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226–211 on 437 decisive picks · 51.7%2026-07-01
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MLB model board · 2026-07-01

14 MLB games · 402 model-vs-market reads

Projections for pitcher strikeouts and batter markets only. Home runs live on Homer Nukes because the variance profile is different.

Market context, not picks. Calibration notice (audit 2026-07-21): across 18,659 settled leans, none of these markets' model probabilities out-predict the market on Brier or log loss — the model is overconfident (its high-confidence reads under-perform). Treat the model number as a market-anchored research signal, not a proven advantage; the market price is the better probability. Paper / review / educational only — never a bet. Total bases is disabled for prediction and is not listed here; its settled history stays on Results.

SCHEDULEliveMODEL LEANSavailableUPDATEDJul 1, 3:28 PM ETeducational analytics only
Gap ≥ 5 pp
131
model vs market · context
Gap 2.5–5 pp
42
model vs market · context
Small gap
152
42 anomalies shown separately
Sample too small
35
no projection emitted
Strikeouts11 gap ≥ 5 pp·22 totalHits53 gap ≥ 5 pp·190 totalHits + Runs + RBIs67 gap ≥ 5 pp·190 total
Filters · 402 of 402 leans
Market
Gap size
Team
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Density
Oriole Park at Camden Yards0 leans

CWS@BAL

Chicago White Sox at Baltimore Orioles

first pitch
12:35 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Noah Schultz
probable · awayNoah Schultz
CWS
Dean Kremer
probable · homeDean Kremer
BAL
prop lines pending
Lines have not posted yet for this matchup. When books post lines, projections appear here for pitcher strikeouts, batter hits, and batter total bases.
Progressive Field0 leans

TEX@CLE

Texas Rangers at Cleveland Guardians

first pitch
1:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
MacKenzie Gore
probable · awayMacKenzie Gore
TEX
Joey Cantillo
probable · homeJoey Cantillo
CLE
prop lines pending
Lines have not posted yet for this matchup. When books post lines, projections appear here for pitcher strikeouts, batter hits, and batter total bases.
Fenway Park8 leansFinal · graded

WSH@BOS

Washington Nationals at Boston Red Sox

first pitch
1:35 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Brad Lord
probable · awayBrad Lord
WSH
Payton Tolle
probable · homePayton Tolle
BOS
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Wilyer Abreu
Wilyer Abreu
BOSvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.73
Edge+19.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.95 across 83 games
+180 · draftkings
Curtis Mead
Curtis Mead
WSHvsBOSBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.75
Edge+18.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 72 games
-170 · draftkings
Dylan Crews
Dylan CrewsModel anomaly
WSHvsBOSBatterHits
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
UNDER2.5
Projection1.11
Edge+35.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 37 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-145 · draftkings
Ceddanne Rafaela
Ceddanne RafaelaModel anomaly
BOSvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER0.5
Projection1.77
Edge+32.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.94 across 79 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+140 · draftkings
Willson Contreras
Willson ContrerasModel anomaly
BOSvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER0.5
Projection2.17
Edge+28.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.13 across 82 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+100 · draftkings
James Wood
James Wood
WSHvsBOSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection0.96
Edge−2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 88 games
+220 · draftkings
Connor Wong
Connor Wong
BOSvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.53
Edge+2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 34 games
+105 · draftkings
Romy Gonzalez
Romy Gonzalez
BOSvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (3 games of log data)
— · draftkings
Yankee Stadium25 leansFinal · graded

DET@NYY

Detroit Tigers at New York Yankees

first pitch
1:35 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Troy Melton
probable · awayTroy Melton
DET
Will Warren
probable · homeWill Warren
NYY
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Dillon Dingler
Dillon Dingler
DETvsNYYBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER2.5
Projection1
Edge+14.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 80 games
-340 · draftkings
Spencer Torkelson
Spencer TorkelsonModel anomaly
DETvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER0.5
Projection1.87
Edge+54.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.55 across 86 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+285 · draftkings
James Outman
James OutmanModel anomaly
DETvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER0.5
Projection1.39
Edge+53.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 42 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+500 · draftkings
Zach McKinstry
Zach McKinstryModel anomaly
DETvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER0.5
Projection1.43
Edge+50.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 60 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+300 · draftkings
Anthony Volpe
Anthony VolpeModel anomaly
NYYvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER0.5
Projection1.21
Edge+50.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.62 across 37 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+650 · draftkings
Amed Rosario
Amed RosarioModel anomaly
NYYvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER0.5
Projection1.67
Edge+49.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.65 across 48 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+400 · draftkings
Riley Greene
Riley GreeneModel anomaly
DETvsNYYBatterHits
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER0.5
Projection1.02
Edge+49.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 86 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+340 · draftkings
Anthony Volpe
Anthony VolpeModel anomaly
NYYvsDETBatterHits
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER0.5
Projection0.69
Edge+47.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 37 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+850 · draftkings
Spencer Torkelson
Spencer TorkelsonModel anomaly
DETvsNYYBatterHits
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER0.5
Projection0.81
Edge+43.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 86 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+380 · draftkings
Amed Rosario
Amed RosarioModel anomaly
NYYvsDETBatterHits
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER0.5
Projection0.7
Edge+41.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 48 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+475 · draftkings
Zach McKinstry
Zach McKinstryModel anomaly
DETvsNYYBatterHits
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER0.5
Projection0.74
Edge+40.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.58 across 60 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+380 · draftkings
Jasson Domínguez
Jasson DomínguezModel anomaly
NYYvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER0.5
Projection1.34
Edge+40.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.48 across 25 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+255 · draftkings
James Outman
James OutmanModel anomaly
DETvsNYYBatterHits
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER0.5
Projection0.5
Edge+37.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.40 across 42 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+700 · draftkings
Riley Greene
Riley GreeneModel anomaly
DETvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.04
Edge+34.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.98 across 86 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+280 · draftkings
Jasson Domínguez
Jasson DomínguezModel anomaly
NYYvsDETBatterHits
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER0.5
Projection0.7
Edge+34.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 25 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+310 · draftkings
Cody Bellinger
Cody BellingerModel anomaly
NYYvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER0.5
Projection1.18
Edge+33.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.06 across 84 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+245 · draftkings
Cody Bellinger
Cody BellingerModel anomaly
NYYvsDETBatterHits
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER0.5
Projection0.61
Edge+29.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 84 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+295 · draftkings
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
Jazz Chisholm Jr.Model anomaly
NYYvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection1.4
Edge+28.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.70 across 82 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+425 · draftkings
Ben Rice
Ben RiceModel anomaly
NYYvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection1.54
Edge+22.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.37 across 81 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+250 · draftkings
Ben Rice
Ben Rice
NYYvsDETBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection0.7
Edge−1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 81 games
-450 · draftkings
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
NYYvsDETBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection0.69
Edge+0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 82 games
+500 · draftkings
Jose Caballero
DET @ NYYBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Oswaldo Cabrera
Oswaldo Cabrera
NYYvsDETBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (3 games of log data)
— · draftkings
Jose Caballero
DET @ NYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Oswaldo Cabrera
Oswaldo Cabrera
NYYvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (3 games of log data)
— · draftkings
Wrigley Field32 leansFinal · graded

SD@CHC

San Diego Padres at Chicago Cubs

first pitch
2:20 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Walker Buehler
probable · awayWalker Buehler
SD
Colin Rea
probable · homeColin Rea
CHC
Strikeouts
Colin Rea
Colin ReaModel anomaly
CHCvsSDPitcherStrikeouts
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
UNDER5.5
Projection3.69
Edge+32.6%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.7 K across 18 starts
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-120 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Michael Busch
Michael Busch
CHCvsSDBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.62
Edge+19.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 86 games
+180 · draftkings
Nico Hoerner
Nico Hoerner
CHCvsSDBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.03
Edge+19.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 85 games
-115 · draftkings
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SDvsCHCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.1
Edge+19.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 84 games
-120 · draftkings
Nico Hoerner
Nico Hoerner
CHCvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.85
Edge+18.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 85 games
-140 · draftkings
Manny Machado
Manny Machado
SDvsCHCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.79
Edge+15.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 83 games
+110 · draftkings
Gavin Sheets
Gavin Sheets
SDvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.56
Edge+13.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.62 across 78 games
-130 · draftkings
Alex Bregman
Alex Bregman
CHCvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.74
Edge+11.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.78 across 85 games
+125 · draftkings
Jackson Merrill
Jackson Merrill
SDvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.32
Edge+11.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 81 games
-125 · draftkings
Jackson Merrill
Jackson Merrill
SDvsCHCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.76
Edge+11%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 81 games
+100 · draftkings
Pete Crow-Armstrong
Pete Crow-Armstrong
CHCvsSDBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1.03
Edge+8.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 87 games
-150 · draftkings
Gavin Sheets
Gavin Sheets
SDvsCHCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.66
Edge+6.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 78 games
-105 · draftkings
Sung-Mun Song
Sung-Mun Song
SDvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1.3
Edge+3.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.21 across 24 games
-105 · draftkings
Dansby Swanson
Dansby SwansonModel anomaly
CHCvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
UNDER8.5
Projection3.29
Edge+48.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 4.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.99 across 82 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+100 · draftkings
Miguel Amaya
Miguel AmayaModel anomaly
CHCvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
UNDER4.5
Projection1.23
Edge+45.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.27 across 45 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-115 · draftkings
Dansby Swanson
Dansby SwansonModel anomaly
CHCvsSDBatterHits
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
UNDER2.5
Projection1.05
Edge+39.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 82 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-130 · draftkings
Jake Cronenworth
Jake CronenworthModel anomaly
SDvsCHCBatterHits
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
UNDER2.5
Projection0.39
Edge+34.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.47 across 34 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-185 · draftkings
Jake Cronenworth
Jake CronenworthModel anomaly
SDvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
UNDER2.5
Projection0.69
Edge+34.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 34 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-145 · draftkings
Sung-Mun Song
Sung-Mun SongModel anomaly
SDvsCHCBatterHits
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
UNDER1.5
Projection0.62
Edge+25.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.54 across 24 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-145 · draftkings
Xander Bogaerts
Xander BogaertsModel anomaly
SDvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER0.5
Projection1.71
Edge+25.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.63 across 81 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+100 · draftkings
Alex Bregman
Alex BregmanModel anomaly
CHCvsSDBatterHits
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER0.5
Projection0.77
Edge+25.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 85 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+170 · draftkings
Miguel Amaya
Miguel AmayaModel anomaly
CHCvsSDBatterHits
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
UNDER1.5
Projection0.59
Edge+25%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.58 across 45 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-155 · draftkings
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Fernando Tatis Jr.Model anomaly
SDvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER0.5
Projection2.11
Edge+24.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.93 across 84 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-150 · draftkings
Michael Busch
Michael BuschModel anomaly
CHCvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER0.5
Projection1.43
Edge+23.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 86 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+120 · draftkings
Manny Machado
Manny MachadoModel anomaly
SDvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER0.5
Projection1.86
Edge+21.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.72 across 83 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-115 · draftkings
Ty France
Ty FranceModel anomaly
SDvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER0.5
Projection1.69
Edge+21.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 57 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+105 · draftkings
Ian Happ
Ian HappModel anomaly
CHCvsSDBatterHits
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
UNDER1.5
Projection0.77
Edge+20.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 82 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-150 · draftkings
Xander Bogaerts
Xander BogaertsModel anomaly
SDvsCHCBatterHits
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER0.5
Projection0.85
Edge+20.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 81 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+120 · draftkings
Ty France
Ty FranceModel anomaly
SDvsCHCBatterHits
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER0.5
Projection0.8
Edge+20.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 57 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+135 · draftkings
Pete Crow-Armstrong
Pete Crow-Armstrong
CHCvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER2.5
Projection2.31
Edge+0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.23 across 87 games
-115 · draftkings
Rodolfo Duran
SD @ CHCBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Rodolfo Duran
SD @ CHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Rogers Centre35 leansFinal · graded

NYM@TOR

New York Mets at Toronto Blue Jays

first pitch
3:07 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Freddy Peralta
probable · awayFreddy Peralta
NYM
Braydon Fisher
probable · homeBraydon Fisher
TOR
Strikeouts
Freddy Peralta
Freddy Peralta
NYMvsTORPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER4.5
Projection3.98
Edge+10.8%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.2 K across 17 starts
+105 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Kazuma Okamoto
Kazuma Okamoto
TORvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.42
Edge+17.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.04 across 82 games
+100 · draftkings
Alejandro Kirk
Alejandro Kirk
TORvsNYMBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.58
Edge+9.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 18 games
+170 · draftkings
A.J. Ewing
A.J. Ewing
NYMvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.96
Edge+7.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.72 across 46 games
-110 · draftkings
Kazuma Okamoto
Kazuma Okamoto
TORvsNYMBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.93
Edge+6.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 82 games
-168 · draftkings
A.J. Ewing
A.J. Ewing
NYMvsTORBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.01
Edge+6.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 46 games
-188 · draftkings
Daulton Varsho
Daulton Varsho
TORvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.75
Edge+5.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.69 across 68 games
+100 · draftkings
Tyrone Taylor
Tyrone Taylor
NYMvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.23
Edge+5.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 40 games
-165 · draftkings
Alejandro Kirk
Alejandro Kirk
TORvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1.17
Edge+4.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.33 across 18 games
-115 · draftkings
Daulton Varsho
Daulton Varsho
TORvsNYMBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.91
Edge+3.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 68 games
-175 · draftkings
Ernie Clement
Ernie Clement
TORvsNYMBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.07
Edge+3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.13 across 83 games
-225 · draftkings
Francisco Lindor
Francisco Lindor
NYMvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.93
Edge+2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.66 across 29 games
-135 · draftkings
Nathan Lukes
Nathan Lukes
TORvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.45
Edge−3.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.61 across 51 games
-110 · draftkings
Tyrone Taylor
Tyrone Taylor
NYMvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.55
Edge−3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.50 across 40 games
-125 · draftkings
Jared Young
Jared Young
NYMvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.62
Edge−3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 40 games
-142 · draftkings
Francisco Alvarez
Francisco Alvarez
NYMvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.7
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.49 across 55 games
-110 · draftkings
Ernie Clement
Ernie Clement
TORvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.61
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.92 across 83 games
+100 · draftkings
Francisco Alvarez
Francisco Alvarez
NYMvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.81
Edge−2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 55 games
-198 · draftkings
Juan Soto
Juan Soto
NYMvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.98
Edge−1.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 67 games
-270 · draftkings
Francisco Lindor
Francisco Lindor
NYMvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.91
Edge−1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 29 games
-234 · draftkings
Brett Baty
Brett Baty
NYMvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.47
Edge+1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 80 games
+100 · draftkings
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
TORvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.83
Edge+1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.96 across 81 games
-125 · draftkings
Brett Baty
Brett Baty
NYMvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.01
Edge−1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.32 across 80 games
-175 · draftkings
Jared Young
Jared Young
NYMvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.33
Edge+1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.35 across 40 games
+125 · draftkings
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
TORvsNYMBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge−0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 81 games
+180 · draftkings
Juan Soto
Juan Soto
NYMvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER2.5
Projection1.9
Edge−0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.21 across 67 games
-165 · draftkings
Bo Bichette
Bo Bichette
NYMvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.01
Edge+0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 86 games
-225 · draftkings
Bo Bichette
Bo Bichette
NYMvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.98
Edge+0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.06 across 86 games
-140 · draftkings
Nathan Lukes
Nathan Lukes
TORvsNYMBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge+0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 51 games
+176 · draftkings
Yohendrick Pinango
NYM @ TORBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Andres Gimenez
NYM @ TORBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Sean Keys
Sean Keys
TORvsNYMBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (2 games of log data)
— · draftkings
Yohendrick Pinango
NYM @ TORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Andres Gimenez
NYM @ TORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Sean Keys
Sean Keys
TORvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (2 games of log data)
— · draftkings
Citizens Bank Park40 leansFinal · graded

PIT@PHI

Pittsburgh Pirates at Philadelphia Phillies

first pitch
6:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Paul Skenes
probable · awayPaul Skenes
PIT
Zack Wheeler
probable · homeZack Wheeler
PHI
Strikeouts
Zack Wheeler
Zack Wheeler
PHIvsPITPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER7.5
Projection6.63
Edge+11%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 6.2 K across 12 starts
-140 · draftkings
Paul Skenes
Paul Skenes
PITvsPHIPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER6.5
Projection7.6
Edge+5.6%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 8.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 6.7 K across 17 starts
-162 · fanduel
Zack Wheeler
Zack Wheeler
PHIvsPITPitcherStrikeouts
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER6.5
Projection6.63
Edge+4.3%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 6.2 K across 12 starts
+134 · fanduel
Paul Skenes
Paul Skenes
PITvsPHIPitcherStrikeouts
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER7.5
Projection7.6
Edge+3.1%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 8.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 6.7 K across 17 starts
+106 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Esmerlyn Valdez
Esmerlyn Valdez
PITvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection2.49
Edge+18.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.18 across 17 games
-161 · draftkings
Ryan O'Hearn
Ryan O'Hearn
PITvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.63
Edge+18.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.35 across 71 games
+106 · draftkings
Trea Turner
Trea Turner
PHIvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.54
Edge+17.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.99 across 84 games
-115 · draftkings
Bryce Harper
Bryce Harper
PHIvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.74
Edge+17.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.27 across 85 games
-113 · draftkings
Esmerlyn Valdez
Esmerlyn Valdez
PITvsPHIBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.09
Edge+16.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 17 games
-129 · draftkings
Jake Mangum
Jake Mangum
PITvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.75
Edge+14.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.59 across 59 games
+141 · draftkings
Kyle Schwarber
Kyle Schwarber
PHIvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.85
Edge+14.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.30 across 82 games
-122 · draftkings
Brandon Marsh
Brandon Marsh
PHIvsPITBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.29
Edge+14%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.17 across 81 games
-184 · draftkings
Bryan Reynolds
Bryan Reynolds
PITvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.25
Edge+14%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.29 across 86 games
+100 · draftkings
Bryson Stott
Bryson Stott
PHIvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.97
Edge+13.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.74 across 80 games
+113 · draftkings
Konnor Griffin
Konnor Griffin
PITvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.08
Edge+13%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 2.06 across 54 games
+102 · draftkings
Justin Crawford
Justin Crawford
PHIvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.73
Edge+12.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.36 across 78 games
+128 · draftkings
Justin Crawford
Justin Crawford
PHIvsPITBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1
Edge+11.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 78 games
-149 · draftkings
Nick Gonzales
Nick Gonzales
PITvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.94
Edge+11.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.08 across 80 games
+111 · draftkings
J.T. Realmuto
J.T. Realmuto
PHIvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.8
Edge+11.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.49 across 59 games
+123 · draftkings
Jake Mangum
Jake Mangum
PITvsPHIBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.07
Edge+11.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 59 games
-158 · draftkings
Brandon Lowe
Brandon Lowe
PITvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.3
Edge+10.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.30 across 79 games
-113 · draftkings
Bryce Harper
Bryce Harper
PHIvsPITBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.24
Edge+10.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 85 games
-195 · draftkings
Trea Turner
Trea Turner
PHIvsPITBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.19
Edge+9.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 84 games
-215 · draftkings
Kyle Schwarber
Kyle Schwarber
PHIvsPITBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.08
Edge+8.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 82 games
-175 · draftkings
Ryan O'Hearn
Ryan O'Hearn
PITvsPHIBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.14
Edge+7.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 71 games
-195 · draftkings
Tyler Callihan
Tyler Callihan
PITvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.53
Edge+6.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.67 across 21 games
-156 · draftkings
Bryson Stott
Bryson Stott
PHIvsPITBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.92
Edge+6.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 80 games
-169 · draftkings
Konnor Griffin
Konnor Griffin
PITvsPHIBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.07
Edge+5.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 54 games
-198 · draftkings
Bryan Reynolds
Bryan Reynolds
PITvsPHIBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.01
Edge+4.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 86 games
-198 · draftkings
Brandon Lowe
Brandon Lowe
PITvsPHIBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge+4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 79 games
-203 · draftkings
Nick Gonzales
Nick Gonzales
PITvsPHIBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.04
Edge+3.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 80 games
-200 · draftkings
Brandon Marsh
Brandon MarshModel anomaly
PHIvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.76
Edge+23.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.32 across 81 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+101 · draftkings
Gabriel Rincones Jr.
Gabriel Rincones Jr.
PHIvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.72
Edge−2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 12 games
-144 · draftkings
Tyler Callihan
Tyler Callihan
PITvsPHIBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.53
Edge−2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 21 games
-104 · draftkings
Alec Bohm
Alec Bohm
PHIvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.43
Edge−2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.67 across 81 games
-103 · draftkings
J.T. Realmuto
J.T. Realmuto
PHIvsPITBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.7
Edge−1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 59 games
-155 · draftkings
Gabriel Rincones Jr.
Gabriel Rincones Jr.
PHIvsPITBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.41
Edge+0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.42 across 12 games
-115 · draftkings
Alec Bohm
Alec Bohm
PHIvsPITBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.71
Edge+0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 81 games
+149 · draftkings
Endy Rodriguez
PIT @ PHIBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Endy Rodriguez
PIT @ PHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Truist Park36 leansFinal · graded

STL@ATL

St. Louis Cardinals at Atlanta Braves

first pitch
7:15 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Michael McGreevy
probable · awayMichael McGreevy
STL
Reynaldo López
probable · homeReynaldo López
ATL
Strikeouts
Michael McGreevy
Michael McGreevy
STLvsATLPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
UNDER3.5
Projection3.07
Edge−1.6%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.6 K across 16 starts
-147 · draftkings
Reynaldo Lopez
STL @ ATLPitcherStrikeouts
Sample too small
Line3.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Masyn Winn
Masyn Winn
STLvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.21
Edge+17.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.81 across 74 games
+102 · draftkings
Drake Baldwin
Drake Baldwin
ATLvsSTLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.55
Edge+16.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 60 games
-241 · draftkings
Lars Nootbaar
Lars Nootbaar
STLvsATLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.12
Edge+12.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 21 games
-177 · draftkings
Lars Nootbaar
Lars Nootbaar
STLvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.95
Edge+12.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 21 games
-102 · draftkings
Nathan Church
Nathan Church
STLvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.67
Edge+11%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 61 games
-169 · draftkings
Drake Baldwin
Drake Baldwin
ATLvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1.28
Edge+8.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.35 across 60 games
+120 · draftkings
Masyn Winn
Masyn Winn
STLvsATLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.05
Edge+8.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 74 games
-191 · draftkings
Mike Yastrzemski
Mike Yastrzemski
ATLvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.91
Edge+7.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.23 across 74 games
-138 · draftkings
Mike Yastrzemski
Mike Yastrzemski
ATLvsSTLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.5
Edge+6.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 74 games
+132 · draftkings
Blaze Jordan
Blaze Jordan
STLvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.8
Edge+6.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 15 games
+104 · draftkings
JJ Wetherholt
JJ Wetherholt
STLvsATLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.12
Edge+6.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 77 games
-216 · draftkings
Jimmy Crooks
Jimmy Crooks
STLvsATLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.37
Edge+5.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.44 across 18 games
-102 · draftkings
JJ Wetherholt
JJ Wetherholt
STLvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.01
Edge+5.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.12 across 77 games
-121 · draftkings
Nathan Church
Nathan Church
STLvsATLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.77
Edge+5.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 61 games
-133 · draftkings
Ozzie Albies
Ozzie Albies
ATLvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.26
Edge+3.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.22 across 83 games
-151 · draftkings
Dominic Smith
Dominic Smith
ATLvsSTLBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.61
Edge+3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 69 games
+139 · draftkings
Alec Burleson
Alec Burleson
STLvsATLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge−2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 81 games
+182 · draftkings
Austin Riley
Austin Riley
ATLvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.67
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 83 games
+150 · draftkings
Matt Olson
Matt Olson
ATLvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.82
Edge−2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.35 across 83 games
-144 · draftkings
Dominic Smith
Dominic Smith
ATLvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.18
Edge−1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.57 across 69 games
-140 · draftkings
Matt Olson
Matt Olson
ATLvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.04
Edge+1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 83 games
-260 · draftkings
Jimmy Crooks
Jimmy Crooks
STLvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.77
Edge−1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 18 games
+133 · draftkings
Ozzie Albies
Ozzie Albies
ATLvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection0.97
Edge−0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 83 games
-259 · draftkings
Jordan Walker
Jordan Walker
STLvsATLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.01
Edge+0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 80 games
-230 · draftkings
Michael Harris II
Michael Harris II
ATLvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection0.93
Edge−0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 77 games
-251 · draftkings
Michael Harris II
Michael Harris II
ATLvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.7
Edge−0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.10 across 77 games
+113 · draftkings
Alec Burleson
Alec Burleson
STLvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.85
Edge+0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.30 across 81 games
-129 · draftkings
Austin Riley
Austin Riley
ATLvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.3
Edge−0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.59 across 83 games
-121 · draftkings
Jordan Walker
Jordan Walker
STLvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.82
Edge−0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.44 across 80 games
-126 · draftkings
Blaze Jordan
Blaze Jordan
STLvsATLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.7
Edge+0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 15 games
+146 · draftkings
Mauricio Dubon
STL @ ATLBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Ivan Herrera
STL @ ATLBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Ivan Herrera
STL @ ATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Mauricio Dubon
STL @ ATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Kauffman Stadium36 leansFinal · graded

TB@KC

Tampa Bay Rays at Kansas City Royals

first pitch
7:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Shane McClanahan
probable · awayShane McClanahan
TB
Seth Lugo
probable · homeSeth Lugo
KC
Strikeouts
Seth Lugo
Seth Lugo
KCvsTBPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER3.5
Projection2.86
Edge+16.3%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 1.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.3 K across 16 starts
+114 · draftkings
Shane McClanahan
Shane McClanahan
TBvsKCPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER4.5
Projection4.76
Edge+8.2%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.9 K across 15 starts
+107 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Victor Mesa Jr.
Victor Mesa Jr.
TBvsKCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.59
Edge+14.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.57 across 21 games
-244 · draftkings
Carter Jensen
Carter Jensen
KCvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.39
Edge+13.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 78 games
-120 · draftkings
Chandler Simpson
Chandler Simpson
TBvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER2.5
Projection1.58
Edge+12.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.66 across 76 games
-163 · draftkings
Victor Mesa Jr.
Victor Mesa Jr.
TBvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER2.5
Projection1.49
Edge+10.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.38 across 21 games
-157 · draftkings
Junior Caminero
Junior Caminero
TBvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER2.5
Projection3.45
Edge+10.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 4.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.39 across 82 games
-125 · draftkings
Nick Loftin
Nick Loftin
KCvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.85
Edge+9.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.59 across 49 games
+112 · draftkings
Jac Caglianone
Jac Caglianone
KCvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.34
Edge+9.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 79 games
-129 · draftkings
Hunter Feduccia
Hunter Feduccia
TBvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.99
Edge+8.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 43 games
-138 · draftkings
Carter Jensen
Carter Jensen
KCvsTBBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.09
Edge+6.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 78 games
-227 · draftkings
Lane Thomas
Lane Thomas
KCvsTBBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.6
Edge+5.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 68 games
+152 · draftkings
Hunter Feduccia
Hunter Feduccia
TBvsKCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.46
Edge+5.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.51 across 43 games
+116 · draftkings
Salvador Perez
Salvador Perez
KCvsTBBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.69
Edge+5.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 80 games
+175 · draftkings
Lane Thomas
Lane Thomas
KCvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1.16
Edge+5.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.22 across 68 games
-111 · draftkings
Bobby Witt Jr.
Bobby Witt Jr.
KCvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER2.5
Projection2.72
Edge+4.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.15 across 80 games
-101 · draftkings
Taylor Walls
Taylor Walls
TBvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.65
Edge+4.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.49 across 61 games
+100 · draftkings
Salvador Perez
Salvador Perez
KCvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1.31
Edge+2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.52 across 80 games
-105 · draftkings
Cedric Mullins
Cedric Mullins
TBvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.59
Edge−3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.47 across 70 games
-125 · draftkings
Jac Caglianone
Jac Caglianone
KCvsTBBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.9
Edge−2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 79 games
+175 · draftkings
Nick Loftin
Nick Loftin
KCvsTBBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.74
Edge−2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 49 games
-172 · draftkings
Cedric Mullins
Cedric Mullins
TBvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.81
Edge−2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 70 games
+163 · draftkings
Chandler Simpson
Chandler Simpson
TBvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.11
Edge+1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 76 games
-187 · draftkings
Taylor Walls
Taylor Walls
TBvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.74
Edge−1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 61 games
-169 · draftkings
Jonathan Aranda
Jonathan Aranda
TBvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.22
Edge−1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 81 games
+152 · draftkings
Tyler Tolbert
Tyler Tolbert
KCvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.04
Edge+1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 16 games
-174 · draftkings
Bobby Witt Jr.
Bobby Witt Jr.
KCvsTBBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.32
Edge−0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.15 across 80 games
+134 · draftkings
Tyler Tolbert
Tyler Tolbert
KCvsTBBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.52
Edge+0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.44 across 16 games
+107 · draftkings
Starling Marte
Starling Marte
KCvsTBBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.81
Edge−0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 35 games
+174 · draftkings
Starling Marte
Starling Marte
KCvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.66
Edge−0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.23 across 35 games
-123 · draftkings
Jonathan Aranda
Jonathan Aranda
TBvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER2.5
Projection2.5
Edge−0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.30 across 81 games
-101 · draftkings
Richie Palacios
Richie Palacios
TBvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.69
Edge−0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 57 games
+142 · draftkings
Junior Caminero
Junior Caminero
TBvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.35
Edge+0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 82 games
+133 · draftkings
Richie Palacios
Richie Palacios
TBvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.31
Edge0%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.42 across 57 games
-122 · draftkings
Yandy Diaz
TB @ KCBatterHits
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Yandy Diaz
TB @ KCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line2.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Daikin Park39 leansFinal · graded

MIN@HOU

Minnesota Twins at Houston Astros

first pitch
8:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Taj Bradley
probable · awayTaj Bradley
MIN
Tatsuya Imai
probable · homeTatsuya Imai
HOU
Strikeouts
Tatsuya Imai
Tatsuya Imai
HOUvsMINPitcherStrikeouts
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER6.5
Projection6.41
Edge+3.1%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.3 K across 11 starts
+118 · draftkings
Taj Bradley
Taj Bradley
MINvsHOUPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
OVER5.5
Projection6.03
Edge+0.7%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 6.1 K across 15 starts
-145 · draftkings
Tatsuya Imai
Tatsuya Imai
HOUvsMINPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
OVER5.5
Projection6.41
Edge+0.4%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.3 K across 11 starts
-148 · fanduel
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Ryan Kreidler
Ryan Kreidler
MINvsHOUBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.01
Edge+19.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 40 games
-113 · draftkings
Isaac Paredes
Isaac Paredes
HOUvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.24
Edge+18.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 81 games
+119 · draftkings
Isaac Paredes
Isaac Paredes
HOUvsMINBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.1
Edge+15.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 81 games
-152 · draftkings
Brooks Lee
Brooks Lee
MINvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.36
Edge+14.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.02 across 81 games
-108 · draftkings
Josh Bell
Josh Bell
MINvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.01
Edge+12.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.02 across 84 games
+110 · draftkings
Trevor Larnach
Trevor Larnach
MINvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.05
Edge+12.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 71 games
+108 · draftkings
Brooks Lee
Brooks Lee
MINvsHOUBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.17
Edge+10.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 81 games
-203 · draftkings
Royce Lewis
Royce Lewis
MINvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.72
Edge+10.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 53 games
+120 · draftkings
Yainer Diaz
Yainer Diaz
HOUvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.8
Edge+10%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 35 games
+111 · draftkings
Victor Caratini
Victor Caratini
MINvsHOUBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge+9.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 63 games
-157 · draftkings
Trevor Larnach
Trevor Larnach
MINvsHOUBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.04
Edge+9.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 71 games
-162 · draftkings
Taylor Trammell
Taylor Trammell
HOUvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.34
Edge+9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.39 across 36 games
-153 · draftkings
Royce Lewis
Royce Lewis
MINvsHOUBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.94
Edge+9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 53 games
-155 · draftkings
Yainer Diaz
Yainer Diaz
HOUvsMINBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.99
Edge+7.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 35 games
-177 · draftkings
Kody Clemens
Kody Clemens
MINvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.94
Edge+7.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 72 games
-106 · draftkings
Cam Smith
Cam Smith
HOUvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.68
Edge+7.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 84 games
+114 · draftkings
Tristan Gray
Tristan Gray
MINvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.15
Edge+5.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.49 across 53 games
-139 · draftkings
Joey Loperfido
Joey Loperfido
HOUvsMINBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.43
Edge+4.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.55 across 38 games
+104 · draftkings
Christian Walker
Christian Walker
HOUvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.79
Edge+3.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.08 across 86 games
-105 · draftkings
Josh Bell
Josh Bell
MINvsHOUBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.84
Edge+2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 84 games
-168 · draftkings
Tristan Gray
Tristan Gray
MINvsHOUBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.59
Edge+2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 53 games
-107 · draftkings
Ryan Kreidler
Ryan KreidlerModel anomaly
MINvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER0.5
Projection2.3
Edge+22.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.70 across 40 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-142 · draftkings
Victor Caratini
Victor CaratiniModel anomaly
MINvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.24
Edge+20.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.59 across 63 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+125 · draftkings
Jose Altuve
Jose Altuve
HOUvsMINBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.9
Edge−3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 64 games
-219 · draftkings
Nick Allen
Nick Allen
HOUvsMINBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.49
Edge−2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.59 across 29 games
-112 · draftkings
Luke Keaschall
Luke Keaschall
MINvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.31
Edge+2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.63 across 81 games
+134 · draftkings
Cam Smith
Cam Smith
HOUvsMINBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.73
Edge−1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 84 games
-167 · draftkings
Taylor Trammell
Taylor Trammell
HOUvsMINBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.61
Edge+1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 36 games
-114 · draftkings
Luke Keaschall
Luke Keaschall
MINvsHOUBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.67
Edge−1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 81 games
-148 · draftkings
Yordan Alvarez
Yordan Alvarez
HOUvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection2.21
Edge+1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.51 across 86 games
-151 · draftkings
Nick Allen
Nick Allen
HOUvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.9
Edge−1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 29 games
-152 · draftkings
Christian Walker
Christian Walker
HOUvsMINBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.9
Edge+0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 86 games
-189 · draftkings
Jose Altuve
Jose Altuve
HOUvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.66
Edge−0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.81 across 64 games
-117 · draftkings
Joey Loperfido
Joey Loperfido
HOUvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.04
Edge−0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.18 across 38 games
-177 · draftkings
Yordan Alvarez
Yordan Alvarez
HOUvsMINBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.91
Edge−0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.13 across 86 games
+188 · draftkings
Kody Clemens
Kody Clemens
MINvsHOUBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.84
Edge−0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 72 games
-194 · draftkings
American Family Field39 leansFinal · graded

CIN@MIL

Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers

first pitch
8:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Andrew Abbott
probable · awayAndrew Abbott
CIN
Shane Drohan
probable · homeShane Drohan
MIL
Strikeouts
Shane Drohan
Shane Drohan
MILvsCINPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER5.5
Projection4.21
Edge+18.6%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.2 K across 16 starts
-140 · draftkings
Andrew Abbott
Andrew Abbott
CINvsMILPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER4.5
Projection4.97
Edge+17.9%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.1 K across 17 starts
+129 · draftkings
Shane Drohan
Shane Drohan
MILvsCINPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER4.5
Projection4.21
Edge+15.9%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.2 K across 16 starts
+146 · fanduel
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Sal Stewart
Sal Stewart
CINvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.66
Edge+14.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.10
  • SeasonSeason average 2.21 across 84 games
-119 · draftkings
Spencer Steer
Spencer Steer
CINvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.89
Edge+11.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 79 games
+111 · draftkings
Tyler Stephenson
Tyler Stephenson
CINvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.68
Edge+10.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.37 across 63 games
+128 · draftkings
Edwin Arroyo
Edwin Arroyo
CINvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.64
Edge+9.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.48 across 21 games
+128 · draftkings
Tyler Stephenson
Tyler Stephenson
CINvsMILBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge+7.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 63 games
-142 · draftkings
Edwin Arroyo
Edwin Arroyo
CINvsMILBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.93
Edge+7.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 21 games
-152 · draftkings
Sal Stewart
Sal Stewart
CINvsMILBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.14
Edge+6.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 84 games
-218 · draftkings
Brice Turang
Brice Turang
MILvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.03
Edge+6.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.35 across 79 games
-117 · draftkings
Cooper Pratt
Cooper Pratt
MILvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.94
Edge+6.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 13 games
-146 · draftkings
Elly De La Cruz
Elly De La Cruz
CINvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.03
Edge+6.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.37 across 65 games
-115 · draftkings
William Contreras
William Contreras
MILvsCINBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.22
Edge+6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 79 games
+199 · draftkings
Sal Frelick
Sal Frelick
MILvsCINBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.95
Edge+4.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 76 games
-191 · draftkings
William Contreras
William Contreras
MILvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.48
Edge+4.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.37 across 79 games
-157 · draftkings
Sal Frelick
Sal Frelick
MILvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.7
Edge+4.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.61 across 76 games
-103 · draftkings
Brice Turang
Brice Turang
MILvsCINBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1
Edge+3.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 79 games
-207 · draftkings
Blake Perkins
Blake Perkins
MILvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.24
Edge−3.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 41 games
-158 · draftkings
Matt McLain
Matt McLain
CINvsMILBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.49
Edge−2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 74 games
-114 · draftkings
Christian Yelich
Christian Yelich
MILvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.73
Edge−2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.25 across 51 games
-132 · draftkings
Jackson Chourio
Jackson Chourio
MILvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER2.5
Projection2.42
Edge+2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.63 across 49 games
+114 · draftkings
Christian Yelich
Christian Yelich
MILvsCINBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.8
Edge+1.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 51 games
+172 · draftkings
Cooper Pratt
Cooper Pratt
MILvsCINBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.56
Edge+1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 13 games
+118 · draftkings
Noelvi Marte
Noelvi Marte
CINvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.3
Edge−1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.19 across 31 games
+124 · draftkings
Matt McLain
Matt McLain
CINvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge−1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.45 across 74 games
-158 · draftkings
Noelvi Marte
Noelvi Marte
CINvsMILBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.61
Edge−1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 31 games
+118 · draftkings
Joey Ortiz
Joey Ortiz
MILvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.32
Edge+1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.23 across 60 games
+128 · draftkings
Elly De La Cruz
Elly De La Cruz
CINvsMILBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.94
Edge+0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 65 games
-211 · draftkings
Joey Ortiz
Joey Ortiz
MILvsCINBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.65
Edge−0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 60 games
-137 · draftkings
Spencer Steer
Spencer Steer
CINvsMILBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.77
Edge−0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 79 games
-171 · draftkings
Jackson Chourio
Jackson Chourio
MILvsCINBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.18
Edge−0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.27 across 49 games
+164 · draftkings
Blake Perkins
Blake Perkins
MILvsCINBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.57
Edge−0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.34 across 41 games
+113 · draftkings
JJ Bleday
JJ Bleday
CINvsMILBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.63
Edge+0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 56 games
+128 · draftkings
JJ Bleday
JJ Bleday
CINvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.42
Edge+0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.04 across 56 games
+106 · draftkings
Gary Sanchez
CIN @ MILBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Eugenio Suarez
CIN @ MILBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Gary Sanchez
CIN @ MILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Eugenio Suarez
CIN @ MILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Coors Field39 leansFinal · graded

MIA@COL

Miami Marlins at Colorado Rockies

first pitch
8:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Max Meyer
probable · awayMax Meyer
MIA
Kyle Freeland
probable · homeKyle Freeland
COL
Strikeouts
Max Meyer
Max Meyer
MIAvsCOLPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER5.5
Projection6.68
Edge+15.7%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 6.3 K across 17 starts
-158 · fanduel
Kyle Freeland
Kyle Freeland
COLvsMIAPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER3.5
Projection4.76
Edge+14.1%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.1 K across 15 starts
-153 · draftkings
Max Meyer
Max Meyer
MIAvsCOLPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER6.5
Projection6.68
Edge+7.8%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 6.3 K across 17 starts
+114 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Jakob Marsee
Jakob Marsee
MIAvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER2.5
Projection1.16
Edge+18.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.42 across 83 games
-166 · draftkings
Jakob Marsee
Jakob Marsee
MIAvsCOLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.54
Edge+17.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 83 games
-231 · draftkings
TJ Rumfield
TJ Rumfield
COLvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.32
Edge+13.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.04 across 83 games
-119 · draftkings
Esteury Ruiz
Esteury Ruiz
MIAvsCOLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.67
Edge+12.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.54 across 39 games
-244 · draftkings
Jake McCarthy
Jake McCarthy
COLvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.62
Edge+11.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.04 across 67 games
-147 · draftkings
TJ Rumfield
TJ Rumfield
COLvsMIABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.27
Edge+10.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 83 games
-228 · draftkings
Mickey Moniak
Mickey Moniak
COLvsMIABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.59
Edge+10.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 51 games
+178 · draftkings
Kyle Karros
Kyle Karros
COLvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.88
Edge+8.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 79 games
-101 · draftkings
Cole Carrigg
Cole Carrigg
COLvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.08
Edge+7.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.16 across 19 games
-115 · draftkings
Esteury Ruiz
Esteury Ruiz
MIAvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1.47
Edge+5.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.23 across 39 games
+123 · draftkings
Jake McCarthy
Jake McCarthy
COLvsMIABatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.27
Edge+4.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 67 games
+188 · draftkings
Willi Castro
Willi Castro
COLvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.79
Edge+3.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 71 games
-107 · draftkings
Otto Lopez
Otto Lopez
MIAvsCOLBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1.31
Edge+3.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.32 across 84 games
-119 · draftkings
Kyle Stowers
Kyle Stowers
MIAvsCOLBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.99
Edge+3.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 62 games
-202 · draftkings
Hunter Goodman
Hunter Goodman
COLvsMIABatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge+2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 80 games
+199 · draftkings
Ezequiel Tovar
Ezequiel Tovar
COLvsMIABatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.67
Edge−2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 78 games
+124 · draftkings
Kyle Karros
Kyle Karros
COLvsMIABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.88
Edge+2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 79 games
-184 · draftkings
Liam Hicks
Liam Hicks
MIAvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER2.5
Projection2.56
Edge+2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.23 across 74 games
+105 · draftkings
Hunter Goodman
Hunter Goodman
COLvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection2.29
Edge+2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.19 across 80 games
-149 · draftkings
Willi Castro
Willi Castro
COLvsMIABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.94
Edge+1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 71 games
-197 · draftkings
Mickey Moniak
Mickey Moniak
COLvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.43
Edge+1.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.96 across 51 games
+102 · draftkings
Javier Sanoja
Javier Sanoja
MIAvsCOLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.13
Edge−1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 61 games
-187 · draftkings
Xavier Edwards
Xavier Edwards
MIAvsCOLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.36
Edge−1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.13 across 85 games
-137 · draftkings
Kyle Stowers
Kyle Stowers
MIAvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER2.5
Projection2.2
Edge−1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 62 games
-131 · draftkings
Ezequiel Tovar
Ezequiel Tovar
COLvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.36
Edge−1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.41 across 78 games
+108 · draftkings
Joe Mack
Joe Mack
MIAvsCOLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.73
Edge+1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 43 games
+163 · draftkings
Otto Lopez
Otto Lopez
MIAvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER2.5
Projection2.5
Edge−1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.39 across 84 games
-105 · draftkings
Liam Hicks
Liam Hicks
MIAvsCOLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.28
Edge−0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 74 games
+141 · draftkings
Xavier Edwards
Xavier Edwards
MIAvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER2.5
Projection2.27
Edge+0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.05 across 85 games
-120 · draftkings
Troy Johnston
Troy Johnston
COLvsMIABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.81
Edge+0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 77 games
-171 · draftkings
Javier Sanoja
Javier Sanoja
MIAvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER2.5
Projection2.3
Edge−0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.70 across 61 games
+112 · draftkings
Cole Carrigg
Cole Carrigg
COLvsMIABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.95
Edge+0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 19 games
-230 · draftkings
Joe Mack
Joe Mack
MIAvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.77
Edge−0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.74 across 43 games
-125 · draftkings
Troy Johnston
Troy Johnston
COLvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.4
Edge−0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 77 games
+109 · draftkings
Heriberto Hernandez
MIA @ COLBatterHits
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Heriberto Hernandez
MIA @ COLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line2.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Sutter Health Park35 leansFinal · graded

LAD@ATH

Los Angeles Dodgers at Athletics

first pitch
9:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
probable · awayTBD
LAD
J.T. Ginn
probable · homeJ.T. Ginn
ATH
Strikeouts
JT Ginn
LAD @ ATHPitcherStrikeouts
Sample too small
Line4.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Alika Williams
Alika Williams
ATHvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.69
Edge+14.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 22 games
-170 · draftkings
Alika Williams
Alika Williams
ATHvsLADBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.95
Edge+12.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 22 games
-135 · draftkings
Colby Thomas
Colby Thomas
ATHvsLADBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.52
Edge+5.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.54 across 35 games
+131 · draftkings
Nick Kurtz
Nick Kurtz
ATHvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.12
Edge+4.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.45 across 85 games
-129 · draftkings
Jonah Heim
Jonah Heim
ATHvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.67
Edge+3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 42 games
-101 · draftkings
Freddie Freeman
Freddie Freeman
LADvsATHBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.35
Edge+2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 83 games
+147 · draftkings
Mookie Betts
Mookie Betts
LADvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER2.5
Projection2.52
Edge+2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.14 across 51 games
+110 · draftkings
Freddie Freeman
Freddie Freeman
LADvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER2.5
Projection2.63
Edge+2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.25 across 83 games
-101 · draftkings
Dalton Rushing
Dalton Rushing
LADvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.52
Edge−3.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.74 across 50 games
-115 · draftkings
Andy Pages
Andy Pages
LADvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.08
Edge−2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 85 games
+179 · draftkings
Kyle Tucker
Kyle Tucker
LADvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.84
Edge−2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 80 games
+167 · draftkings
Max Muncy
Max Muncy
ATHvsLADBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.94
Edge−2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 78 games
-230 · draftkings
Shohei Ohtani
Shohei Ohtani
LADvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER2.5
Projection2.72
Edge−2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.54 across 78 games
-129 · draftkings
Shea Langeliers
Shea Langeliers
ATHvsLADBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge−1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 78 games
-221 · draftkings
Shohei Ohtani
Shohei Ohtani
LADvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.16
Edge−1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.13 across 78 games
-196 · draftkings
Mookie Betts
Mookie Betts
LADvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.24
Edge+1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 51 games
+163 · draftkings
Jeff McNeil
Jeff McNeil
ATHvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.3
Edge+1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.31 across 78 games
+128 · draftkings
Andy Pages
Andy Pages
LADvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER2.5
Projection2.34
Edge+1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.38 across 85 games
+117 · draftkings
Colby Thomas
Colby Thomas
ATHvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.16
Edge+1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 35 games
-140 · draftkings
Jeff McNeil
Jeff McNeil
ATHvsLADBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.67
Edge−1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 78 games
-144 · draftkings
Henry Bolte
Henry Bolte
ATHvsLADBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.88
Edge−1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 43 games
+195 · draftkings
Lawrence Butler
Lawrence Butler
ATHvsLADBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.59
Edge+0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.58 across 73 games
+122 · draftkings
Alex Freeland
Alex Freeland
LADvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.3
Edge−0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.29 across 62 games
+116 · draftkings
Kyle Tucker
Kyle Tucker
LADvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.86
Edge−0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.01 across 80 games
-138 · draftkings
Dalton Rushing
Dalton Rushing
LADvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.68
Edge+0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 50 games
+139 · draftkings
Max Muncy
Max Muncy
ATHvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection2.16
Edge+0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.01 across 78 games
-150 · draftkings
Nick Kurtz
Nick Kurtz
ATHvsLADBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.85
Edge−0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 85 games
-194 · draftkings
Henry Bolte
Henry Bolte
ATHvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.54
Edge+0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.58 across 43 games
+106 · draftkings
Alex Freeland
Alex Freeland
LADvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.67
Edge+0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 62 games
-136 · draftkings
Lawrence Butler
Lawrence Butler
ATHvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.12
Edge+0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.25 across 73 games
-139 · draftkings
Jonah Heim
Jonah Heim
ATHvsLADBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.67
Edge−0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 42 games
+137 · draftkings
Shea Langeliers
Shea Langeliers
ATHvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.79
Edge0%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.28 across 78 games
-125 · draftkings
Teoscar Hernandez
LAD @ ATHBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Teoscar Hernandez
LAD @ ATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Chase Field38 leansFinal · graded

SF@AZ

San Francisco Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks

first pitch
9:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Trevor McDonald
probable · awayTrevor McDonald
SF
Zac Gallen
probable · homeZac Gallen
AZ
Strikeouts
Zac Gallen
Zac GallenModel anomaly
AZvsSFPitcherStrikeouts
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
UNDER3.5
Projection2.48
Edge+22.6%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.1 K across 17 starts
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-105 · draftkings
Trevor McDonald
Trevor McDonald
SFvsAZPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
OVER3.5
Projection3.49
Edge−0.2%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.5 K across 10 starts
+100 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Pavin Smith
Pavin Smith
AZvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.69
Edge+12.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 23 games
-170 · draftkings
Tommy Troy
Tommy Troy
AZvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.79
Edge+10.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.59 across 29 games
+115 · draftkings
Corbin Carroll
Corbin Carroll
AZvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER2.5
Projection1.56
Edge+7.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.12 across 82 games
-143 · draftkings
Heliot Ramos
Heliot Ramos
SFvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.09
Edge+7.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.87 across 47 games
-121 · draftkings
Corbin Carroll
Corbin Carroll
AZvsSFBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.86
Edge+6.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 82 games
-216 · draftkings
Bryce Eldridge
Bryce Eldridge
SFvsAZBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.73
Edge+5.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 43 games
+189 · draftkings
Luis Arraez
Luis Arraez
SFvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER2.5
Projection2.42
Edge+5.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.25 across 80 games
+133 · draftkings
Drew Gilbert
Drew Gilbert
SFvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1.03
Edge+4.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.16 across 64 games
-143 · draftkings
Nolan Arenado
Nolan Arenado
AZvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.76
Edge+4.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.71 across 80 games
-102 · draftkings
Drew Gilbert
Drew Gilbert
SFvsAZBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.55
Edge+4.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.59 across 64 games
+133 · draftkings
Pavin Smith
Pavin Smith
AZvsSFBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.4
Edge+4.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.39 across 23 games
+100 · draftkings
Bryce Eldridge
Bryce Eldridge
SFvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1.38
Edge+4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 43 games
+107 · draftkings
Ketel Marte
Ketel Marte
AZvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER2.5
Projection2.5
Edge+3.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.30 across 81 games
+117 · draftkings
Tommy Troy
Tommy Troy
AZvsSFBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge+3.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 29 games
-158 · draftkings
Geraldo Perdomo
Geraldo Perdomo
AZvsSFBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.87
Edge+3.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 82 games
-268 · draftkings
Jung Hoo Lee
Jung Hoo Lee
SFvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.91
Edge−3.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.13 across 77 games
-159 · draftkings
Geraldo Perdomo
Geraldo Perdomo
AZvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.79
Edge−2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 82 games
+119 · draftkings
Jung Hoo Lee
Jung Hoo Lee
SFvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1
Edge−2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.19 across 77 games
-224 · draftkings
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
AZvsSFBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.88
Edge−2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 36 games
-233 · draftkings
Rafael Devers
Rafael Devers
SFvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge−2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 85 games
+176 · draftkings
Gabriel Moreno
Gabriel Moreno
AZvsSFBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.07
Edge+2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 58 games
-247 · draftkings
Ketel Marte
Ketel Marte
AZvsSFBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.13
Edge−1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 81 games
+172 · draftkings
Heliot Ramos
Heliot Ramos
SFvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.99
Edge+1.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 47 games
-236 · draftkings
Casey Schmitt
Casey Schmitt
SFvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.12
Edge+1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.13 across 76 games
+189 · draftkings
Luis Arraez
Luis Arraez
SFvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.36
Edge+1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.31 across 80 games
+132 · draftkings
Jonah Cox
Jonah Cox
SFvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.05
Edge−1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 13 games
-165 · draftkings
Casey Schmitt
Casey Schmitt
SFvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection2.09
Edge+0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.18 across 76 games
-144 · draftkings
Gabriel Moreno
Gabriel Moreno
AZvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.9
Edge+0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 58 games
-138 · draftkings
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
AZvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.72
Edge−0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 36 games
-127 · draftkings
Nolan Arenado
Nolan Arenado
AZvsSFBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge+0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 80 games
-193 · draftkings
Jonah Cox
Jonah Cox
SFvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.57
Edge−0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.54 across 13 games
+112 · draftkings
Rafael Devers
Rafael Devers
SFvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.95
Edge+0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 85 games
-141 · draftkings
Max Kepler
Max Kepler
AZvsSFBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (4 games of log data)
— · draftkings
Drew Cavanaugh
Drew Cavanaugh
SFvsAZBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (4 games of log data)
— · draftkings
Max Kepler
Max Kepler
AZvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (4 games of log data)
— · draftkings
Drew Cavanaugh
Drew Cavanaugh
SFvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (4 games of log data)
— · draftkings
Open MLB model audit · partial →
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HR markets are high-variance and rated on a separate power-profile scale (barrel + park + matchup), not the standard High / Medium / Low tiers used here.

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