NBA · Thu, Oct 22 · tip-off Oct 22, 9:30 PM ET
Denver Nuggets at Oklahoma City Thunder
Final: DEN 84 – 96 OKC
The Official Forecast favoured Oklahoma City Thunder — the side won.
Official Forecast · frozen before tip-off · shown exactly as frozen
GameTimePicks Official Forecast
- Favoured side
- Oklahoma City Thunder (OKC) · Elo team rating
- Player statistics
- GameTimePicks player model · medians
- Frozen
- Oct 22, 10:29 AM ET
- Withheld
- Win chance, team scores, player ranges, prices
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | PRA | P+R | P+A |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray | 30.1 | 18.1 | 3.6 | 4.4 | 1.8 | 26.2 | 21.7 | 22.5 |
| Nikola Jokic | 28.3 | 18.9 | 9.8 | 6.6 | 0.7 | 35.7 | 28.8 | 25.7 |
| Christian Braun | 24.7 | 6.8 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 10.8 | 9.6 | 8 |
| Cameron Johnson | 24.6 | 11.3 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 16.3 | 14.1 | 13.5 |
| Aaron Gordon | 22 | 9.2 | 4 | 2.7 | 1 | 16.2 | 13.3 | 12.1 |
| DeMar DeRozan | 21.3 | 13.8 | 2 | 3.3 | 0.5 | 19.6 | 16 | 17.4 |
| Spencer Jones · Day-To-Day | 18.6 | 4 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 1 | 5.8 | 5.5 | 4.3 |
| Ryan Nembhard | 18.5 | 5.8 | 2.6 | 5.1 | 0.4 | 14.1 | 8.6 | 11.1 |
| Marvin Bagley III | 16.1 | 10.2 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 15.9 | 14.5 | 11.6 |
| Cam Whitmore | 13.1 | 6.6 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 9.3 | 8.7 | 7.1 |
| Tyus Jones | 11.5 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 6.5 | 4.6 | 5.1 |
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | PRA | P+R | P+A |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 35.7 | 25 | 2.5 | 7.7 | 1.2 | 35.5 | 27.6 | 32.9 |
| Chet Holmgren | 30.2 | 12.5 | 7.4 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 21.1 | 19.9 | 13.6 |
| Ajay Mitchell | 28.1 | 13.8 | 2.9 | 4.4 | 0.5 | 21.5 | 17 | 18.3 |
| Cason Wallace | 25.9 | 9.7 | 3.6 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 15.7 | 13.4 | 12.1 |
| Alex Caruso | 24.2 | 11.3 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 16.3 | 13.9 | 13.7 |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | 22.7 | 7.8 | 7.9 | 2.4 | 0 | 18.5 | 15.9 | 10.4 |
| Jared McCain | 21.8 | 11.5 | 2 | 1 | 1.9 | 15 | 13.7 | 12.8 |
| Jalen Williams | 17.6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0.2 | 12.2 | 10.9 | 9.3 |
| Jaylin Williams | 16.8 | 4.7 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 10.3 | 8.8 | 6 |
Medians from the frozen player simulation; MIN is expected minutes. PRA, P+R and P+A are medians of the per-draw sums over the same simulated draws, so they are not the sum of the medians beside them. “—” means the figure was not published. A status after a name is the pre-tip injury report.
Frozen before tip-off and shown exactly as frozen. Not a betting recommendation. NBA forecasts are graded after every game. The favoured-side record is published as counts on NBA results; it is not judged before 300 graded games.
Game Simulation archived
Game Simulations are shown on game day only. The Official Forecast stays available, frozen exactly as it was published before tip-off. No Game Simulation is shown on this page.
Technical detailsModel versions, the frozen receipt and the rule behind the favoured side
- Favoured side
- Elo team rating — the published winner side (founder N2); no probability is shown · rule nba-winner-side@1
- Player model
- v0.1 roster-gated player simulation (nba-preseason-experimental-v0.1) — medians of 10000 simulated games
- Model version
- nba-preseason-experimental-v0.1
- Receipt
- payload hash 6f2a2135226c93c901ef3f66148e5dc1fa888e14d76f21ef0a20990a7022b051
- Simulation engine
- nba-preseason-experimental-v0 · 10,000 simulated games