NBA · Thu, Oct 29 · tip-off Oct 29, 8:00 PM ET
Cleveland Cavaliers at Atlanta Hawks
Final: CLE 111 – 114 ATL
The Official Forecast favoured Atlanta Hawks — the side won.
Official Forecast · frozen before tip-off · shown exactly as frozen
GameTimePicks Official Forecast
- Favoured side
- Atlanta Hawks (ATL) · Elo team rating
- Elo-derived game-winner estimate
- Elo-derived game-winner estimate: CLE 45% · ATL 55%
- Player statistics
- GameTimePicks player model · medians
- Frozen
- Oct 29, 12:01 PM ET
- Withheld
- Team scores, player ranges, prices
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | PRA | P+R | P+A |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden | 39.2 | 18.6 | 4.9 | 5 | 1.9 | 28.5 | 23.4 | 23.6 |
| Donovan Mitchell | 38.6 | 29.1 | 5.1 | 3.3 | 2.8 | 37.6 | 34.3 | 32.5 |
| Evan Mobley | 38.6 | 17.1 | 7.8 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 29.2 | 24.9 | 21.3 |
| Jarrett Allen | 32.4 | 15 | 7 | 1.2 | 0 | 23.3 | 22 | 16.3 |
| Peyton Watson | 30.7 | 14.3 | 4.7 | 2 | 1.5 | 21.5 | 19.3 | 16.6 |
| Sam Merrill | 21.8 | 8.7 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 2 | 10.8 | 9.6 | 9.8 |
| Jaylon Tyson | 10.1 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 4.8 | 4 | 2.5 |
| Mario Hezonja | Projection unavailable — not enough recent NBA minutes to project (for example, a returning player) | |||||||
| Thomas Bryant | Projection unavailable — expected to play too few minutes for a published projection | |||||||
| Tristan Enaruna | Projection unavailable — expected to play too few minutes for a published projection | |||||||
| Craig Porter Jr. | Projection unavailable — expected to play too few minutes for a published projection | |||||||
| Tyrese Proctor | Projection unavailable — expected to play too few minutes for a published projection | |||||||
| Meleek Thomas | Projection unavailable — a rookie with no NBA minutes in the data yet | |||||||
| Riley Minix | Projection unavailable — expected to play too few minutes for a published projection | |||||||
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | PRA | P+R | P+A |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 27.6 | 13.7 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 17.4 | 15.5 | 15.6 |
| Jalen Johnson | 27 | 14.3 | 6.5 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 24.5 | 20.8 | 17.9 |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 25.2 | 9 | 4.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 15.4 | 14 | 10.5 |
| CJ McCollum | 24.2 | 14.7 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 19.5 | 17.2 | 17 |
| Dyson Daniels | 22.8 | 6.6 | 5.4 | 4.2 | 0.5 | 16.4 | 12.1 | 10.8 |
| Keshon Gilbert | 20 | 8 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 1 | 13.2 | 11.2 | 9.9 |
| Jalen Wilson | 18.2 | 7.9 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 13.3 | 11.3 | 9.9 |
| Luguentz Dort | 16.1 | 3.6 | 2 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 6.7 | 5.7 | 4.6 |
| Jock Landale | 15 | 6.6 | 3 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 11.1 | 9.7 | 7.9 |
| Asa Newell | 11.2 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 6.6 | 5.6 | 3.9 |
| Dorian Finney-Smith | 10.8 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 4.3 | 3.9 | 2.6 |
| Corey Kispert | Projection unavailable — expected to play too few minutes for a published projection | |||||||
| Aaron Wiggins | Projection unavailable — expected to play too few minutes for a published projection | |||||||
| RayJ Dennis | Projection unavailable — expected to play too few minutes for a published projection | |||||||
| Mouhamed Gueye | Projection unavailable — ruled out on the pre-tip injury report | |||||||
| Henri Veesaar | Projection unavailable — ruled out on the pre-tip injury report | |||||||
| Zuby Ejiofor | Projection unavailable — a rookie with no NBA minutes in the data yet | |||||||
| Kingston Flemings | Projection unavailable — a rookie with no NBA minutes in the data yet | |||||||
Medians from the frozen player simulation; MIN is expected minutes. PRA, P+R and P+A are medians of the per-draw sums over the same simulated draws, so they are not the sum of the medians beside them. “—” means the figure was not published. A status after a name is the pre-tip injury report.
Model Performance: the Elo rating’s game-outcome accuracy is not yet established — 71 regular-season games graded so far; the preregistration requires 300 before any accuracy claim. An estimate derived from the Elo team rating — not an independently validated probability, not a simulation result, and not a betting recommendation.
Frozen before tip-off and shown exactly as frozen. Not a betting recommendation. NBA forecasts are graded after every game. The favoured-side record is published as counts on NBA results; it is not judged before 300 graded games.
Game Simulation archived
Game Simulations are shown on game day only. The Official Forecast stays available, frozen exactly as it was published before tip-off. No Game Simulation is shown on this page.
Model vs. sportsbook line · NBA player props
97 of 126 projections have a qualified sportsbook line. Direction not shown: 13.
This game: 84 lines · ▲ 19 ▼ 65 · View lines →
- OVER means our model's projection is above the sportsbook's line.
- UNDER means our model's projection is below the sportsbook's line.
- NEUTRAL means our model's projection is the same as the sportsbook's line.
- Difference is our projection minus the line: 36.0 against 29.5 is +6.5. A gap smaller than 0.05 shows as +0.0 or −0.0 and keeps its direction.
- A line older than 6 hours, taken after the game started, not matched to the player and game, suspended, or for a statistic we do not project is shown with the reason and is not compared.
- Over and Under prices are the sportsbook's American odds. A dash means the sportsbook did not post that price; it is never a zero.
- Comparison not shown means the model and the sportsbook line are both shown without a direction, because that statistic's forecast has not yet met our calibration standard.
- It is a comparison, not a bet recommendation or a probability, and it guarantees nothing.
Sportsbook availability varies by state.
Technical detailsModel versions, the frozen receipt and the rule behind the favoured side
- Favoured side
- Elo team rating — the published winner side (founder N2) and its Elo-derived game-winner estimate · rule nba-winner-side@1
- Player model
- v0.1 roster-gated player simulation (nba-preseason-experimental-v0.1) — medians of 10000 simulated games
- Model version
- nba-preseason-experimental-v0.1
- Receipt
- payload hash 6f58ab238ae4240df812ef0eae526cdd9e4058f6ba935910e015f491036fc0b6
- Simulation engine
- nba-preseason-experimental-v0 · 10,000 simulated games