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Educational analyticsNot betting advice · research use only.
GameTime Picks

Settled · UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos

Luis Hernandez vs Sedriques Dumas

Card started Sat, Sep 26, 5:00 PM ET · UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos

Official result

What happened

From the official result record. Method and round are shown only where that record carries them and names the same outcome.

Luis Hernandez won · Submission · round 1 · 0:57

HIT — the model’s pick, Luis Hernandez, won.

Before the fight

The forecast as published

Frozen before the card started and never changed afterwards.

Model pick: Luis Hernandez · 53.4%

Recorded Sat, Sep 26, 10:55 AM ET

At the same moment the betting market priced Luis Hernandez at 68.2% (6 books, margin removed).

Only the winner read was frozen. The method and round reads the card showed beside it were not recorded, so they are not reprinted here — re-running the model now would be a new forecast, not the one published.

Technical detailsWhich model and which pre-fight record this read comes from.
model ufc-fight-model@e657fc40b64d
pre-fight record snapshot-202609261455.json
forecast fl1-54bb0cfce8ec1782
settled 2026-09-27T13:40:10Z

Educational and paper-only — not betting advice.

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