NBA · Sat, Oct 24 · tip-off Oct 24, 6:00 PM ET
Miami Heat at Charlotte Hornets
Final: MIA 110 – 115 CHA
The Official Forecast favoured Charlotte Hornets — the side won.
Official Forecast · frozen before tip-off · shown exactly as frozen
GameTimePicks Official Forecast
- Favoured side
- Charlotte Hornets (CHA) · Elo team rating
- Elo-derived game-winner estimate
- Elo-derived game-winner estimate: MIA 34% · CHA 66%
- Player statistics
- GameTimePicks player model · medians
- Frozen
- Oct 24, 9:16 AM ET
- Withheld
- Team scores, player ranges, prices
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | PRA | P+R | P+A |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davion Mitchell | 26.2 | 10.3 | 2.3 | 4.6 | 1.4 | 17.5 | 12.7 | 15.1 |
| Bam Adebayo | 26.1 | 13.7 | 8.4 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 25.9 | 22.3 | 17.3 |
| Andrew Wiggins | 24.2 | 11.3 | 3 | 1.8 | 2 | 16.3 | 14.4 | 13.1 |
| Pelle Larsson | 24.2 | 10.9 | 3.3 | 2.9 | 0.5 | 17.3 | 14.4 | 13.9 |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | 23.5 | 22 | 7.7 | 4.3 | 0.3 | 34.4 | 29.9 | 26.4 |
| Bobby Portis | 19.7 | 10.7 | 5 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 17.1 | 15.8 | 11.9 |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 19 | 8.2 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 11.6 | 10.6 | 9.2 |
| Nick Richards | 18.2 | 7.3 | 5.9 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 13.7 | 13.3 | 7.7 |
| Klay Thompson | 14.8 | 7.7 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 10 | 8.6 | 9.1 |
| Nikola Jovic | 14.1 | 5.3 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 9.8 | 7.9 | 7.1 |
| Keshad Johnson | 10.2 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0 | 5.7 | 5.2 | 2.8 |
| Simone Fontecchio | Projection unavailable — expected to play too few minutes for a published projection | |||||||
| Dru Smith | Projection unavailable — expected to play too few minutes for a published projection | |||||||
| Myron Gardner | Projection unavailable — expected to play too few minutes for a published projection | |||||||
| Vladislav Goldin | Projection unavailable — expected to play too few minutes for a published projection | |||||||
| Tre Donaldson | Projection unavailable — a rookie with no NBA minutes in the data yet | |||||||
| Ryan Conwell | Projection unavailable — a rookie with no NBA minutes in the data yet | |||||||
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | PRA | P+R | P+A |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Miller | 25.8 | 14.8 | 3 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 20.1 | 17.9 | 17.1 |
| Kon Knueppel · Day-To-Day | 25.3 | 10.2 | 3.7 | 2 | 1.5 | 15.9 | 13.9 | 12.3 |
| Naz Reid | 23.1 | 10.8 | 6.1 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 18.8 | 17 | 12.6 |
| Moussa Diabate | 21.8 | 4.4 | 7 | 1.7 | 0 | 13.2 | 11.5 | 6.1 |
| Royce O'Neale | 19 | 6.8 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 12.6 | 11 | 8.3 |
| Grant Williams · Day-To-Day | 16.6 | 5.3 | 2.9 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 9 | 8.2 | 6.1 |
| Sion James | 16.4 | 4.5 | 3.3 | 1.9 | 1 | 9.8 | 7.8 | 6.4 |
| Grayson Allen | 15.8 | 6.9 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 1 | 10.8 | 9.4 | 8.4 |
| Coby White · Day-To-Day | 15.5 | 11.2 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 15 | 13.1 | 13 |
| Ryan Kalkbrenner | 15.2 | 4.1 | 3.6 | 0.8 | 0 | 8.6 | 7.7 | 4.9 |
| Dennis Schroder | 14.3 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 7.2 | 4.7 | 5.8 |
| PJ Hall | 12.9 | 4.7 | 4.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 9.7 | 9.1 | 5.3 |
| Tidjane Salaun | 12.6 | 4.3 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 8.2 | 7.5 | 5.1 |
| Kylan Boswell | Projection unavailable — ruled out on the pre-tip injury report | |||||||
| Christian Anderson | Projection unavailable — a rookie with no NBA minutes in the data yet | |||||||
| Liam McNeeley | Projection unavailable — expected to play too few minutes for a published projection | |||||||
| Hannes Steinbach | Projection unavailable — a rookie with no NBA minutes in the data yet | |||||||
Medians from the frozen player simulation; MIN is expected minutes. PRA, P+R and P+A are medians of the per-draw sums over the same simulated draws, so they are not the sum of the medians beside them. “—” means the figure was not published. A status after a name is the pre-tip injury report.
Model Performance: the Elo rating’s game-outcome accuracy is not yet established — 71 regular-season games graded so far; the preregistration requires 300 before any accuracy claim. An estimate derived from the Elo team rating — not an independently validated probability, not a simulation result, and not a betting recommendation.
Frozen before tip-off and shown exactly as frozen. Not a betting recommendation. NBA forecasts are graded after every game. The favoured-side record is published as counts on NBA results; it is not judged before 300 graded games.
Game Simulation archived
Game Simulations are shown on game day only. The Official Forecast stays available, frozen exactly as it was published before tip-off. No Game Simulation is shown on this page.
Technical detailsModel versions, the frozen receipt and the rule behind the favoured side
- Favoured side
- Elo team rating — the published winner side (founder N2) and its Elo-derived game-winner estimate · rule nba-winner-side@1
- Player model
- v0.1 roster-gated player simulation (nba-preseason-experimental-v0.1) — medians of 10000 simulated games
- Model version
- nba-preseason-experimental-v0.1
- Receipt
- payload hash 58fb49a0707d8c6c900dd403fbb4f798fb8227188898d0e3af6167263af35bb4
- Simulation engine
- nba-preseason-experimental-v0 · 10,000 simulated games