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Educational analyticsNot betting advice · research use only.
GameTime Picks

Settled · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan

Matheus Camilo vs Jai Herbert

Card started Sat, Oct 10, 5:00 PM ET · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan

Official result

What happened

From the official result record. Method and round are shown only where that record carries them and names the same outcome.

Jai Herbert won · Decision · round 3 · 5:00

MISS — the model’s pick, Matheus Camilo, lost.

Before the fight

The forecast as published

Frozen before the card started and never changed afterwards.

Model pick: Matheus Camilo · 74.0%

Recorded Fri, Oct 9, 2:44 PM ET

At the same moment the betting market priced Matheus Camilo at 62.8% (8 books, margin removed).

Only the winner read was frozen. The method and round reads the card showed beside it were not recorded, so they are not reprinted here — re-running the model now would be a new forecast, not the one published.

Technical detailsWhich model and which pre-fight record this read comes from.
model ufc-fight-model@e657fc40b64d
pre-fight record snapshot-202610091844.json
forecast fl1-394a64b97c0297be
settled 2026-10-11T14:46:22Z

Educational and paper-only — not betting advice.

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