NBA · Mon, Oct 26 · tip-off Oct 26, 10:00 PM ET
Golden State Warriors at Denver Nuggets
Final: GS 134 – 114 DEN
The Official Forecast favoured Denver Nuggets — the side lost.
Official Forecast · frozen before tip-off · shown exactly as frozen
GameTimePicks Official Forecast
- Favoured side
- Denver Nuggets (DEN) · Elo team rating
- Elo-derived game-winner estimate
- Elo-derived game-winner estimate: GS 23% · DEN 77%
- Player statistics
- GameTimePicks player model · medians
- Frozen
- Oct 26, 12:05 PM ET
- Withheld
- Team scores, player ranges, prices
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | PRA | P+R | P+A |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandin Podziemski | 26.8 | 16.7 | 3.6 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 22.6 | 20.5 | 18.9 |
| Stephen Curry | 26 | 18.9 | 3 | 3.1 | 3.5 | 25.1 | 22 | 22 |
| Draymond Green | 25.5 | 6 | 4.1 | 5.9 | 1 | 16.2 | 10.2 | 12 |
| Gui Santos · Day-To-Day | 25.1 | 11 | 4.8 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 16 | 14.1 |
| De'Anthony Melton | 20.9 | 7.3 | 3.3 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 13.3 | 10.6 | 10 |
| Brandon Williams · Day-To-Day | 20.9 | 12.8 | 2.1 | 4.2 | 0.1 | 19.3 | 15 | 17.2 |
| Al Horford | 18.5 | 8.1 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 12 | 10.7 | 9.4 |
| Gary Payton II | 18.3 | 7.3 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 12.1 | 10.8 | 8.5 |
| LJ Cryer | 17.2 | 7.6 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 9.8 | 8.3 | 9.1 |
| Malevy Leons | 15.5 | 4.6 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 8.9 | 7 | 6.4 |
| Charles Bassey · Day-To-Day | 14.8 | 6.5 | 4.5 | 0.6 | 0 | 12.5 | 11.7 | 7.2 |
| Will Richard | 10.6 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| Georges Niang | Projection unavailable — not enough recent NBA minutes to project (for example, a returning player) | |||||||
| Kristaps Porzingis | Projection unavailable — ruled out on the pre-tip injury report | |||||||
| Moses Moody | Projection unavailable — ruled out on the pre-tip injury report | |||||||
| Graham Ike | Projection unavailable — a rookie with no NBA minutes in the data yet | |||||||
| Yaxel Lendeborg | Projection unavailable — a rookie with no NBA minutes in the data yet | |||||||
| Jimmy Butler III | Projection unavailable — ruled out on the pre-tip injury report | |||||||
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | PRA | P+R | P+A |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray | 32.6 | 19.7 | 4 | 4.8 | 2 | 28.4 | 23.6 | 24.5 |
| Nikola Jokic | 30.7 | 20.7 | 10.6 | 7.2 | 0.8 | 38.9 | 31.5 | 27.9 |
| Christian Braun | 26.8 | 7.3 | 3 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 11.7 | 10.3 | 8.7 |
| Cameron Johnson · Day-To-Day | 26.6 | 12.3 | 2.9 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 17.7 | 15.3 | 14.7 |
| Aaron Gordon | 23.8 | 10.1 | 4.4 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 17.6 | 14.5 | 13.1 |
| DeMar DeRozan | 23.1 | 14.9 | 2.1 | 3.6 | 0.5 | 21.2 | 17.2 | 18.8 |
| Ryan Nembhard | 20.1 | 6.2 | 2.8 | 5.6 | 0.4 | 15.3 | 9.3 | 12 |
| Marvin Bagley III | 17.5 | 11.1 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 1 | 17.1 | 15.7 | 12.5 |
| Cam Whitmore | 14.1 | 7.1 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 10 | 9.4 | 7.7 |
| Tyus Jones | 12.4 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 6.9 | 5 | 5.4 |
| Zeke Nnaji | 10.1 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 5.8 | 4.7 | 3.9 |
| Alpha Diallo | Projection unavailable — a rookie with no NBA minutes in the data yet | |||||||
| Julian Strawther | Projection unavailable — ruled out on the pre-tip injury report | |||||||
| DaRon Holmes II | Projection unavailable — expected to play too few minutes for a published projection | |||||||
| Bryce Hopkins | Projection unavailable — a rookie with no NBA minutes in the data yet | |||||||
| Spencer Jones | Projection unavailable — ruled out on the pre-tip injury report | |||||||
| Trevon Brazile | Projection unavailable — a rookie with no NBA minutes in the data yet | |||||||
Medians from the frozen player simulation; MIN is expected minutes. PRA, P+R and P+A are medians of the per-draw sums over the same simulated draws, so they are not the sum of the medians beside them. “—” means the figure was not published. A status after a name is the pre-tip injury report.
Model Performance: the Elo rating’s game-outcome accuracy is not yet established — 71 regular-season games graded so far; the preregistration requires 300 before any accuracy claim. An estimate derived from the Elo team rating — not an independently validated probability, not a simulation result, and not a betting recommendation.
Frozen before tip-off and shown exactly as frozen. Not a betting recommendation. NBA forecasts are graded after every game. The favoured-side record is published as counts on NBA results; it is not judged before 300 graded games.
Game Simulation archived
Game Simulations are shown on game day only. The Official Forecast stays available, frozen exactly as it was published before tip-off. No Game Simulation is shown on this page.
Technical detailsModel versions, the frozen receipt and the rule behind the favoured side
- Favoured side
- Elo team rating — the published winner side (founder N2) and its Elo-derived game-winner estimate · rule nba-winner-side@1
- Player model
- v0.1 roster-gated player simulation (nba-preseason-experimental-v0.1) — medians of 10000 simulated games
- Model version
- nba-preseason-experimental-v0.1
- Receipt
- payload hash 09a7f8f1534dcf2236e1dc9f87314cd6b044e01a8eb2466fbb34bdc4dae7154d
- Simulation engine
- nba-preseason-experimental-v0 · 10,000 simulated games