World Cup
tournament liveNext · Brazil vs Norway · 4:00 PM ET
Official FIFA schedule + groups, a live 90-minute Market Outlook, and GameTime Picks model projections for today's matches — a recent national-team form model blended with the market (a model lean, capped Low this early). Suggested paper parlays are built only from positive-edge projections.
All 6 Round of 16 games through 2026-07-07 · model moneyline / totals / BTTS + safer & value markets, de-vigged from real odds. 90-minute markets only; advancement is a de-vig proxy.
World Cup Model Picks
The single model-pick board — top model-qualified pick per game and market (team markets, total/BTTS, and player props). Every pick is odds-backed, pre-event, and clears the model filter. Raw sportsbook inventory is not shown here.
Up to 3 model-qualified picks per game and market. Team Pick + Total / BTTS are the high-hit-rate team/game markets (moneyline, double chance, draw-no-bet, totals, BTTS).
Today's World Cup fixtures
Tap a match for its projections, player props, and suggested cards. Fixtures the books haven't posted show as odds pending.
Next World Cup matches
90-minute Home/Draw/Away + totals implied by current prices. Regulation only (Draw included; no extra time/penalties).
Market outlook — implied by current sportsbook prices (draftkings), not a GameTime Picks model pick. 90-minute regulation market; extra time/penalties not included.
Market outlook — implied by current sportsbook prices (draftkings), not a GameTime Picks model pick. 90-minute regulation market; extra time/penalties not included.
Market outlook — implied by current sportsbook prices (draftkings), not a GameTime Picks model pick. 90-minute regulation market; extra time/penalties not included.
Market outlook — implied by current sportsbook prices (draftkings), not a GameTime Picks model pick. 90-minute regulation market; extra time/penalties not included.
At a glance
What's live for the World Cup right now. Use the tabs above to dive into any section.
Every federation in the field
Hosts marked in gold. Tap a flag for fixtures.
GameTime Picks model projections
Model vs market with edge on each market. A “Card eligible” chip appears only where an edge clears the suggested-card threshold. 90-minute regulation only; early-tournament sample, confidence capped Low.
Model Player Prop Picks
Only props that pass the model filter are shown — grouped by game and market. Each cell is the top model-qualified pick (odds-backed, pre-event, role-quality screened); where nothing qualifies it reads “No model-qualified pick.” Sportsbook inventory is not a recommendation. Player props are limited-data (market-implied) and never Bank Builder eligible.
Model picks only — sportsbook inventory is hidden unless it passes the model filter (odds-backed, pre-event, role-quality, market-implied threshold). Limited-data / market-implied: lineups not yet posted.
Top model picks per game
Model-ranked team + player picks for each fixture — the team-market companion to the prop matrix above. Each pick shows model vs market, recent form/data quality, and why.
🏴England or DrawDouble chance-295
- • Model 70% vs market 70%
- • covers two of three outcomes (lower variance)
🏴England (draw no bet)Draw no bet-159
- • Model 56% vs market 56%
Under 2.5Total goals-186
- • Model 61% vs market 61%
Both teams to score: NoBoth teams to score-134
- • Model 53% vs market 53%
Harry KaneEngland · Over 0.5-2000
- • Model 95% vs market 95%
- • limited-data / market-implied — not Bank Builder eligible
Julian QuinonesMexico · Over 0.5-1000
- • Model 91% vs market 91%
- • limited-data / market-implied — not Bank Builder eligible
Raul JimenezMexico · Over 0.5-1000
- • Model 91% vs market 91%
- • limited-data / market-implied — not Bank Builder eligible
Anthony GordonEngland · Over 0.5-670
- • Model 87% vs market 87%
- • limited-data / market-implied — not Bank Builder eligible
Jude BellinghamEngland · Over 0.5-670
- • Model 87% vs market 87%
- • limited-data / market-implied — not Bank Builder eligible
Marcus RashfordEngland · Over 0.5-590
- • Model 86% vs market 86%
- • limited-data / market-implied — not Bank Builder eligible
🇧🇷Brazil or DrawDouble chance-500
- • Model 78% vs market 78%
- • 39% edge
- • covers two of three outcomes (lower variance)
🇧🇷Brazil (draw no bet)Draw no bet-315
- • Model 69% vs market 69%
🇧🇷BrazilMatch result-122
- • Model 52% vs market 52%
Over 2.5Total goals-130
- • Model 53% vs market 53%
Erling Braut HaalandNorway · Over 0.5-7000
- • Model 99% vs market 99%
- • limited-data / market-implied — not Bank Builder eligible
Vinicius JuniorBrazil · Over 0.5-7000
- • Model 99% vs market 99%
- • limited-data / market-implied — not Bank Builder eligible
Matheus CunhaBrazil · Over 0.5-7000
- • Model 99% vs market 99%
- • limited-data / market-implied — not Bank Builder eligible
RDRaphael Dias BelloliBrazil · Over 0.5-4000
- • Model 98% vs market 98%
- • limited-data / market-implied — not Bank Builder eligible
DDDanilo dos Santos de OliveiraBrazil · Over 0.5-900
- • Model 90% vs market 90%
- • limited-data / market-implied — not Bank Builder eligible
RVRayan VitorBrazil · Over 0.5-835
- • Model 89% vs market 89%
- • limited-data / market-implied — not Bank Builder eligible
Available sportsbook markets — not model recommendations (96 views · 76 photos)
Erling Braut Haaland-7000Over 0.5 · Norway · fanduelmdl 99% · mkt 99%not posted
Vinicius Junior-7000Over 0.5 · Brazil · fanduelmdl 99% · mkt 99%not posted
Matheus Cunha-7000Over 0.5 · Brazil · fanduelmdl 99% · mkt 99%not posted
RDRaphael Dias Belloli-4000Over 0.5 · Brazil · fanduelmdl 98% · mkt 98%not posted
DDDanilo dos Santos de Oliveira-900Over 0.5 · Brazil · fanduelmdl 90% · mkt 90%not posted
RVRayan Vitor-835Over 0.5 · Brazil · betriversmdl 89% · mkt 89%not posted
Vinicius Junior-750Over 1.5 · Brazil · fanduelmdl 88% · mkt 88%not posted
Erling Braut Haaland-590Over 1.5 · Norway · betriversmdl 86% · mkt 86%not posted
Antonio Nusa-560Over 0.5 · Norway · betriversmdl 85% · mkt 85%not posted
Sander Berge-210Over 0.5 · Norway · fanduelmdl 68% · mkt 68%not posted
Fredrik Aursnes-210Over 0.5 · Norway · fanduelmdl 68% · mkt 68%not posted
Erling Braut Haaland-200Over 2.5 · Norway · betriversmdl 67% · mkt 67%not posted
Harry Kane-2000Over 0.5 · England · betriversmdl 95% · mkt 95%not posted
Julian Quinones-1000Over 0.5 · Mexico · betriversmdl 91% · mkt 91%not posted
Raul Jimenez-1000Over 0.5 · Mexico · betriversmdl 91% · mkt 91%not posted
Anthony Gordon-670Over 0.5 · England · betriversmdl 87% · mkt 87%not posted
Jude Bellingham-670Over 0.5 · England · betriversmdl 87% · mkt 87%not posted
Marcus Rashford-590Over 0.5 · England · betriversmdl 86% · mkt 86%not posted
Bukayo Saka-530Over 0.5 · England · betriversmdl 84% · mkt 84%not posted
Brian Gutierrez-420Over 0.5 · Mexico · betriversmdl 81% · mkt 81%not posted
GRGilberto Rafael Mora Zambrano-400Over 0.5 · Mexico · betriversmdl 80% · mkt 80%not posted
Noni Madueke-385Over 0.5 · England · betriversmdl 79% · mkt 79%not posted
Roberto Alvarado-275Over 0.5 · Mexico · betriversmdl 73% · mkt 73%not posted
Jesus Gallardo-230Over 0.5 · Mexico · fanduelmdl 70% · mkt 70%not posted
Erling Braut Haaland-435Over 0.5 · Norway · betriversmdl 81% · mkt 81%not posted
Vinicius Junior-380Over 0.5 · Brazil · fanduelmdl 79% · mkt 79%not posted
Matheus Cunha-280Over 0.5 · Brazil · fanduelmdl 74% · mkt 74%not posted
EFEndrick Felipe Moreira de Sousa-265Over 0.5 · Brazil · betriversmdl 73% · mkt 73%not posted
RDRaphael Dias Belloli-230Over 0.5 · Brazil · fanduelmdl 70% · mkt 70%not posted
RVRayan Vitor-139Over 0.5 · Brazil · betriversmdl 58% · mkt 58%not posted
ASAlexander Sorloth-130Over 0.5 · Brazil · betriversmdl 57% · mkt 57%not posted
Antonio Nusa+100Over 0.5 · Norway · fanduelmdl 50% · mkt 50%not posted
Erling Braut Haaland+100Over 1.5 · Norway · fanduelmdl 50% · mkt 50%not posted
Patrick Berg+190Over 0.5 · Norway · fanduelmdl 34% · mkt 34%not posted
Sander Berge+220Over 0.5 · Norway · fanduelmdl 31% · mkt 31%not posted
Fredrik Aursnes+230Over 0.5 · Norway · fanduelmdl 30% · mkt 30%not posted
Harry Kane-270Over 0.5 · England · fanduelmdl 73% · mkt 73%not posted
Raul Jimenez-155Over 0.5 · Mexico · betriversmdl 61% · mkt 61%not posted
Julian Quinones-135Over 0.5 · Mexico · fanduelmdl 57% · mkt 57%not posted
Jude Bellingham-112Over 0.5 · England · betriversmdl 53% · mkt 53%not posted
Noni Madueke-110Over 0.5 · England · fanduelmdl 52% · mkt 52%not posted
Bukayo Saka-110Over 0.5 · England · fanduelmdl 52% · mkt 52%not posted
Anthony Gordon+100Over 0.5 · England · fanduelmdl 50% · mkt 50%not posted
Marcus Rashford+115Over 0.5 · England · betriversmdl 47% · mkt 47%not posted
Brian Gutierrez+120Over 0.5 · Mexico · fanduelmdl 45% · mkt 45%not posted
Roberto Alvarado+140Over 0.5 · Mexico · fanduelmdl 42% · mkt 42%not posted
GRGilberto Rafael Mora Zambrano+155Over 0.5 · Mexico · fanduelmdl 39% · mkt 39%not posted
NONico O'Reilly+200Over 0.5 · Mexico · fanduelmdl 33% · mkt 33%not posted
Vinicius Junior+200Over 0.5 · Brazil · fanduelmdl 33% · mkt 33%not posted
RDRaphael Dias Belloli+250Over 0.5 · Brazil · fanduelmdl 29% · mkt 29%not posted
Bruno Guimaraes+320Over 0.5 · Brazil · fanduelmdl 24% · mkt 24%not posted
RVRayan Vitor+350Over 0.5 · Brazil · fanduelmdl 22% · mkt 22%not posted
Matheus Cunha+360Over 0.5 · Brazil · fanduelmdl 22% · mkt 22%not posted
MOMartin Odegaard+420Over 0.5 · Brazil · fanduelmdl 19% · mkt 19%not posted
Patrick Berg+490Over 0.5 · Norway · fanduelmdl 17% · mkt 17%not posted
Antonio Nusa+490Over 0.5 · Norway · fanduelmdl 17% · mkt 17%not posted
Julian Ryerson+490Over 0.5 · Norway · fanduelmdl 17% · mkt 17%not posted
Marcus Pedersen+600Over 0.5 · Norway · fanduelmdl 14% · mkt 14%not posted
Fredrik Aursnes+600Over 0.5 · Norway · fanduelmdl 14% · mkt 14%not posted
Sander Berge+750Over 0.5 · Norway · fanduelmdl 12% · mkt 12%not posted
Noni Madueke+350Over 0.5 · England · fanduelmdl 22% · mkt 22%not posted
Marcus Rashford+360Over 0.5 · England · fanduelmdl 22% · mkt 22%not posted
Reece James+400Over 0.5 · England · fanduelmdl 20% · mkt 20%not posted
Anthony Gordon+420Over 0.5 · England · fanduelmdl 19% · mkt 19%not posted
Roberto Alvarado+420Over 0.5 · Mexico · fanduelmdl 19% · mkt 19%not posted
Jude Bellingham+500Over 0.5 · England · fanduelmdl 17% · mkt 17%not posted
Bukayo Saka+500Over 0.5 · England · fanduelmdl 17% · mkt 17%not posted
GRGilberto Rafael Mora Zambrano+550Over 0.5 · Mexico · fanduelmdl 15% · mkt 15%not posted
Julian Quinones+600Over 0.5 · Mexico · fanduelmdl 14% · mkt 14%not posted
Brian Gutierrez+650Over 0.5 · Mexico · fanduelmdl 13% · mkt 13%not posted
Raul Jimenez+650Over 0.5 · Mexico · fanduelmdl 13% · mkt 13%not posted
NONico O'Reilly+650Over 0.5 · Mexico · fanduelmdl 13% · mkt 13%not posted
Erling Braut Haaland+115Anytime · Norway · williamhill_usmdl 47% · mkt 47%not posted
Vinicius Junior+120Anytime · Brazil · betriversmdl 45% · mkt 45%not posted
ITIgor Thiago Nascimento Rodrigues+150Anytime · Brazil · betmgmmdl 40% · mkt 40%not posted
EFEndrick Felipe Moreira de Sousa+155Anytime · Brazil · betriversmdl 39% · mkt 39%not posted
Matheus Cunha+157Anytime · Brazil · williamhill_usmdl 39% · mkt 39%not posted
Neymar+160Anytime · Brazil · betmgmmdl 38% · mkt 38%not posted
RDRaphael Dias Belloli+176Anytime · Brazil · williamhill_usmdl 36% · mkt 36%not posted
Jorgen Strand Larsen+250Anytime · Norway · betmgmmdl 29% · mkt 29%not posted
Jens Petter Hauge+360Anytime · Norway · betmgmmdl 22% · mkt 22%not posted
Antonio Nusa+425Anytime · Norway · betmgmmdl 19% · mkt 19%not posted
Thelo Aasgaard+425Anytime · Norway · williamhill_usmdl 19% · mkt 19%not posted
Oscar Bobb+450Anytime · Norway · betmgmmdl 18% · mkt 18%not posted
Harry Kane+130Anytime · England · betmgmmdl 43% · mkt 43%not posted
Ollie Watkins+188Anytime · England · williamhill_usmdl 35% · mkt 35%not posted
Ivan Toney+190Anytime · England · williamhill_usmdl 34% · mkt 34%not posted
Raul Jimenez+230Anytime · Mexico · betmgmmdl 30% · mkt 30%not posted
Julian Quinones+250Anytime · Mexico · betriversmdl 29% · mkt 29%not posted
AGArmando Gonzalez Alba+275Anytime · Mexico · betmgmmdl 27% · mkt 27%not posted
Guillermo Martinez+280Anytime · Mexico · betmgmmdl 26% · mkt 26%not posted
Santiago Gimenez+280Anytime · Mexico · williamhill_usmdl 26% · mkt 26%not posted
Marcus Rashford+320Anytime · England · betmgmmdl 24% · mkt 24%not posted
Jude Bellingham+350Anytime · England · betriversmdl 22% · mkt 22%not posted
Anthony Gordon+375Anytime · England · betmgmmdl 21% · mkt 21%not posted
CSCesar Saul Huerta Valera+425Anytime · Mexico · betmgmmdl 19% · mkt 19%not posted
World Cup suggested parlays
Built only from positive-edge model projections (one leg per match — no in-card correlation). Default paper stakes; enter any amount for the projected paper payout.
Suggested cards are built only from parlay-eligible projections. When none clear the threshold, the probability views (Projections tab) are still shown — we don't turn a sub-threshold edge into a card.
Every market, with an honest status
We never hide a market. Each one below shows whether real odds + data are available and, if it isn't published yet, exactly what it's waiting on. Odds via The Odds API (18952 credits left); team strength via the FIFA ranking; lineups + stats via API-Football.
What's live vs gated
We only show what real data supports. No fabricated prices, lineups, or edges.
World Cup settlement
Official 90-minute regulation grading. Soccer settles on the FT regulation score — Draw is a real outcome; extra time and penalties never count for these markets.
Source: API-Football v3 /fixtures (FT regulation) + /fixtures/players (official player stats) · settled 2026-06-28T00:00:00Z. Paper-only educational tracking.
How the World Cup model works
An ensemble: de-vigged market prior + a sourced FIFA-ranking team-strength layer + opponent-adjusted recent national-team form. Poisson Home/Draw/Away + totals. 90-minute regulation only — Draw is a real third outcome, never mixed with advancement or extra-time markets.
No World Cup match projection model is currently active. Inputs above are the planned ingestion targets. Hit rate, parlay record, and confidence tiers will only appear after the model is live and matches settle. Full factor framework: methodology.
FIFA requires each association to submit a 26-player final squad by June 1; FIFA publishes squads on June 2. Some federations have begun announcing early. This site refuses to publish player lists until each federation officially releases its squad.
- · FIFA — Official 2026 World Cup hub
- · FIFA — Final Draw results (Dec 5, 2025)
- · ESPN — Full 2026 World Cup format + match schedule
- · FIFA — Squad lists number + dates
