NBA · Sat, Oct 24 · tip-off Oct 24, 9:00 PM ET
New Orleans Pelicans at Denver Nuggets
Final: NO 135 – 141 DEN
The Official Forecast favoured Denver Nuggets — the side won.
Official Forecast · frozen before tip-off · shown exactly as frozen
GameTimePicks Official Forecast
- Favoured side
- Denver Nuggets (DEN) · Elo team rating
- Elo-derived game-winner estimate
- Elo-derived game-winner estimate: NO 19% · DEN 81%
- Player statistics
- GameTimePicks player model · medians
- Frozen
- Oct 24, 9:16 AM ET
- Withheld
- Team scores, player ranges, prices
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | PRA | P+R | P+A |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III | 21.6 | 10 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 15.3 | 13.7 | 11.6 |
| Jeremiah Fears | 20 | 14.1 | 2.4 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 19.6 | 16.6 | 17.1 |
| Saddiq Bey | 19.9 | 12.3 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 15.9 | 14.8 | 13.4 |
| Julian Reese | 19.9 | 6.5 | 5.8 | 1.2 | 0 | 14.2 | 12.8 | 7.8 |
| Zion Williamson | 18.5 | 11.3 | 3.1 | 1.7 | 0 | 16.1 | 14.4 | 13 |
| Dejounte Murray | 17.6 | 7.4 | 3.8 | 4.3 | 0.3 | 15.4 | 11.1 | 11.6 |
| Derik Queen | 17.3 | 8.1 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 15.3 | 13.4 | 10 |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 15.6 | 7.8 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 12.2 | 10.6 | 9.4 |
| Herbert Jones | 15.1 | 4.4 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 7.5 | 5.8 | 6.1 |
| Yves Missi · Day-To-Day | 14.5 | 4.1 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 0 | 8.6 | 7.8 | 5 |
| Jordan Poole | 14.1 | 7.4 | 1 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 10.5 | 8.5 | 9.4 |
| Bryce McGowens | 13.1 | 4.6 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 7 | 5.9 | 5.6 |
| Karlo Matkovic | 11.2 | 3.9 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 6.6 | 6.2 | 4.3 |
| DeAndre Jordan | 10.3 | 2.5 | 3.8 | 0.5 | 0 | 7 | 6.4 | 3.1 |
| Trendon Watford | Projection unavailable — expected to play too few minutes for a published projection | |||||||
| Jaron Pierre Jr. | Projection unavailable — a rookie with no NBA minutes in the data yet | |||||||
| Malik Dia | Projection unavailable — a rookie with no NBA minutes in the data yet | |||||||
| AJ Johnson | Projection unavailable — expected to play too few minutes for a published projection | |||||||
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | PRA | P+R | P+A |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray | 36.7 | 22 | 4.5 | 5.4 | 2.2 | 32 | 26.6 | 27.4 |
| Nikola Jokic | 34.5 | 23.1 | 11.9 | 8.2 | 0.9 | 43.6 | 35.1 | 31.4 |
| Christian Braun | 30.1 | 8.4 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 13.3 | 11.8 | 9.9 |
| Aaron Gordon | 26.8 | 11.3 | 4.9 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 19.7 | 16.3 | 14.7 |
| DeMar DeRozan | 26 | 16.6 | 2.4 | 4 | 0.5 | 23.7 | 19.2 | 21 |
| Ryan Nembhard | 22.6 | 6.9 | 3.2 | 6.1 | 0.5 | 17 | 10.4 | 13.4 |
| Marvin Bagley III | 19.7 | 12.4 | 5 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 19.3 | 17.7 | 14.1 |
| Cam Whitmore | 15.9 | 7.9 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 11.2 | 10.5 | 8.6 |
| Tyus Jones | 14 | 4 | 1.3 | 2 | 0.6 | 7.9 | 5.7 | 6.2 |
| Zeke Nnaji | 11.3 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 1 | 0.3 | 6.4 | 5.3 | 4.3 |
| Cameron Johnson | Projection unavailable — ruled out on the pre-tip injury report | |||||||
| Alpha Diallo | Projection unavailable — a rookie with no NBA minutes in the data yet | |||||||
| Julian Strawther | Projection unavailable — ruled out on the pre-tip injury report | |||||||
| DaRon Holmes II | Projection unavailable — expected to play too few minutes for a published projection | |||||||
| Bryce Hopkins | Projection unavailable — a rookie with no NBA minutes in the data yet | |||||||
| Spencer Jones | Projection unavailable — ruled out on the pre-tip injury report | |||||||
| Trevon Brazile | Projection unavailable — a rookie with no NBA minutes in the data yet | |||||||
Medians from the frozen player simulation; MIN is expected minutes. PRA, P+R and P+A are medians of the per-draw sums over the same simulated draws, so they are not the sum of the medians beside them. “—” means the figure was not published. A status after a name is the pre-tip injury report.
Model Performance: the Elo rating’s game-outcome accuracy is not yet established — 71 regular-season games graded so far; the preregistration requires 300 before any accuracy claim. An estimate derived from the Elo team rating — not an independently validated probability, not a simulation result, and not a betting recommendation.
Frozen before tip-off and shown exactly as frozen. Not a betting recommendation. NBA forecasts are graded after every game. The favoured-side record is published as counts on NBA results; it is not judged before 300 graded games.
Game Simulation archived
Game Simulations are shown on game day only. The Official Forecast stays available, frozen exactly as it was published before tip-off. No Game Simulation is shown on this page.
Technical detailsModel versions, the frozen receipt and the rule behind the favoured side
- Favoured side
- Elo team rating — the published winner side (founder N2) and its Elo-derived game-winner estimate · rule nba-winner-side@1
- Player model
- v0.1 roster-gated player simulation (nba-preseason-experimental-v0.1) — medians of 10000 simulated games
- Model version
- nba-preseason-experimental-v0.1
- Receipt
- payload hash e522c382f15c80d78e18a55a376bcdd36163c83bcf49cb5ec7e16d6e69b8fd54
- Simulation engine
- nba-preseason-experimental-v0 · 10,000 simulated games