NBA · Wed, Oct 28 · tip-off Oct 28, 8:00 PM ET
Golden State Warriors at Minnesota Timberwolves
Final: GS 119 – 114 MIN
The Official Forecast favoured Minnesota Timberwolves — the side lost.
Official Forecast · frozen before tip-off · shown exactly as frozen
GameTimePicks Official Forecast
- Favoured side
- Minnesota Timberwolves (MIN) · Elo team rating
- Elo-derived game-winner estimate
- Elo-derived game-winner estimate: GS 25% · MIN 75%
- Player statistics
- GameTimePicks player model · medians
- Frozen
- Oct 28, 11:57 AM ET
- Withheld
- Team scores, player ranges, prices
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | PRA | P+R | P+A |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandin Podziemski | 26.8 | 16.5 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 22.5 | 20.3 | 18.7 |
| Stephen Curry | 26 | 18.8 | 3 | 3.1 | 3.5 | 25 | 21.9 | 22 |
| Draymond Green | 25.5 | 6 | 4.1 | 6 | 1 | 16.3 | 10.1 | 12.1 |
| Gui Santos | 25.1 | 11 | 4.8 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 16 | 14.2 |
| De'Anthony Melton | 20.9 | 7.4 | 3.2 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 13.3 | 10.6 | 10 |
| Brandon Williams | 20.9 | 12.8 | 2.1 | 4.3 | 0.1 | 19.4 | 15 | 17.2 |
| Al Horford | 18.5 | 8.1 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 11.9 | 10.6 | 9.4 |
| Gary Payton II | 18.3 | 7.5 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 12.1 | 10.8 | 8.7 |
| LJ Cryer | 17.2 | 7.6 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 9.8 | 8.3 | 9.2 |
| Malevy Leons | 15.5 | 4.5 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 8.9 | 7 | 6.4 |
| Charles Bassey | 14.8 | 6.7 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 0 | 12.7 | 11.9 | 7.5 |
| Will Richard | 10.6 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0 | 2 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| Georges Niang | Projection unavailable — not enough recent NBA minutes to project (for example, a returning player) | |||||||
| Kristaps Porzingis | Projection unavailable — ruled out on the pre-tip injury report | |||||||
| Moses Moody | Projection unavailable — ruled out on the pre-tip injury report | |||||||
| Graham Ike | Projection unavailable — a rookie with no NBA minutes in the data yet | |||||||
| Yaxel Lendeborg | Projection unavailable — a rookie with no NBA minutes in the data yet | |||||||
| Jimmy Butler III | Projection unavailable — ruled out on the pre-tip injury report | |||||||
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | PRA | P+R | P+A |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Williams | 32.5 | 15.2 | 3.6 | 4.4 | 0.3 | 23.3 | 18.8 | 19.6 |
| Jaden McDaniels | 31.1 | 15 | 5.2 | 2 | 0.9 | 22.5 | 20.4 | 17.2 |
| Rudy Gobert | 28.4 | 6 | 8.6 | 2.2 | 0 | 17 | 14.6 | 8.3 |
| LaMelo Ball | 28.1 | 21.4 | 4.1 | 6.8 | 3.8 | 32.6 | 25.7 | 28.3 |
| Ayo Dosunmu | 27.7 | 14.2 | 3.4 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 22 | 17.8 | 18.3 |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 23.6 | 12.5 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 17.4 | 16.2 | 13.8 |
| Terrence Shannon Jr. | 20.9 | 9.6 | 2.1 | 1 | 0.7 | 13.3 | 11.9 | 10.9 |
| Bones Hyland | 11.7 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 6.2 | 4.6 | 4.8 |
| Trey Lyles | Projection unavailable — not enough recent NBA minutes to project (for example, a returning player) | |||||||
| Donte DiVincenzo | Projection unavailable — ruled out on the pre-tip injury report | |||||||
| Jaylen Clark | Projection unavailable — expected to play too few minutes for a published projection | |||||||
| Enrique Freeman | Projection unavailable — expected to play too few minutes for a published projection | |||||||
| Zyon Pullin | Projection unavailable — expected to play too few minutes for a published projection | |||||||
| Anthony Edwards | Projection unavailable — ruled out on the pre-tip injury report | |||||||
| Isaiah Evans | Projection unavailable — a rookie with no NBA minutes in the data yet | |||||||
| Rocco Zikarsky | Projection unavailable — expected to play too few minutes for a published projection | |||||||
| Joan Beringer | Projection unavailable — expected to play too few minutes for a published projection | |||||||
Medians from the frozen player simulation; MIN is expected minutes. PRA, P+R and P+A are medians of the per-draw sums over the same simulated draws, so they are not the sum of the medians beside them. “—” means the figure was not published. A status after a name is the pre-tip injury report.
Model Performance: the Elo rating’s game-outcome accuracy is not yet established — 71 regular-season games graded so far; the preregistration requires 300 before any accuracy claim. An estimate derived from the Elo team rating — not an independently validated probability, not a simulation result, and not a betting recommendation.
Frozen before tip-off and shown exactly as frozen. Not a betting recommendation. NBA forecasts are graded after every game. The favoured-side record is published as counts on NBA results; it is not judged before 300 graded games.
Game Simulation archived
Game Simulations are shown on game day only. The Official Forecast stays available, frozen exactly as it was published before tip-off. No Game Simulation is shown on this page.
Technical detailsModel versions, the frozen receipt and the rule behind the favoured side
- Favoured side
- Elo team rating — the published winner side (founder N2) and its Elo-derived game-winner estimate · rule nba-winner-side@1
- Player model
- v0.1 roster-gated player simulation (nba-preseason-experimental-v0.1) — medians of 10000 simulated games
- Model version
- nba-preseason-experimental-v0.1
- Receipt
- payload hash 5c9071a592f2654a244c8117e22ae2c3eb54fe72061958a8028c96e78bccb343
- Simulation engine
- nba-preseason-experimental-v0 · 10,000 simulated games