NBA · Mon, Oct 26 · tip-off Oct 26, 8:00 PM ET
Phoenix Suns at Oklahoma City Thunder
Final: PHX 114 – 125 OKC
The Official Forecast favoured Oklahoma City Thunder — the side won.
Official Forecast · frozen before tip-off · shown exactly as frozen
GameTimePicks Official Forecast
- Favoured side
- Oklahoma City Thunder (OKC) · Elo team rating
- Elo-derived game-winner estimate
- Elo-derived game-winner estimate: PHX 18% · OKC 82%
- Player statistics
- GameTimePicks player model · medians
- Frozen
- Oct 26, 12:05 PM ET
- Withheld
- Team scores, player ranges, prices
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | PRA | P+R | P+A |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker | 28.7 | 18.1 | 3.1 | 4.4 | 0.8 | 25.6 | 21.1 | 22.6 |
| Dillon Brooks | 25 | 15.1 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 20 | 18.5 | 16.5 |
| Jalen Green | 24.7 | 15 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 20.2 | 18.2 | 16.9 |
| Luke Kennard | 24.2 | 8.1 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 12.3 | 10.7 | 9.8 |
| Miles Bridges | 21.6 | 12.6 | 4.1 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 18.8 | 16.8 | 14.6 |
| Oso Ighodaro · Day-To-Day | 18.5 | 4.6 | 3.9 | 2.1 | 0 | 11 | 8.7 | 6.8 |
| Collin Gillespie | 18 | 5.1 | 3 | 1.7 | 1 | 10.1 | 8.2 | 7 |
| Pat Spencer | 16.8 | 4.4 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 9.9 | 6.5 | 7.5 |
| Jordan Goodwin | 15.8 | 7.4 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 11 | 10.3 | 8.2 |
| Duop Reath | Projection unavailable — expected to play too few minutes for a published projection | |||||||
| Jamaree Bouyea | Projection unavailable — expected to play too few minutes for a published projection | |||||||
| Drew Timme | Projection unavailable — expected to play too few minutes for a published projection | |||||||
| Mark Williams | Projection unavailable — ruled out on the pre-tip injury report | |||||||
| Ryan Dunn | Projection unavailable — expected to play too few minutes for a published projection | |||||||
| Koa Peat | Projection unavailable — a rookie with no NBA minutes in the data yet | |||||||
| Rasheer Fleming | Projection unavailable — expected to play too few minutes for a published projection | |||||||
| Khaman Maluach | Projection unavailable — expected to play too few minutes for a published projection | |||||||
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | PRA | P+R | P+A |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 34.9 | 24.5 | 2.5 | 7.5 | 1.2 | 34.7 | 27 | 32.2 |
| Chet Holmgren | 29.6 | 12.2 | 7.2 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 20.6 | 19.5 | 13.3 |
| Ajay Mitchell | 27.5 | 13.4 | 2.9 | 4.3 | 0.5 | 21 | 16.5 | 17.9 |
| Cason Wallace · Day-To-Day | 25.3 | 9.5 | 3.5 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 15.4 | 13.1 | 11.8 |
| Alex Caruso | 23.7 | 11.1 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 16.1 | 13.7 | 13.5 |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 22.3 | 7.7 | 7.7 | 2.4 | 0 | 18.2 | 15.5 | 10.3 |
| Micah Peavy | 22.2 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 1 | 0.6 | 8.7 | 7.1 | 5.3 |
| Jared McCain | 21.3 | 11.4 | 2 | 1 | 1.9 | 14.8 | 13.5 | 12.7 |
| Jaylin Williams · Day-To-Day | 16.4 | 4.6 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 10.2 | 8.8 | 6 |
| Kenrich Williams | Projection unavailable — expected to play too few minutes for a published projection | |||||||
| Jalen Williams | Projection unavailable — ruled out on the pre-tip injury report | |||||||
| Brooks Barnhizer | Projection unavailable — expected to play too few minutes for a published projection | |||||||
| Thomas Sorber | Projection unavailable — ruled out on the pre-tip injury report | |||||||
| Josh Dix | Projection unavailable — a rookie with no NBA minutes in the data yet | |||||||
| Otega Oweh | Projection unavailable — ruled out on the pre-tip injury report | |||||||
| Nikola Topic | Projection unavailable — ruled out on the pre-tip injury report | |||||||
| Aday Mara | Projection unavailable — a rookie with no NBA minutes in the data yet | |||||||
| Bennett Stirtz | Projection unavailable — a rookie with no NBA minutes in the data yet | |||||||
Medians from the frozen player simulation; MIN is expected minutes. PRA, P+R and P+A are medians of the per-draw sums over the same simulated draws, so they are not the sum of the medians beside them. “—” means the figure was not published. A status after a name is the pre-tip injury report.
Model Performance: the Elo rating’s game-outcome accuracy is not yet established — 71 regular-season games graded so far; the preregistration requires 300 before any accuracy claim. An estimate derived from the Elo team rating — not an independently validated probability, not a simulation result, and not a betting recommendation.
Frozen before tip-off and shown exactly as frozen. Not a betting recommendation. NBA forecasts are graded after every game. The favoured-side record is published as counts on NBA results; it is not judged before 300 graded games.
Game Simulation archived
Game Simulations are shown on game day only. The Official Forecast stays available, frozen exactly as it was published before tip-off. No Game Simulation is shown on this page.
Technical detailsModel versions, the frozen receipt and the rule behind the favoured side
- Favoured side
- Elo team rating — the published winner side (founder N2) and its Elo-derived game-winner estimate · rule nba-winner-side@1
- Player model
- v0.1 roster-gated player simulation (nba-preseason-experimental-v0.1) — medians of 10000 simulated games
- Model version
- nba-preseason-experimental-v0.1
- Receipt
- payload hash ca406fe6ffc44647c0e0dfada116ad6f3bad550dd09377f0b4de22fa2c8c0591
- Simulation engine
- nba-preseason-experimental-v0 · 10,000 simulated games