.59 across 54 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 79 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.49 across 51 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.28 across 54 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.29 across 82 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 102 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.92 across 49 games
PNC Park38 leansFinal · graded
AZ@PIT

Arizona Diamondbacks at Pittsburgh Pirates
first pitch6:40 PM ET
AZ@PIT
Arizona Diamondbacks at Pittsburgh Pirates
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.6 K across 18 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.2 K across 20 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.23 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.15 across 79 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.65 across 37 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.42 across 43 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.81 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.18 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.42 across 60 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 43 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 6 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 39 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 102 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 79 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.42 across 53 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.21 across 101 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.36 across 91 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.67
- SeasonSeason average 2.67 across 6 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 101 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.59 across 39 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 91 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 106 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.38 across 34 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.22 across 106 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.59 across 34 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 21 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.52 across 21 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.53 across 60 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 77 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 77 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 37 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.67 across 102 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.29 across 97 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 97 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 102 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 53 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.02 across 102 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 100 games
loanDepot park38 leansFinal · graded
PHI@MIA

Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins
first pitch6:40 PM ET
PHI@MIA
Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 2.2 K across 26 starts
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 11.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 7.3 K across 16 starts
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.58 across 38 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.10 across 103 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 38 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.18 across 94 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.62 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 76 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 101 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.58 across 76 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.52 across 27 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.37 across 102 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 103 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.40 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.69 across 59 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 93 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.07 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.32 across 93 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.08 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 27 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 101 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 102 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.16 across 102 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 94 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.30 across 102 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Nationals Park37 leansFinal · graded
TOR@WSH

Toronto Blue Jays at Washington Nationals
first pitch6:45 PM ET
TOR@WSH
Toronto Blue Jays at Washington Nationals
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 1.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 2.3 K across 6 starts
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 102 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.02 across 44 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.45 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.87 across 54 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 102 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 75 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.33 across 46 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 75 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 103 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 87 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 4.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.57 across 102 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.95 across 101 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.94 across 104 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.63 across 106 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 101 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 34 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 106 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.60 across 87 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 66 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 46 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.15 across 103 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 54 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 44 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.38 across 34 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 104 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 102 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Great American Ball Park38 leansFinal · graded
CLE@CIN

Cleveland Guardians at Cincinnati Reds
first pitch7:10 PM ET
CLE@CIN
Cleveland Guardians at Cincinnati Reds
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 6.5 K across 19 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.1 K across 20 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 97 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.46 across 97 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.79 across 75 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 67 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.35 across 96 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.82 across 104 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 35 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.01 across 89 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 75 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 89 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.53 across 74 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.34 across 85 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 104 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 45 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 104 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.42 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.22 across 104 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 74 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.18 across 67 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 76 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.58 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 96 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.49 across 35 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 85 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.21 across 38 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 38 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.93 across 76 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.27 across 45 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Citi Field38 leansFinal · graded
ATL@NYM

Atlanta Braves at New York Mets
first pitch7:10 PM ET
ATL@NYM
Atlanta Braves at New York Mets
Game details · probable pitchers
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.46 across 82 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.35 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.29 across 99 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 82 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.31 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.26 across 54 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 30 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 99 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.20 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 101 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.55 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 87 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.56 across 25 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 48 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.01 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.49 across 87 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 36 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.33 across 36 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.50 across 30 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 101 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 25 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 48 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.57 across 54 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Rate Field38 leansFinal · graded
NYY@CWS

New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox
first pitch7:40 PM ET
NYY@CWS
New York Yankees at Chicago White Sox
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.1 K across 12 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.2 K across 11 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.95 across 38 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 101 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 60 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.30 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.02 across 83 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.74 across 98 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 92 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 98 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.19 across 103 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 101 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.42 across 60 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 38 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 76 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.60 across 96 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.52 across 54 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 54 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.42 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 96 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.57 across 44 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 98 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 98 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 83 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.47 across 49 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.83 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.93 across 76 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 103 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 44 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 92 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 49 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Busch Stadium37 leansFinal · graded
CHC@STL

Chicago Cubs at St. Louis Cardinals
first pitch7:45 PM ET
CHC@STL
Chicago Cubs at St. Louis Cardinals
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.7 K across 20 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.52 across 52 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 104 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.34 across 104 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 104 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 75 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 104 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 52 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 31 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.27 across 89 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.02 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.32 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 102 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.08 across 99 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 102 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.83 across 103 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 96 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 31 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.49 across 103 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.44 across 32 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 32 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 99 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.79 across 75 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 103 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.72 across 96 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 103 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 89 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Angel Stadium38 leansFinal · graded
HOU@LAA

Houston Astros at Los Angeles Angels
first pitch9:38 PM ET
HOU@LAA
Houston Astros at Los Angeles Angels
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.1 K across 14 starts
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.95 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 87 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 33 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.76 across 82 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 33 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.93 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.59 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 85 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 64 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.17 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 101 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 82 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.03 across 87 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 103 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.05 across 103 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.78 across 49 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 85 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 8 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.31 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.47 across 101 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.26 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 49 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.62
- SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 8 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 64 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.53 across 19 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.53 across 19 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 82 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.94 across 103 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 103 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 82 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Sutter Health Park38 leansFinal · graded
BOS@ATH

Boston Red Sox at Athletics
first pitch9:40 PM ET
BOS@ATH
Boston Red Sox at Athletics
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 6.0 K across 16 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.0 K across 25 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.42 across 93 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.41 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.96 across 93 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.46 across 46 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.75
- SeasonSeason average 1.75 across 8 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.25
- SeasonSeason average 1.25 across 8 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.09 across 65 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.40 across 35 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.40 across 45 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 102 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.94 across 87 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 93 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 45 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.78 across 97 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.26 across 96 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 35 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.67 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 93 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 95 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 87 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.98 across 102 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 98 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 46 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 65 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 97 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 94 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.39 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.74 across 95 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.06 across 98 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.35 across 94 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 96 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.34 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 61 games
Oracle Park38 leansFinal · graded
MIL@SF

Milwaukee Brewers at San Francisco Giants
first pitch9:45 PM ET
MIL@SF
Milwaukee Brewers at San Francisco Giants
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.8 K across 19 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.8 K across 16 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 31 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.04 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.16 across 96 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 31 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 100 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.37 across 99 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.19 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.05 across 96 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 93 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 96 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.15 across 96 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 105 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.78 across 63 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.13 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.44 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.21 across 99 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 98 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.66 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 96 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 96 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.15 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.99 across 67 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.30 across 99 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 93 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.34 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 63 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 38 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.32 across 38 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 67 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 99 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.15 across 98 games
Open the MLB Power Board →
HR markets are high-variance and rated on a separate power-profile scale (barrel + park + matchup), not the standard High / Medium / Low tiers used here.
