14 MLB games · 402 model-vs-market reads
Projections for pitcher strikeouts and batter markets only. Home runs live on Homer Nukes because the variance profile is different.
Market context, not picks. Calibration notice (audit 2026-07-21): across 18,659 settled leans, none of these markets' model probabilities out-predict the market on Brier or log loss — the model is overconfident (its high-confidence reads under-perform). Treat the model number as a market-anchored research signal, not a proven advantage; the market price is the better probability. Paper / review / educational only — never a bet. Total bases is disabled for prediction and is not listed here; its settled history stays on Results.
Oriole Park at Camden Yards0 leans
CWS@BAL

Chicago White Sox at Baltimore Orioles
first pitch12:35 PM ET
CWS@BAL
Chicago White Sox at Baltimore Orioles
Game details · probable pitchers
Progressive Field0 leans
TEX@CLE

Texas Rangers at Cleveland Guardians
first pitch1:10 PM ET
TEX@CLE
Texas Rangers at Cleveland Guardians
Game details · probable pitchers
Fenway Park8 leansFinal · graded
WSH@BOS

Washington Nationals at Boston Red Sox
first pitch1:35 PM ET
WSH@BOS
Washington Nationals at Boston Red Sox
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.95 across 83 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 72 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 37 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.94 across 79 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.13 across 82 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 88 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 34 games
- Sampletoo small to project (3 games of log data)
Yankee Stadium25 leansFinal · graded
DET@NYY

Detroit Tigers at New York Yankees
first pitch1:35 PM ET
DET@NYY
Detroit Tigers at New York Yankees
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.55 across 86 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 42 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 60 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.62 across 37 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.65 across 48 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 86 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 37 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 86 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 48 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.58 across 60 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.48 across 25 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.40 across 42 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.98 across 86 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 25 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.06 across 84 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 84 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.70 across 82 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.37 across 81 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 82 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (3 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (3 games of log data)
Wrigley Field32 leansFinal · graded
SD@CHC

San Diego Padres at Chicago Cubs
first pitch2:20 PM ET
SD@CHC
San Diego Padres at Chicago Cubs
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.7 K across 18 starts
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 86 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 85 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 85 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 83 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.62 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.78 across 85 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 87 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.21 across 24 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 4.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.99 across 82 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.27 across 45 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 82 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.47 across 34 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 34 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.54 across 24 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.63 across 81 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 85 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.58 across 45 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.93 across 84 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 86 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.72 across 83 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 57 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 82 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 81 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 57 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.23 across 87 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Rogers Centre35 leansFinal · graded
NYM@TOR

New York Mets at Toronto Blue Jays
first pitch3:07 PM ET
NYM@TOR
New York Mets at Toronto Blue Jays
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.2 K across 17 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.04 across 82 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 18 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.72 across 46 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 82 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 46 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.69 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 40 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.33 across 18 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.13 across 83 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.66 across 29 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.61 across 51 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.50 across 40 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 40 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.49 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.92 across 83 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 55 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 67 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 29 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.96 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.32 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.35 across 40 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.21 across 67 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 86 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.06 across 86 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 51 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (2 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (2 games of log data)
Citizens Bank Park40 leansFinal · graded
PIT@PHI

Pittsburgh Pirates at Philadelphia Phillies
first pitch6:40 PM ET
PIT@PHI
Pittsburgh Pirates at Philadelphia Phillies
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 6.2 K across 12 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 8.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 6.7 K across 17 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 6.2 K across 12 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 8.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 6.7 K across 17 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.18 across 17 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.35 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.99 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.27 across 85 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 17 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.59 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.30 across 82 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.17 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.29 across 86 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.74 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.06 across 54 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.36 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.08 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.49 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.30 across 79 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 85 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 82 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.67 across 21 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 54 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 86 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 79 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.32 across 81 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 12 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 21 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.67 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 59 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.42 across 12 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 81 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Truist Park36 leansFinal · graded
STL@ATL

St. Louis Cardinals at Atlanta Braves
first pitch7:15 PM ET
STL@ATL
St. Louis Cardinals at Atlanta Braves
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.6 K across 16 starts
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.81 across 74 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 60 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 21 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 21 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.35 across 60 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 74 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.23 across 74 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 74 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 15 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 77 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.44 across 18 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.12 across 77 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.22 across 83 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 83 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.35 across 83 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.57 across 69 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 83 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 18 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 83 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 77 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.10 across 77 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.30 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.59 across 83 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.44 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 15 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Kauffman Stadium36 leansFinal · graded
TB@KC

Tampa Bay Rays at Kansas City Royals
first pitch7:40 PM ET
TB@KC
Tampa Bay Rays at Kansas City Royals
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 1.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.3 K across 16 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.9 K across 15 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.57 across 21 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.66 across 76 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.38 across 21 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 4.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.39 across 82 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.59 across 49 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 79 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 43 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.51 across 43 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.22 across 68 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.15 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.49 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.52 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.47 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 79 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 49 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 70 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 76 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 16 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.15 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.44 across 16 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 35 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.23 across 35 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.30 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 57 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 82 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.42 across 57 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Daikin Park39 leansFinal · graded
MIN@HOU

Minnesota Twins at Houston Astros
first pitch8:10 PM ET
MIN@HOU
Minnesota Twins at Houston Astros
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.3 K across 11 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 6.1 K across 15 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 5.3 K across 11 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 40 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.02 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.02 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 53 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.80 across 35 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 63 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.39 across 36 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 53 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 35 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 72 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.49 across 53 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.55 across 38 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.08 across 86 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 53 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.70 across 40 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.59 across 63 games
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 64 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.59 across 29 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.63 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 36 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.51 across 86 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 29 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 86 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.81 across 64 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.18 across 38 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.13 across 86 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 72 games
American Family Field39 leansFinal · graded
CIN@MIL

Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers
first pitch8:10 PM ET
CIN@MIL
Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.2 K across 16 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.1 K across 17 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.2 K across 16 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.10
- SeasonSeason average 2.21 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 79 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.37 across 63 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.48 across 21 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 63 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 21 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.35 across 79 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 13 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.37 across 65 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 79 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 76 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.37 across 79 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.61 across 76 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 79 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 41 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 74 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.25 across 51 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.63 across 49 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 51 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 13 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.19 across 31 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.45 across 74 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 31 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.23 across 60 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 65 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 60 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 79 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.27 across 49 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.34 across 41 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 56 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.04 across 56 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Coors Field39 leansFinal · graded
MIA@COL

Miami Marlins at Colorado Rockies
first pitch8:40 PM ET
MIA@COL
Miami Marlins at Colorado Rockies
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 6.3 K across 17 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.3 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.1 K across 15 starts
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 6.3 K across 17 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.42 across 83 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 83 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.04 across 83 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.54 across 39 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.20
- SeasonSeason average 2.04 across 67 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 83 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 51 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 79 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.16 across 19 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.23 across 39 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.04 across 67 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.32 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 79 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.23 across 74 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
- SeasonSeason average 2.19 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.99 across 71 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.96 across 51 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.13 across 85 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.41 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 43 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.39 across 84 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 74 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
- SeasonSeason average 2.05 across 85 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 77 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.70 across 61 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 19 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.74 across 43 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 77 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Sutter Health Park35 leansFinal · graded
LAD@ATH

Los Angeles Dodgers at Athletics
first pitch9:40 PM ET
LAD@ATH
Los Angeles Dodgers at Athletics
Game details · probable pitchers
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 22 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 22 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.54 across 35 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 2.45 across 85 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 42 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
- SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 83 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.14 across 51 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.25 across 83 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.74 across 50 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 85 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
- SeasonSeason average 2.54 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.13 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 51 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.31 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.38 across 85 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 35 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 43 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.58 across 73 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.29 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.01 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 50 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.01 across 78 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 85 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
- SeasonSeason average 1.58 across 43 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 62 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.25 across 73 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 42 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
- SeasonSeason average 2.28 across 78 games
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
Chase Field38 leansFinal · graded
SF@AZ

San Francisco Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks
first pitch9:40 PM ET
SF@AZ
San Francisco Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks
Game details · probable pitchers
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.0 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 3.1 K across 17 starts
- Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
- Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.7 strikeouts
- SeasonSeason average 4.5 K across 10 starts
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 23 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.59 across 29 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.12 across 82 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
- SeasonSeason average 1.87 across 47 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
- SeasonSeason average 1.01 across 82 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 43 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
- SeasonSeason average 2.25 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.16 across 64 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.71 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
- SeasonSeason average 0.59 across 64 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
- SeasonSeason average 0.39 across 23 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 43 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.30 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 29 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 82 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
- SeasonSeason average 2.13 across 77 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 82 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.19 across 77 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 36 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
- SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 85 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
- SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 81 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
- SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 47 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.13 across 76 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
- SeasonSeason average 1.31 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
- SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 13 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 2.18 across 76 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
- SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 58 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
- SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 36 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
- SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 80 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
- SeasonSeason average 0.54 across 13 games
- Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
- SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 85 games
- Sampletoo small to project (4 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (4 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (4 games of log data)
- Sampletoo small to project (4 games of log data)
Open the MLB Power Board →
HR markets are high-variance and rated on a separate power-profile scale (barrel + park + matchup), not the standard High / Medium / Low tiers used here.
