Skip to main content
Educational analyticsNot betting advice · research use only.
GameTime Picks

Settled · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan

Melissa Gatto vs Ernesta Kareckaite

Card started Sat, Oct 10, 5:00 PM ET · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan

Official result

What happened

From the official result record. Method and round are shown only where that record carries them and names the same outcome.

No winner — a draw (Decision · round 3 · 5:00). The pick is void: it is not scored, and it is not a miss.

Before the fight

The forecast as published

Frozen before the card started and never changed afterwards.

Model pick: Melissa Gatto · 54.4%

Recorded Fri, Oct 9, 2:44 PM ET

At the same moment the betting market priced Melissa Gatto at 51.1% (8 books, margin removed).

Only the winner read was frozen. The method and round reads the card showed beside it were not recorded, so they are not reprinted here — re-running the model now would be a new forecast, not the one published.

Technical detailsWhich model and which pre-fight record this read comes from.
model ufc-fight-model@e657fc40b64d
pre-fight record snapshot-202610091844.json
forecast fl1-ee2a5f121770b79e
settled 2026-10-14T13:27:05Z

Educational and paper-only — not betting advice.

More

Other bouts on this card