NBA · Thu, Oct 29 · tip-off Oct 29, 8:00 PM ET
Sacramento Kings at New Orleans Pelicans
Final: SAC 120 – 132 NO
The Official Forecast favoured New Orleans Pelicans — the side won.
Official Forecast · frozen before tip-off · shown exactly as frozen
GameTimePicks Official Forecast
- Favoured side
- New Orleans Pelicans (NO) · Elo team rating
- Elo-derived game-winner estimate
- Elo-derived game-winner estimate: SAC 37% · NO 63%
- Player statistics
- GameTimePicks player model · medians
- Frozen
- Oct 29, 12:01 PM ET
- Withheld
- Team scores, player ranges, prices
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | PRA | P+R | P+A |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nique Clifford | 35.7 | 15.6 | 5.2 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 25.2 | 20.9 | 19.9 |
| Zach LaVine | 31.8 | 19 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 24 | 21.8 | 21.3 |
| Daeqwon Plowden | 30.2 | 14.1 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 2.8 | 18.6 | 16.9 | 15.8 |
| Domantas Sabonis | 30.1 | 15.5 | 11.1 | 4 | 0.3 | 31.1 | 26.9 | 19.7 |
| Precious Achiuwa | 29.8 | 15 | 8.3 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 25.9 | 23.6 | 17.3 |
| Leaky Black | 27.3 | 4.4 | 4 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 10.5 | 8.9 | 5.9 |
| De'Andre Hunter | 25.8 | 11.9 | 4.7 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 19.2 | 16.6 | 14.5 |
| Malik Monk | 22.1 | 9 | 1.6 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 15.4 | 10.7 | 13.6 |
| Ben Simmons | Projection unavailable — ruled out on the pre-tip injury report | |||||||
| Dylan Cardwell | Projection unavailable — ruled out on the pre-tip injury report | |||||||
| Keegan Murray | Projection unavailable — ruled out on the pre-tip injury report | |||||||
| Sean Pedulla | Projection unavailable — expected to play too few minutes for a published projection | |||||||
| Maxime Raynaud | Projection unavailable — ruled out on the pre-tip injury report | |||||||
| Alex Karaban | Projection unavailable — a rookie with no NBA minutes in the data yet | |||||||
| Emanuel Sharp | Projection unavailable — a rookie with no NBA minutes in the data yet | |||||||
| Jonathan Mogbo | Projection unavailable — expected to play too few minutes for a published projection | |||||||
| Darius Acuff Jr. | Projection unavailable — a rookie with no NBA minutes in the data yet | |||||||
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | PRA | P+R | P+A |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III | 23 | 10.6 | 4 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 16.4 | 14.6 | 12.4 |
| Jeremiah Fears | 21.3 | 15.2 | 2.6 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 21 | 17.8 | 18.3 |
| Saddiq Bey | 21.2 | 13.1 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 2 | 17 | 15.8 | 14.3 |
| Julian Reese | 21.2 | 6.9 | 6.1 | 1.2 | 0 | 15.2 | 13.7 | 8.4 |
| Zion Williamson | 19.7 | 12.1 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 0 | 17.2 | 15.4 | 13.9 |
| Dejounte Murray | 18.8 | 7.8 | 4 | 4.4 | 0.3 | 16.3 | 11.7 | 12.3 |
| Derik Queen | 18.4 | 8.5 | 5.5 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 16.2 | 14.2 | 10.5 |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 16.6 | 8.3 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 13 | 11.3 | 10 |
| Herbert Jones | 16 | 4.6 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 7.9 | 6.1 | 6.4 |
| Jordan Poole · Day-To-Day | 15 | 7.9 | 1 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 11.2 | 9 | 10.1 |
| Bryce McGowens | 13.9 | 4.9 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 7.5 | 6.3 | 6 |
| Karlo Matkovic | 12 | 4.2 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 7 | 6.6 | 4.6 |
| DeAndre Jordan | 11 | 2.7 | 4 | 0.5 | 0 | 7.6 | 6.8 | 3.4 |
| Trendon Watford | Projection unavailable — expected to play too few minutes for a published projection | |||||||
| Jaron Pierre Jr. | Projection unavailable — a rookie with no NBA minutes in the data yet | |||||||
| Malik Dia | Projection unavailable — a rookie with no NBA minutes in the data yet | |||||||
| Yves Missi | Projection unavailable — ruled out on the pre-tip injury report | |||||||
| AJ Johnson | Projection unavailable — expected to play too few minutes for a published projection | |||||||
Medians from the frozen player simulation; MIN is expected minutes. PRA, P+R and P+A are medians of the per-draw sums over the same simulated draws, so they are not the sum of the medians beside them. “—” means the figure was not published. A status after a name is the pre-tip injury report.
Model Performance: the Elo rating’s game-outcome accuracy is not yet established — 71 regular-season games graded so far; the preregistration requires 300 before any accuracy claim. An estimate derived from the Elo team rating — not an independently validated probability, not a simulation result, and not a betting recommendation.
Frozen before tip-off and shown exactly as frozen. Not a betting recommendation. NBA forecasts are graded after every game. The favoured-side record is published as counts on NBA results; it is not judged before 300 graded games.
Game Simulation archived
Game Simulations are shown on game day only. The Official Forecast stays available, frozen exactly as it was published before tip-off. No Game Simulation is shown on this page.
Model vs. sportsbook line · NBA player props
67 of 147 projections have a qualified sportsbook line. Direction not shown: 9.
This game: 58 lines · ▲ 12 ▼ 46 · View lines →
- OVER means our model's projection is above the sportsbook's line.
- UNDER means our model's projection is below the sportsbook's line.
- NEUTRAL means our model's projection is the same as the sportsbook's line.
- Difference is our projection minus the line: 36.0 against 29.5 is +6.5. A gap smaller than 0.05 shows as +0.0 or −0.0 and keeps its direction.
- A line older than 6 hours, taken after the game started, not matched to the player and game, suspended, or for a statistic we do not project is shown with the reason and is not compared.
- Over and Under prices are the sportsbook's American odds. A dash means the sportsbook did not post that price; it is never a zero.
- Comparison not shown means the model and the sportsbook line are both shown without a direction, because that statistic's forecast has not yet met our calibration standard.
- It is a comparison, not a bet recommendation or a probability, and it guarantees nothing.
Sportsbook availability varies by state.
Technical detailsModel versions, the frozen receipt and the rule behind the favoured side
- Favoured side
- Elo team rating — the published winner side (founder N2) and its Elo-derived game-winner estimate · rule nba-winner-side@1
- Player model
- v0.1 roster-gated player simulation (nba-preseason-experimental-v0.1) — medians of 10000 simulated games
- Model version
- nba-preseason-experimental-v0.1
- Receipt
- payload hash 5132f24fb32615379493f191276a9060dc8f83413dd59a1c0c94996e70f67d03
- Simulation engine
- nba-preseason-experimental-v0 · 10,000 simulated games