GametimePicks

Today· Jul 5Slate in progressPaper bankroll$19,265.40· 17–12 Peak$20,465.40· 5–0 Settled· Jun 18Paper-only · educational

Round of 16 · 6 games · through 2026-07-07

Round of 16 — Model Picks Board

One compact board for every knockout game in the window — model moneyline, totals, BTTS, and the safer + value market per game. De-vigged from real posted odds. 90-minute markets only (Draw is a real outcome; advancement is a de-vig proxy, not an outright market).

Paper-only, educational. Informational Round-of-32 model-pick board — de-vigged from real posted odds (The Odds API). Not betting advice; not the Bank Builder ladder. 90-minute markets only; advancement is a de-vig proxy, not an outright market.

Paper-only · educational · not betting advice

What the status chips mean · 5 of 6 games have live model odds ▾

Live oddsReal posted odds are in — the model picks below are de-vigged from them.

Odds pendingNo book has priced this fixture yet — picks appear once odds post.

StartedKickoff has passed — picks are frozen as a record, not live advice.

Completed — awaiting settlementThis game has finished. The picks are kept as a record; official settlement is pending — not a live pick.

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Tap a row for the top picks, why the model likes it, and same-game parlay previews (paper-only — no bets are placed here). Open the game dashboard for the full market + props tables.

Model bracket lean — who the model leans to advance (90-min proxy) ▾

Model bracket lean

Who the model leans to advance

The model's 90-minute moneyline favorite per game, with upset risk and a one-line expected game script. This is a 90-minute model proxy, NOT an outright/to-advance market — extra time and penalties can still flip a tie.

🇧🇷Brazilv🇳🇴Norway

Started

Sun Jul 5 · 4:00 PM ET

Lean to advance (90-min proxy)Brazil

52%

Upset risk Medium · 48%LeanKnockout risk High

Model score lean · Medium confidenceBrazil 2–1 Norway

Total: Over 2.5BTTS: BTTS Yes

Model score lean: Brazil 2–1 Norway. This aligns with Brazil to win in 90' (52%) + Over 2.5 goals + both teams to score (BTTS Yes).

🇲🇽Mexicov🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿England

Live odds

Sun Jul 5 · 8:00 PM ET

Lean to advance (90-min proxy)England

40%

Upset risk High · 60%Coin-flipKnockout risk High

Model score lean · Low confidence0–0 draw lean

Total: Under 2.5BTTS: BTTS No

Model score lean: 0–0 draw lean. This aligns with level at 90' is live (30% draw) + Under 2.5 goals + one side kept off the scoresheet (BTTS No).

Full propsView game →

🇵🇹Portugalv🇪🇸Spain

Live odds

Mon Jul 6 · 3:00 PM ET

Lean to advance (90-min proxy)Spain

50%

Upset risk Medium · 50%LeanKnockout risk High

Model score lean · Medium confidencePortugal 1–2 Spain

Total: Over 2.5BTTS: BTTS Yes

Model score lean: Portugal 1–2 Spain. This aligns with Spain to win in 90' (50%) + Over 2.5 goals + both teams to score (BTTS Yes).

Props pendingView game →

USAv🇧🇪Belgium

Live odds

Mon Jul 6 · 8:00 PM ET

Lean to advance (90-min proxy)Belgium

37%

Upset risk High · 63%Coin-flipKnockout risk High

Model score lean · Low confidence1–1 draw lean

Total: Over 2.5BTTS: BTTS Yes

Model score lean: 1–1 draw lean. This aligns with level at 90' is live (29% draw) + Over 2.5 goals + both teams to score (BTTS Yes).⚠ Markets don't fully agree (Over 2.5 vs a 2-goal scoreline) — treat the exact scoreline as a lean, not a lock.

Props pendingView game →

🇦🇷Argentinav🇪🇬Egypt

Live odds

Tue Jul 7 · 12:00 PM ET

Lean to advance (90-min proxy)Argentina

70%

Upset risk Low · 30%StrongKnockout risk Medium

Model score lean · Medium confidenceArgentina 1–0 Egypt

Total: Under 2.5BTTS: BTTS No

Model score lean: Argentina 1–0 Egypt. This aligns with Argentina to win in 90' (70%) + Under 2.5 goals + one side kept off the scoresheet (BTTS No).

Props pendingView game →

🇨🇭Switzerlandv🇨🇴Colombia

Live odds

Tue Jul 7 · 4:00 PM ET

Lean to advance (90-min proxy)Colombia

44%

Upset risk High · 56%Coin-flipKnockout risk High

Model score lean · Low confidence0–0 draw lean

Total: Under 2.5BTTS: BTTS No

Model score lean: 0–0 draw lean. This aligns with level at 90' is live (29% draw) + Under 2.5 goals + one side kept off the scoresheet (BTTS No).

Props pendingView game →

Generated 2026-07-05T13:26:11.979742+00:00. Slate 2026-07-05. All picks de-vigged from real posted odds; 90-minute regulation markets only. Paper-only educational analytics — not betting advice, and not the Bank Builder ladder.