NBA · Wed, Oct 28 · tip-off Oct 28, 8:00 PM ET
Houston Rockets at Milwaukee Bucks
Final: HOU 132 – 100 MIL
The Official Forecast favoured Houston Rockets — the side won.
Official Forecast · frozen before tip-off · shown exactly as frozen
GameTimePicks Official Forecast
- Favoured side
- Houston Rockets (HOU) · Elo team rating
- Elo-derived game-winner estimate
- Elo-derived game-winner estimate: HOU 59% · MIL 41%
- Player statistics
- GameTimePicks player model · medians
- Frozen
- Oct 28, 11:57 AM ET
- Withheld
- Team scores, player ranges, prices
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | PRA | P+R | P+A |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amen Thompson | 36.1 | 18.4 | 6.2 | 5 | 0.2 | 29.6 | 24.5 | 23.3 |
| Jabari Smith Jr. | 34.2 | 15 | 6.3 | 1.3 | 2.5 | 22.7 | 21.3 | 16.3 |
| Kevin Durant | 32.5 | 23 | 5.1 | 4 | 1.9 | 32 | 28 | 27 |
| Marcus Smart · Day-To-Day | 29.1 | 10.8 | 2.9 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 18.1 | 13.7 | 15.1 |
| Tari Eason | 25.4 | 10.4 | 5.2 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 17.1 | 15.6 | 11.9 |
| Reed Sheppard | 23.4 | 9.3 | 1.3 | 2.7 | 2 | 13.9 | 10.9 | 12.2 |
| Oscar Tshiebwe | 17.5 | 9.1 | 7.9 | 1.4 | 0 | 18.8 | 17.2 | 10.8 |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 16.6 | 5.5 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1 | 9.5 | 7.6 | 7.3 |
| Fred VanVleet | Projection unavailable — not enough recent NBA minutes to project (for example, a returning player) | |||||||
| Steven Adams | Projection unavailable — ruled out on the pre-tip injury report | |||||||
| Clint Capela | Projection unavailable — expected to play too few minutes for a published projection | |||||||
| Jae'Sean Tate | Projection unavailable — expected to play too few minutes for a published projection | |||||||
| Isaiah Crawford | Projection unavailable — expected to play too few minutes for a published projection | |||||||
| Quadir Copeland | Projection unavailable — a rookie with no NBA minutes in the data yet | |||||||
| Alperen Sengun | Projection unavailable — ruled out on the pre-tip injury report | |||||||
| Julian Phillips | Projection unavailable — expected to play too few minutes for a published projection | |||||||
| Bruce Thornton | Projection unavailable — a rookie with no NBA minutes in the data yet | |||||||
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | PRA | P+R | P+A |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Green | 20.2 | 9.4 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 2.7 | 13.4 | 11.9 | 10.8 |
| Tyler Herro | 19.9 | 10.8 | 2.6 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 16.8 | 13.5 | 14.1 |
| Ousmane Dieng | 19.6 | 8.3 | 3.6 | 3.3 | 0.5 | 15.4 | 12 | 11.7 |
| Ryan Rollins | 19.1 | 12.4 | 2.1 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 17.8 | 14.6 | 15.7 |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 17.8 | 10.8 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 1 | 16.4 | 13.7 | 13.4 |
| Jericho Sims | 17.5 | 5.5 | 5 | 2.2 | 0 | 12.9 | 10.6 | 7.8 |
| Cormac Ryan | 17.4 | 9.4 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 12.5 | 11.2 | 10.6 |
| Pete Nance | 17 | 4.9 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 1 | 9 | 7.5 | 6.3 |
| Myles Turner | 14.9 | 7.2 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 11.7 | 10.9 | 7.9 |
| Kyle Kuzma | 13.8 | 7 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 12.3 | 9.7 | 9.6 |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 13.6 | 7.9 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 9.6 | 8.6 | 8.9 |
| Kel'el Ware | 13.3 | 6.1 | 4.7 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 12.3 | 11.1 | 7.2 |
| Kam Jones | 13.2 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 3.3 | 0.4 | 8.2 | 4.9 | 6.7 |
| Caris LeVert | 11.4 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 5.9 | 5.1 | 4.6 |
| Kasparas Jakucionis | 11.4 | 4.3 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 7.6 | 5.6 | 6.3 |
| Brayden Burries | Projection unavailable — a rookie with no NBA minutes in the data yet | |||||||
| Nate Ament | Projection unavailable — a rookie with no NBA minutes in the data yet | |||||||
| Bogoljub Markovic | Projection unavailable — a rookie with no NBA minutes in the data yet | |||||||
Medians from the frozen player simulation; MIN is expected minutes. PRA, P+R and P+A are medians of the per-draw sums over the same simulated draws, so they are not the sum of the medians beside them. “—” means the figure was not published. A status after a name is the pre-tip injury report.
Model Performance: the Elo rating’s game-outcome accuracy is not yet established — 71 regular-season games graded so far; the preregistration requires 300 before any accuracy claim. An estimate derived from the Elo team rating — not an independently validated probability, not a simulation result, and not a betting recommendation.
Frozen before tip-off and shown exactly as frozen. Not a betting recommendation. NBA forecasts are graded after every game. The favoured-side record is published as counts on NBA results; it is not judged before 300 graded games.
Game Simulation archived
Game Simulations are shown on game day only. The Official Forecast stays available, frozen exactly as it was published before tip-off. No Game Simulation is shown on this page.
Technical detailsModel versions, the frozen receipt and the rule behind the favoured side
- Favoured side
- Elo team rating — the published winner side (founder N2) and its Elo-derived game-winner estimate · rule nba-winner-side@1
- Player model
- v0.1 roster-gated player simulation (nba-preseason-experimental-v0.1) — medians of 10000 simulated games
- Model version
- nba-preseason-experimental-v0.1
- Receipt
- payload hash cef64c6cd516f589f27203a536a3431683d35d8b964f9f1ef3de24cb17ec33cd
- Simulation engine
- nba-preseason-experimental-v0 · 10,000 simulated games