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MLB model board · 2026-07-05

15 MLB games · 82 model-vs-market reads

Projections for pitcher strikeouts and batter markets only. Home runs live on Homer Nukes because the variance profile is different.

Market context, not picks. Calibration notice (audit 2026-07-21): across 18,659 settled leans, none of these markets' model probabilities out-predict the market on Brier or log loss — the model is overconfident (its high-confidence reads under-perform). Treat the model number as a market-anchored research signal, not a proven advantage; the market price is the better probability. Paper / review / educational only — never a bet. Total bases is disabled for prediction and is not listed here; its settled history stays on Results.

SCHEDULEliveMODEL LEANSavailableUPDATEDJul 4, 9:23 PM ETeducational analytics only
Gap ≥ 5 pp
29
model vs market · context
Gap 2.5–5 pp
19
model vs market · context
Small gap
27
1 anomaly shown separately
Sample too small
6
no projection emitted
Strikeouts4 gap ≥ 5 pp·10 totalHits11 gap ≥ 5 pp·54 totalHits + Runs + RBIs14 gap ≥ 5 pp·18 total
Highest model probabilities · 8 shown
Market context · no model anomalies
Nicky Lopez
Nicky LopezTEX vs DET
Gap ≥ 5 pp
Hits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.5+15.6%
proj 1.76-183 · draftkings
Hao-Yu Lee
Hao-Yu LeeDET vs TEX
Gap ≥ 5 pp
Hits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.5+17.7%
proj 1.64-149 · draftkings
Kevin McGonigle
Kevin McGonigleDET vs TEX
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsOver 0.5+6.1%
proj 1.08-224 · draftkings
Evan Carter
Evan CarterTEX vs DET
Gap ≥ 5 pp
Hits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.5+11.3%
proj 1.59-177 · draftkings
Nicky Lopez
Nicky LopezTEX vs DET
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsOver 0.5+15.2%
proj 1.06-146 · draftkings
Casey Mize
Casey MizeDET vs TEX
Gap ≥ 5 pp
StrikeoutsOver 4.5+16.5%
proj 6.03-147 · draftkings
Trent Grisham
Trent GrishamNYY vs MIN
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsOver 0.5+6%
proj 1.1-215 · draftkings
Byron Buxton
Byron BuxtonMIN vs NYY
Gap 2.5–5 pp
HitsOver 0.5+3.5%
proj 1.1-230 · draftkings
Filters · 82 of 82 leans
Market
Gap size
Team
Sort
Density
Truist Park2 leans

NYM@ATL

New York Mets at Atlanta Braves

first pitch
12:30 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Nolan McLean
probable · awayNolan McLean
NYM
Martín Pérez
probable · homeMartín Pérez
ATL
Strikeouts
Nolan McLean
Nolan McLeanModel anomaly
NYMvsATLPitcherStrikeouts
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER6.5
Projection7.57
Edge+29.3%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 8.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 6.7 K across 17 starts
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+140 · fanduel
Martin Perez
NYM @ ATLPitcherStrikeouts
Sample too small
Line4.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · fanduel
Nationals Park0 leans

PIT@WSH

Pittsburgh Pirates at Washington Nationals

first pitch
1:00 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Bubba Chandler
probable · awayBubba Chandler
PIT
Cade Cavalli
probable · homeCade Cavalli
WSH
prop lines pending
Lines have not posted yet for this matchup. When books post lines, projections appear here for pitcher strikeouts, batter hits, and batter total bases.
Great American Ball Park0 leans

BAL@CIN

Baltimore Orioles at Cincinnati Reds

first pitch
1:05 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Kyle Bradish
probable · awayKyle Bradish
BAL
Nick Lodolo
probable · homeNick Lodolo
CIN
prop lines pending
Lines have not posted yet for this matchup. When books post lines, projections appear here for pitcher strikeouts, batter hits, and batter total bases.
Yankee Stadium20 leans

MIN@NYY

Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees

first pitch
1:35 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Joe Ryan
probable · awayJoe Ryan
MIN
Ryan Weathers
probable · homeRyan Weathers
NYY
Strikeouts
Joe Ryan
Joe Ryan
MINvsNYYPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER6.5
Projection6.68
Edge+9.1%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 6.3 K across 18 starts
+126 · draftkings
Ryan Weathers
Ryan Weathers
NYYvsMINPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER5.5
Projection5.87
Edge+7.3%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 6.1 K across 16 starts
+105 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Kyler Fedko
Kyler Fedko
MINvsNYYBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0
Edge+19.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.00 across 5 games
-110 · draftkings
Trent Grisham
Trent Grisham
NYYvsMINBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.1
Edge+6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 67 games
-215 · draftkings
Austin Martin
Austin Martin
MINvsNYYBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.62
Edge+5.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 72 games
+155 · draftkings
Byron Buxton
Byron Buxton
MINvsNYYBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.1
Edge+3.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 74 games
-230 · draftkings
Ben Rice
Ben Rice
NYYvsMINBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.74
Edge+2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 83 games
+172 · draftkings
Cody Bellinger
Cody Bellinger
NYYvsMINBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.61
Edge+2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 86 games
+137 · draftkings
Ryan Kreidler
Ryan Kreidler
MINvsNYYBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.64
Edge+2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 43 games
-117 · draftkings
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
NYYvsMINBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.69
Edge−3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 84 games
+126 · draftkings
Victor Caratini
Victor Caratini
MINvsNYYBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.88
Edge+2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 65 games
-187 · draftkings
Royce Lewis
Royce Lewis
MINvsNYYBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.88
Edge+1.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 56 games
-191 · draftkings
Jasson Domínguez
Jasson Domínguez
NYYvsMINBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge+1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 27 games
-175 · draftkings
Josh Bell
Josh Bell
MINvsNYYBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.9
Edge+1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 87 games
-200 · draftkings
Brooks Lee
Brooks Lee
MINvsNYYBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.01
Edge+1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 84 games
-239 · draftkings
Paul Goldschmidt
Paul Goldschmidt
NYYvsMINBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.73
Edge−1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 62 games
-157 · draftkings
Luke Keaschall
Luke Keaschall
MINvsNYYBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.73
Edge+0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 84 games
-152 · draftkings
Ryan McMahon
Ryan McMahon
NYYvsMINBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.5
Edge−0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 66 games
-101 · draftkings
Austin Wells
Austin Wells
NYYvsMINBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.32
Edge+0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.44 across 59 games
-139 · draftkings
Jose Caballero
MIN @ NYYBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Progressive Field0 leans

CWS@CLE

Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians

first pitch
2:00 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Erick Fedde
probable · awayErick Fedde
CWS
Tanner Bibee
probable · homeTanner Bibee
CLE
prop lines pending
Lines have not posted yet for this matchup. When books post lines, projections appear here for pitcher strikeouts, batter hits, and batter total bases.
Wrigley Field0 leans

STL@CHC

St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs

first pitch
2:30 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Matthew Liberatore
probable · awayMatthew Liberatore
STL
Javier Assad
probable · homeJavier Assad
CHC
prop lines pending
Lines have not posted yet for this matchup. When books post lines, projections appear here for pitcher strikeouts, batter hits, and batter total bases.
Kauffman Stadium2 leans

PHI@KC

Philadelphia Phillies at Kansas City Royals

first pitch
3:00 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Aaron Nola
probable · awayAaron Nola
PHI
Luinder Avila
probable · homeLuinder Avila
KC
Strikeouts
Luinder Avila
Luinder Avila
KCvsPHIPitcherStrikeouts
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER3.5
Projection3.96
Edge+4.5%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 2.7 K across 16 starts
-130 · fanduel
Aaron Nola
Aaron Nola
PHIvsKCPitcherStrikeouts
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER4.5
Projection5.24
Edge+4.3%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.1 K across 17 starts
-166 · fanduel
Daikin Park0 leans

TB@HOU

Tampa Bay Rays at Houston Astros

first pitch
3:30 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
probable · awayTBD
TB
Peter Lambert
probable · homePeter Lambert
HOU
prop lines pending
Lines have not posted yet for this matchup. When books post lines, projections appear here for pitcher strikeouts, batter hits, and batter total bases.
Globe Life Field38 leans

DET@TEX

Detroit Tigers at Texas Rangers

first pitch
3:30 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Casey Mize
probable · awayCasey Mize
DET
Kumar Rocker
probable · homeKumar Rocker
TEX
Strikeouts
Casey Mize
Casey Mize
DETvsTEXPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER4.5
Projection6.03
Edge+16.5%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.7 K across 12 starts
-147 · draftkings
Kumar Rocker
Kumar Rocker
TEXvsDETPitcherStrikeouts
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER4.5
Projection5.27
Edge+4.9%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.4 K across 16 starts
-159 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Hao-Yu Lee
Hao-Yu Lee
DETvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.64
Edge+17.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.27 across 48 games
-149 · draftkings
Nicky Lopez
Nicky Lopez
TEXvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.76
Edge+15.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.51 across 35 games
-183 · draftkings
Nicky Lopez
Nicky Lopez
TEXvsDETBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.06
Edge+15.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 35 games
-146 · draftkings
Hao-Yu Lee
Hao-Yu Lee
DETvsTEXBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.91
Edge+14.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 48 games
-118 · draftkings
Spencer Torkelson
Spencer Torkelson
DETvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.87
Edge+13.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.55 across 88 games
+118 · draftkings
Evan Carter
Evan Carter
TEXvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.59
Edge+11.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.28 across 71 games
-177 · draftkings
Zach McKinstry
Zach McKinstry
DETvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.68
Edge+11.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.16 across 62 games
+127 · draftkings
James Outman
James Outman
DETvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.17
Edge+10.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 44 games
-123 · draftkings
Kevin McGonigle
Kevin McGonigle
DETvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.07
Edge+8.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 2.05 across 86 games
-120 · draftkings
Joc Pederson
Joc Pederson
TEXvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.9
Edge+8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.49 across 81 games
-103 · draftkings
Kerry Carpenter
Kerry Carpenter
DETvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.83
Edge+7.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 66 games
+100 · draftkings
Riley Greene
Riley Greene
DETvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.06
Edge+7.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 2.01 across 88 games
-119 · draftkings
Jake Burger
Jake Burger
TEXvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.83
Edge+7.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.96 across 85 games
+104 · draftkings
Kevin McGonigle
Kevin McGonigle
DETvsTEXBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.08
Edge+6.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 86 games
-224 · draftkings
Alejandro Osuna
Alejandro Osuna
TEXvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.45
Edge+5.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.31 across 55 games
+134 · draftkings
Ezequiel Duran
Ezequiel Duran
TEXvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.77
Edge+5.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.94 across 78 games
+100 · draftkings
Brandon Nimmo
Brandon Nimmo
TEXvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.84
Edge+5.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 83 games
-108 · draftkings
Zach McKinstry
Zach McKinstry
DETvsTEXBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge+4.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.63 across 62 games
-160 · draftkings
Dillon Dingler
Dillon Dingler
DETvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.99
Edge+4.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.28 across 82 games
-113 · draftkings
Josh Jung
Josh Jung
TEXvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.93
Edge+4.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.06 across 83 games
-121 · draftkings
Alejandro Osuna
Alejandro Osuna
TEXvsDETBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.8
Edge+4.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 55 games
-148 · draftkings
Colt Keith
Colt Keith
DETvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.35
Edge+3.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.40 across 80 games
-180 · draftkings
Riley Greene
Riley Greene
DETvsTEXBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.02
Edge+3.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 88 games
-216 · draftkings
Evan Carter
Evan Carter
TEXvsDETBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.72
Edge+3.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.55 across 71 games
-131 · draftkings
Ezequiel Duran
Ezequiel Duran
TEXvsDETBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.02
Edge+3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 78 games
-209 · draftkings
Brandon Nimmo
Brandon Nimmo
TEXvsDETBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1
Edge+2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 83 games
-208 · draftkings
James Outman
James Outman
DETvsTEXBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.39
Edge−3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.39 across 44 games
+109 · draftkings
Joc Pederson
Joc Pederson
TEXvsDETBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.9
Edge+2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 81 games
-186 · draftkings
Josh Jung
Josh Jung
TEXvsDETBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.08
Edge+2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.16 across 83 games
-246 · draftkings
Dillon Dingler
Dillon Dingler
DETvsTEXBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.95
Edge−2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 82 games
-214 · draftkings
Spencer Torkelson
Spencer Torkelson
DETvsTEXBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.76
Edge+1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 88 games
-151 · draftkings
Jake Burger
Jake Burger
TEXvsDETBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.8
Edge−1.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 85 games
-181 · draftkings
Kerry Carpenter
Kerry Carpenter
DETvsTEXBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.78
Edge−0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 66 games
-175 · draftkings
Colt Keith
Colt Keith
DETvsTEXBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.68
Edge−0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 80 games
-144 · draftkings
Elias Diaz
DET @ TEXBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Elias Diaz
DET @ TEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Coors Field0 leans

SF@COL

San Francisco Giants at Colorado Rockies

first pitch
4:00 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Tyler Mahle
probable · awayTyler Mahle
SF
Tanner Gordon
probable · homeTanner Gordon
COL
prop lines pending
Lines have not posted yet for this matchup. When books post lines, projections appear here for pitcher strikeouts, batter hits, and batter total bases.
Chase Field0 leans

MIL@AZ

Milwaukee Brewers at Arizona Diamondbacks

first pitch
4:00 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Brandon Sproat
probable · awayBrandon Sproat
MIL
Eduardo Rodriguez
probable · homeEduardo Rodriguez
AZ
prop lines pending
Lines have not posted yet for this matchup. When books post lines, projections appear here for pitcher strikeouts, batter hits, and batter total bases.
Sutter Health Park0 leans

MIA@ATH

Miami Marlins at Athletics

first pitch
4:30 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Eury Pérez
probable · awayEury Pérez
MIA
Gage Jump
probable · homeGage Jump
ATH
prop lines pending
Lines have not posted yet for this matchup. When books post lines, projections appear here for pitcher strikeouts, batter hits, and batter total bases.
T-Mobile Park20 leans

TOR@SEA

Toronto Blue Jays at Seattle Mariners

first pitch
5:00 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Trey Yesavage
probable · awayTrey Yesavage
TOR
Emerson Hancock
probable · homeEmerson Hancock
SEA
Strikeouts
Trey Yesavage
Trey Yesavage
TORvsSEAPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER5.5
Projection4.85
Edge+16.8%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.1 K across 12 starts
+104 · draftkings
Emerson Hancock
Emerson Hancock
SEAvsTORPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
OVER4.5
Projection5.01
Edge+0.3%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.4 K across 16 starts
-132 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Cole Young
Cole Young
SEAvsTORBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.02
Edge+14%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 90 games
-144 · draftkings
Sean Keys
Sean Keys
TORvsSEABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.8
Edge+10.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 5 games
-115 · draftkings
Colt Emerson
Colt Emerson
SEAvsTORBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.7
Edge+5.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 40 games
-114 · draftkings
Kazuma Okamoto
Kazuma Okamoto
TORvsSEABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.94
Edge+5.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 85 games
-182 · draftkings
Daulton Varsho
Daulton Varsho
TORvsSEABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.9
Edge+5.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 71 games
-162 · draftkings
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
TORvsSEABatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.79
Edge+4.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 84 games
+194 · draftkings
Ernie Clement
Ernie Clement
TORvsSEABatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.06
Edge+3.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 86 games
-216 · draftkings
Randy Arozarena
Randy Arozarena
SEAvsTORBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.02
Edge+2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 82 games
-211 · draftkings
Dominic Canzone
Dominic Canzone
SEAvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.71
Edge−3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 78 games
-171 · draftkings
Nathan Lukes
Nathan Lukes
TORvsSEABatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge−3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 54 games
+164 · draftkings
Alejandro Kirk
Alejandro Kirk
TORvsSEABatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.7
Edge+1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 20 games
+158 · draftkings
Cal Raleigh
Cal Raleigh
SEAvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.55
Edge−1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 58 games
+104 · draftkings
Victor Robles
Victor Robles
SEAvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.65
Edge+1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 27 games
-127 · draftkings
Luke Raley
Luke Raley
SEAvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.48
Edge−0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.66 across 74 games
-107 · draftkings
Josh Naylor
Josh Naylor
SEAvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.94
Edge−0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 83 games
-224 · draftkings
J.P. Crawford
J.P. Crawford
SEAvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.73
Edge−0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 72 games
-156 · draftkings
Andres Gimenez
TOR @ SEABatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Yohendrick Pinango
TOR @ SEABatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium0 leans

SD@LAD

San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers

first pitch
7:20 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
JP Sears
probable · awayJP Sears
SD
Emmet Sheehan
probable · homeEmmet Sheehan
LAD
prop lines pending
Lines have not posted yet for this matchup. When books post lines, projections appear here for pitcher strikeouts, batter hits, and batter total bases.
Angel Stadium0 leans

BOS@LAA

Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Angels

first pitch
9:30 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Ranger Suarez
probable · awayRanger Suarez
BOS
Ryan Johnson
probable · homeRyan Johnson
LAA
prop lines pending
Lines have not posted yet for this matchup. When books post lines, projections appear here for pitcher strikeouts, batter hits, and batter total bases.
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