NFL Week 6 · regular season
NFL hub →14 games
Pre-kickoff forecasts, each frozen at its kickoff. Scores derive from the median total and margin, so they always add up.
| Kickoff (ET) | Matchup | Model winner | Projected score | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Oct 15, 8:15 PM ET | DEN 55.2% | SEA 19 — 23 DEN | 42 (25–60) | View game → | |
| Sun, Oct 18, 9:30 AM ET | JAX 62.1% | HOU 20 — 23 JAX | 43 (26–61) | View game → | |
| Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET | BAL 61.9% | BAL 23 — 20 CLE | 43 (26–60) | View game → | |
| Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET | PHI 61.0% | CAR 18 — 26 PHI | 44 (28–62) | View game → | |
| Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET | CHI 52.6% | CHI 24 — 24 ATL | 48 (31–65) | View game → | |
| Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET | NYG 62.5% | NO 21 — 25 NYG | 46 (29–63) | View game → | |
| Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET | NE 80.0% | NYJ 16 — 27 NE | 43 (26–60) | View game → | |
| Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET | PIT 55.0% | PIT 23 — 21 TB | 44 (28–62) | View game → | |
| Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET | IND 74.1% | TEN 18 — 27 IND | 45 (29–63) | View game → | |
| Sun, Oct 18, 4:05 PM ET | LAR 78.3% | ARI 21 — 32 LAR | 53 (36–71) | View game → | |
| Sun, Oct 18, 4:25 PM ET | BUF 72.0% | BUF 28 — 21 LV | 49 (32–66) | View game → | |
| Sun, Oct 18, 4:25 PM ET | KC 72.1% | LAC 17 — 24 KC | 41 (24–58) | View game → | |
| Sun, Oct 18, 8:20 PM ET | GB 63.5% | DAL 23 — 29 GB | 52 (35–69) | View game → | |
| Mon, Oct 19, 8:15 PM ET | SF 80.5% | WSH 20 — 30 SF | 50 (33–67) | View game → |
Weekly top boards
One ranking owner; a top-N table is a maximum, not a quota; a statistic that has not cleared its publication standard says so instead of ranking.
Top 5 · Anytime touchdown
- 1
Christian McCaffreyMatchupSF vs WSHStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks63.4%Game → - 2
Mike EvansMatchupSF vs WSHStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks46.7%Game → - 3
George KittleMatchupSF vs WSHStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks45.3%Game → - 4
Brandon AiyukMatchupSF vs WSHStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks34.9%Game → - 5
Stefon DiggsMatchupWSH vs SFStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks34.7%Game →
We have not checked the sportsbooks for this market, so we are not showing a price we do not hold.
Top 10 · Receptions
- 1
Mike EvansMatchupSF vs WSHStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks4 recRange1–8Game → - 2
Stefon DiggsMatchupWSH vs SFStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks3 recRange1–7Game → - 3
Terry McLaurinMatchupWSH vs SFStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks3 recRange1–7Game → - 4
George KittleMatchupSF vs WSHStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks3 recRange1–7Game → - 5
Brandon AiyukMatchupSF vs WSHStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks3 recRange1–7Game → - 6
Christian McCaffreyMatchupSF vs WSHStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks3 recRange1–7Game → - 7
Chig OkonkwoMatchupWSH vs SFStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks2 recRange1–6Game → - 8
Antonio WilliamsMatchupWSH vs SFStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks2 recRange1–5Game → - 9
Ricky PearsallMatchupSF vs WSHStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks2 recRange1–6Game → - 10
Treylon BurksMatchupWSH vs SFStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks2 recRange0–4Game →
We have not checked the sportsbooks for this market, so we are not showing a price we do not hold.
Top 10 · Rushing yards
Estimate · calibration standard not yet met · Its uncertainty calibration failed the preregistered bar — the range shown may be mis-sized even where the middle is reasonable.
- 1
Christian McCaffreyMatchupSF vs WSHStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks49 ydsestimateRange18–95Game → - 2
Kaelon BlackMatchupSF vs WSHStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks20 ydsestimateRange3–50Game → - 3
Jayden DanielsMatchupWSH vs SFStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks19 ydsestimateRange0–64Game → - 4
Brock PurdyMatchupSF vs WSHStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks16 ydsestimateRange0–48Game → - 5
Rachaad WhiteMatchupWSH vs SFStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks12 ydsestimateRange0–38Game → - 6
Austin EkelerMatchupWSH vs SFStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks7 ydsestimateRange0–29Game → - 7
Athan KaliakmanisMatchupWSH vs SFStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks3 ydsestimateRange0–25Game → - 8
Jordan JamesMatchupSF vs WSHStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks2 ydsestimateRange0–24Game → - 9
Mac JonesMatchupSF vs WSHStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks2 ydsestimateRange0–21Game → - 10
Jeremy McNicholsMatchupWSH vs SFStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks0 ydsestimateRange0–19Game →
We have not checked the sportsbooks for this market, so we are not showing a price we do not hold.
Top 10 · Receiving yards
- 1
Mike EvansMatchupSF vs WSHStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks39 ydsRange7–91Game → - 2
Terry McLaurinMatchupWSH vs SFStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks37 ydsRange6–90Game → - 3
George KittleMatchupSF vs WSHStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks32 ydsRange3–79Game → - 4
Stefon DiggsMatchupWSH vs SFStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks31 ydsRange5–75Game → - 5
Chig OkonkwoMatchupWSH vs SFStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks22 ydsRange0–62Game → - 6
Christian McCaffreyMatchupSF vs WSHStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks21 ydsRange0–57Game → - 7
Antonio WilliamsMatchupWSH vs SFStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks20 ydsRange0–57Game → - 8
Ricky PearsallMatchupSF vs WSHStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks16 ydsRange0–52Game → - 9
Treylon BurksMatchupWSH vs SFStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks14 ydsRange0–52Game → - 10
Jake TongesMatchupSF vs WSHStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks13 ydsRange0–45Game →
We have not checked the sportsbooks for this market, so we are not showing a price we do not hold.
Top 10 · Passing yards
Estimate · calibration standard not yet met · The chance of going over a line is not yet well calibrated for this family — read the range, not a precise over/under chance.
- 1
Brock PurdyMatchupSF vs WSHStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks234 ydsestimateRange128–389Game → - 2
Jayden DanielsMatchupWSH vs SFStartMon 8:15 PM ETMarketNot checkedModelGameTimePicks165 ydsestimateRange86–283Game →
We have not checked the sportsbooks for this market, so we are not showing a price we do not hold.
Board stamp · frozen full-week edition
