Skip to main content
Educational analyticsNot betting advice · research use only.
GameTime Picks
Today · Oct 30 · 10 eventsLatest results· Oct 29

MLB · Projected total runs (simulation median)

826 forecasts published · 826 measured · 0 not final · 0 void or not measurable. Models: mlb-prediction-2026.08-v1, mlb-prediction-2026.10-v2.

Where the model, start and publication time of each forecast come from: 475 from a committed record · 351 from file history · 0 unknown. The CSV names the source of each.

3.6average miss (n 826)
3.0median miss
4.7root-mean-square miss
-1.3bias (+ = we projected high)

Latest forecasts

The 60 most recent of 826. Download all 826 as CSV.

GameForecast forWhat we saidMarketWhat happenedScored
Wed, Oct 28
MIL @ TB
MIL @ TB8
published Oct 28, 5:13 PM ET
—Actual 5missed by 3
Tue, Oct 27
MIL @ TB
MIL @ TB7
published Oct 27, 4:50 PM ET
—Actual 7missed by 0
Mon, Oct 26
MIL @ TB
MIL @ TB7
published Oct 26, 4:40 PM ET
—Actual 11missed by 4
Sat, Oct 24
TB @ MIL
TB @ MIL8
published Oct 24, 5:06 PM ET
—Actual 9missed by 1
Fri, Oct 23
TB @ MIL
TB @ MIL8
published Oct 23, 4:33 PM ET
—Actual 5missed by 3
Mon, Oct 19
CLE @ TB
CLE @ TB8
published Oct 19, 4:40 PM ET
—Actual 10missed by 2
Sun, Oct 18
TB @ CLE
TB @ CLE8
published Oct 18, 2:04 PM ET
—Actual 4missed by 4
Sat, Oct 17
TB @ CLE
TB @ CLE8
published Oct 17, 8:07 PM ET
—Actual 10missed by 2
Thu, Oct 15
MIL @ LAD
MIL @ LAD9
published Oct 15, 7:45 PM ET
—Actual 10missed by 1
Thu, Oct 15
TB @ CLE
TB @ CLE8
published Oct 15, 11:38 AM ET
—Actual 5missed by 3
Wed, Oct 14
MIL @ LAD
MIL @ LAD9
published Oct 14, 7:20 PM ET
—Actual 8missed by 1
Tue, Oct 13
CLE @ TB
CLE @ TB8
published Oct 13, 7:47 PM ET
—Actual 4missed by 4
Mon, Oct 12
CLE @ TB
CLE @ TB7
published Oct 12, 7:42 PM ET
—Actual 10missed by 3
Mon, Oct 12
LAD @ MIL
LAD @ MIL9
published Oct 12, 4:20 PM ET
—Actual 11missed by 2
Sun, Oct 11
LAD @ MIL
LAD @ MIL9
published Oct 11, 7:47 PM ET
—Actual 3missed by 6
Sat, Oct 10
CWS @ CLE
CWS @ CLE7
published Oct 10, 7:41 PM ET
—Actual 2missed by 5
Thu, Oct 8
CLE @ CWS
CLE @ CWS7
published Oct 8, 7:49 PM ET
—Actual 14missed by 7
Wed, Oct 7
MIL @ SD
MIL @ SD9
published Oct 7, 9:10 PM ET
—Actual 4missed by 5
Wed, Oct 7
TB @ NYY
TB @ NYY7
published Oct 7, 7:39 PM ET
—Actual 7missed by 0
Wed, Oct 7
LAD @ ATL
LAD @ ATL8
published Oct 7, 5:26 PM ET
—Actual 5missed by 3
Wed, Oct 7
CLE @ CWS
CLE @ CWS7
published Oct 7, 1:52 PM ET
—Actual 12missed by 5
Tue, Oct 6
MIL @ SD
MIL @ SD9
published Oct 6, 8:53 PM ET
—Actual 7missed by 2
Tue, Oct 6
LAD @ ATL
LAD @ ATL8
published Oct 6, 5:47 PM ET
—Actual 4missed by 4
Mon, Oct 5
NYY @ TB
NYY @ TB7
published Oct 5, 7:15 PM ET
—Actual 7missed by 0
Mon, Oct 5
CWS @ CLE
CWS @ CLE7
published Oct 5, 3:42 PM ET
—Actual 7missed by 0
Sun, Oct 4
ATL @ LAD
ATL @ LAD8
published Oct 4, 7:20 PM ET
—Actual 5missed by 3
Sun, Oct 4
SD @ MIL
SD @ MIL9
published Oct 4, 3:44 PM ET
—Actual 7missed by 2
Sat, Oct 3
SD @ MIL
SD @ MIL9
published Oct 3, 7:58 PM ET
—Actual 5missed by 4
Sat, Oct 3
NYY @ TB
NYY @ TB7
published Oct 3, 6:15 PM ET
—Actual 1missed by 6
Sat, Oct 3
ATL @ LAD
ATL @ LAD8
published Oct 3, 3:19 PM ET
—Actual 8missed by 0
Sat, Oct 3
CWS @ CLE
CWS @ CLE7
published Oct 3, 11:11 AM ET
—Actual 3missed by 4
Thu, Oct 1
PHI @ ATL
PHI @ ATL7
published Oct 1, 7:59 PM ET
—Actual 8missed by 1
Wed, Sep 30
CHC @ SD
CHC @ SD9
published Sep 30, 9:21 PM ET
—Actual 5missed by 4
Wed, Sep 30
BOS @ NYY
BOS @ NYY7
published Sep 30, 7:07 PM ET
—Actual 11missed by 4
Wed, Sep 30
CWS @ HOU
CWS @ HOU8
published Sep 30, 4:54 PM ET
—Actual 10missed by 2
Wed, Sep 30
PHI @ ATL
PHI @ ATL6
published Sep 30, 12:51 PM ET
—Actual 7missed by 1
Tue, Sep 29
CHC @ SD
CHC @ SD9
published Sep 29, 9:22 PM ET
—Actual 8missed by 1
Tue, Sep 29
BOS @ NYY
BOS @ NYY7
published Sep 29, 7:49 PM ET
—Actual 9missed by 2
Tue, Sep 29
CWS @ HOU
CWS @ HOU8
published Sep 29, 4:56 PM ET
—Actual 9missed by 1
Tue, Sep 29
PHI @ ATL
PHI @ ATL7
published Sep 29, 12:55 PM ET
—Actual 8missed by 1
Sun, Sep 27
TEX @ MIN
TEX @ MIN7
published Sep 27, 3:08 PM ET
—Actual 10missed by 3
Sun, Sep 27
STL @ MIL
STL @ MIL6
published Sep 27, 3:08 PM ET
—Actual 10missed by 4
Sun, Sep 27
COL @ CWS
COL @ CWS7
published Sep 27, 3:08 PM ET
—Actual 6missed by 1
Sun, Sep 27
LAA @ SEA
LAA @ SEA7
published Sep 27, 3:08 PM ET
—Actual 10missed by 3
Sun, Sep 27
ATL @ MIA
ATL @ MIA6
published Sep 27, 3:08 PM ET
—Actual 8missed by 2
Sun, Sep 27
AZ @ SD
AZ @ SD5
published Sep 27, 3:08 PM ET
—Actual 13missed by 8
Sun, Sep 27
CLE @ KC
CLE @ KC7
published Sep 27, 3:08 PM ET
—Actual 5missed by 2
Sun, Sep 27
PIT @ DET
PIT @ DET8
published Sep 27, 3:08 PM ET
—Actual 6missed by 2
Sun, Sep 27
CIN @ TOR
CIN @ TOR6
published Sep 27, 11:41 AM ET
—Actual 6missed by 0
Sun, Sep 27
LAD @ SF
LAD @ SF7
published Sep 27, 11:41 AM ET
—Actual 6missed by 1
Sun, Sep 27
HOU @ ATH
HOU @ ATH9
published Sep 27, 11:41 AM ET
—Actual 9missed by 0
Sun, Sep 27
TB @ PHI
TB @ PHI6
published Sep 27, 11:41 AM ET
—Actual 10missed by 4
Sun, Sep 27
NYM @ WSH
NYM @ WSH7
published Sep 27, 11:41 AM ET
—Actual 10missed by 3
Sat, Sep 26
HOU @ ATH
HOU @ ATH8
published Sep 26, 8:43 PM ET
—Actual 15missed by 7
Sat, Sep 26
LAA @ SEA
LAA @ SEA6
published Sep 26, 8:43 PM ET
—Actual 12missed by 6
Sat, Sep 26
AZ @ SD
AZ @ SD9
published Sep 26, 7:44 PM ET
—Actual 17missed by 8
Sat, Sep 26
TB @ PHI
TB @ PHI6
published Sep 26, 7:00 PM ET
—Actual 13missed by 7
Sat, Sep 26
COL @ CWS
COL @ CWS7
published Sep 26, 7:00 PM ET
—Actual 15missed by 8
Sat, Sep 26
STL @ MIL
STL @ MIL7
published Sep 26, 7:00 PM ET
—Actual 5missed by 2
Sat, Sep 26
CLE @ KC
CLE @ KC7
published Sep 26, 7:00 PM ET
—Actual 16missed by 9

Market numbers are the sportsbook’s, shown for context. They are not part of any score on this page.