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338–250 on 588 decisive picks · 57.5%2026-06-09
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MLB model board · 2026-06-09

15 MLB games · 569 model-vs-market reads

Projections for pitcher strikeouts and batter markets only. Home runs live on Homer Nukes because the variance profile is different.

Market context, not picks. Calibration notice (audit 2026-07-21): across 18,659 settled leans, none of these markets' model probabilities out-predict the market on Brier or log loss — the model is overconfident (its high-confidence reads under-perform). Treat the model number as a market-anchored research signal, not a proven advantage; the market price is the better probability. Paper / review / educational only — never a bet. Total bases is disabled for prediction and is not listed here; its settled history stays on Results.

SCHEDULEliveMODEL LEANSavailableUPDATEDJun 9, 12:35 PM ETeducational analytics only
Gap ≥ 5 pp
238
model vs market · context
Gap 2.5–5 pp
60
model vs market · context
Small gap
199
19 anomalies shown separately
Sample too small
53
no projection emitted
Strikeouts12 gap ≥ 5 pp·30 totalHits84 gap ≥ 5 pp·270 totalHits + Runs + RBIs142 gap ≥ 5 pp·269 total
Highest model probabilities · 8 shown
Market context · no model anomalies
Corey Seager
Corey SeagerTEX vs KC
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsUnder 1.5+17.3%
proj 0.54-231 · draftkings
Luis Rengifo
Luis RengifoMIL vs ATH
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsUnder 1.5+13.2%
proj 0.58-269 · draftkings
Shohei Ohtani
Shohei OhtaniLAD vs PIT
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsOver 0.5+17.5%
proj 1.53-209 · draftkings
Moisés Ballesteros
Moisés BallesterosCHC vs COL
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsUnder 1.5+14.2%
proj 0.62-242 · draftkings
Ernie Clement
Ernie ClementTOR vs PHI
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsOver 0.5+13.5%
proj 1.4-223 · draftkings
Kazuma Okamoto
Kazuma OkamotoTOR vs PHI
Gap ≥ 5 pp
Hits + Runs + RBIsOver 0.5+19.9%
proj 2.27-166 · draftkings
Tristan Peters
Tristan PetersCWS vs ATL
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsOver 0.5+19.8%
proj 1.33-166 · draftkings
Ezequiel Tovar
Ezequiel TovarCOL vs CHC
Gap ≥ 5 pp
HitsUnder 1.5+10.1%
proj 0.73-253 · draftkings
Filters · 569 of 569 leans
Market
Gap size
Team
Sort
Density
Oriole Park at Camden Yards38 leansFinal · graded

SEA@BAL

Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles

first pitch
6:35 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Logan Gilbert
probable · awayLogan Gilbert
SEA
Trevor Rogers
probable · homeTrevor Rogers
BAL
Strikeouts
Trevor Rogers
Trevor RogersModel anomaly
BALvsSEAPitcherStrikeouts
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
UNDER4.5
Projection3.14
Edge+33.1%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.7 K across 11 starts
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+112 · draftkings
Logan Gilbert
Logan Gilbert
SEAvsBALPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
UNDER6.5
Projection6.33
Edge−1%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.9 K across 13 starts
-123 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Colton Cowser
Colton Cowser
BALvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.88
Edge+19.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.35 across 54 games
-150 · draftkings
Coby Mayo
Coby Mayo
BALvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection2.04
Edge+19.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.58 across 50 games
-159 · draftkings
Pete Alonso
Pete Alonso
BALvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.34
Edge+12.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.09 across 67 games
-120 · draftkings
Colt Emerson
Colt Emerson
SEAvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.89
Edge+11.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.79 across 19 games
+114 · draftkings
Adley Rutschman
Adley Rutschman
BALvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.44
Edge+11%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.27 across 48 games
-110 · draftkings
Rob Refsnyder
Rob Refsnyder
SEAvsBALBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.34
Edge+10.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.28 across 40 games
+112 · draftkings
Colton Cowser
Colton Cowser
BALvsSEABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.79
Edge+10.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.57 across 54 games
-113 · draftkings
Rob Refsnyder
Rob Refsnyder
SEAvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.84
Edge+10.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 40 games
-154 · draftkings
Victor Robles
Victor Robles
SEAvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.9
Edge+9.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 11 games
-135 · draftkings
Taylor Ward
Taylor Ward
BALvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.03
Edge+9.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 66 games
-110 · draftkings
Josh Naylor
Josh Naylor
SEAvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.22
Edge+8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.94 across 62 games
-120 · draftkings
Cole Young
Cole Young
SEAvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.84
Edge+7.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.78 across 67 games
-102 · draftkings
Cole Young
Cole Young
SEAvsBALBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.05
Edge+6.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 67 games
-209 · draftkings
Samuel Basallo
Samuel Basallo
BALvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.64
Edge+5.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.78 across 55 games
+113 · draftkings
Jackson Holliday
Jackson Holliday
BALvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.42
Edge+5.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.44 across 18 games
-175 · draftkings
Randy Arozarena
Randy Arozarena
SEAvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.13
Edge+4.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 2.16 across 67 games
-132 · draftkings
Mitch Garver
Mitch Garver
SEAvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.49
Edge+4.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.17 across 29 games
+122 · draftkings
Gunnar Henderson
Gunnar Henderson
BALvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.88
Edge+4.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.95 across 66 games
-113 · draftkings
Patrick Wisdom
Patrick Wisdom
SEAvsBALBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.38
Edge+4.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.36 across 11 games
-105 · draftkings
Josh Naylor
Josh Naylor
SEAvsBALBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.12
Edge+3.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 62 games
-239 · draftkings
Coby Mayo
Coby Mayo
BALvsSEABatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.72
Edge+3.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 50 games
-130 · draftkings
Mitch Garver
Mitch Garver
SEAvsBALBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.61
Edge−3.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.52 across 29 games
-141 · draftkings
Pete Alonso
Pete Alonso
BALvsSEABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.01
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 67 games
-235 · draftkings
Leody Taveras
Leody Taveras
BALvsSEABatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.7
Edge−2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 54 games
+133 · draftkings
Leody Taveras
Leody Taveras
BALvsSEABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.44
Edge+1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.69 across 54 games
+114 · draftkings
Colt Emerson
Colt Emerson
SEAvsBALBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.84
Edge+1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 19 games
-162 · draftkings
Taylor Ward
Taylor Ward
BALvsSEABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.03
Edge+1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 66 games
-212 · draftkings
Victor Robles
Victor Robles
SEAvsBALBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.66
Edge+1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 11 games
+138 · draftkings
Randy Arozarena
Randy Arozarena
SEAvsBALBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.09
Edge+1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 67 games
-258 · draftkings
Gunnar Henderson
Gunnar Henderson
BALvsSEABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge+0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 66 games
-210 · draftkings
Samuel Basallo
Samuel Basallo
BALvsSEABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.78
Edge−0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 55 games
-169 · draftkings
Patrick Wisdom
Patrick Wisdom
SEAvsBALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.95
Edge+0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 11 games
-161 · draftkings
Adley Rutschman
Adley Rutschman
BALvsSEABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1
Edge+0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 48 games
-216 · draftkings
Jackson Holliday
Jackson Holliday
BALvsSEABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.66
Edge0%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 18 games
-135 · draftkings
Julio Rodriguez
SEA @ BALBatterHits
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Julio Rodriguez
SEA @ BALBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
PNC Park38 leansFinal · graded

LAD@PIT

Los Angeles Dodgers at Pittsburgh Pirates

first pitch
6:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Eric Lauer
probable · awayEric Lauer
LAD
Paul Skenes
probable · homePaul Skenes
PIT
Strikeouts
Eric Lauer
Eric Lauer
LADvsPITPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER4.5
Projection3.04
Edge+11.7%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.1 K across 10 starts
-158 · draftkings
Paul Skenes
Paul Skenes
PITvsLADPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
UNDER6.5
Projection6.32
Edge−0.3%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 6.3 K across 13 starts
-113 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Shohei Ohtani
Shohei Ohtani
LADvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.94
Edge+17.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.48 across 60 games
-131 · draftkings
Shohei Ohtani
Shohei Ohtani
LADvsPITBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.53
Edge+17.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.17 across 60 games
-209 · draftkings
Freddie Freeman
Freddie Freeman
LADvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.47
Edge+17.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.14 across 63 games
-114 · draftkings
Oneil Cruz
Oneil Cruz
PITvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.43
Edge+15.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.46 across 63 games
-101 · draftkings
Alex Freeland
Alex Freeland
LADvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.41
Edge+13%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.33 across 43 games
-123 · draftkings
Spencer Horwitz
Spencer Horwitz
PITvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.79
Edge+11.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.79 across 61 games
+118 · draftkings
Spencer Horwitz
Spencer Horwitz
PITvsLADBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.01
Edge+10.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 61 games
-161 · draftkings
Dalton Rushing
Dalton Rushing
LADvsPITBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.93
Edge+10.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 34 games
-124 · draftkings
Henry Davis
Henry Davis
PITvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.4
Edge+9.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.21 across 39 games
-147 · draftkings
Bryan Reynolds
Bryan Reynolds
PITvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.18
Edge+9.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.15 across 66 games
-117 · draftkings
Dalton Rushing
Dalton Rushing
LADvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.9
Edge+9.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 34 games
-163 · draftkings
Freddie Freeman
Freddie Freeman
LADvsPITBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.18
Edge+9.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 63 games
-228 · draftkings
Brandon Lowe
Brandon Lowe
PITvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.06
Edge+8.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.32 across 60 games
-102 · draftkings
Ryan Ward
Ryan Ward
LADvsPITBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge+8.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.86
  • SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 7 games
-138 · draftkings
Alex Freeland
Alex Freeland
LADvsPITBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.64
Edge+8.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 43 games
+109 · draftkings
Max Muncy
Max Muncy
LADvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.49
Edge+7.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.78 across 27 games
-175 · draftkings
Kyle Tucker
Kyle Tucker
LADvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.74
Edge+7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.98 across 62 games
+108 · draftkings
Andy Pages
Andy Pages
LADvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.14
Edge+6.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.48 across 65 games
-114 · draftkings
Mookie Betts
Mookie Betts
LADvsPITBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.65
Edge+6.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 31 games
+170 · draftkings
Nick Gonzales
Nick Gonzales
PITvsLADBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.27
Edge+5.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.15 across 60 games
-248 · draftkings
Oneil Cruz
Oneil Cruz
PITvsLADBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.92
Edge+2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 63 games
-177 · draftkings
Ryan Ward
Ryan WardModel anomaly
LADvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER0.5
Projection2.29
Edge+25.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.29
  • SeasonSeason average 2.29 across 7 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-173 · draftkings
Nick Gonzales
Nick GonzalesModel anomaly
PITvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.82
Edge+20.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.23 across 60 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-120 · draftkings
Jared Triolo
Jared Triolo
PITvsLADBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.65
Edge−3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 31 games
+116 · draftkings
Mookie Betts
Mookie Betts
LADvsPITBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.44
Edge−2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 31 games
-117 · draftkings
Jared Triolo
Jared Triolo
PITvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.3
Edge−2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.19 across 31 games
+117 · draftkings
Brandon Lowe
Brandon Lowe
PITvsLADBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.78
Edge−2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 60 games
-185 · draftkings
Jake Mangum
Jake Mangum
PITvsLADBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.01
Edge−2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 41 games
-273 · draftkings
Jake Mangum
Jake Mangum
PITvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.68
Edge−2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.46 across 41 games
-130 · draftkings
Marcell Ozuna
Marcell Ozuna
PITvsLADBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.5
Edge+1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.50 across 48 games
+107 · draftkings
Henry Davis
Henry Davis
PITvsLADBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.42
Edge+1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.44 across 39 games
-111 · draftkings
Max Muncy
Max Muncy
LADvsPITBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.63
Edge+1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 27 games
-122 · draftkings
Andy Pages
Andy Pages
LADvsPITBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.99
Edge−0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 65 games
-232 · draftkings
Bryan Reynolds
Bryan Reynolds
PITvsLADBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge−0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 66 games
+185 · draftkings
Kyle Tucker
Kyle Tucker
LADvsPITBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.79
Edge+0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 62 games
-170 · draftkings
Marcell Ozuna
Marcell Ozuna
PITvsLADBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.76
Edge−0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 48 games
-165 · draftkings
Tropicana Field38 leansFinal · graded

BOS@TB

Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays

first pitch
6:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Payton Tolle
probable · awayPayton Tolle
BOS
Nick Martinez
probable · homeNick Martinez
TB
Strikeouts
Nick Martinez
Nick Martinez
TBvsBOSPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER3.5
Projection2.86
Edge+11.2%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.5 K across 12 starts
-119 · draftkings
Payton Tolle
Payton TolleModel anomaly
BOSvsTBPitcherStrikeouts
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER5.5
Projection6.72
Edge+22.6%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 6.4 K across 8 starts
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+121 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Junior Caminero
Junior Caminero
TBvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.34
Edge+13.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.17 across 63 games
-112 · draftkings
Marcelo Mayer
Marcelo Mayer
BOSvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.46
Edge+13.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.21 across 56 games
-168 · draftkings
Mickey Gasper
Mickey Gasper
BOSvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.72
Edge+12.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 22 games
+126 · draftkings
Jonathan Aranda
Jonathan Aranda
TBvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.86
Edge+11.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.22 across 63 games
+119 · draftkings
Junior Caminero
Junior Caminero
TBvsBOSBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.17
Edge+11.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 63 games
-206 · draftkings
Nick Fortes
Nick Fortes
TBvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.11
Edge+9.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.22 across 49 games
-148 · draftkings
Caleb Durbin
Caleb Durbin
BOSvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.72
Edge+9.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.34 across 56 games
+117 · draftkings
Willson Contreras
Willson Contreras
BOSvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.18
Edge+8.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.16 across 61 games
-118 · draftkings
Wilyer Abreu
Wilyer Abreu
BOSvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.99
Edge+8.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.98 across 63 games
-112 · draftkings
Ceddanne Rafaela
Ceddanne Rafaela
BOSvsTBBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.23
Edge+7.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 59 games
-259 · draftkings
Ryan Vilade
Ryan Vilade
TBvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.63
Edge+7.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.57 across 37 games
-176 · draftkings
Mickey Gasper
Mickey Gasper
BOSvsTBBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.93
Edge+6.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 22 games
-168 · draftkings
Cedric Mullins
Cedric Mullins
TBvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.27
Edge+6.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.35 across 55 games
-162 · draftkings
Jarren Duran
Jarren Duran
BOSvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.97
Edge+5.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.95 across 59 games
-116 · draftkings
Ceddanne Rafaela
Ceddanne Rafaela
BOSvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.94
Edge+5.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 59 games
-119 · draftkings
Willson Contreras
Willson Contreras
BOSvsTBBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.12
Edge+4.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 61 games
-230 · draftkings
Taylor Walls
Taylor Walls
TBvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.11
Edge+3.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.42 across 45 games
-168 · draftkings
Ryan Vilade
Ryan Vilade
TBvsBOSBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.76
Edge+2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 37 games
-141 · draftkings
Taylor Walls
Taylor Walls
TBvsBOSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.57
Edge−3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 45 games
-129 · draftkings
Cedric Mullins
Cedric Mullins
TBvsBOSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.57
Edge−1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 55 games
-123 · draftkings
Caleb Durbin
Caleb Durbin
BOSvsTBBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge+1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 56 games
-182 · draftkings
Ben Williamson
Ben Williamson
TBvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.34
Edge+1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.58 across 45 games
+124 · draftkings
Masataka Yoshida
Masataka Yoshida
BOSvsTBBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.69
Edge+1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 44 games
+154 · draftkings
Jarren Duran
Jarren Duran
BOSvsTBBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge−1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 59 games
+167 · draftkings
Nick Fortes
Nick Fortes
TBvsBOSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.62
Edge+1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 49 games
-120 · draftkings
Jonathan Aranda
Jonathan Aranda
TBvsBOSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge+0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 63 games
-169 · draftkings
Austin Slater
Austin Slater
TBvsBOSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.94
Edge+0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 22 games
-176 · draftkings
Wilyer Abreu
Wilyer Abreu
BOSvsTBBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.99
Edge+0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.08 across 63 games
-230 · draftkings
Austin Slater
Austin Slater
TBvsBOSBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.53
Edge−0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.45 across 22 games
+105 · draftkings
Ben Williamson
Ben Williamson
TBvsBOSBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.63
Edge−0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 45 games
+127 · draftkings
Masataka Yoshida
Masataka Yoshida
BOSvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.46
Edge−0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.23 across 44 games
+104 · draftkings
Marcelo Mayer
Marcelo Mayer
BOSvsTBBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.68
Edge+0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.66 across 56 games
-140 · draftkings
Yandy Diaz
BOS @ TBBatterHits
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Anthony Seigler
Anthony Seigler
BOSvsTBBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (2 games of log data)
— · draftkings
Yandy Diaz
BOS @ TBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Anthony Seigler
Anthony Seigler
BOSvsTBBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (2 games of log data)
— · draftkings
Comerica Park38 leansFinal · graded

MIN@DET

Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers

first pitch
6:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Taj Bradley
probable · awayTaj Bradley
MIN
Troy Melton
probable · homeTroy Melton
DET
Strikeouts
Troy Melton
Troy Melton
DETvsMINPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER3.5
Projection3
Edge+18.8%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.0 K across 3 starts
+131 · draftkings
Taj Bradley
Taj Bradley
MINvsDETPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER5.5
Projection6.16
Edge+7.8%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 6.4 K across 11 starts
-119 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Tristan Gray
Tristan Gray
MINvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection2.12
Edge+18.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.74 across 39 games
-148 · draftkings
Tristan Gray
Tristan Gray
MINvsDETBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge+10.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 39 games
-117 · draftkings
Riley Greene
Riley Greene
DETvsMINBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.15
Edge+10.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 66 games
-192 · draftkings
Dillon Dingler
Dillon Dingler
DETvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.54
Edge+9.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.08 across 59 games
-132 · draftkings
Gleyber Torres
Gleyber Torres
DETvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.1
Edge+9.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 37 games
-107 · draftkings
Kody Clemens
Kody Clemens
MINvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.12
Edge+9.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.74 across 53 games
-114 · draftkings
Kevin McGonigle
Kevin McGonigle
DETvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.11
Edge+9.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 2.11 across 63 games
-119 · draftkings
Josh Bell
Josh Bell
MINvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.08
Edge+9.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 64 games
-109 · draftkings
Luke Keaschall
Luke Keaschall
MINvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.67
Edge+7.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.65 across 62 games
+110 · draftkings
Trevor Larnach
Trevor Larnach
MINvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.61
Edge+6.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.63 across 54 games
+119 · draftkings
Riley Greene
Riley Greene
DETvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.97
Edge+6.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.05 across 66 games
-113 · draftkings
Austin Martin
Austin Martin
MINvsDETBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.61
Edge+6.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 56 games
+161 · draftkings
Colt Keith
Colt Keith
DETvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.93
Edge+6.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.27 across 60 games
-159 · draftkings
Kevin McGonigle
Kevin McGonigle
DETvsMINBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.1
Edge+6.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 63 games
-227 · draftkings
Gleyber Torres
Gleyber Torres
DETvsMINBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.1
Edge+5.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 37 games
-202 · draftkings
Victor Caratini
Victor Caratini
MINvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.58
Edge+5.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.35 across 48 games
+115 · draftkings
Spencer Torkelson
Spencer Torkelson
DETvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.52
Edge+4.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.43 across 65 games
+117 · draftkings
Kody Clemens
Kody Clemens
MINvsDETBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.03
Edge+4.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 53 games
-224 · draftkings
Brooks Lee
Brooks Lee
MINvsDETBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.74
Edge+3.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 62 games
+185 · draftkings
Byron Buxton
Byron Buxton
MINvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.9
Edge−3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.31 across 55 games
-152 · draftkings
Kerry Carpenter
Kerry Carpenter
DETvsMINBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.73
Edge−3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 43 games
-175 · draftkings
Kerry Carpenter
Kerry Carpenter
DETvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.48
Edge−2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.47 across 43 games
-109 · draftkings
Brooks Lee
Brooks Lee
MINvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.8
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 62 games
-116 · draftkings
Josh Bell
Josh Bell
MINvsDETBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.91
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.81 across 64 games
-195 · draftkings
Luke Keaschall
Luke Keaschall
MINvsDETBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.88
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 62 games
-185 · draftkings
Dillon Dingler
Dillon Dingler
DETvsMINBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.92
Edge−2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 59 games
+177 · draftkings
Victor Caratini
Victor Caratini
MINvsDETBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge+2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 48 games
-171 · draftkings
Matt Vierling
Matt Vierling
DETvsMINBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.66
Edge−1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 49 games
+126 · draftkings
Trevor Larnach
Trevor Larnach
MINvsDETBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.74
Edge−1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 54 games
-165 · draftkings
Spencer Torkelson
Spencer Torkelson
DETvsMINBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.75
Edge+1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.71 across 65 games
-153 · draftkings
Byron Buxton
Byron Buxton
MINvsDETBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection0.93
Edge+1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 55 games
-254 · draftkings
Matt Vierling
Matt Vierling
DETvsMINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.36
Edge−0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.51 across 49 games
+111 · draftkings
Austin Martin
Austin Martin
MINvsDETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.27
Edge−0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.54 across 56 games
-129 · draftkings
Colt Keith
Colt Keith
DETvsMINBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.59
Edge+0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 60 games
+119 · draftkings
Wenceel Perez
MIN @ DETBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Wenceel Perez
MIN @ DETBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
loanDepot park38 leansFinal · graded

AZ@MIA

Arizona Diamondbacks at Miami Marlins

first pitch
6:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Zac Gallen
probable · awayZac Gallen
AZ
Max Meyer
probable · homeMax Meyer
MIA
Strikeouts
Max Meyer
Max MeyerModel anomaly
MIAvsAZPitcherStrikeouts
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER5.5
Projection6.65
Edge+22.1%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 7.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 6.2 K across 13 starts
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-119 · draftkings
Zac Gallen
Zac GallenModel anomaly
AZvsMIAPitcherStrikeouts
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
UNDER4.5
Projection3.14
Edge+20.6%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.3 K across 13 starts
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-148 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Otto Lopez
Otto Lopez
MIAvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.4
Edge+10.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.29 across 65 games
-145 · draftkings
Otto Lopez
Otto Lopez
MIAvsAZBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.41
Edge+10.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.32 across 65 games
+180 · draftkings
Joe Mack
Joe Mack
MIAvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.52
Edge+9.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.44 across 27 games
-172 · draftkings
Tommy Troy
Tommy Troy
AZvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.37
Edge+9.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.54 across 13 games
-168 · draftkings
Geraldo Perdomo
Geraldo Perdomo
AZvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.66
Edge+8.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.61 across 62 games
+121 · draftkings
Geraldo Perdomo
Geraldo Perdomo
AZvsMIABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.96
Edge+7.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 62 games
-162 · draftkings
Owen Caissie
Owen Caissie
MIAvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.53
Edge+7.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.46 across 56 games
+131 · draftkings
Gabriel Moreno
Gabriel Moreno
AZvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.94
Edge+7.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 41 games
-106 · draftkings
Corbin Carroll
Corbin Carroll
AZvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.05
Edge+6.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.21 across 62 games
-114 · draftkings
Pavin Smith
Pavin Smith
AZvsMIABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.33
Edge+6.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.33
  • SeasonSeason average 0.33 across 9 games
-107 · draftkings
Tommy Troy
Tommy Troy
AZvsMIABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.77
Edge+6.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 13 games
-129 · draftkings
Ryan Waldschmidt
Ryan Waldschmidt
AZvsMIABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.88
Edge+5.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 28 games
-160 · draftkings
Jakob Marsee
Jakob Marsee
MIAvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.46
Edge+4.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.52 across 63 games
+126 · draftkings
Nolan Arenado
Nolan Arenado
AZvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.58
Edge+4.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 60 games
+113 · draftkings
Xavier Edwards
Xavier Edwards
MIAvsAZBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.06
Edge+4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 66 games
-239 · draftkings
Gabriel Moreno
Gabriel Moreno
AZvsMIABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.88
Edge−3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 41 games
-221 · draftkings
Nolan Arenado
Nolan Arenado
AZvsMIABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.72
Edge−3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 60 games
-174 · draftkings
Corbin Carroll
Corbin Carroll
AZvsMIABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.02
Edge+2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 62 games
-208 · draftkings
Ketel Marte
Ketel Marte
AZvsMIABatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.69
Edge+2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 61 games
+151 · draftkings
Joe Mack
Joe Mack
MIAvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.68
Edge+2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 27 games
-128 · draftkings
Ketel Marte
Ketel Marte
AZvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.7
Edge+1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.20 across 61 games
-107 · draftkings
Connor Norby
Connor Norby
MIAvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge−1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.22 across 55 games
-162 · draftkings
Liam Hicks
Liam Hicks
MIAvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.81
Edge+1.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.11 across 63 games
-117 · draftkings
Kyle Stowers
Kyle Stowers
MIAvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.85
Edge−1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 43 games
-200 · draftkings
Owen Caissie
Owen Caissie
MIAvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.65
Edge−1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 56 games
-139 · draftkings
Jakob Marsee
Jakob Marsee
MIAvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.7
Edge−1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 63 games
-151 · draftkings
Kyle Stowers
Kyle Stowers
MIAvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.58
Edge+0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 43 games
-104 · draftkings
Liam Hicks
Liam Hicks
MIAvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.78
Edge+0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 63 games
+167 · draftkings
Connor Norby
Connor Norby
MIAvsAZBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.48
Edge−0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 55 games
-106 · draftkings
Xavier Edwards
Xavier Edwards
MIAvsAZBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.67
Edge+0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.05 across 66 games
-116 · draftkings
Pavin Smith
Pavin Smith
AZvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge+0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.89
  • SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 9 games
-166 · draftkings
Ryan Waldschmidt
Ryan Waldschmidt
AZvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.25
Edge0%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.61 across 28 games
+127 · draftkings
Leo Jimenez
AZ @ MIABatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
LuJames Groover
LuJames Groover
AZvsMIABatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (3 games of log data)
— · draftkings
Leo Jimenez
AZ @ MIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
LuJames Groover
LuJames Groover
AZvsMIABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (3 games of log data)
— · draftkings
Progressive Field39 leansFinal · graded

NYY@CLE

New York Yankees at Cleveland Guardians

first pitch
6:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Gerrit Cole
probable · awayGerrit Cole
NYY
Slade Cecconi
probable · homeSlade Cecconi
CLE
Strikeouts
Slade Cecconi
Slade Cecconi
CLEvsNYYPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER4.5
Projection4.07
Edge+5.6%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.2 K across 13 starts
-122 · draftkings
Gerrit Cole
Gerrit Cole
NYYvsCLEPitcherStrikeouts
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER4.5
Projection4.67
Edge+3.4%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.7 K across 3 starts
+123 · draftkings
Gerrit Cole
Gerrit Cole
NYYvsCLEPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
OVER5.5
Projection4.67
Edge−0.7%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.7 K across 3 starts
+138 · fanduel
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Ben Rice
Ben Rice
NYYvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection3.13
Edge+16.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.67 across 60 games
-141 · draftkings
Brayan Rocchio
Brayan Rocchio
CLEvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.56
Edge+9.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.82 across 65 games
+137 · draftkings
Ryan McMahon
Ryan McMahon
NYYvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.6
Edge+8.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.31 across 55 games
+128 · draftkings
Ben Rice
Ben Rice
NYYvsCLEBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.3
Edge+8.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 60 games
-251 · draftkings
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
NYYvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.91
Edge+8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 62 games
-103 · draftkings
Patrick Bailey
Patrick Bailey
CLEvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.09
Edge+7.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 43 games
-156 · draftkings
Paul Goldschmidt
Paul Goldschmidt
NYYvsCLEBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.11
Edge+7.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 40 games
-211 · draftkings
Trent Grisham
Trent Grisham
NYYvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.25
Edge+7.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 62 games
-127 · draftkings
Spencer Jones
Spencer Jones
NYYvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.87
Edge+6.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 13 games
-166 · draftkings
Ryan McMahon
Ryan McMahon
NYYvsCLEBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.76
Edge+5.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 55 games
-131 · draftkings
Steven Kwan
Steven Kwan
CLEvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.54
Edge+4.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.48 across 60 games
+115 · draftkings
Cody Bellinger
Cody Bellinger
NYYvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.18
Edge+4.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 2.27 across 64 games
-138 · draftkings
Brayan Rocchio
Brayan Rocchio
CLEvsNYYBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.81
Edge+4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 65 games
-139 · draftkings
Trent Grisham
Trent Grisham
NYYvsCLEBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.04
Edge+3.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 62 games
-217 · draftkings
J.C. Escarra
J.C. Escarra
NYYvsCLEBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.4
Edge+3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.50 across 22 games
-106 · draftkings
Paul Goldschmidt
Paul GoldschmidtModel anomaly
NYYvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.74
Edge+20.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.17 across 40 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-110 · draftkings
Chase DeLauter
Chase DeLauter
CLEvsNYYBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.92
Edge−2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 63 games
-221 · draftkings
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
NYYvsCLEBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.77
Edge−2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.84 across 62 games
-183 · draftkings
Chase DeLauter
Chase DeLauter
CLEvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.56
Edge−1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.83 across 63 games
-113 · draftkings
Patrick Bailey
Patrick Bailey
CLEvsNYYBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.58
Edge−1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.47 across 43 games
-125 · draftkings
Spencer Jones
Spencer Jones
NYYvsCLEBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.66
Edge−1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 13 games
-142 · draftkings
Travis Bazzana
Travis Bazzana
CLEvsNYYBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.84
Edge−1.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 37 games
+167 · draftkings
J.C. Escarra
J.C. Escarra
NYYvsCLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.77
Edge−1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 22 games
+122 · draftkings
Kyle Manzardo
Kyle Manzardo
CLEvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.52
Edge+1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.44 across 59 games
+104 · draftkings
Travis Bazzana
Travis Bazzana
CLEvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.66
Edge−1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.81 across 37 games
-122 · draftkings
Kyle Manzardo
Kyle Manzardo
CLEvsNYYBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.75
Edge−1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 59 games
-167 · draftkings
Daniel Schneemann
Daniel Schneemann
CLEvsNYYBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.21
Edge−0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.52 across 52 games
+131 · draftkings
Daniel Schneemann
Daniel Schneemann
CLEvsNYYBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.68
Edge−0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 52 games
-142 · draftkings
Steven Kwan
Steven Kwan
CLEvsNYYBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.84
Edge+0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 60 games
-187 · draftkings
Cody Bellinger
Cody Bellinger
NYYvsCLEBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1
Edge−0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 64 games
-255 · draftkings
Jose Ramirez
NYY @ CLEBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Jose Caballero
NYY @ CLEBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Angel Martinez
NYY @ CLEBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Jose Ramirez
NYY @ CLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Jose Caballero
NYY @ CLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Angel Martinez
NYY @ CLEBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Rogers Centre38 leansFinal · graded

PHI@TOR

Philadelphia Phillies at Toronto Blue Jays

first pitch
7:07 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Zack Wheeler
probable · awayZack Wheeler
PHI
Dylan Cease
probable · homeDylan Cease
TOR
Strikeouts
Dylan Cease
Dylan CeaseModel anomaly
TORvsPHIPitcherStrikeouts
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER6.5
Projection8.53
Edge+25%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 8.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 8.4 K across 11 starts
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-132 · draftkings
Zack Wheeler
Zack Wheeler
PHIvsTORPitcherStrikeouts
Small gap
OVER5.5
Projection6
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 6.0 K across 8 starts
-144 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Kazuma Okamoto
Kazuma Okamoto
TORvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection2.27
Edge+19.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.94 across 64 games
-166 · draftkings
Brandon Marsh
Brandon Marsh
PHIvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.36
Edge+19.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.23 across 61 games
+109 · draftkings
Kazuma Okamoto
Kazuma Okamoto
TORvsPHIBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.03
Edge+17%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 64 games
-129 · draftkings
Ernie Clement
Ernie Clement
TORvsPHIBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.4
Edge+13.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.20 across 66 games
-223 · draftkings
Brandon Marsh
Brandon Marsh
PHIvsTORBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.24
Edge+13.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.18 across 61 games
-180 · draftkings
Nathan Lukes
Nathan Lukes
TORvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.99
Edge+12.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.69 across 32 games
+109 · draftkings
Alec Bohm
Alec Bohm
PHIvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.91
Edge+11.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.63 across 62 games
+110 · draftkings
Bryce Harper
Bryce Harper
PHIvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.01
Edge+10.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.12 across 65 games
+107 · draftkings
Nathan Lukes
Nathan Lukes
TORvsPHIBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.13
Edge+8.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 32 games
-187 · draftkings
Brandon Valenzuela
Brandon Valenzuela
TORvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.77
Edge+7.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.54 across 41 games
-172 · draftkings
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
TORvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.94
Edge+7.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.98 across 65 games
-105 · draftkings
Justin Crawford
Justin Crawford
PHIvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.27
Edge+7.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.24 across 59 games
-176 · draftkings
Brandon Valenzuela
Brandon Valenzuela
TORvsPHIBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge+7.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 41 games
-133 · draftkings
Myles Straw
Myles Straw
TORvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.96
Edge+6.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 50 games
-125 · draftkings
Kyle Schwarber
Kyle Schwarber
PHIvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.89
Edge+6.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.17 across 63 games
-101 · draftkings
Kyle Schwarber
Kyle Schwarber
PHIvsTORBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.9
Edge+6.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 63 games
-151 · draftkings
Alec Bohm
Alec Bohm
PHIvsTORBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.96
Edge+5.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 62 games
-184 · draftkings
Trea Turner
Trea Turner
PHIvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.78
Edge+5.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 65 games
-105 · draftkings
Bryson Stott
Bryson Stott
PHIvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.42
Edge+3.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.53 across 60 games
+126 · draftkings
Justin Crawford
Justin Crawford
PHIvsTORBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.71
Edge+2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 59 games
-132 · draftkings
Ernie Clement
Ernie ClementModel anomaly
TORvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.58
Edge+20.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.10
  • SeasonSeason average 2.06 across 66 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-102 · draftkings
Myles Straw
Myles Straw
TORvsPHIBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.44
Edge−3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.48 across 50 games
-102 · draftkings
Bryson Stott
Bryson Stott
PHIvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.68
Edge−2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 60 games
-154 · draftkings
George Springer
George Springer
TORvsPHIBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.69
Edge−1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 46 games
+136 · draftkings
Bryce Harper
Bryce Harper
PHIvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.81
Edge−0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 65 games
-171 · draftkings
J.T. Realmuto
J.T. Realmuto
PHIvsTORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.24
Edge−0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.28 across 43 games
+129 · draftkings
J.T. Realmuto
J.T. Realmuto
PHIvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.6
Edge−0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 43 games
+118 · draftkings
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
TORvsPHIBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.01
Edge−0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 65 games
-224 · draftkings
Trea Turner
Trea Turner
PHIvsTORBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.91
Edge−0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 65 games
-213 · draftkings
George Springer
George Springer
TORvsPHIBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.18
Edge+0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.46 across 46 games
-140 · draftkings
Jesus Sanchez
PHI @ TORBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Andres Gimenez
PHI @ TORBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Adolis Garcia
PHI @ TORBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Jesus Sanchez
PHI @ TORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Andres Gimenez
PHI @ TORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Adolis Garcia
PHI @ TORBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Citi Field38 leansFinal · graded

STL@NYM

St. Louis Cardinals at New York Mets

first pitch
7:10 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Dustin May
probable · awayDustin May
STL
Freddy Peralta
probable · homeFreddy Peralta
NYM
Strikeouts
Freddy Peralta
Freddy Peralta
NYMvsSTLPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER5.5
Projection6.23
Edge+5.2%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.7 K across 13 starts
-142 · draftkings
Dustin May
Dustin MayModel anomaly
STLvsNYMPitcherStrikeouts
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER4.5
Projection6.83
Edge+25%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 8.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 5.0 K across 12 starts
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-146 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Alec Burleson
Alec Burleson
STLvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.52
Edge+17%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.34 across 62 games
-107 · draftkings
Jordan Walker
Jordan Walker
STLvsNYMBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.29
Edge+16.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.18 across 62 games
-163 · draftkings
Masyn Winn
Masyn Winn
STLvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.7
Edge+13.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.70 across 56 games
+139 · draftkings
Luis Torrens
Luis Torrens
NYMvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.57
Edge+12.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.33 across 39 games
-158 · draftkings
Carson Benge
Carson Benge
NYMvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.58
Edge+11.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.95 across 61 games
-128 · draftkings
Jared Young
Jared Young
NYMvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.74
Edge+11.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.48 across 21 games
+124 · draftkings
Marcus Semien
Marcus Semien
NYMvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.95
Edge+11.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.60 across 65 games
+110 · draftkings
MJ Melendez
MJ Melendez
NYMvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.09
Edge+10.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 41 games
-122 · draftkings
Jimmy Crooks
Jimmy Crooks
STLvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1
Edge+10.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 5 games
-126 · draftkings
Brett Baty
Brett Baty
NYMvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.58
Edge+9.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 61 games
-180 · draftkings
JJ Wetherholt
JJ Wetherholt
STLvsNYMBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.02
Edge+9.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 59 games
-177 · draftkings
Alec Burleson
Alec Burleson
STLvsNYMBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.16
Edge+8.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.13 across 62 games
-211 · draftkings
A.J. Ewing
A.J. Ewing
NYMvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.65
Edge+8.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.60 across 25 games
+121 · draftkings
Masyn Winn
Masyn Winn
STLvsNYMBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge+8.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 56 games
-145 · draftkings
A.J. Ewing
A.J. Ewing
NYMvsSTLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge+7.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 25 games
-154 · draftkings
Juan Soto
Juan Soto
NYMvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.11
Edge+6.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.23 across 48 games
-124 · draftkings
JJ Wetherholt
JJ Wetherholt
STLvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.78
Edge+6.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.05 across 59 games
+101 · draftkings
Jared Young
Jared Young
NYMvsSTLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge+6.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 21 games
-142 · draftkings
Luis Torrens
Luis Torrens
NYMvsSTLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.76
Edge+6.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.62 across 39 games
-127 · draftkings
Jimmy Crooks
Jimmy Crooks
STLvsNYMBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.6
Edge+5.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 5 games
+104 · draftkings
Brett Baty
Brett Baty
NYMvsSTLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.78
Edge+5.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 61 games
-136 · draftkings
Carson Benge
Carson Benge
NYMvsSTLBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.23
Edge+4.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.97 across 61 games
-240 · draftkings
Marcus Semien
Marcus Semien
NYMvsSTLBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.91
Edge+2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 65 games
-182 · draftkings
Jordan Walker
Jordan WalkerModel anomaly
STLvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.62
Edge+20.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.65 across 62 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+109 · draftkings
Nolan Gorman
Nolan Gorman
STLvsNYMBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.43
Edge−3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 60 games
+100 · draftkings
Nolan Gorman
Nolan Gorman
STLvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.38 across 60 games
-136 · draftkings
MJ Melendez
MJ Melendez
NYMvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.42
Edge−1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.44 across 41 games
+108 · draftkings
Bo Bichette
Bo Bichette
NYMvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection0.97
Edge+1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 65 games
-233 · draftkings
Juan Soto
Juan Soto
NYMvsSTLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.91
Edge+0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 48 games
-214 · draftkings
Bo Bichette
Bo Bichette
NYMvsSTLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.95
Edge−0.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 65 games
-142 · draftkings
Ivan Herrera
STL @ NYMBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Lars Nootbaar
Lars Nootbaar
STLvsNYMBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (3 games of log data)
— · draftkings
Nathan Church
STL @ NYMBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Ivan Herrera
STL @ NYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Lars Nootbaar
Lars Nootbaar
STLvsNYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (3 games of log data)
— · draftkings
Nathan Church
STL @ NYMBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Kauffman Stadium39 leansFinal · graded

TEX@KC

Texas Rangers at Kansas City Royals

first pitch
7:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Nathan Eovaldi
probable · awayNathan Eovaldi
TEX
Stephen Kolek
probable · homeStephen Kolek
KC
Strikeouts
Stephen Kolek
Stephen Kolek
KCvsTEXPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER3.5
Projection4.78
Edge+13.8%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 5.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.5 K across 6 starts
-147 · draftkings
Nathan Eovaldi
Nathan EovaldiModel anomaly
TEXvsKCPitcherStrikeouts
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER4.5
Projection6.26
Edge+25.2%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 6.2 K across 12 starts
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-156 · draftkings
Nathan Eovaldi
Nathan EovaldiModel anomaly
TEXvsKCPitcherStrikeouts
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER5.5
Projection6.26
Edge+24.2%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 6.2 K across 12 starts
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+128 · fanduel
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Corey Seager
Corey Seager
TEXvsKCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.54
Edge+17.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.68 across 44 games
-231 · draftkings
Michael Massey
Michael Massey
KCvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.02
Edge+15.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.53 across 47 games
+115 · draftkings
Michael Massey
Michael Massey
KCvsTEXBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.03
Edge+11.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 47 games
-161 · draftkings
Ezequiel Duran
Ezequiel Duran
TEXvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.35
Edge+10.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.09 across 55 games
-121 · draftkings
Josh Jung
Josh Jung
TEXvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER2.5
Projection2.65
Edge+8.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.10
  • SeasonSeason average 2.20 across 60 games
+124 · draftkings
Kyle Higashioka
Kyle Higashioka
TEXvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.78
Edge+7.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.56 across 32 games
+103 · draftkings
Vinnie Pasquantino
Vinnie Pasquantino
KCvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.99
Edge+7.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 63 games
-122 · draftkings
Corey Seager
Corey Seager
TEXvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1.45
Edge+6.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.70 across 44 games
+124 · draftkings
Vinnie Pasquantino
Vinnie Pasquantino
KCvsTEXBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.06
Edge+5.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 63 games
-226 · draftkings
Bobby Witt Jr.
Bobby Witt Jr.
KCvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER2.5
Projection1.86
Edge+5.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.02 across 66 games
-153 · draftkings
Carter Jensen
Carter Jensen
KCvsTEXBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.65
Edge+5.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.70 across 60 games
+164 · draftkings
Brandon Nimmo
Brandon Nimmo
TEXvsKCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.73
Edge+5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 63 games
+185 · draftkings
Bobby Witt Jr.
Bobby Witt Jr.
KCvsTEXBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1
Edge+4.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 66 games
-207 · draftkings
Salvador Perez
Salvador Perez
KCvsTEXBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.69
Edge+4.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 61 games
+171 · draftkings
Kyle Higashioka
Kyle Higashioka
TEXvsKCBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge+3.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.78 across 32 games
-176 · draftkings
Joc Pederson
Joc Pederson
TEXvsKCBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.67
Edge+3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 61 games
+156 · draftkings
Ezequiel Duran
Ezequiel Duran
TEXvsKCBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.14
Edge+2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 55 games
-250 · draftkings
Kyle Isbel
Kyle Isbel
KCvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.9
Edge−3.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.20 across 54 games
+126 · draftkings
Isaac Collins
Isaac Collins
KCvsTEXBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.65
Edge−3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.69 across 55 games
-151 · draftkings
Jake Burger
Jake Burger
TEXvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge−2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 63 games
+174 · draftkings
Isaac Collins
Isaac Collins
KCvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.19
Edge−2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.38 across 55 games
+123 · draftkings
Jac Caglianone
Jac Caglianone
KCvsTEXBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.91
Edge+2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.82 across 60 games
-197 · draftkings
Joc Pederson
Joc Pederson
TEXvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.6
Edge−2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.41 across 61 games
-119 · draftkings
Wyatt Langford
Wyatt Langford
TEXvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.06
Edge−2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 23 games
+195 · draftkings
Maikel Garcia
Maikel Garcia
KCvsTEXBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.02
Edge−2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 60 games
-270 · draftkings
Carter Jensen
Carter Jensen
KCvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.82
Edge+2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.65 across 60 games
-122 · draftkings
Kyle Isbel
Kyle Isbel
KCvsTEXBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.61
Edge−1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 54 games
-130 · draftkings
Maikel Garcia
Maikel Garcia
KCvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.8
Edge+1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 60 games
-129 · draftkings
Josh Jung
Josh Jung
TEXvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.35
Edge+1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.20 across 60 games
+136 · draftkings
Brandon Nimmo
Brandon Nimmo
TEXvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.47
Edge+1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 63 games
+103 · draftkings
Jac Caglianone
Jac Caglianone
KCvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.56
Edge+1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.42 across 60 games
-101 · draftkings
Evan Carter
Evan Carter
TEXvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.35
Edge+1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.19 across 62 games
+123 · draftkings
Salvador Perez
Salvador Perez
KCvsTEXBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.34
Edge+1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.57 across 61 games
-108 · draftkings
Wyatt Langford
Wyatt Langford
TEXvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.85
Edge−1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.61 across 23 games
-151 · draftkings
Evan Carter
Evan Carter
TEXvsKCBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.55
Edge−0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.50 across 62 games
+106 · draftkings
Jake Burger
Jake Burger
TEXvsKCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.78
Edge+0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 63 games
-122 · draftkings
Rate Field37 leansFinal · graded

ATL@CWS

Atlanta Braves at Chicago White Sox

first pitch
7:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Grant Holmes
probable · awayGrant Holmes
ATL
Erick Fedde
probable · homeErick Fedde
CWS
Strikeouts
Grant Holmes
Grant HolmesModel anomaly
ATLvsCWSPitcherStrikeouts
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER4.5
Projection5.62
Edge+20.5%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 6.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.8 K across 12 starts
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-115 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Tristan Peters
Tristan Peters
CWSvsATLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.33
Edge+19.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 58 games
-166 · draftkings
Miguel Vargas
Miguel Vargas
CWSvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.58
Edge+17%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.25 across 64 games
-107 · draftkings
Chase Meidroth
Chase Meidroth
CWSvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.05
Edge+15.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 63 games
+101 · draftkings
Sandy León
Sandy León
ATLvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.14
Edge+10.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.19 across 16 games
-105 · draftkings
Andrew Benintendi
Andrew Benintendi
CWSvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.05
Edge+10.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.71 across 58 games
-103 · draftkings
Austin Riley
Austin Riley
ATLvsCWSBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.58
Edge+9.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 66 games
+169 · draftkings
Colson Montgomery
Colson Montgomery
CWSvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.9
Edge+8.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 64 games
+101 · draftkings
Jacob Gonzalez
Jacob Gonzalez
CWSvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.71
Edge+8.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.71
  • SeasonSeason average 1.71 across 7 games
+111 · draftkings
Chase Meidroth
Chase Meidroth
CWSvsATLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.07
Edge+7.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 63 games
-203 · draftkings
Matt Olson
Matt Olson
ATLvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.48
Edge+7.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.47 across 66 games
-159 · draftkings
Sandy León
Sandy León
ATLvsCWSBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.14
Edge+7.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.19 across 16 games
-144 · draftkings
Miguel Vargas
Miguel Vargas
CWSvsATLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.99
Edge+7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.88 across 64 games
-184 · draftkings
Rikuu Nishida
Rikuu Nishida
CWSvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.1
Edge+6.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.09 across 11 games
-168 · draftkings
Sam Antonacci
Sam Antonacci
CWSvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.96
Edge+6.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 47 games
-114 · draftkings
Dominic Smith
Dominic Smith
ATLvsCWSBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.7
Edge+5.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 53 games
+178 · draftkings
Ozzie Albies
Ozzie Albies
ATLvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.41
Edge+5.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.21 across 66 games
-159 · draftkings
Matt Olson
Matt Olson
ATLvsCWSBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.17
Edge+5.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 66 games
-274 · draftkings
Drew Romo
Drew Romo
CWSvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.22
Edge+3.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.35 across 23 games
-167 · draftkings
Jacob Gonzalez
Jacob Gonzalez
CWSvsATLBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge+3.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.86
  • SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 7 games
-169 · draftkings
Tristan Peters
Tristan PetersModel anomaly
CWSvsATLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.15
Edge+21.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.50 across 58 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+123 · draftkings
Michael Harris II
Michael Harris II
ATLvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.15
Edge−2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.10 across 62 games
+150 · draftkings
Ozzie Albies
Ozzie Albies
ATLvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.07
Edge−2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.05 across 66 games
-238 · draftkings
Mike Yastrzemski
Mike Yastrzemski
ATLvsCWSBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.57
Edge+2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.63 across 60 games
+126 · draftkings
Rikuu Nishida
Rikuu Nishida
CWSvsATLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.62
Edge−2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.64 across 11 games
-136 · draftkings
Sam Antonacci
Sam Antonacci
CWSvsATLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.04
Edge+2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 47 games
-226 · draftkings
Andrew Benintendi
Andrew Benintendi
CWSvsATLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge−1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 58 games
-193 · draftkings
Dominic Smith
Dominic Smith
ATLvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.74
Edge−1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 53 games
-126 · draftkings
Colson Montgomery
Colson Montgomery
CWSvsATLBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.81
Edge+1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 64 games
-171 · draftkings
Drew Romo
Drew Romo
CWSvsATLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.51
Edge−1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.52 across 23 games
-102 · draftkings
Mike Yastrzemski
Mike Yastrzemski
ATLvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.23
Edge−0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.35 across 60 games
-135 · draftkings
Michael Harris II
Michael Harris II
ATLvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER2.5
Projection2.36
Edge−0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.23 across 62 games
+109 · draftkings
Austin Riley
Austin Riley
ATLvsCWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.37
Edge+0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.74 across 66 games
-110 · draftkings
Ronald Acuna Jr.
ATL @ CWSBatterHits
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Mauricio Dubon
ATL @ CWSBatterHits
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Ronald Acuna Jr.
ATL @ CWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line2.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Mauricio Dubon
ATL @ CWSBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Coors Field38 leansFinal · graded

CHC@COL

Chicago Cubs at Colorado Rockies

first pitch
8:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Colin Rea
probable · awayColin Rea
CHC
Tomoyuki Sugano
probable · homeTomoyuki Sugano
COL
Strikeouts
Tomoyuki Sugano
Tomoyuki Sugano
COLvsCHCPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER2.5
Projection3.37
Edge+11.3%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 3.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.0 K across 12 starts
-146 · draftkings
Colin Rea
Colin Rea
CHCvsCOLPitcherStrikeouts
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER3.5
Projection4
Edge+4.1%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.0 K across 13 starts
-139 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Alex Bregman
Alex Bregman
CHCvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER2.5
Projection1.56
Edge+18.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.72 across 65 games
-120 · draftkings
Moisés Ballesteros
Moisés Ballesteros
CHCvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER2.5
Projection1.12
Edge+17.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.35 across 52 games
-149 · draftkings
Nico Hoerner
Nico Hoerner
CHCvsCOLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.89
Edge+16.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 65 games
-149 · draftkings
Alex Bregman
Alex Bregman
CHCvsCOLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.79
Edge+16.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.98 across 65 games
-174 · draftkings
Moisés Ballesteros
Moisés Ballesteros
CHCvsCOLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.62
Edge+14.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.63 across 52 games
-242 · draftkings
Dansby Swanson
Dansby Swanson
CHCvsCOLBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.55
Edge+14.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.61 across 61 games
+198 · draftkings
Nico Hoerner
Nico Hoerner
CHCvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER2.5
Projection1.5
Edge+14%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 65 games
-127 · draftkings
TJ Rumfield
TJ Rumfield
COLvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER2.5
Projection1.4
Edge+12.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.79 across 63 games
-153 · draftkings
TJ Rumfield
TJ Rumfield
COLvsCHCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.72
Edge+12.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 63 games
-206 · draftkings
Ezequiel Tovar
Ezequiel Tovar
COLvsCHCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.73
Edge+10.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 61 games
-253 · draftkings
Dansby Swanson
Dansby Swanson
CHCvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1.31
Edge+8.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.62 across 61 games
+118 · draftkings
Hunter Goodman
Hunter Goodman
COLvsCHCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.91
Edge+5.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 60 games
-217 · draftkings
Tyler Freeman
Tyler Freeman
COLvsCHCBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1.06
Edge+5.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 42 games
-177 · draftkings
Michael Busch
Michael Busch
CHCvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER2.5
Projection1.98
Edge+5.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.86 across 65 games
-124 · draftkings
Seiya Suzuki
Seiya Suzuki
CHCvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER2.5
Projection1.98
Edge+5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.87 across 52 games
-125 · draftkings
Seiya Suzuki
Seiya Suzuki
CHCvsCOLBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1
Edge+4.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 52 games
-192 · draftkings
Carson Kelly
Carson Kelly
CHCvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1.51
Edge+4.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.72 across 47 games
+120 · draftkings
Michael Busch
Michael Busch
CHCvsCOLBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1.05
Edge+2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.89 across 65 games
-206 · draftkings
Sterlin Thompson
Sterlin Thompson
COLvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.34
Edge−3.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.18 across 17 games
-135 · draftkings
Pete Crow-Armstrong
Pete Crow-Armstrong
CHCvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER2.5
Projection2.7
Edge−2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.00 across 66 games
+104 · draftkings
Pete Crow-Armstrong
Pete Crow-Armstrong
CHCvsCOLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.38
Edge−2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 66 games
-137 · draftkings
Ian Happ
Ian Happ
CHCvsCOLBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER2.5
Projection2.35
Edge−2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.10 across 62 games
-123 · draftkings
Troy Johnston
Troy Johnston
COLvsCHCBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.13
Edge−2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.07 across 61 games
-225 · draftkings
Carson Kelly
Carson Kelly
CHCvsCOLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection0.92
Edge+2.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 47 games
-259 · draftkings
Willi Castro
Willi Castro
COLvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.97
Edge+2.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.83 across 53 games
-144 · draftkings
Tyler Freeman
Tyler Freeman
COLvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER2.5
Projection2.02
Edge+1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.74 across 42 games
-155 · draftkings
Kyle Karros
Kyle Karros
COLvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.57
Edge+1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.34 across 62 games
-101 · draftkings
Jake McCarthy
Jake McCarthy
COLvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER2.5
Projection2.31
Edge+1.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.83 across 52 games
+124 · draftkings
Kyle Karros
Kyle Karros
COLvsCHCBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.78
Edge−1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.66 across 62 games
-178 · draftkings
Hunter Goodman
Hunter Goodman
COLvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER2.5
Projection2.44
Edge−1.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.08 across 60 games
+100 · draftkings
Ezequiel Tovar
Ezequiel Tovar
COLvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.6
Edge+0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.41 across 61 games
+113 · draftkings
Troy Johnston
Troy Johnston
COLvsCHCBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection2.02
Edge−0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.93 across 61 games
-171 · draftkings
Sterlin Thompson
Sterlin Thompson
COLvsCHCBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.64
Edge−0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.59 across 17 games
+127 · draftkings
Jake McCarthy
Jake McCarthy
COLvsCHCBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.11
Edge+0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 52 games
-205 · draftkings
Willi Castro
Willi Castro
COLvsCHCBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1
Edge−0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 53 games
-263 · draftkings
Ian Happ
Ian Happ
CHCvsCOLBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.04
Edge0%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 62 games
-226 · draftkings
Angel Stadium36 leansFinal · graded

HOU@LAA

Houston Astros at Los Angeles Angels

first pitch
9:38 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Kai-Wei Teng
probable · awayKai-Wei Teng
HOU
Walbert Ureña
probable · homeWalbert Ureña
LAA
Strikeouts
Walbert Urena
HOU @ LAAPitcherStrikeouts
Sample too small
Line4.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Zach Neto
Zach Neto
LAAvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.45
Edge+15.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.11 across 64 games
-114 · draftkings
Wade Meckler
Wade Meckler
LAAvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.33
Edge+13.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.27 across 15 games
+102 · draftkings
Taylor Trammell
Taylor Trammell
HOUvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.3
Edge+11.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.50 across 22 games
-139 · draftkings
Isaac Paredes
Isaac Paredes
HOUvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.22
Edge+10.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.84 across 62 games
-113 · draftkings
Jo Adell
Jo Adell
LAAvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.14
Edge+10.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.88 across 67 games
-105 · draftkings
Taylor Trammell
Taylor Trammell
HOUvsLAABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.73
Edge+10.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.86 across 22 games
+100 · draftkings
Cam Smith
Cam Smith
HOUvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.77
Edge+10.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.54 across 65 games
+117 · draftkings
Christian Walker
Christian Walker
HOUvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.32
Edge+9.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.24 across 67 games
-118 · draftkings
Logan O'Hoppe
Logan O'Hoppe
LAAvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.58
Edge+8.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.37 across 41 games
+126 · draftkings
Yordan Alvarez
Yordan Alvarez
HOUvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER2.5
Projection2.76
Edge+7.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.00
  • SeasonSeason average 2.52 across 67 games
+114 · draftkings
Cam Smith
Cam Smith
HOUvsLAABatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.93
Edge+7.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 65 games
-158 · draftkings
Oswald Peraza
Oswald Peraza
LAAvsHOUBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge+7.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 59 games
-169 · draftkings
Donovan Walton
Donovan Walton
LAAvsHOUBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.92
Edge+5.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 13 games
-169 · draftkings
Zach Neto
Zach Neto
LAAvsHOUBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1
Edge+5.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 64 games
-201 · draftkings
Wade Meckler
Wade Meckler
LAAvsHOUBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.12
Edge+5.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.13 across 15 games
-198 · draftkings
Oswald Peraza
Oswald Peraza
LAAvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.64
Edge+4.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.47 across 59 games
+106 · draftkings
Donovan Walton
Donovan Walton
LAAvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.58
Edge+4.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.46 across 13 games
+111 · draftkings
Jose Altuve
Jose Altuve
HOUvsLAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.82
Edge+3.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 46 games
-112 · draftkings
Yordan Alvarez
Yordan Alvarez
HOUvsLAABatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.16
Edge+2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.12 across 67 games
+197 · draftkings
Nick Madrigal
Nick Madrigal
LAAvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.5
Edge+2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.50 across 10 games
+111 · draftkings
Nick Madrigal
Nick Madrigal
LAAvsHOUBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.9
Edge−2.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.90 across 10 games
-187 · draftkings
Jose Altuve
Jose Altuve
HOUvsLAABatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge−1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.91 across 46 games
+164 · draftkings
Christian Walker
Christian Walker
HOUvsLAABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.97
Edge+1.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.94 across 67 games
-205 · draftkings
Isaac Paredes
Isaac Paredes
HOUvsLAABatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.89
Edge+1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 62 games
-197 · draftkings
Mike Trout
Mike Trout
LAAvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.58
Edge−1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.97 across 66 games
-112 · draftkings
Jo Adell
Jo Adell
LAAvsHOUBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.91
Edge+0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 67 games
-197 · draftkings
Mike Trout
Mike Trout
LAAvsHOUBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.64
Edge+0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.79 across 66 games
+134 · draftkings
Logan O'Hoppe
Logan O'Hoppe
LAAvsHOUBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.67
Edge−0.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.63 across 41 games
-141 · draftkings
Jeremy Pena
HOU @ LAABatterHits
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Christian Vazquez
HOU @ LAABatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Denzer Guzman
Denzer Guzman
LAAvsHOUBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (1 games of log data)
— · draftkings
LaMonte Wade Jr.
LaMonte Wade Jr.
HOUvsLAABatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (4 games of log data)
— · draftkings
Jeremy Pena
HOU @ LAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Christian Vazquez
HOU @ LAABatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Denzer Guzman
Denzer Guzman
LAAvsHOUBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (1 games of log data)
— · draftkings
Petco Park38 leansFinal · graded

CIN@SD

Cincinnati Reds at San Diego Padres

first pitch
9:40 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Chase Burns
probable · awayChase Burns
CIN
Lucas Giolito
probable · homeLucas Giolito
SD
Strikeouts
Chase Burns
Chase Burns
CINvsSDPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER6.5
Projection7.8
Edge+11.9%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 8.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 6.8 K across 12 starts
-137 · draftkings
Lucas Giolito
Lucas GiolitoModel anomaly
SDvsCINPitcherStrikeouts
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
UNDER4.5
Projection2.7
Edge+34.8%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 2.8 K across 4 starts
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-109 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Freddy Fermin
Freddy Fermin
SDvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.38
Edge+17.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.16 across 37 games
-114 · draftkings
JJ Bleday
JJ Bleday
CINvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.26
Edge+14.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.32 across 37 games
+107 · draftkings
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SDvsCINBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.16
Edge+12.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 64 games
-182 · draftkings
Fernando Tatis Jr.
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SDvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.84
Edge+11.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.67 across 64 games
+105 · draftkings
Spencer Steer
Spencer Steer
CINvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.85
Edge+11%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.90 across 63 games
+112 · draftkings
JJ Bleday
JJ Bleday
CINvsSDBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.06
Edge+11%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 37 games
-164 · draftkings
Matt McLain
Matt McLain
CINvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.82
Edge+10.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 59 games
-181 · draftkings
Tyler Stephenson
Tyler Stephenson
CINvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.42
Edge+9.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.24 across 51 games
-174 · draftkings
Blake Dunn
Blake Dunn
CINvsSDBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.16
Edge+8.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.22 across 23 games
-207 · draftkings
Blake Dunn
Blake Dunn
CINvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.83
Edge+8.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.96 across 23 games
-101 · draftkings
Tyler Stephenson
Tyler Stephenson
CINvsSDBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge+8.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.65 across 51 games
-130 · draftkings
Xander Bogaerts
Xander Bogaerts
SDvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.49
Edge+6.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.68 across 63 games
+131 · draftkings
Matt McLain
Matt McLain
CINvsSDBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.78
Edge+5.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.76 across 59 games
-134 · draftkings
Ty France
Ty France
SDvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.52
Edge+4.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.65 across 40 games
+120 · draftkings
Manny Machado
Manny Machado
SDvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.44
Edge+4.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.57 across 63 games
+128 · draftkings
Jackson Merrill
Jackson Merrill
SDvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.55
Edge+4.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.59 across 61 games
+115 · draftkings
Sal Stewart
Sal Stewart
CINvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.75
Edge+3.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.11 across 65 games
-103 · draftkings
Edwin Arroyo
Edwin Arroyo
CINvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1
Edge+2.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 6 games
-172 · draftkings
Spencer Steer
Spencer Steer
CINvsSDBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge+2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 63 games
-175 · draftkings
Nathaniel Lowe
Nathaniel Lowe
CINvsSDBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.63
Edge−3.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.77 across 47 games
-147 · draftkings
Xander Bogaerts
Xander Bogaerts
SDvsCINBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.66
Edge−3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.83 across 63 games
+119 · draftkings
Gavin Sheets
Gavin Sheets
SDvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.35
Edge+1.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.60 across 58 games
+121 · draftkings
Freddy Fermin
Freddy Fermin
SDvsCINBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.49
Edge+1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.49 across 37 games
+109 · draftkings
Nathaniel Lowe
Nathaniel Lowe
CINvsSDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.22
Edge−1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 1.64 across 47 games
+119 · draftkings
Manny Machado
Manny Machado
SDvsCINBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.6
Edge−1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 63 games
+114 · draftkings
Ty France
Ty France
SDvsCINBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge+1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.85 across 40 games
-166 · draftkings
Jackson Merrill
Jackson Merrill
SDvsCINBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.73
Edge−1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 61 games
-159 · draftkings
Edwin Arroyo
Edwin Arroyo
CINvsSDBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.67
Edge+1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.67
  • SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 6 games
-131 · draftkings
Jase Bowen
Jase Bowen
SDvsCINBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.6
Edge+0.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.60 across 5 games
-117 · draftkings
Gavin Sheets
Gavin Sheets
SDvsCINBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.56
Edge+0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.40
  • SeasonSeason average 0.72 across 58 games
+115 · draftkings
Jase Bowen
Jase Bowen
SDvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.8
Edge−0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 5 games
-152 · draftkings
Sal Stewart
Sal Stewart
CINvsSDBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.93
Edge−0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 65 games
-208 · draftkings
Eugenio Suarez
CIN @ SDBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Samad Taylor
Samad Taylor
SDvsCINBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (3 games of log data)
— · draftkings
Eugenio Suarez
CIN @ SDBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Samad Taylor
Samad Taylor
SDvsCINBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (3 games of log data)
— · draftkings
Oracle Park38 leansFinal · graded

WSH@SF

Washington Nationals at San Francisco Giants

first pitch
9:45 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Andrew Alvarez
probable · awayAndrew Alvarez
WSH
Adrian Houser
probable · homeAdrian Houser
SF
Strikeouts
Andrew Alvarez
Andrew Alvarez
WSHvsSFPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER4.5
Projection2.93
Edge+18.6%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 2.3 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.7 K across 6 starts
-157 · draftkings
Adrian Houser
Adrian Houser
SFvsWSHPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER3.5
Projection4.07
Edge+9.8%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.7 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 3.3 K across 12 starts
-118 · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Bryce Eldridge
Bryce Eldridge
SFvsWSHBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.28
Edge+18.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 26 games
-147 · draftkings
Jung Hoo Lee
Jung Hoo Lee
SFvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.99
Edge+16.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.19 across 59 games
-147 · draftkings
Drew Gilbert
Drew Gilbert
SFvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.32
Edge+15.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.24 across 46 games
-131 · draftkings
Drew Millas
Drew Millas
WSHvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.49
Edge+10.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.27 across 33 games
-172 · draftkings
Matt Chapman
Matt Chapman
SFvsWSHBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.11
Edge+10%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.92 across 66 games
-181 · draftkings
Willy Adames
Willy Adames
SFvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.25
Edge+8.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.91 across 66 games
-119 · draftkings
Drew Gilbert
Drew Gilbert
SFvsWSHBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.69
Edge+8.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.67 across 46 games
+100 · draftkings
Luis Arraez
Luis Arraez
SFvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.29
Edge+8.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.19 across 64 games
-145 · draftkings
Casey Schmitt
Casey Schmitt
SFvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.4
Edge+7.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.50
  • SeasonSeason average 2.31 across 59 games
-130 · draftkings
CJ Abrams
CJ Abrams
WSHvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.33
Edge+7.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.47 across 66 games
-134 · draftkings
Curtis Mead
Curtis Mead
WSHvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.06
Edge+6.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.83 across 52 games
-115 · draftkings
Casey Schmitt
Casey Schmitt
SFvsWSHBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.22
Edge+5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.14 across 59 games
-235 · draftkings
Daylen Lile
Daylen Lile
WSHvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.89
Edge+4.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.70
  • SeasonSeason average 2.08 across 66 games
-118 · draftkings
Luis Arraez
Luis Arraez
SFvsWSHBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.29
Edge+3.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.28 across 64 games
+166 · draftkings
Jacob Young
Jacob Young
WSHvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.46
Edge+3.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.71 across 59 games
+121 · draftkings
Rafael Devers
Rafael Devers
SFvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.88
Edge+3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.85 across 67 games
-119 · draftkings
James Wood
James Wood
WSHvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.13
Edge+3.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.80
  • SeasonSeason average 2.46 across 67 games
-133 · draftkings
Jung Hoo Lee
Jung Hoo LeeModel anomaly
SFvsWSHBatterHits
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection1.79
Edge+24.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.27 across 59 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+188 · draftkings
Bryce Eldridge
Bryce EldridgeModel anomaly
SFvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.43
Edge+21.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 26 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
+122 · draftkings
Matt Chapman
Matt ChapmanModel anomaly
SFvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Anomaly · gap too large to trust
OVER1.5
Projection2.7
Edge+20.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.89 across 66 games
  • Calibration watchEdge above anomaly threshold — capped to Low confidence
-101 · draftkings
James Wood
James Wood
WSHvsSFBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.85
Edge−2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 67 games
+159 · draftkings
Daniel Susac
Daniel Susac
SFvsWSHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.83
Edge−2.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 23 games
-182 · draftkings
Jacob Young
Jacob Young
WSHvsSFBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.7
Edge−2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.60
  • SeasonSeason average 0.80 across 59 games
+134 · draftkings
Rafael Devers
Rafael Devers
SFvsWSHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.86
Edge−1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.93 across 67 games
-214 · draftkings
Drew Millas
Drew Millas
WSHvsSFBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.62
Edge−1.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.55 across 33 games
-134 · draftkings
Curtis Mead
Curtis Mead
WSHvsSFBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.82
Edge−1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 52 games
+170 · draftkings
Daniel Susac
Daniel Susac
SFvsWSHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.5
Edge+1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.40
  • SeasonSeason average 1.61 across 23 games
+106 · draftkings
CJ Abrams
CJ Abrams
WSHvsSFBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.03
Edge+0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.06 across 66 games
-251 · draftkings
Willy Adames
Willy Adames
SFvsWSHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.93
Edge−0.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.95 across 66 games
-209 · draftkings
Dylan Crews
Dylan Crews
WSHvsSFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.55
Edge+0.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.50 across 16 games
-105 · draftkings
Dylan Crews
Dylan Crews
WSHvsSFBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER0.5
Projection0.72
Edge0%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.70
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 16 games
+151 · draftkings
Daylen Lile
Daylen Lile
WSHvsSFBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.96
Edge0%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 66 games
-237 · draftkings
Luis Garcia Jr.
WSH @ SFBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Nasim Nunez
WSH @ SFBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Luis Garcia Jr.
WSH @ SFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Nasim Nunez
WSH @ SFBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Las Vegas Ballpark38 leansFinal · graded

MIL@ATH

Milwaukee Brewers at Athletics

first pitch
10:05 PM ET
Game details · probable pitchers
Robert Gasser
probable · awayRobert Gasser
MIL
J.T. Ginn
probable · homeJ.T. Ginn
ATH
Strikeouts
Robert Gasser
Robert Gasser
MILvsATHPitcherStrikeouts
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER4.5
Projection4
Edge+6.5%
  • Recent formLast 3 starts averaging 4.0 strikeouts
  • SeasonSeason average 4.0 K across 3 starts
-126 · draftkings
JT Ginn
MIL @ ATHPitcherStrikeouts
Sample too small
Line4.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Batter markets · hits + total bases
Colby Thomas
Colby Thomas
ATHvsMILBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.45
Edge+18.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.59 across 22 games
+192 · draftkings
Colby Thomas
Colby Thomas
ATHvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1.09
Edge+15.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.18 across 22 games
+111 · draftkings
Luis Rengifo
Luis Rengifo
MILvsATHBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.58
Edge+13.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.50
  • SeasonSeason average 0.66 across 53 games
-269 · draftkings
Zack Gelof
Zack Gelof
ATHvsMILBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.13
Edge+9.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 46 games
-205 · draftkings
Brent Rooker
Brent Rooker
ATHvsMILBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.82
Edge+9.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 0.75 across 48 games
-223 · draftkings
Alika Williams
Alika Williams
ATHvsMILBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER0.5
Projection0.44
Edge+9.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.44
  • SeasonSeason average 0.44 across 9 games
+132 · draftkings
Sal Frelick
Sal Frelick
MILvsATHBatterHits
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection0.77
Edge+8.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 60 games
-255 · draftkings
Zack Gelof
Zack Gelof
ATHvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.07
Edge+7.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.93 across 46 games
-121 · draftkings
Brice Turang
Brice Turang
MILvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER2.5
Projection2.89
Edge+7.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.20
  • SeasonSeason average 2.57 across 61 games
-101 · draftkings
Jackson Chourio
Jackson Chourio
MILvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER2.5
Projection3.35
Edge+6.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 4.10
  • SeasonSeason average 2.60 across 30 games
-131 · draftkings
Alika Williams
Alika Williams
ATHvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1.11
Edge+6.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.11
  • SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 9 games
-129 · draftkings
Brent Rooker
Brent Rooker
ATHvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER2.5
Projection1.94
Edge+6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.77 across 48 games
-116 · draftkings
Tyler Soderstrom
Tyler Soderstrom
ATHvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection2.29
Edge+6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.70
  • SeasonSeason average 1.87 across 63 games
-137 · draftkings
David Hamilton
David Hamilton
MILvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER1.5
Projection1.81
Edge+6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.10
  • SeasonSeason average 1.52 across 50 games
-103 · draftkings
Jake Bauers
Jake Bauers
MILvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
OVER2.5
Projection2.77
Edge+6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.10
  • SeasonSeason average 2.45 across 56 games
+105 · draftkings
Luis Rengifo
Luis Rengifo
MILvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap ≥ 5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1.42
Edge+5.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.34 across 53 games
+114 · draftkings
Shea Langeliers
Shea Langeliers
ATHvsMILBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1.09
Edge+4.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.18 across 60 games
-161 · draftkings
Nick Kurtz
Nick Kurtz
ATHvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER2.5
Projection2.87
Edge+4.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 3.30
  • SeasonSeason average 2.45 across 65 games
-107 · draftkings
Tyler Soderstrom
Tyler Soderstrom
ATHvsMILBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection1.09
Edge+4.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 0.87 across 63 games
-234 · draftkings
David Hamilton
David Hamilton
MILvsATHBatterHits
Gap 2.5–5 pp
OVER0.5
Projection0.87
Edge+3.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 0.74 across 50 games
-153 · draftkings
Shea Langeliers
Shea Langeliers
ATHvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER2.5
Projection2.44
Edge+2.8%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.40
  • SeasonSeason average 2.48 across 60 games
+107 · draftkings
Sal Frelick
Sal Frelick
MILvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Gap 2.5–5 pp
UNDER1.5
Projection1.57
Edge+2.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.53 across 60 games
+120 · draftkings
Jake Bauers
Jake Bauers
MILvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.95
Edge−2.6%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.90
  • SeasonSeason average 1.00 across 56 games
-262 · draftkings
Christian Yelich
Christian Yelich
MILvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER2.5
Projection2.69
Edge+2.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.90
  • SeasonSeason average 2.49 across 35 games
-105 · draftkings
Henry Bolte
Henry Bolte
ATHvsMILBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.47
Edge+1.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.50
  • SeasonSeason average 1.43 across 23 games
+104 · draftkings
William Contreras
William Contreras
MILvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER2.5
Projection2.54
Edge−1.7%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 2.60
  • SeasonSeason average 2.48 across 60 games
-110 · draftkings
Garrett Mitchell
Garrett Mitchell
MILvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection0.76
Edge−1.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 0.80
  • SeasonSeason average 0.73 across 55 games
-174 · draftkings
Jackson Chourio
Jackson Chourio
MILvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.45
Edge+1.4%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.30 across 30 games
+114 · draftkings
Garrett Mitchell
Garrett Mitchell
MILvsATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.66
Edge−1.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.60
  • SeasonSeason average 1.73 across 55 games
-120 · draftkings
Brice Turang
Brice Turang
MILvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.12
Edge−1.2%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.03 across 61 games
-205 · draftkings
Christian Yelich
Christian Yelich
MILvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.21
Edge+0.9%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.30
  • SeasonSeason average 1.11 across 35 games
+161 · draftkings
William Contreras
William Contreras
MILvsATHBatterHits
Small gap
UNDER1.5
Projection1.08
Edge−0.5%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.00
  • SeasonSeason average 1.17 across 60 games
-202 · draftkings
Nick Kurtz
Nick Kurtz
ATHvsMILBatterHits
Small gap
OVER1.5
Projection1.11
Edge−0.3%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.20
  • SeasonSeason average 1.02 across 65 games
+200 · draftkings
Henry Bolte
Henry Bolte
ATHvsMILBatterHits
Small gap
OVER0.5
Projection1.03
Edge+0.1%
  • Recent formLast 10 games averaging 1.10
  • SeasonSeason average 0.96 across 23 games
-245 · draftkings
Max Muncy (2002)
MIL @ ATHBatterHits
Sample too small
Line0.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
Max Muncy (2002)
MIL @ ATHBatterHits + Runs + RBIs
Sample too small
Line1.5
Projection—
Edge—
  • Sampletoo small to project (0 games of log data)
no recent trend
— · draftkings
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