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Educational analyticsNot betting advice · research use only.
GameTime Picks

Settled · Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado

Édgar Cháirez vs Tim Elliott

Card started Sat, Sep 12, 2:00 PM ET · Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado

Official result

What happened

From the official result record. Method and round are shown only where that record carries them and names the same outcome.

Tim Elliott won · Decision · round 3 · 5:00

MISS — the model’s pick, Édgar Cháirez, lost.

Before the fight

The forecast as published

Frozen before the card started and never changed afterwards.

Model pick: Édgar Cháirez · 77.6%

Recorded Sat, Sep 12, 9:31 AM ET

At the same moment the betting market priced Édgar Cháirez at 64.7% (8 books, margin removed).

Only the winner read was frozen. The method and round reads the card showed beside it were not recorded, so they are not reprinted here — re-running the model now would be a new forecast, not the one published.

Technical detailsWhich model and which pre-fight record this read comes from.
model ufc-fight-model@e657fc40b64d
pre-fight record snapshot-202609121331.json
forecast fl1-236e06ff59399ba2
settled 2026-09-13T13:11:48Z

Educational and paper-only — not betting advice.

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