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Educational analyticsNot betting advice · research use only.
GameTime Picks

Settled · UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song

Denise Gomes vs Yan Xiaonan

Card started Sat, Aug 29, 3:00 AM ET · UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song

Official result

What happened

From the official result record. Method and round are shown only where that record carries them and names the same outcome.

Denise Gomes won · KO / TKO · round 1 · 4:49

HIT — the model’s pick, Denise Gomes, won.

Before the fight

The forecast as published

Frozen before the card started and never changed afterwards.

Model pick: Denise Gomes · 69.6%

Recorded Fri, Aug 28, 6:58 PM ET

At the same moment the betting market priced Denise Gomes at 42.7% (6 books, margin removed).

Only the winner read was frozen. The method and round reads the card showed beside it were not recorded, so they are not reprinted here — re-running the model now would be a new forecast, not the one published.

Technical detailsWhich model and which pre-fight record this read comes from.
model ufc-fight-model@e657fc40b64d
pre-fight record snapshot-202608282258.json
forecast fl1-bb62fe1983016322
settled 2026-08-29T13:42:33Z

Educational and paper-only — not betting advice.

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