NFL Week 8 · regular season
NFL hub →14 games
Pre-kickoff forecasts, each frozen at its kickoff. Scores derive from the median total and margin, so they always add up.
| Kickoff (ET) | Matchup | Model winner | Projected score | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Oct 29, 8:15 PM ET |  CAR at GB | GB 63.8% | CAR 20 — 26 GB | 46 (29–63) | View game → |
| Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET |  ARI at DAL | DAL 65.5% | ARI 24 — 31 DAL | 55 (38–72) | View game → |
| Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET |  ATL at TB | TB 51.3% | ATL 22 — 24 TB | 46 (29–63) | View game → |
| Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET |  BAL at BUF | BUF 70.8% | BAL 22 — 30 BUF | 52 (35–69) | View game → |
| Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET |  CLE at PIT | PIT 65.5% | CLE 17 — 23 PIT | 40 (24–57) | View game → |
| Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET |  IND at JAX | JAX 76.5% | IND 20 — 27 JAX | 47 (30–64) | View game → |
| Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET |  LV at NYJ | NYJ 55.7% | LV 20 — 24 NYJ | 44 (27–61) | View game → |
| Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET |  MIN at DET | DET 56.9% | MIN 20 — 24 DET | 44 (27–62) | View game → |
| Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET |  TEN at CIN | CIN 81.8% | TEN 18 — 28 CIN | 46 (29–63) | View game → |
| Sun, Nov 1, 4:05 PM ET |  LAC at LAR | LAR 74.3% | LAC 19 — 26 LAR | 45 (28–62) | View game → |
| Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET |  KC at DEN | DEN 61.9% | KC 18 — 22 DEN | 40 (23–57) | View game → |
| Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET |  NE at MIA | NE 70.9% | NE 24 — 20 MIA | 44 (27–61) | View game → |
| Sun, Nov 1, 8:20 PM ET |  PHI at WSH | PHI 50.8% | PHI 24 — 23 WSH | 47 (30–64) | View game → |
| Mon, Nov 2, 8:15 PM ET |  CHI at SEA | SEA 65.5% | CHI 20 — 26 SEA | 46 (29–63) | View game → |
Top boards
The official player board's top five per statistic, over games still to kick off only; a list is a maximum, not a quota; a statistic marked Estimate has not yet met its calibration standard and is labelled so; a statistic that has neither says so instead of ranking.
Top 5 · Passing yards
Estimate · calibration standard not yet met · The chance of going over a line is not yet well calibrated for this family — read the range, not a precise over/under chance.
Ranked by projected median passing yards (the middle of the model's range). Not a chance to go over any line.
- 1
Jared GoffMatchupDET vs MINStartSun 1:00 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks264 ydsestimateRange151–424Game → - 2
Matthew StaffordMatchupLAR vs LACStartSun 4:05 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks251 ydsestimateRange146–397Game → - 3
Joe BurrowMatchupCIN vs TENStartSun 1:00 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks249 ydsestimateRange144–396Game → - 4
Drake MayeMatchupNE vs MIAStartSun 4:25 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks244 ydsestimateRange133–404Game → - 5
Dak PrescottMatchupDAL vs ARIStartSun 1:00 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks237 ydsestimateRange136–378Game →
We have not checked the sportsbooks for this market, so we are not showing a price we do not hold.
Top 5 · Rushing yards
Estimate · calibration standard not yet met · Its uncertainty calibration failed the preregistered bar — the range shown may be mis-sized even where the middle is reasonable.
Ranked by projected median rushing yards (the middle of the model's range). Not a chance to go over any line.
- 1
Jahmyr GibbsMatchupDET vs MINStartSun 1:00 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks91 ydsestimateRange46–149Game → - 2
Kenneth Walker IIIMatchupKC vs DENStartSun 4:25 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks89 ydsestimateRange40–155Game → - 3
James Cook IIIMatchupBUF vs BALStartSun 1:00 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks81 ydsestimateRange38–142Game → - 4
Jaylen WarrenMatchupPIT vs CLEStartSun 1:00 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks79 ydsestimateRange35–139Game → - 5
Javonte WilliamsMatchupDAL vs ARIStartSun 1:00 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks72 ydsestimateRange32–125Game →
We have not checked the sportsbooks for this market, so we are not showing a price we do not hold.
Top 5 · Receiving yards
Ranked by projected median receiving yards (the middle of the model's range). Not a chance to go over any line.
- 1
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaMatchupSEA vs CHIStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks86 ydsRange33–163Game → - 2
Zay FlowersMatchupBAL vs BUFStartSun 1:00 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks74 ydsRange25–147Game → - 3
Drake LondonMatchupATL vs TBStartSun 1:00 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks72 ydsRange25–143Game → - 4
Amon-Ra St. BrownMatchupDET vs MINStartSun 1:00 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks68 ydsRange23–130Game → - 5
CeeDee LambMatchupDAL vs ARIStartSun 1:00 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks65 ydsRange20–129Game →
We have not checked the sportsbooks for this market, so we are not showing a price we do not hold.
Top 5 · Receptions
Ranked by projected median receptions (the middle of the model's range). Not a chance to go over any line.
- 1Jaxon Smith-NjigbaMatchupSEA vs CHIStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks8.0 recRange3–15Game →
- 2
Puka NacuaMatchupLAR vs LACStartSun 4:05 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks8.0 recRange3–14Game → - 3
Trey McBrideMatchupARI vs DALStartSun 1:00 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks7.0 recRange3–13Game → - 4Amon-Ra St. BrownMatchupDET vs MINStartSun 1:00 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks7.0 recRange3–13Game →
- 5CeeDee LambMatchupDAL vs ARIStartSun 1:00 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks7.0 recRange3–13Game →
We have not checked the sportsbooks for this market, so we are not showing a price we do not hold.
Top 5 · Anytime touchdown
Ranked by the official touchdown model's chance that the player scores at least one touchdown.
- 1Jahmyr GibbsMatchupDET vs MINStartSun 1:00 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks78.9%Game →
- 2James Cook IIIMatchupBUF vs BALStartSun 1:00 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks76.6%Game →
- 3Javonte WilliamsMatchupDAL vs ARIStartSun 1:00 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks73.4%Game →
- 4
Jonathan TaylorMatchupIND vs JAXStartSun 1:00 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks71.0%Game → - 5Kenneth Walker IIIMatchupKC vs DENStartSun 4:25 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks69.1%Game →
We have not checked the sportsbooks for this market, so we are not showing a price we do not hold.
Board stamp · full-week edition