NBA · Sun, Oct 25 · tip-off Oct 25, 5:00 PM ET
Los Angeles Lakers at Utah Jazz
Final: LAL 132 – 123 UTAH
The Official Forecast favoured Los Angeles Lakers — the side won.
Official Forecast · frozen before tip-off · shown exactly as frozen
GameTimePicks Official Forecast
- Favoured side
- Los Angeles Lakers (LAL) · Elo team rating
- Elo-derived game-winner estimate
- Elo-derived game-winner estimate: LAL 73% · UTAH 27%
- Player statistics
- GameTimePicks player model · medians
- Frozen
- Oct 25, 9:25 AM ET
- Withheld
- Team scores, player ranges, prices
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | PRA | P+R | P+A |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Reaves | 31 | 16.7 | 3.3 | 4.9 | 1.2 | 24.9 | 20.1 | 21.6 |
| Luka Doncic | 30.2 | 27.8 | 6.4 | 6.9 | 3.3 | 41.2 | 34.3 | 34.7 |
| Walker Kessler | 26.1 | 12.3 | 9 | 2.5 | 1 | 23.8 | 21.2 | 14.8 |
| Collin Sexton | 24.6 | 16.4 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 2 | 22 | 19.7 | 18.8 |
| Ziaire Williams | 19.8 | 11.1 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 14 | 12.5 | 12.6 |
| Quentin Grimes | 18.4 | 5.5 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 9.6 | 7.7 | 7.4 |
| Kevon Looney | 16.3 | 1.4 | 4.3 | 2 | 0.2 | 9.2 | 6.6 | 3.9 |
| Jaden Hardy | 16 | 8.5 | 1 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 11.7 | 9.8 | 10.4 |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 13.8 | 5.2 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 10.5 | 9.4 | 6.4 |
| Matisse Thybulle | 13.8 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 4.7 | 3.9 | 3.4 |
| Jake LaRavia | 12 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 5.1 | 4.4 | 3.3 |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | Projection unavailable — expected to play too few minutes for a published projection | |||||||
| Arthur Kaluma | Projection unavailable — not enough recent NBA minutes to project (for example, a returning player) | |||||||
| Bronny James | Projection unavailable — expected to play too few minutes for a published projection | |||||||
| Chris Manon | Projection unavailable — expected to play too few minutes for a published projection | |||||||
| Adou Thiero | Projection unavailable — ruled out on the pre-tip injury report | |||||||
| Cameron Carr | Projection unavailable — ruled out on the pre-tip injury report | |||||||
| AK Okereke | Projection unavailable — a rookie with no NBA minutes in the data yet | |||||||
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | PRA | P+R | P+A |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauri Markkanen | 25.1 | 19 | 4.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 25.6 | 24 | 20.6 |
| Keyonte George | 24.2 | 16.8 | 2.6 | 4.4 | 1.8 | 23.9 | 19.5 | 21.2 |
| Ace Bailey | 22.9 | 11.9 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 17 | 15.5 | 13.5 |
| Brice Sensabaugh | 21.2 | 15.1 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 20.6 | 17.6 | 18.1 |
| Kyle Filipowski | 20.4 | 14.3 | 6.8 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 24.1 | 21.2 | 17.3 |
| Isaiah Collier | 18.8 | 8.1 | 1.7 | 5 | 0.3 | 15.2 | 9.9 | 13.3 |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. | 17.5 | 16.3 | 3.2 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 21.4 | 19.4 | 18.2 |
| Svi Mykhailiuk | 16.9 | 6.5 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 9.7 | 8.3 | 7.9 |
| Blake Hinson | 15.2 | 10.4 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 13.7 | 12.1 | 11.9 |
| Mo Bamba | 13.9 | 8.2 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 12 | 10.5 | 9.7 |
| Josh Okogie | 13.6 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 6.3 | 5.3 | 3.9 |
| Jaxson Hayes | 11.9 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 0 | 6.6 | 6.1 | 4.4 |
| Jusuf Nurkic | Projection unavailable — ruled out on the pre-tip injury report | |||||||
| Tony Bradley | Projection unavailable — expected to play too few minutes for a published projection | |||||||
| Josh Green | Projection unavailable — expected to play too few minutes for a published projection | |||||||
| Trey Alexander | Projection unavailable — ruled out on the pre-tip injury report | |||||||
| Harrison Ingram | Projection unavailable — expected to play too few minutes for a published projection | |||||||
| Darryn Peterson | Projection unavailable — a rookie with no NBA minutes in the data yet | |||||||
Medians from the frozen player simulation; MIN is expected minutes. PRA, P+R and P+A are medians of the per-draw sums over the same simulated draws, so they are not the sum of the medians beside them. “—” means the figure was not published. A status after a name is the pre-tip injury report.
Model Performance: the Elo rating’s game-outcome accuracy is not yet established — 71 regular-season games graded so far; the preregistration requires 300 before any accuracy claim. An estimate derived from the Elo team rating — not an independently validated probability, not a simulation result, and not a betting recommendation.
Frozen before tip-off and shown exactly as frozen. Not a betting recommendation. NBA forecasts are graded after every game. The favoured-side record is published as counts on NBA results; it is not judged before 300 graded games.
Game Simulation archived
Game Simulations are shown on game day only. The Official Forecast stays available, frozen exactly as it was published before tip-off. No Game Simulation is shown on this page.
Technical detailsModel versions, the frozen receipt and the rule behind the favoured side
- Favoured side
- Elo team rating — the published winner side (founder N2) and its Elo-derived game-winner estimate · rule nba-winner-side@1
- Player model
- v0.1 roster-gated player simulation (nba-preseason-experimental-v0.1) — medians of 10000 simulated games
- Model version
- nba-preseason-experimental-v0.1
- Receipt
- payload hash 8ecf3b74b06ba47179dd21dcf174568d8e4620709a0d3c484f7876f0ef29cd4f
- Simulation engine
- nba-preseason-experimental-v0 · 10,000 simulated games