NBA · Wed, Oct 28 · tip-off Oct 28, 7:00 PM ET
Charlotte Hornets at Detroit Pistons
Final: CHA 89 – 97 DET
The Official Forecast favoured Detroit Pistons — the side won.
Official Forecast · frozen before tip-off · shown exactly as frozen
GameTimePicks Official Forecast
- Favoured side
- Detroit Pistons (DET) · Elo team rating
- Elo-derived game-winner estimate
- Elo-derived game-winner estimate: CHA 33% · DET 67%
- Player statistics
- GameTimePicks player model · medians
- Frozen
- Oct 28, 11:23 AM ET
- Withheld
- Team scores, player ranges, prices
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | PRA | P+R | P+A |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Miller | 33.9 | 19.4 | 3.9 | 2.9 | 3.3 | 26.3 | 23.4 | 22.3 |
| Naz Reid | 30.3 | 14.3 | 8 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 24.8 | 22.3 | 16.7 |
| Moussa Diabate | 28.6 | 5.8 | 9.2 | 2.2 | 0 | 17.3 | 15 | 8 |
| Royce O'Neale | 25 | 8.9 | 5.5 | 2 | 2.2 | 16.6 | 14.5 | 10.9 |
| Sion James | 21.6 | 5.8 | 4.4 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 12.8 | 10.2 | 8.4 |
| Grayson Allen | 20.8 | 9.1 | 3.1 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 14.2 | 12.4 | 11 |
| Ryan Kalkbrenner | 20 | 5.4 | 4.7 | 1 | 0 | 11.2 | 10.1 | 6.4 |
| Dennis Schroder | 18.8 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 3.2 | 0.7 | 9.6 | 6.3 | 7.7 |
| PJ Hall | 16.9 | 6.1 | 5.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 12.8 | 12 | 6.9 |
| Tidjane Salaun | 16.6 | 5.8 | 3.8 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 10.9 | 10 | 6.7 |
| Grant Williams | Projection unavailable — ruled out on the pre-tip injury report | |||||||
| Coby White | Projection unavailable — ruled out on the pre-tip injury report | |||||||
| Kylan Boswell | Projection unavailable — ruled out on the pre-tip injury report | |||||||
| Christian Anderson | Projection unavailable — a rookie with no NBA minutes in the data yet | |||||||
| Kon Knueppel | Projection unavailable — ruled out on the pre-tip injury report | |||||||
| Liam McNeeley | Projection unavailable — expected to play too few minutes for a published projection | |||||||
| Hannes Steinbach | Projection unavailable — a rookie with no NBA minutes in the data yet | |||||||
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | PRA | P+R | P+A |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham | 35.6 | 23.6 | 4 | 6.4 | 2.7 | 34.2 | 27.8 | 30 |
| Elijah Harkless | 28.1 | 6.9 | 3.3 | 3.6 | 0.8 | 14.1 | 10.3 | 10.6 |
| Ausar Thompson | 26.3 | 6.1 | 6.5 | 3.2 | 0.1 | 16 | 12.8 | 9.3 |
| Duncan Robinson | 25.7 | 10.8 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 2.9 | 14.9 | 13.1 | 12.7 |
| Taurean Prince | 25.5 | 12.1 | 3.9 | 2.8 | 3.1 | 18.9 | 16.1 | 14.9 |
| Daniss Jenkins | 22.7 | 8.9 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 14.3 | 11.3 | 11.8 |
| John Collins | 21.1 | 11.1 | 5 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 17 | 16.1 | 12 |
| Kevin Huerter | 16 | 5.4 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 9.5 | 7.5 | 7.3 |
| Javonte Green | Projection unavailable — expected to play too few minutes for a published projection | |||||||
| Paul Reed | Projection unavailable — expected to play too few minutes for a published projection | |||||||
| Isaiah Joe | Projection unavailable — expected to play too few minutes for a published projection | |||||||
| Tolu Smith | Projection unavailable — expected to play too few minutes for a published projection | |||||||
| Jalen Duren | Projection unavailable — ruled out on the pre-tip injury report | |||||||
| Ronald Holland II | Projection unavailable — expected to play too few minutes for a published projection | |||||||
| Chaz Lanier | Projection unavailable — expected to play too few minutes for a published projection | |||||||
| Ugonna Onyenso | Projection unavailable — a rookie with no NBA minutes in the data yet | |||||||
| Isaac Jones | Projection unavailable — expected to play too few minutes for a published projection | |||||||
| Ebuka Okorie | Projection unavailable — a rookie with no NBA minutes in the data yet | |||||||
Medians from the frozen player simulation; MIN is expected minutes. PRA, P+R and P+A are medians of the per-draw sums over the same simulated draws, so they are not the sum of the medians beside them. “—” means the figure was not published. A status after a name is the pre-tip injury report.
Model Performance: the Elo rating’s game-outcome accuracy is not yet established — 71 regular-season games graded so far; the preregistration requires 300 before any accuracy claim. An estimate derived from the Elo team rating — not an independently validated probability, not a simulation result, and not a betting recommendation.
Frozen before tip-off and shown exactly as frozen. Not a betting recommendation. NBA forecasts are graded after every game. The favoured-side record is published as counts on NBA results; it is not judged before 300 graded games.
Game Simulation archived
Game Simulations are shown on game day only. The Official Forecast stays available, frozen exactly as it was published before tip-off. No Game Simulation is shown on this page.
Technical detailsModel versions, the frozen receipt and the rule behind the favoured side
- Favoured side
- Elo team rating — the published winner side (founder N2) and its Elo-derived game-winner estimate · rule nba-winner-side@1
- Player model
- v0.1 roster-gated player simulation (nba-preseason-experimental-v0.1) — medians of 10000 simulated games
- Model version
- nba-preseason-experimental-v0.1
- Receipt
- payload hash 21d158707ed0889207bbc24f4aa2e26d9e3e0e34a2828ea52a961db808f151b6
- Simulation engine
- nba-preseason-experimental-v0 · 10,000 simulated games
